Why did the price of VET fall?

VeChain (VET) dropped 7.57% in the last 24 hours, falling more than the overall crypto market, which declined by 2.62%. This adds to a 6.11% loss over the past week, even though it showed a slight gain of 0.087% over the last 30 days. The main reasons for this drop are:

1. Technical breakdown – VET fell below important price support levels, showing bearish momentum.
2. Market-wide pressure – Altcoins like VET faced selling pressure as Bitcoin gained dominance.
3. Weak sentiment – Low social media activity and more traders betting against VET increased the losses.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)

Overview: On the 4-hour chart, VET broke below a key support level at $0.011, which was part of a symmetrical triangle pattern. This caused more selling. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 36.28, close to oversold levels, but this didn’t stop the price from falling, showing weak buying interest.
What this means: Breaking this support ended the previous period of price stability and triggered automatic sell orders. VET is now trading below important moving averages, like the 7-day simple moving average at $0.0117, which suggests limited support until it reaches around $0.0102.
What to watch: If VET closes above $0.0113 on a daily basis, it might see some short-term relief. However, a stronger recovery would require it to rise above $0.0115 and hold there.

2. Market-Wide Altcoin Pressure (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Altcoins, including VET, underperformed compared to Bitcoin. The Altcoin Season Index, which measures how well altcoins are doing relative to Bitcoin, dropped to 28 (neutral) from 78 in September 2025. Bitcoin’s dominance increased to 59.1%, meaning more investment is flowing into Bitcoin and away from mid-sized coins like VET.
What this means: Because VET tends to move more sharply with Bitcoin, it is more vulnerable when investors shift to safer assets like Bitcoin. VET’s 7.57% drop in 24 hours was much larger than the overall market’s 2.62% decline, showing it’s more sensitive to changes in market liquidity.
What to watch: If Bitcoin’s dominance falls below 58.5%, it could reduce selling pressure on altcoins like VET.

3. Sentiment & Positioning (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Social media activity around VET dropped 38% week-over-week, according to CryptoQuant. Funding rates for VET futures turned negative (-0.00058544%), indicating more traders are betting on the price to fall.
What this means: Lower social engagement means fewer buyers stepping in naturally, while negative funding rates encourage momentum selling. Without new positive news (the last major update was Kraken listing VET on January 2), interest has cooled off.
What to watch: Look for changes in open interest and social media mentions, especially related to VeBetterDAO updates or news about enterprise adoption of VeChain.

Conclusion

VET’s recent decline is driven by a mix of technical selling, broader market pressure on altcoins, and weak investor sentiment. These factors outweighed the neutral RSI and gains from the Kraken listing. Key point to watch: Can VET hold the $0.0102 support level if Bitcoin remains volatile during Tuesday’s U.S. trading session?

{{technical_analysis_coin_candle_chart}}

What could affect the price of VET?

VeChain’s price is at a turning point, influenced by technology upgrades and growing real-world use.

1. Tokenomics Changes – The Hayabusa upgrade shifts rewards to those who stake VET and lowers VTHO token inflation. This may cause short-term price dips but could be positive in the long run.
2. Business Partnerships – Deals with companies like Walmart and BMW, plus EU digital passport projects, could increase demand for VeChain over the next 6 to 18 months.
3. Regulatory Compliance – Meeting EU rules (MiCA) and SEC-approved staking options reduce legal risks, making VeChain more attractive to big investors.

In-Depth Look

1. Tokenomics Shift to Staking (Mixed Effects)

What happened: In December, VeChain’s Hayabusa upgrade changed how VTHO tokens are earned. Instead of getting VTHO passively, users now earn rewards by actively staking VET tokens. Unclaimed rewards are burned, which cut VTHO inflation by 73% (CoinMarketCap). The $15 million StarGate program encourages locking up VET, with 7.1 billion VET staked as of January 2026.
What it means: Less selling pressure from idle VTHO could help stabilize prices. However, some investors sold off after the upgrade, causing an 8.4% drop in VET price. Higher staking rewards (up to 10% APY) might attract investors looking for steady returns if network activity grows.

2. Growing Real-World Use Cases (Positive Outlook)

What happened: VeChain is working with big names like Franklin Templeton (managing $1.6 trillion in assets) and is involved in the EU Digital Product Passport initiative. This positions VeChain as a key player in supply chain transparency and sustainability. Daily active users increased 12% year-over-year to 14.3 million (OGAudit).
What it means: These partnerships could create steady demand for VET beyond just trading speculation. But keep in mind, big companies like BMW took about 18 months to fully integrate VeChain’s technology and show results on the blockchain.

3. Cross-Chain Liquidity Challenges (Potential Risk)

What happened: VeChain’s Wanchain bridge connects it to over 40 other blockchains, but competitors like Chainlink and Polkadot lead in cross-chain technology. VeChain’s total value locked (TVL) is low at $2.33 million compared to Solana’s $1.4 billion, which could limit liquidity and use (Decrypt).
What it means: Without stronger integration into decentralized finance (DeFi), VET risks being seen as a “utility token without utility.” The upcoming 2026 Intergalactic upgrade, which will add Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatibility, could change this.

