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Why did the price of KAIA fall?

Kaia (KAIA) dropped 2.48% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell 1.65%. This continues a downward trend over the past week (-5.70%) and month (-29.14%). The main reasons are:

  1. Regulatory Concerns – South Korea’s proposed rules on stablecoins have created uncertainty.
  2. Technical Weakness – KAIA’s price fell below important support levels around $0.106.
  3. Market Risk-Off Sentiment – The Crypto Fear & Greed Index is at 24 (Extreme Fear), leading investors to prefer Bitcoin over other coins.

Deep Dive

1. Regulatory Risks (Negative Impact)

Overview:
South Korea’s central bank plans to restrict stablecoin issuance to licensed banks starting November 1, 2025. This conflicts with Kaia’s plans to develop stablecoins (Bank of Korea). Sangmin Seo, Chair of the Kaia DLT Foundation, called this move “illogical,” but the market reacted with caution.

What this means:
Kaia’s partnerships with Tether and its plans for Asian stablecoins like KRW1 face increased regulatory hurdles. Investors worry that delays in adoption could reduce the usefulness of the Kaia network and put pressure on KAIA’s token model, which relies on token burning.

What to watch:
Keep an eye on the progress of South Korea’s Digital Asset Basic Act, expected in early 2026, and how Kaia responds through lobbying.

2. Technical Weakness (Bearish Momentum)

Overview:
KAIA’s price fell below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.106 and is trading under its 30-day simple moving average (SMA) of about $0.104, currently around $0.0988. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 44.21, indicating downward momentum but not yet oversold.

What this means:
Traders sold off after KAIA failed to hold above the $0.10 level. Data from KaiaScan shows large holders (whales) have reduced their positions by 3.2% since the October 28 upgrade (v2.1.0).

Key level:
If KAIA closes below $0.095, which was a low point in July 2025, it could trigger a wave of forced selling.

3. Altcoin Liquidation Spillover (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Across the crypto market, derivatives open interest dropped 10.88% in 24 hours (Nov 8–9), with altcoins like KAIA hit harder. KAIA’s turnover ratio of 0.102 indicates low liquidity, which made price drops more severe.

What this means:
Traders are closing leveraged positions due to increased macroeconomic risks, such as U.S.-China trade tensions and outflows from crypto ETFs. KAIA’s 24-hour trading volume fell 23.3% to $62.3 million, showing less speculative activity.

Conclusion

Kaia’s recent price drop reflects regulatory challenges to its stablecoin plans, technical breakdowns, and a cautious market that currently favors Bitcoin, which holds 59.4% of the market dominance. While the recent infrastructure upgrade (v2.1.0) aims to improve long-term performance, short-term price movement depends heavily on regulatory developments and Bitcoin’s direction.

Key watch: Will KAIA maintain support at $0.095, or will growing market fear lead to a sharp sell-off?


What could affect the price of KAIA?

Kaia’s price depends on how widely stablecoins are used, changes in regulations, and improvements to its network.

  1. Stablecoin growth – Adding USDT support increases usefulness but faces regulatory challenges
  2. MEV & Gas Abstraction – Technical updates could attract more validators and users
  3. Asian regulations – South Korea’s stablecoin law creates both risks and opportunities

Deep Dive

1. Stablecoin Network Growth (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Kaia has integrated USDT on platforms like Binance, Bitkub, and LINE Messenger, which has over 250 million users in Asia. This positions Kaia as a key player in the region’s stablecoin market. Events like the Korea Stablecoin Hackathon, offering ₩100 million in prizes, and Flipster’s 127% APR USDT campaign are designed to boost adoption. However, South Korea is considering a ban on stablecoin issuers that aren’t banks (Bank of Korea), which could slow progress.

What this means: If adoption grows, transaction volume and KAIA token burns (from gas fees) could increase, supporting the price. But strict regulations might hold back growth. The 28% price drop since August 2025 reflects this uncertainty.

