What could affect the price of POL?

Polygon’s price is currently balancing between upcoming network improvements and some market doubts.

1. Network Upgrades & Speed – Plans to handle 5,000 transactions per second (TPS) by October could increase its usefulness (positive).
2. Tokenomics Changes – A proposal to stop the 2% yearly inflation might reduce selling pressure, but opinions are mixed.
3. Payments & Real-World Asset (RWA) Use – $1.82 billion in payment volume in Q3 shows growing real-world adoption (positive).

Deep Dive

1. Network Upgrades & Speed (Positive Impact)

Overview: Polygon is working to boost its Proof-of-Stake (PoS) blockchain to process 5,000 transactions per second by October 2025. This will be done through the Heimdall v2 upgrade and the AggLayer interoperability framework. Recent tests have already reached 1,000 TPS with transaction finalization in under 5 seconds.
What this means: Faster processing can attract more businesses and institutions using Polygon for payments and tokenized assets. This would increase demand for POL tokens, which are needed to pay transaction fees and for staking. Past major upgrades, like the Heimdall v2 hard fork in July 2025, led to short-term price increases of about 7%.

2. Tokenomics Changes (Mixed Impact)

Overview: There is a governance proposal to stop Polygon’s 2% annual inflation, which currently adds about 200 million new tokens each year, and instead start buying back tokens. The community is split because inflation currently funds rewards for validators who help secure the network.
What this means: Ending inflation could make POL tokens scarcer and potentially more valuable (positive). However, if validators leave due to lower rewards, the network’s security could weaken (negative). Similar changes on other blockchains like Avalanche and BNB caused some price swings before stabilizing.

3. Payments & Real-World Asset (RWA) Use (Positive Impact)

Overview: Polygon handled $1.82 billion in payments during Q3 2025, a 49% increase from the previous quarter. This growth was driven by partnerships with Paxos and integrations with Visa and Mastercard stablecoins. Tokenized assets on Polygon surpassed $1.14 billion, including European money-market funds.
What this means: Polygon’s strength in low-cost payments and real-world asset tokenization positions POL as a key utility token in regulated finance. According to Messari, growth in RWAs could increase total value locked (TVL) by 15–20% in 2026, which would create buying pressure on POL.

Conclusion

Polygon’s price will depend on how well it executes its technical upgrades, manages tokenomics changes, and leverages growth in payments and real-world assets. Keep an eye on the AggLayer v0.3 launch (which aims to improve cross-chain liquidity) and Q4 payment volume trends—if payments stay above $2 billion per quarter, it could confirm a positive outlook. The big question is whether Polygon’s shift from zkEVM to PoS will strengthen its role in global finance or if debates over inflation will slow its momentum.

What are people saying about POL?

The Polygon community is divided between excitement over upgrades and doubts about the price. Here’s what’s happening:

1. Migration nearly done – 97.8% of MATIC tokens have been swapped to POL
2. Price predictions spark debate – Some analysts expect a breakout at $0.28, but bearish signals remain
3. Heimdall v2 upgrade launched – Faster transaction finality, but the token’s price hasn’t caught up yet

In-Depth Look

1. @0xPolygon: Migration Hits 97.8% — Positive Sign

"97.83% of the MATIC ➪ POL upgrade is complete"
– @0xPolygon (2.1M followers · 12.4K impressions · 2025-08-20 16:29 UTC)
View original post
What this means: The migration from the old MATIC token to the new POL token is almost finished. This reduces confusion and could increase POL’s usefulness, especially as more people use it for staking and governance after the upgrade.

2. @Tokocrypto: Price Hype vs. Reality — Mixed Signals

"Analis prediksi potensi reli hingga 2x lipat... Apakah $POL siap breakout besar?"
– @Tokocrypto (Unknown followers · 8.2K impressions · 2025-09-01 13:23 UTC)
View original post
What this means: An Indonesian exchange predicts POL could double in price, but the token has actually dropped 32% over the past 60 days. This shows a gap between local optimism and the broader market’s cautious mood.