Conclusion

VeChain’s future price depends on whether staking rewards and enterprise partnerships can overcome its current low retail interest. The 2026 Intergalactic upgrade and the enforcement of EU’s MiCA regulations in Q2 2026 are key events to watch.

Key metric to watch: VTHO burn rate – if it stays above 100 million tokens burned per day (currently 103,000), it could lead to a supply shortage and push prices higher.

What are people saying about VET?

VeChain's community is buzzing with a mix of cautious optimism and patience. Here's what's trending right now:

1. Traders are discussing falling wedge patterns and testing support around $0.009.
2. Some believe in accumulating VeChain at these levels, while others warn of bearish technical breakdowns.
3. Big business partnerships and real-world use cases keep long-term confidence strong.
4. The idea that "real-world utility beats speculation" is gaining momentum.

Deep Dive

1. @lady_Danilly: Bearish triangle breakdown

"$VET lost support below symmetrical triangle – weakening bullish momentum. Continuation requires reclaiming resistance."
– @lady_Danilly (844 followers · Jan 19, 2026, 07:37 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a bearish sign for VeChain. When prices break down from a consolidation pattern like a triangle, it often leads to further declines. If buyers don’t push the price back above $0.011, selling pressure could increase in the short term.

2. @crypto_nuclear: Support accumulation call

"Buy back gradually from this support block targeting 15%+ gains. $VETUSDT"
– @crypto_nuclear (2,985 followers · Jan 14, 2026, 02:09 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a positive outlook for VeChain. Traders see the $0.009 to $0.010 range as a strong support zone where buying interest is high. They expect the price to bounce back from these oversold levels, aiming for gains above 15%.

3. @OGAudit: Enterprise adoption metrics

"14.3M addresses, 144M+ transactions. VeChain's real-world utility anchors $890M market cap despite price weakness."
– @OGAudit (22,645 followers · Dec 24, 2025, 12:28 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a neutral point for VeChain. The growing number of users and transactions shows the platform is being used in real life. However, this hasn’t yet led to a price increase, likely due to broader market challenges.

4. @vechainofficial: Utility over speculation

"Speculation isn't a use case. 5M+ VeBetterDAO users prove real adoption > hype cycles. $VET"
– @vechainofficial (626,633 followers · Nov 17, 2025, 13:25 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a long-term positive for VeChain. The platform’s partnerships with major companies like Walmart and BMW, along with over 43 million on-chain activities, show real-world value beyond just price speculation.

Conclusion

The outlook for VeChain is mixed. Technical charts show some bearish signals, but strong real-world use and growing enterprise adoption provide a solid foundation. Traders are closely watching the $0.009 to $0.011 price range for signs of a breakout. Weekly closes above $0.012 or below $0.009 will be key to understanding the next direction.

What is the latest news about VET?

VeChain news shows cautious optimism, with experts watching important price levels and long-term growth potential. Here are the key updates:

1. Market Cap at a Critical Point (January 18, 2026) – Technical analysis points to VeChain’s $1 billion market cap as a crucial support level.
2. Kraken Exchange Adds VET Trading Pairs (January 7, 2026) – VET/USD and VET/EUR pairs now available on Kraken.
3. Real-World Partnerships and Staking Launch (May 3, 2025) – Collaborations with UFC and 4ocean, plus a $15 million staking pool introduced.

In-Depth Look

1. Market Cap at a Critical Point (January 18, 2026)

Summary: Crypto analyst VuoriTrading points out that VeChain’s market cap is holding steady at $1 billion, which is a key support level. If it bounces back, there’s potential for a 15x increase to $15 billion. But if it falls below this level, it could drop as much as 80%, down to $200 million. This shows VeChain’s price is quite volatile right now.
What it means: This is a neutral signal for VeChain. It means there’s a chance for big gains but also significant risk. Investors should watch the $1 billion mark closely to see which way the price moves.
(Vuori Trading)

2. Kraken Exchange Adds VET Trading Pairs (January 7, 2026)

Summary: Kraken, a major cryptocurrency exchange, has added trading pairs for VeChain against the US dollar and the euro. This makes it easier for both big investors and everyday traders to buy and sell VET. Kraken highlighted VeChain’s focus on real-world applications in their announcement.
What it means: This is positive news for VeChain. More trading options can increase liquidity (how easily VET can be bought or sold) and attract new investors, especially as the overall market recovers.
(CoinMarketCap)

3. Real-World Partnerships and Staking Launch (May 3, 2025)

Summary: VeChain has teamed up with UFC president Dana White and the environmental group 4ocean. They also launched a $15 million staking pool for VTHO tokens. These efforts combine marketing, environmental science, and token rewards to encourage sustainable actions.
What it means: This is good news for VeChain’s long-term value. Partnerships with well-known organizations help increase VeChain’s real-world use, although it may take time before these efforts affect the price.
(CoinMarketCap)

Conclusion

VeChain is at a crossroads, balancing uncertain price movements with steady progress in business partnerships and exchange support. If market confidence improves, these developments could help VeChain recover and grow. The big question remains: how soon will real-world adoption lead to more activity on VeChain’s blockchain?