2. MEV Auctions & Gas Abstraction (Bullish Impact)

Overview: The recent v2.1.0 upgrade added MEV auctions (KIP-249), allowing validators to earn extra by ordering transactions efficiently. Gas Abstraction lets users pay fees in stablecoins instead of KAIA, which reduces the need to sell KAIA tokens for gas payments.

What this means: MEV auctions could encourage more validators to stake KAIA, strengthening the network. Paying gas fees in stablecoins might help balance demand for KAIA tokens. The 30-day RSI at 41.56 indicates there’s potential for price gains if these upgrades catch on.

3. Regulatory Battles in Asia (Bearish Risk)

Overview: South Korea wants to restrict stablecoin issuance to banks, which conflicts with Kaia’s partnerships with KakaoPay and LINE. While Japan’s Blockchain Association membership offers some support, U.S. SEC scrutiny of Asian stablecoins (Coindesk JP) adds uncertainty.

What this means: Tough regulations could disrupt Kaia’s growth plans. However, Chair Sangmin Seo is advocating for more inclusive policies (Bitget), which might reduce negative impacts.

Conclusion

Kaia’s price will likely fluctuate based on how well it can grow stablecoin usage while managing regulatory challenges in Asia. The 33.58% drop over 90 days shows these pressures, but a 24-hour trading volume of 0.108 indicates there’s still active interest. Watch for key stablecoin policy decisions in Seoul and Tokyo during Q4 2025 to see how Kaia’s future shapes up.


What are people saying about KAIA?

Kaia’s community is excited about recent price gains and growth in its ecosystem but remains cautious about possible market pullbacks. Here’s what’s happening:

  1. A breakout above $0.18 has traders feeling optimistic
  2. New stablecoin payment options are boosting real-world use cases
  3. Large investors (whales) accumulating Kaia hint at a potential supply squeeze

In-Depth Look

1. Binance Listing and Network Upgrade Boost Confidence

@genius_sirenBSC reports:
“$KAIA rose 14.9% as whales bought in after the network upgrade increased speed to over 4,000 transactions per second (TPS). The price reclaimed the $0.18 level on strong trading volume.”
See original post
What this means: This is positive news for Kaia. Improvements to the network’s speed and its listing on Binance make it more attractive to both traders and long-term investors. The fact that whales are buying shows strong confidence.

2. Visa Tap-to-Pay Integration Expands Use Cases

@KaiaChain shares:
“Partnered with Oobit to enable Visa Web3 payments using USDT and KAIA in South Korea, Thailand, and the Philippines through Klip and Kaia Wallet.”
See original post
What this means: This is a big step for Kaia. Integrating with Visa and supporting local stablecoins like the Korean won (KRW) and Indonesian rupiah (IDR) could increase everyday transactions among over 250 million users of popular messaging apps LINE and KakaoTalk in Asia.

3. Technical Indicators Signal Possible Short-Term Pullback

@lilbratel3na warns:
“KAIA’s 15-minute Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 79.17, indicating the asset may be overbought. There’s a risk of a 40% price drop if support at $0.157 breaks.”
See original post
What this means: In the short term, the price might pull back because technical signals show the market is overheated. However, the long-term outlook remains positive based on fundamentals.

Conclusion

The outlook for KAIA is mixed. On one hand, strong infrastructure upgrades and payment partnerships support growth. On the other, technical indicators suggest the price may need to cool off before moving higher. Traders are watching the KAIA/USDT liquidity on Binance closely—if daily trading volume falls below $50 million, some profit-taking could occur. But if volume stays strong, it could confirm Kaia’s role as a key stablecoin platform in Asia.


What is the latest news about KAIA?

