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Why did the price of KAIA fall?

Kaia (KAIA) dropped 1.78% in the last 24 hours, performing worse than the overall crypto market, which fell 1.13%. This decline is due to technical weaknesses, poor user retention on the network, and a lackluster response to recent system upgrades.

  1. Technical Breakdown – Price fell below important moving averages, and the RSI indicator shows the coin is oversold.
  2. User Retention Crisis – Only 1.75% of users from April remained active by June, raising concerns about the network’s usefulness.
  3. Stablecoin Fatigue – New USDT (Tether) features didn’t lead to sustained demand.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)

Overview: KAIA is currently trading at $0.0574, which is below its 7-day average price of $0.0595 and 30-day average of $0.0735. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) over 7 days is 25.25, indicating the coin is heavily oversold—the lowest since September 2025. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator turned negative on December 23, confirming downward momentum.

What this means: The price falling below $0.06 suggests that the rally driven by "stablecoin infrastructure" in October has lost steam. Since there is no strong support until $0.0537 (the low from December), automated trading systems likely triggered stop-loss orders, making the price drop even sharper.

2. Retention Collapse (Bearish Impact)

Overview: Although 17 million new users joined in April, weekly transactions dropped by 91% to 4.5 million by June (Outset PR). Only 1.75% of users remained active after 90 days.

What this means: This data challenges Kaia’s claim of having a "250 million user pipeline" from partnerships with KakaoTalk and LINE. The market now sees that most activity was driven by short-term campaigns, not genuine, ongoing user engagement.

3. Stablecoin Momentum Fades (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Kaia recently allowed USDT withdrawals at Korean ATMs and partnered with Flipster, which offered high-yield promotions (127% APR). However, the stablecoin supply only grew 7% month-over-month, compared to 45% growth in August.

What this means: The initial excitement about Kaia becoming "Asia’s stablecoin layer" has diminished. The 24-hour trading volume for KAIA/USDT is $9.08 million, which is just 2.55% of Kaia’s market cap. This low liquidity makes price drops more severe.

Conclusion

Kaia’s recent price decline is driven by both technical factors and fundamental issues like poor user retention and weak stablecoin adoption. While recent upgrades such as MEV auctions (v2.1.0) show promise for the future, the market is waiting for clear signs of real user growth and activity.

Key watch: If the RSI-7 remains below 30 for more than 48 hours, history suggests KAIA could face further drops of 15-20%.


What could affect the price of KAIA?

Kaia’s price is caught between challenges with keeping users engaged and promising developments in its ecosystem.

  1. User Retention Issues – Nearly 98% of users stop using Kaia within three months, which could slow growth.
  2. Stablecoin Partnerships – Adding USDT and plans for a Korean won (KRW) stablecoin may increase Kaia’s usefulness.
  3. Network Improvements – New features like easier transaction payments and MEV auctions aim to make Kaia more attractive for decentralized finance (DeFi).

Deep Dive

1. User Retention Challenges (Negative Impact)

Overview:
Kaia’s weekly transactions dropped sharply from 53 million in April 2025 to just 4.5 million by June (Outset PR). Only about 1.75% of users from April stayed active by the third quarter. This decline is mostly due to short-term promotions rather than ongoing interest.

What this means:
When users leave quickly, it’s hard for the network to grow naturally. Without strong, lasting reasons for people to use Kaia, price increases may not last.

2. Stablecoin Partnerships (Positive Catalyst)

Overview:

What this means:
Using stablecoins like USDT can increase transaction activity and reduce the supply of KAIA tokens through fee burning (up to 1.2% of total supply burned yearly at peak use). Integrations with popular platforms like LINE and Kakao could also attract larger investors.

3. Network Upgrades & DeFi Growth (Mixed Impact)

Overview:

What this means:
These technical improvements make Kaia more scalable and user-friendly, but the platform still needs more valuable decentralized apps (dApps) to attract and keep users. Right now, much of the DeFi activity depends on token rewards, which may not be sustainable.

Conclusion

Kaia’s price recovery depends on turning its large potential user base (over 250 million from Kakao and LINE) into active, long-term users. This is a big challenge given current retention rates. Keep an eye on the launch of the KRW stablecoin and user retention data expected in early 2026 to see if Kaia can build real, lasting demand. The question remains: can Kaia’s technology upgrades overcome skepticism about chains that rely heavily on short-term campaigns?


What are people saying about KAIA?