What is expected in the development of VET?

VeChain is making important progress with these key updates:

1. Intergalactic Phase (2026) – This final stage will enable VeChain to work smoothly with other blockchains and fully support Ethereum-based applications.
2. Hayabusa Post-Upgrade Optimization (Q1 2026) – After the mainnet upgrade, efforts will focus on improving staking and validator performance.

Deep Dive

1. Intergalactic Phase (2026)

Overview:
The Intergalactic phase wraps up VeChain's Renaissance roadmap by introducing cross-chain compatibility through JSON-RPC integration and full Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) support. This means developers can easily move Ethereum-based decentralized apps (dApps) to VeChainThor, and users can transfer assets between VeChain and other blockchains like Bitcoin and Solana. The goal is to attract more developers by making it simpler to build applications that work across multiple blockchains.

What this means:
This is a positive development for VeChain (VET) because it could bring in new developers and increase the network’s usefulness, which may boost demand for VET. However, technical challenges or delays could slow down progress, causing some short-term uncertainty.

2. Hayabusa Post-Upgrade Optimization (Q1 2026)

Overview:
After the Hayabusa mainnet launch in December 2025, which switched VeChain to a Delegated Proof-of-Stake (DPoS) system, the focus will shift to fine-tuning how validators operate and how staking rewards are distributed. This includes improving how VTHO rewards are managed, making nodes more efficient, and enhancing delegation tools in the StarGate 2.0 update.

What this means:
This update is neutral for VET’s price because better staking features might encourage more users to participate, but if annual percentage yields (APY) stay low or validator control becomes too centralized, the impact could be limited. Watching metrics like active validators and VTHO usage will help measure success.

Conclusion

VeChain’s main goals for 2026 are to improve cross-chain compatibility and refine staking processes, aiming to increase developer engagement and network efficiency. The key question is how quickly these cross-chain features will lead to real growth on the VeChain network.

What updates are there in the VET code base?

VeChain recently upgraded its technology to improve decentralization, staking options, and the ability to work across different blockchain networks.

1. Hayabusa Mainnet (Dec 2025) – Switched to a Delegated Proof-of-Stake system, ending automatic VTHO rewards just for holding VET.
2. Wanchain Bridge (Jul 2025) – Created a connection allowing VeChain to interact with over 40 other blockchains.
3. StarGate 2.0 (Dec 2025) – Introduced NFT-based staking with different reward levels based on participation.

Deep Dive

1. Hayabusa Mainnet (Dec 2025)

Overview: VeChain moved from a Proof-of-Authority system, where a few trusted nodes validated transactions, to Delegated Proof-of-Stake (DPoS). Now, validators must lock up 25 million VET tokens to participate, and regular users can delegate their tokens to these validators to earn rewards. Holding VET no longer generates VTHO automatically.

What this means: This change is positive for VET because staking activity now controls the supply of VTHO tokens, which are used to pay transaction fees. Since all base fees are burned (removed from circulation), this creates a deflationary effect, potentially increasing VET’s value. Active stakers earn higher annual percentage yields (APYs), while those who simply hold VET without staking no longer receive rewards. (Source)

2. Wanchain Bridge Integration (Jul 2025)

Overview: VeChain partnered with Wanchain to build a decentralized bridge that connects VeChain with popular blockchains like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, among others.

What this means: This development is neutral for VET’s price but important for expanding its ecosystem. It allows assets like BTC and ETH to move into VeChain’s network, opening up more opportunities for decentralized finance (DeFi) and liquidity. However, it also means more competition from other blockchains. The real impact depends on how many developers and users adopt these new capabilities. (Source)

3. StarGate 2.0 Staking (Dec 2025)

Overview: VeChain introduced Delegator NFTs to make staking easier and more accessible. There are different staking levels requiring between 10,000 and 15.6 million VET, supported by a $15 million VTHO reward pool.

What this means: This is good news for VET holders, especially smaller investors, because it lowers the barrier to participate in staking and rewards. Early participants received higher APYs during a six-month incentive period designed to encourage network engagement. (Source)

Conclusion

VeChain’s recent upgrades focus on making the network more decentralized, improving its ability to connect with other blockchains, and creating sustainable token economics. The move to Delegated Proof-of-Stake with Hayabusa and the revamped staking system with StarGate show VeChain is building infrastructure suitable for larger, institutional users. With cross-chain functionality now live through Wanchain, the big question is whether enterprise adoption will pick up speed in 2026’s so-called Intergalactic phase.