Kaia is making progress in expanding its stablecoin infrastructure and technical features while navigating regulatory challenges. Here are the key updates:

  1. KRW1 Stablecoin Faces Regulatory Challenges (November 1, 2025) – South Korea’s central bank wants to limit won-backed stablecoins to banks, which conflicts with Kaia’s decentralized approach.
  2. Kaia v2.1.0 Launches MEV Auctions (October 28, 2025) – A protocol upgrade improves auction efficiency and storage without needing a major network update.
  3. Binance Completes USDT Integration (October 23, 2025) – Users can now deposit and withdraw Tether directly on Kaia, increasing liquidity.

In-Depth Look

1. KRW1 Stablecoin Faces Regulatory Challenges (November 1, 2025)

Overview:
South Korean custodian BDACS plans to launch the KRW1 stablecoin on Circle’s Arc blockchain testnet, which is part of Kaia’s growing stablecoin ecosystem. However, the Bank of Korea (BOK) wants only banks to issue these stablecoins to meet anti-money laundering (AML) rules. This stance has drawn criticism from Sangmin Seo, Chair of the Kaia DLT Foundation, who supports more inclusive regulations.

What this means:
This situation highlights the ongoing tension between traditional regulatory control and decentralized innovation. While KRW1 could help Kaia expand its role in cross-border payments, strict rules may slow down the ecosystem’s growth. (Bitget)

2. Kaia v2.1.0 Launches MEV Auctions (October 28, 2025)

Overview:
The Kaia v2.1.0 update introduces support for MEV Auctions (KIP-249), allowing outside auctioneers to bid for block space through websocket connections. It also improves storage efficiency with LevelDB compression and adds an experimental FlatTrie feature for archive nodes, boosting scalability.

What this means:
By formalizing MEV auctions, Kaia aims to make block-building more open and reduce risks of validator centralization. The storage improvements could lower costs for running nodes, encouraging more participants to join the network. (Binance)

3. Binance Completes USDT Integration (October 23, 2025)

Overview:
Binance has completed integrating Tether (USDT) on Kaia, enabling users to deposit and withdraw USDT directly. This move supports Kaia’s goal of embedding stablecoins into payment solutions focused on Asia.

What this means:
Easier access to USDT increases liquidity for Kaia-based decentralized finance (DeFi) and payment applications. This aligns with Kaia’s strategy to connect Web3 technologies with traditional finance. More exchange support could also boost KAIA’s use as a gas token. (Binance)

Conclusion

Kaia is making strong technical advances with its v2.1.0 update and expanding its ecosystem through USDT integration. However, regulatory challenges in South Korea, especially around the KRW1 stablecoin, remain a hurdle. How Kaia balances innovation with compliance will shape its future in Asia’s stablecoin market. Will clearer regulations unlock wider institutional use, or will restrictions slow Kaia’s growth?


What is expected in the development of KAIA?

Kaia’s roadmap is centered on improving technology, growing its ecosystem, and increasing the use of stablecoins.

  1. Epoch #2 Rewards Distribution (November 28, 2025) – The final phase for claiming $KAIA and other token rewards through the Kaia Portal.
  2. DeFi Money Legos Launch (Q4 2025) – Introduction of new DeFi tools like liquidity staking tokens (LSTs), lending options, and yield strategies to increase $KAIA’s usefulness.
  3. Stablecoin Infrastructure Growth (Ongoing) – Expanding partnerships to boost USDT adoption in Asia, including collaborations with LINE and various exchanges.

In-Depth Look

1. Epoch #2 Rewards Distribution (November 28, 2025)

Overview:
Epoch #2 ended on August 13, 2025, distributing 5 million $KAIA and $1.1 million in ecosystem tokens. Rewards are released in three parts: 30%, 30%, and the final 40%, which can be claimed until November 28, 2025. This phased approach encourages holders to stay engaged and maintain liquidity over time.

What this means:
This method helps prevent sudden selling pressure on $KAIA since rewards are spread out. The delayed claims might show strong confidence from holders or reduce short-term liquidity risks.