3. Crypto Patel: Watching $0.28 Resistance — Bullish Outlook

"If POL breaks $0.28, targets $0.70+ in expansion phase"
– Crypto Patel (CoinMarketCap post · 2025-07-30)
View analysis
What this means: Some technical analysts believe that if POL can rise above $0.28, it could climb as high as $0.70. However, the token has tried and failed to break this level five times since June 2025, so it remains a key hurdle.

Conclusion

Opinions on POL are mixed. The nearly completed migration and the Heimdall v2 upgrade, which speeds up transaction finality to 5 seconds, are positive developments. However, the token’s price has fallen 55% year-over-year. Keep an eye on the $0.1856 20-day simple moving average (SMA): if POL stays above this level, it could confirm growing optimism. If it falls below, the recent 32% quarterly decline might continue. Developers are actively improving the network, but traders are waiting for clearer signs before jumping in.

What is the latest news about POL?

Polygon is making strides in cross-chain payments and gaining traction with institutional users, even as it faces some downward price pressure. Here are the key updates:

1. Blockchain Payments Consortium Launch (Nov 7, 2025) – Polygon and six other blockchain groups teamed up to set standards for stablecoins that work across different networks.
2. Q3 Payment Volume Growth (Nov 6, 2025) – Polygon handled $1.82 billion in payment transfers, a 49% increase from the previous quarter.
3. AMINA Bank’s MiCA License Approval (Nov 4, 2025) – The first global crypto bank received EU regulatory approval, enabling POL staking services.

In-Depth Look

1. Blockchain Payments Consortium Launch (November 7, 2025)

What happened: Polygon Labs joined forces with other blockchain leaders like Stellar to form the Blockchain Payments Consortium (BPC). Their goal is to create common standards that make it easier to use stablecoins across different blockchain networks. This effort aims to help institutions adopt crypto payments by solving compliance and technical challenges.
Why it matters: This partnership could increase Polygon’s role in regulated international payments, potentially driving more network use and transaction fees. However, POL’s price dropped 4% after the announcement, as some investors remain cautious about how quickly these changes will take effect.
(Yahoo Finance)

2. Q3 Payment Volume Growth (November 6, 2025)

What happened: In the third quarter of 2025, Polygon processed $1.82 billion in payments. This growth was largely fueled by partners like Paxos, which saw a 443% increase, and BlindPay, which grew 92%. Additionally, stablecoin payments through Visa and Mastercard cards hit $322 million.
Why it matters: These numbers highlight Polygon’s strength in handling large volumes of low-cost transactions. Meanwhile, the amount of POL held on exchanges dropped by 4.5% on Binance, and the number of active users increased. Historically, these trends suggest that the price could rebound as supply tightens.
(CryptoFrontNews)

3. AMINA Bank’s MiCA License Approval (November 4, 2025)

What happened: AMINA Bank, based in Switzerland, received a Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) license in Austria. This license allows the bank to offer POL staking and custody services to institutional clients across the European Union.
Why it matters: This regulatory approval strengthens Polygon’s presence in Europe, especially in the growing market for real-world assets (RWAs). AMINA’s strategy of operating in multiple regions—including Switzerland, Hong Kong, and the UAE—could increase demand for POL among professional investors.
(MEXC News)

Conclusion

Polygon is focusing heavily on building payment infrastructure and meeting regulatory requirements. Recent partnerships and growing adoption help balance out short-term price dips. Although POL is trading near multi-month lows, rising institutional interest and shrinking exchange reserves suggest that accumulation is underway. The question remains: will Polygon’s cross-chain technology and new regulatory approvals spark a price turnaround?

What is expected in the development of POL?

Polygon’s roadmap is centered on improving scalability, enabling better communication between blockchains, and increasing adoption by large institutions. Key upcoming milestones include:

1. AggLayer Breakout Program (Q4 2025) – Launching new zero-knowledge (ZK) projects to enhance cross-chain connections.
2. Staking Hub Launch (2025) – A unified platform to stake POL tokens across multiple blockchains, improving security and rewards.
3. zkEVM Shutdown (2026) – Phasing out the zkEVM product to focus on Proof of Stake (PoS) and AggLayer development.
4. Gigagas Roadmap (2026) – Aiming for 100,000 transactions per second (TPS) to support global payments and real-world asset settlements.

