Why did the price of BTC go up?

Bitcoin (BTC) increased by 2.35% in the last 24 hours, bouncing back from recent drops thanks to mixed technical signals and renewed interest from big investors.

1. Technical Support Holds – Bitcoin bounced near the $109,000 support level, with positive signs from on-chain data.
2. Institutional Buying – Less selling pressure and inflows into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs.
3. Corporate Adoption – A Japanese company rebranded to focus on building a Bitcoin treasury.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Rebound (Mixed Signals)

Overview: Bitcoin found a support level near $109,000, which lines up with important technical markers like the 100-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $112,200 and a key Fibonacci retracement level at $111,336. The MACD indicator shows some bearish momentum, but the RSI is neutral, meaning Bitcoin isn’t oversold.

What this means: Traders might see this rebound as a chance to buy, but Bitcoin still faces resistance between $112,000 and $114,000 (around the 50-day EMA). Closing above $112,000 would be a strong sign of upward momentum.

2. Institutional Activity (Positive Signs)

Overview: The 60-day Buy/Sell Pressure Delta has entered an “opportunity zone,” indicating less selling pressure (AMBCrypto). Although U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs had $903 million in outflows this week, their 24-hour trading volume jumped 28.24%, showing renewed interest from large investors.

What this means: Reduced selling from long-term holders and fewer large Bitcoin transfers suggest less downward pressure. The Coinbase Premium Index (0.041) points to strong buying activity in the U.S., which historically precedes price increases.

3. Corporate Adoption (Symbolic Move)

Overview: Marusho Hotta, a 164-year-old Japanese kimono maker, rebranded as “Bitcoin Japan” after Bakkt acquired a controlling stake. The company plans to build a Bitcoin treasury business (Cryptonews).

What this means: This rebranding reflects a growing trend of traditional companies exploring Bitcoin (like Metaplanet and MicroStrategy). However, without large Bitcoin purchases, the immediate impact on price is limited.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s recent bounce shows a mix of technical strength, less selling from big investors, and gradual corporate interest. While positive on-chain data and ETF trading volume suggest stability, resistance near $112,000 and ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties (like ETF outflows) limit further gains. Key point to watch: Will Bitcoin stay above $112,000 to confirm a trend reversal, or will declining volume bring back downward pressure?

What could affect the price of BTC?

Bitcoin’s price is balancing between growing interest from big investors and challenges from the broader economy.

1. ETF Withdrawals & Regulatory Changes – $1.7 billion pulled out from crypto ETFs shows short-term caution.
2. Whale Buying – Large Bitcoin holders (whales) have added 218,570 BTC since March, offsetting smaller investors selling.
3. Economic Factors – September’s inflation rate (2.9%) and Federal Reserve decisions could shift market sentiment.

Deep Dive

1. Institutional Demand vs. ETF Outflows (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Last week, Bitcoin ETFs saw $903 million withdrawn, ending a 10-week streak of inflows (TokenPost). Despite this, companies like Strive and Semler combined their Bitcoin holdings to create a $3.7 billion BTC treasury. In Japan, Marusho Hotta rebranded as “Bitcoin Japan” to focus on Bitcoin reserves (Cryptonews).

What this means: In the short term, some investors are taking profits and regulatory delays (like SEC reviews of ETFs) may limit price gains. However, long-term adoption by corporations and countries could help stabilize Bitcoin’s price.

2. Whale Accumulation & On-Chain Signals (Bullish)

Overview: Large Bitcoin holders with wallets containing between 10 and 10,000 BTC have added 218,570 BTC since March, now controlling 68% of all Bitcoin in circulation (Santiment). The Coinbase Premium Index (0.041) also shows strong buying from U.S. institutions (AMBCrypto).

What this means: Historically, when whales accumulate Bitcoin, it often leads to price rallies. However, some newer investors who bought after April have already taken $3.2 billion in profits, which could lead to selling pressure if they decide to exit.

3. Macroeconomic Triggers (Neutral/Bearish)

Overview: September’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) came in at 2.9%, keeping the Federal Reserve’s plans for interest rate cuts uncertain. Some analysts compare Bitcoin’s potential growth to Nvidia’s massive 1,000% rally but expect around 20% price corrections on the way to a $150,000 target (Cointelegraph).

What this means: If the Fed adopts a more cautious approach (dovish pivot), investors might take more risks, boosting Bitcoin. But if interest rates stay high for longer, institutional investments could slow down. Bitcoin’s recent buying and selling trends suggest it’s in a phase where accumulation is likely.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s future depends on whether big investors keep buying more than what’s sold due to economic pressures. Watch the $112,000 price level closely: breaking above it could push Bitcoin toward $120,000 or higher, while failing to hold it might lead to a drop to $109,000. The key question is whether ETF inflows will turn positive after the September inflation report or if profit-taking will continue to dominate.

What are people saying about BTC?