2. DeFi Money Legos Launch (Q4 2025)

Overview:
Kaia is set to roll out new decentralized finance (DeFi) features such as liquidity staking tokens (LSTs), lending and borrowing platforms, and strategies to earn yields. These “money legos” are designed to create a cycle where stablecoin use increases demand for $KAIA as both collateral and a governance token (Kaia tweet).

What this means:
If these features gain traction, it’s a positive sign for $KAIA because it ties the token’s value to active DeFi use. However, there are challenges, including competition from other established DeFi platforms and the need for stablecoin adoption to grow.

3. Stablecoin Infrastructure Growth (Ongoing)

Overview:
Kaia is working to integrate USDT stablecoins into everyday use cases, like digital ATMs in South Korea and Visa-powered tap-to-pay services through Oobit. Partnerships with Flipster and Bitrue are aimed at increasing liquidity and enabling easier cross-border money transfers (Flipster collaboration).

What this means:
This is promising for wider adoption but depends heavily on clear regulations in Asia. If successful, Kaia could become a key player in Asia’s stablecoin market, though risks like U.S. dollar fluctuations remain.

Conclusion

Kaia’s upcoming plans balance technical improvements (like the v2.1.0 MEV auctions) with incentives for its community and expanding stablecoin infrastructure. Key indicators to watch include growth in DeFi total value locked (TVL) after Epoch #2 and the volume of USDT transactions. The big question is whether Kaia’s connection to over 250 million LINE users will help it become a leader in stablecoin use.


What updates are there in the KAIA code base?

Kaia’s latest software update improved its system with MEV auctions and storage enhancements.

  1. MEV Auction Support (October 28, 2025) – Validators can now bid to prioritize transaction order, opening new ways to earn rewards.
  2. Storage & API Upgrades (October 28, 2025) – Reduced storage needs by 2 terabytes and sped up node synchronization.
  3. RPC Stability Boost (October 28, 2025) – Made developer tools more reliable with fewer interruptions.

Deep Dive

1. MEV Auction Support (October 28, 2025)

What’s new? Kaia introduced MEV (Maximal Extractable Value) auctions through KIP-249. This lets validators compete by bidding for the chance to decide the order of transactions on the network. External auctioneers can send winning bids securely using WebSocket connections.

This update helps capture MEV in a way that keeps the network decentralized. Validators get new ways to earn money, and users may see better transaction pricing. Node operators need to enable WebSocket and adjust firewall settings for security.

Why it matters: This is positive for KAIA because it attracts validators looking for higher rewards, which can strengthen network security. However, if MEV isn’t managed carefully, it could lead to unfair transaction ordering or frontrunning. (Source)

2. Storage & API Upgrades (October 28, 2025)

What’s new? The update (version 2.1.0) added support for RocksDB and improved LevelDB compression, cutting archive node storage needs by up to 2 terabytes.

A new experimental feature called FlatTrie speeds up syncing archive nodes but requires a full resync and disables some functions like eth_getProof. Full nodes now use snappy compression by default to save disk space.

Why it matters: This change is neutral for KAIA overall. It makes infrastructure more efficient, which helps node operators, but the trade-offs with FlatTrie may slow its adoption. End users benefit indirectly through faster app responses. (Source)

3. RPC Stability Boost (October 28, 2025)

What’s new? The update improved RPC (Remote Procedure Call) reliability, reducing downtime during busy periods. This is important for wallets and blockchain explorers that rely on stable connections.

Improvements include better handling of block parameters (supporting “safe” and “finalized” tags) and fixes for gas estimation under EIP-7623.

Why it matters: This is a positive update for KAIA because more reliable RPC services build developer confidence and support ecosystem growth. Traders also benefit from fewer API-related price errors. (Source)

Conclusion

Kaia’s October updates focus on scaling infrastructure and improving validator incentives, fitting well with its stablecoin goals in Asia. MEV auctions introduce new earning opportunities, while storage improvements make running nodes easier. It will be interesting to see how MEV affects Kaia’s transaction fees in the coming months.