The Kaia community is feeling a mix of hopeful excitement and cautious doubt. Here’s what’s making waves right now:

  1. DeFi integration buzz – LighthouseOne’s support of over $2 billion in assets boosts confidence in Kaia’s ecosystem 🚀
  2. More ways to use the token – Yapper rewards and partnerships with stablecoins are encouraging more user activity 📈
  3. Technical debate – Traders are split on whether the $0.17 price level is a launchpad or a risk zone 📉
  4. Regulatory boost – Abu Dhabi’s approval of USDT on Kaia signals growing institutional trust 🌐

In-Depth Look

1. @pukerrainbrow: LighthouseOne DeFi Integration – Positive

"Top teams already using it to manage $2bn+ [...] Why aim for ‘Make Kaia Great Again’ when Kaia keeps getting greater?"
– @pukerrainbrow (80.7K followers · 12K+ impressions · Sept 16, 2025)
See original post
What this means: The partnership with LighthouseOne, a professional portfolio management tool, could bring more serious investors and liquidity into Kaia’s network. However, we don’t yet have clear data on how widely it’s being adopted.

2. @KaiaChain: Yapper Leaderboard Rewards – Neutral

Phase 2 handed out over $300,000 in KAIA tokens to content creators, plus exclusive NFTs for top performers.
– @KaiaChain (Official account · Aug 13, 2025)
See announcement
What this means: This rewards program encourages community participation, but smaller rewards for lower ranks (around $5.74 worth of KAIA) may have limited impact on increasing overall token demand.

3. Genius_SirenBSC: Technical Breakout Debate – Mixed

"Decisive reclaim of $0.18 pivot [...] whales scooping up large KAIA stakes" vs. current price at $0.0574 (down 74.6% from June highs)
– @genius_sirenBSC (79.4K followers · June 20, 2025)
See analysis
What this means: Early optimism about upgrades and liquidity improvements has been challenged by a sharp 62.9% price drop over 90 days, raising questions about whether big investors are truly accumulating or selling off.

4. ADGM: Regulatory Milestone – Positive

In December 2025, Abu Dhabi approved the use of USDT on Kaia, allowing licensed companies to offer regulated stablecoin services on the chain.
What this means: This approval could help Kaia connect Middle Eastern financial institutions with Asia’s large user base on platforms like LINE and KakaoTalk. However, the timeline for real-world use is still uncertain.

Conclusion

The overall view on KAIA is cautiously mixed. Infrastructure improvements and regulatory support from Abu Dhabi point to long-term potential. But the recent price drop (down nearly 63% in Q4) and fading retail interest highlight risks in execution. Keep an eye on the KAIA/USDT trading pair on Binance—which accounts for 44% of trading volume—to see if big investors start buying again or continue selling. Kaia’s future depends on turning regulatory wins into steady, real-world activity on its blockchain.


What is the latest news about KAIA?

Kaia is working through challenges with user adoption and gaining regulatory approvals, while aiming to become the leading stablecoin platform in Asia.

  1. On-Chain Retention Issues (Dec 18, 2025) – Even with growing media buzz in South Korea, KAIA is having trouble keeping users active once incentive programs end.
  2. USDT Regulatory Approval (Dec 9, 2025) – Abu Dhabi has approved KAIA for Tether (USDT) transactions, opening doors for more institutional use.
  3. KRW Stablecoin Plans (Dec 5, 2025) – KakaoBank is planning a South Korean won-backed stablecoin, using KAIA’s network to support payments.

In-Depth Look

1. On-Chain Retention Issues (December 18, 2025)

Summary: South Korea generated 57 million crypto-related media visits in the second quarter of 2025, showing strong interest. However, KAIA’s actual blockchain activity dropped sharply by June — weekly transactions fell 91%, from 53 million in April to just 4.5 million. User retention also fell to only 1.75% within three months after incentive programs ended (CoinMarketCap).

What this means: While media attention is high, KAIA’s challenge is turning that interest into consistent, real-world use. This suggests that relying on short-term rewards isn’t enough. Developers may need to focus on building practical applications (dApps) that offer real value to users to keep them engaged long-term.

2. USDT Regulatory Approval (December 9, 2025)

Summary: The Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) of Abu Dhabi approved the use of USDT on KAIA and eight other blockchain networks. This allows licensed companies to provide stablecoin services within a regulated environment called a sandbox (Coin Edition).

What this means: This approval strengthens KAIA’s position as a platform for institutional decentralized finance (DeFi) and cross-border payments. However, KAIA will face competition from other blockchains like Ethereum and Solana, especially in regulated markets, so it will need to highlight its compliance and security features to stand out.

3. KRW Stablecoin Plans (December 5, 2025)

Summary: KakaoBank is working on a stablecoin pegged to the South Korean won, which could be integrated with KakaoTalk’s 53 million users. KAIA’s blockchain could handle the payment settlements, but the project faces regulatory challenges related to deposit interest rules (Coingeek).

What this means: If successful, KAIA could become the main platform for stablecoin payments in South Korea. However, the project may face delays as lawmakers debate whether stablecoins should be issued by private companies or banks.