Bitcoin discussions are swinging between optimistic six-figure price predictions and warnings that the current bull market might be nearing its end. Here’s what’s trending:

1. Analysts debate whether Bitcoin will break out to $135K or drop back to $50K
2. Technical charts show a bullish pattern targeting $135K but caution about profit-taking
3. Broader economic risks and large Bitcoin holders’ moves keep price swings high

Deep Dive

1. @CryptoMobese: Elliott Wave Predicts $135K 🚀 bullish

“BTC’s Elliott Wave structure suggests first major target at $135K if $112.4K resistance breaks”
– @CryptoMobese (45K followers · 12K impressions · 2025-09-08 10:54 UTC)
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What this means: This is positive for Bitcoin because the Elliott Wave theory—a method used to predict market trends—indicates that if Bitcoin can surpass the $112.4K resistance level, institutional investors might push the price up by about 20%, aligning with Bitcoin’s strong market dominance.

2. @Burning_Forest: 2025 Peak $175K, 2027 Low $65K 🎢 mixed

“Happy to be proven wrong but I’ve been around long enough for realism”
– @Burning_Forest (23K followers · 8K impressions · 2025-07-25 17:50 UTC)
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What this means: This outlook is mixed for Bitcoin. It suggests a strong price peak near $175K in 2025 but also warns of a significant correction down to $65K by 2027. This reflects a cautious view that the current market cycle may be reaching maturity.

3. @WinghavenCrypto: Final Bull Market Stages? 🚨 bearish

“Massive bearish signs – this bull market is in its final stages”
– @WinghavenCrypto (18K followers · 6K impressions · 2025-09-06 08:51 UTC)
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What this means: This is a bearish perspective on Bitcoin. It points to weakening on-chain data (which tracks Bitcoin’s network activity) and compares the current situation to a 15% price drop seen earlier in 2025. However, it stops short of predicting the much larger crashes seen in past cycles.

Conclusion

Overall, opinions on Bitcoin’s near-term future are mixed. Technical analysts are optimistic about breaking above $135K, while broader economic signals suggest the market may be tiring. Institutional investment funds holding Bitcoin ETFs have about $147 billion in assets, and the 90-day MVRV ratio—a measure comparing market price to realized value—is at 2.3 (below the previous cycle peak of 3.7), indicating some room for growth. However, watch for signs of selling: last month, 382,000 BTC were moved onto exchanges, which could mean some investors are preparing to sell. Keep an eye on the $110.5K support level this week for clearer direction.

What is the latest news about BTC?

Bitcoin is navigating between growing corporate interest and some technical uncertainties. Here are the latest updates:

1. Marusho Hotta Rebrands as Bitcoin Japan (September 28, 2025) – A 164-year-old Japanese company shifts its focus to managing Bitcoin as part of its treasury.
2. Strive and Semler Merge to Manage 11,000 BTC Treasury (September 28, 2025) – Two companies combine their Bitcoin holdings, creating the largest corporate Bitcoin treasury.
3. Bitcoin Eyes a $120,000 Rebound (September 29, 2025) – On-chain data suggests Bitcoin could be gearing up for a price increase.

Deep Dive

1. Marusho Hotta Rebrands as Bitcoin Japan (September 28, 2025)

Overview:
Marusho Hotta, a traditional Japanese kimono maker with a history of 164 years and listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange since 1974, is changing its name to Bitcoin Japan. This follows Bakkt’s acquisition of a controlling stake in June. The company plans to start managing Bitcoin as part of its treasury and explore lending services involving Bitcoin. This move comes after a $2.7 million loss in the 2024 fiscal year and is similar to other companies like Kitabo, which recently bought $5.4 million worth of Bitcoin.

What this means:
This is a positive sign for Bitcoin’s adoption in Asia, especially among traditional businesses facing financial challenges. However, the company’s recent losses show there are risks involved in making this transition. (Cryptonews)

2. Strive and Semler Merge to Manage 11,000 BTC Treasury (September 28, 2025)

Overview:
Strive acquired Semler Scientific in a stock deal, creating the largest combined Bitcoin treasury with about 11,000 BTC. The goal is to simplify management and increase the value of Bitcoin holdings per share. This comes alongside Strive’s recent $675 million Bitcoin purchase.

What this means:
This shows that companies are becoming more strategic about holding Bitcoin, encouraging mergers to strengthen their positions. However, depending heavily on Bitcoin’s price stability could be risky if the market drops. (TokenPost)

3. Bitcoin Eyes a $120,000 Rebound (September 29, 2025)

Overview:
Analysts point to several positive signs:

• The difference between buying and selling pressure is moving into an “opportunity zone” (according to CryptoQuant).
• The Coinbase Premium Index is at +0.041, indicating strong demand from U.S. institutions.
• Fewer sending addresses suggest sellers are becoming exhausted.