Deep Dive

1. AggLayer Breakout Program (Q4 2025)

Overview:
Polygon’s AggLayer version 0.3, expected in late 2025, will introduce faster ways for different blockchains to work together. It will also launch new projects focused on zero-knowledge technology, such as Katana and Miden. This supports Polygon’s goal to create an “Internet of Blockchains,” where assets and data can move seamlessly across networks (Coinspeaker).

What this means:
This is positive for POL because it could increase the token’s use across multiple blockchains. However, there are risks if these projects don’t gain traction or face technical challenges.

2. Staking Hub Launch (2025)

Overview:
The upcoming staking hub will allow users to stake POL tokens directly on Ethereum and other chains. This helps secure the networks and lets users earn rewards. It also expands POL’s role beyond just paying transaction fees. About 2% of new POL tokens will be used to reward validators and support community projects (Polygon Blog).

What this means:
This development strengthens POL’s token economics by encouraging users to hold and stake their tokens, which could reduce selling pressure. However, delays or low participation by validators could limit its impact.

3. zkEVM Shutdown (2026)

Overview:
Polygon plans to retire its zkEVM product in 2026 to focus resources on scaling its Proof of Stake network and AggLayer technology. CEO Sandeep Nailwal explained this move is to simplify development and avoid splitting the community’s efforts (Coinspeaker).

What this means:
In the short term, this may be seen as a negative because it reduces product variety. But in the long run, focusing on core technologies could strengthen Polygon’s position in the market.

4. Gigagas Roadmap (2026)

Overview:
The Gigagas initiative aims to reach 100,000 transactions per second by 2026, with transaction fees under $0.001. It also seeks partnerships with traditional financial firms like BlackRock. The first phase, called the Bhilai upgrade, already achieved 1,000 TPS in mid-2025 (CoinMarketCap).

What this means:
This is promising for attracting large-scale institutional users. However, Polygon faces competition from other fast blockchains like Solana and Ethereum Layer 2 solutions. Success depends on real-world adoption of these payment systems.

Conclusion

Polygon is focusing on making its network faster (Gigagas), improving cross-chain connections (AggLayer), and attracting institutional users (staking hub). While technical challenges and market conditions remain risks, these efforts could increase POL’s usefulness and help stabilize its price over time. The big question is whether AggLayer’s vision of an “Internet of Blockchains” can outperform competing interoperability solutions.

{{technical_analysis_coin_candle_chart}}

What updates are there in the POL code base?

Polygon’s latest updates focus on making the network faster, more secure, and better connected with other blockchains.

1. MATIC-to-POL Migration (August 20, 2025) – Almost complete at 97.83%, this unifies token use across Polygon’s platforms.
2. Heimdall v2 Upgrade (July 10, 2025) – Transaction finality now takes just 4–6 seconds, speeding up the network.
3. Bhilai Hard Fork (July 1, 2025) – Increased transaction capacity to 1,000 per second, aiming for 5,000 per second by October.

Deep Dive

1. MATIC-to-POL Migration (August 20, 2025)

Overview:
Polygon is transitioning from the MATIC token to POL. As of August 2025, nearly all tokens have been upgraded. POL is now the main token used for paying fees and staking on Polygon’s Proof of Stake (PoS) network. This change supports Polygon’s goal of connecting multiple blockchains seamlessly.

Technical Details:
POL’s design allows network validators to secure multiple blockchains at once, unlike MATIC which worked on just one. The upgrade process is smooth and doesn’t interrupt apps or users, thanks to a smart contract on Ethereum that handles the switch automatically.

What this means:
This is good news for POL holders because it simplifies how the token is used across Polygon’s ecosystem. It also improves staking rewards and eligibility for special token giveaways (airdrops). Overall, POL is becoming a key part of Polygon’s multi-chain future.
(Polygon)

2. Heimdall v2 Mainnet Upgrade (July 10, 2025)

Overview:
Heimdall v2 is a major update to Polygon’s consensus system—the part that confirms transactions and keeps the network secure. It upgraded from older software versions to newer, more efficient ones.