Conclusion

KAIA is caught between strong media interest in South Korea and weak ongoing user activity on its blockchain. Meanwhile, regulatory approvals abroad show growing demand from institutions. The big question is whether Kakao’s stablecoin plans can help KAIA close the gap in everyday user adoption, or if retention problems will continue to hold it back.


What is expected in the development of KAIA?

Kaia is moving forward with key developments:

  1. DeFi Growth (Q1 2026) – Launching Liquid Staking Tokens (LSTs), lending and borrowing services, plus yield products to increase on-chain use.
  2. AlphaSec Upgrades (2026) – Adding margin trading and perpetual futures to Kaia’s decentralized exchange for institutional traders.
  3. Web3 Tap-to-Pay Launch (Q1 2026) – Introducing Visa-backed tap-to-pay using USDT and KAIA in Southeast Asia.

In-Depth Look

1. DeFi Growth (Q1 2026)

What’s happening: Early next year, Kaia will introduce Liquid Staking Tokens (LSTs), lending and borrowing options, and other DeFi products focused on earning yields. This aims to make stablecoins more useful and create a positive cycle that encourages more people to use $KAIA (KaiaChain).

Why it matters: This is good news for KAIA holders because these new financial tools could increase demand for the token, both as collateral and for voting on decisions. Success depends on offering competitive interest rates and smooth integration with Kaia’s Mini Dapp platform.

2. AlphaSec Upgrades (2026)

What’s happening: AlphaSec, Kaia’s decentralized exchange launched in December 2025, plans to add margin trading and perpetual futures. These features are designed to attract professional and institutional traders (AlphaSec Launch).

Why it matters: This is somewhat positive for KAIA. Advanced trading options could increase trading activity and fees, but the platform must ensure enough liquidity and strong risk controls to prevent common issues seen in leveraged DeFi trading.

3. Web3 Tap-to-Pay Launch (Q1 2026)

What’s happening: Kaia is partnering with Oobit to roll out Visa-supported tap-to-pay payments using USDT and KAIA tokens at physical stores in South Korea, Thailand, and the Philippines by early 2026 (KaiaChain).

Why it matters: This is promising for KAIA if it leads to real-world use, linking the token to everyday purchases. However, regulatory approval in these countries remains a key factor to watch.

Conclusion

Kaia’s roadmap focuses on expanding DeFi features and bringing crypto payments into the real world, supported by partnerships with LINE and KakaoTalk. After completing technical improvements like MEV auctions in October 2025, the big question is whether Kaia can turn its 250 million+ potential users into active participants on the blockchain.


What updates are there in the KAIA code base?

Kaia’s latest software update brings important improvements with MEV auctions and better storage management.

  1. MEV Auctions & Storage Upgrades (Oct 28, 2025) – Validators can now bid for transaction ordering, and node storage requirements dropped by 2 TB.
  2. RocksDB Integration (Oct 28, 2025) – Faster data processing to boost network speed.
  3. FlatTrie Database Experiment (Oct 28, 2025) – Archive nodes use 60% less disk space.

Deep Dive

1. MEV Auctions & Storage Upgrades (Oct 28, 2025)

Overview: Kaia version 2.1.0 introduced MEV (Maximal Extractable Value) auctions through KIP-249. This lets validators compete by bidding for the right to order transactions, potentially increasing their earnings. The update also added Snappy compression for LevelDB, reducing storage needs by up to 2 terabytes.

Node operators need to enable WebSocket RPCs to join auctions and manually compact their databases. Importantly, this update doesn’t require a hardfork, so it can be adopted smoothly without network disruptions.

What this means: This is a positive development for KAIA. MEV auctions could attract more validators looking for new revenue streams, while the reduced storage needs make running a node more accessible. (Source)

2. RocksDB Integration (Oct 28, 2025)

Overview: Kaia now supports RocksDB as an alternative database engine. This change improves read and write speeds, which is especially helpful for high-volume transactions like those involving stablecoins.

What this means: While this update doesn’t directly impact KAIA’s value, it gives developers more options and could improve the performance of decentralized apps (dApps) built on Kaia’s stablecoin platform. (Source)

3. FlatTrie Database Experiment (Oct 28, 2025)

Overview: The new FlatTrie database method reorganizes how account and contract data is stored. This reduces the storage needed for archive nodes from 1.6 terabytes down to 600 gigabytes.

What this means: This is good news for KAIA because it lowers the cost of running infrastructure for businesses and developers who rely on historical blockchain data. It supports Kaia’s mission to grow Asia’s stablecoin ecosystem efficiently. (Source)

Conclusion

Kaia’s recent updates focus on making the network more efficient and rewarding for validators, which is key for its stablecoin-centered growth plans. The introduction of MEV auctions could change how validators compete and earn in Asia’s fast-growing Web3 payment networks. How this will shape the future remains an exciting question.