Technical Details:
The time it takes for a transaction to be finalized dropped from about 90 seconds to just 4–6 seconds. Blocks are now created every 2 seconds. Removing outdated code sped up development, and cross-chain bridge confirmations are almost instant.

What this means:
This upgrade makes Polygon faster and more reliable, which is important for decentralized finance (DeFi) apps and institutional users. Validators (network operators) need to update their systems to keep running smoothly.
(Coinspeaker)

3. Bhilai Hard Fork (July 1, 2025)

Overview:
The Bhilai upgrade boosted Polygon’s transaction processing capacity to 1,000 transactions per second (TPS), with plans to reach 5,000 TPS by October 2025.

Technical Details:
Polygon’s Bor nodes were updated to version 2.1.1, implementing improvements that allow higher gas limits (the fee system for transactions) and faster block processing. Validators increased gas limits to 45 million, enabling more transactions per block.

What this means:
In the short term, this change is neutral for POL holders, but it’s positive long term. Higher capacity means Polygon can support more apps with heavy transaction needs. However, node operators had to manage some technical challenges during the upgrade.
(CoinMarketCap)

Conclusion

Polygon’s recent updates show a clear focus on making the network scalable and interoperable with other blockchains, with POL playing a central role. The nearly finished token migration and technical improvements set the stage for wider use as Polygon’s AggLayer technology gains traction.

What’s next? How will Polygon’s push for sub-second transaction finality and 5,000+ TPS affect its competition with Ethereum’s main network and other Layer 2 solutions?

Why did the price of POL go up?

Polygon (POL) increased by 0.91% in the last 24 hours, continuing its positive trend over the past week with a 7.91% gain. Here’s why:

1. Growth in DeFi and Payments – Polygon led Q3 2025 in decentralized finance (DeFi) lending with $192 billion, and payment volume jumped 49% to $1.82 billion.
2. Fewer Coins on Exchanges – The amount of POL held on exchanges like Binance dropped significantly, reducing the chance of large sell-offs.
3. Technical Indicators Show Recovery – Key signals like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) suggest short-term upward momentum.

Deep Dive

1. DeFi and Payment Adoption (Positive for POL)

Polygon handled $1.82 billion in payment transactions during Q3, a 49% increase from the previous quarter. It also led DeFi lending with $192.88 billion in loans in 2025, outpacing networks like Ethereum and Solana. Additionally, the supply of stablecoins on Polygon grew 35% to $1.47 billion.
Why it matters: Real-world uses such as crypto cards from Visa and Mastercard, and tokenized bonds, are driving demand for POL. Since POL is used to pay transaction fees and for staking on the network, more activity means more demand for the token, which can support its price.

2. Supply Changes (Mixed Signals)

The amount of POL held on exchanges, especially Binance, has dropped sharply, while the number of active users increased. According to Polygon’s August 2025 update, only 2.17% of the old MATIC tokens remain unmigrated to POL.
Why it matters: Fewer tokens on exchanges reduce the risk of big sell-offs, which is good for price stability. However, since most tokens have already migrated, there’s less potential for new buying from that source. Historically, when exchange reserves fall, prices often rise, but sustained growth depends on continued demand.

3. Technical Rebound (Neutral Outlook)

POL’s RSI is at 45.77, recovering from oversold levels, and the MACD indicator has turned positive. The price is above the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) of $0.174 but faces resistance near the 30-day SMA at $0.18892.
Why it matters: Traders may be buying due to oversold conditions, but the key level to watch is $0.189. If POL closes above this, it could aim for $0.20. If it fails, the price might drop back to support around $0.165.

Conclusion

Polygon’s small gain over the past day reflects stronger fundamentals in DeFi and payments, reduced token supply on exchanges, and some technical momentum. However, overall market caution remains, with the Crypto Fear & Greed Index at 31 and POL down 32.66% over the last 60 days.
Key point to watch: Can POL break above the $0.188–$0.19 range to confirm a trend reversal?

{{technical_analysis_coin_candle_chart}}