What this means:
These signals suggest that large Bitcoin holders are accumulating more coins. However, Bitcoin needs to stay above $109,400 to avoid dropping back to $107,000. If it breaks above $112,000, it could gain new momentum. (AMBCrypto)

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s story is balancing between growing corporate adoption and ongoing technical challenges. While mergers and moves by established Japanese companies show increasing institutional interest, large outflows from Bitcoin ETFs and liquidations of leveraged positions highlight continued market volatility. As the fourth quarter begins, the question remains: can Bitcoin’s reputation as "digital gold" overcome these economic headwinds?

What is expected in the development of BTC?

Bitcoin’s development is moving forward with these key milestones:

1. Preparing for Quantum Computing Security (2026) – Improving Bitcoin’s defenses against future quantum computer threats.
2. Stacks’ Satoshi Upgrades (Q3 2025) – Launching trustless Bitcoin-backed DeFi through sBTC on the Stacks network.
3. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (2026) – U.S. federal plans to create a Bitcoin treasury reserve for public funds.

Deep Dive

1. Preparing for Quantum Computing Security (2026)

Overview: Bitcoin’s developers are researching new cryptographic methods to protect the network from the potential risks posed by quantum computers. These advanced computers could one day break current security systems. The focus is on techniques like lattice-based cryptography and combining them with Bitcoin’s existing features like Schnorr signatures and Taproot upgrades (Bitfinity).

What this means: In the short term, this doesn’t change much for Bitcoin users. But in the long run, these upgrades could keep Bitcoin secure and maintain its position as a trusted store of value. There is a risk that implementing these changes might slow down the network if they require major updates that all participants must agree on.

2. Stacks’ Satoshi Upgrades (Q3 2025)

Overview: The Stacks network, which works on top of Bitcoin, plans to launch sBTC in the third quarter of 2025. sBTC is a way to use Bitcoin in decentralized finance (DeFi) without relying on centralized companies to hold the coins. This could unlock nearly $1 trillion worth of Bitcoin that is currently not being used for earning interest or other financial activities, by allowing it to be pooled and lent out safely (CoinMarketCap).

What this means: This development is positive for Bitcoin’s usefulness, expanding its role beyond just being a digital store of value. However, its success depends on keeping the connection between Bitcoin and sBTC secure and ensuring that miners and network participants are properly incentivized—a challenge given past debates about scaling Bitcoin.

3. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (2026)

Overview: More than 20 U.S. states are working on laws to hold Bitcoin in their public funds, and the federal government is discussing creating a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve. The Trump administration aims to finalize plans for this reserve by 2026, possibly funding it through Bitcoin mining revenues or converting fees from government agencies (Bitcoinist).

What this means: This move could encourage more institutional adoption of Bitcoin by making it part of official government financial strategies. However, delays in legislation or changes in political priorities could slow down or complicate this process.

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s future roadmap focuses on strengthening security against new threats, increasing its practical uses through DeFi, and integrating it into government financial systems. While the exact timing of these changes is still uncertain, they highlight Bitcoin’s evolving role as both a reliable monetary asset and a programmable financial tool. The big question is whether innovations like Layer 2 solutions will advance faster than regulatory challenges in 2026.

What updates are there in the BTC code base?

Bitcoin’s software received important updates in 2025, aimed at improving its ability to grow, stay secure, and provide better tools for developers.

1. OP_RETURN Expansion (October 2025) – Increased the amount of data that can be stored on the blockchain for uses beyond just payments.
2. Core 29.0 Network Upgrades (May 24, 2025) – Made the network more secure and efficient, especially for miners and node operators.
3. Full Bitcoin Data Indexing (September 10, 2025) – Introduced a unified system to track all Bitcoin transactions and balances, helping wallets and tax software work better.

Deep Dive

1. OP_RETURN Expansion (October 2025)

What happened: The Bitcoin Core 30 update raised the limit on OP_RETURN data from 80 bytes to 4 megabytes per transaction output. OP_RETURN is a feature that lets users store small pieces of data on the Bitcoin blockchain, which can be used for things like proving when a document was created.

Why it matters: This change allows for much larger data storage directly on the blockchain. Some worry this could make the blockchain grow too large and harder to manage, while others believe it reduces the need for complicated workarounds. The developers designed this update to be neutral — it doesn’t force any particular use, but gives users more options.

Impact: This update balances keeping Bitcoin censorship-resistant with the risk of spam. Developers can now build applications that need to store more data on-chain, but those running Bitcoin nodes might need more storage space. (Source)

2. Core 29.0 Network Upgrades (May 24, 2025)

What happened: Bitcoin Core 29.0 removed outdated and insecure network features, improved how the software handles internet connections, and fixed a bug related to block size limits. It also introduced a new setting to help miners use block space more efficiently.

Developers switched to a new build system (CMake) to make software updates easier and added new commands to help wallets scan the blockchain more effectively.

Why it matters: These improvements make the Bitcoin network more secure and efficient. Miners can create blocks more effectively, and users benefit from faster transaction processing. Developers get better tools to build advanced features on top of Bitcoin.

Impact: Overall, this update strengthens Bitcoin’s infrastructure and supports future growth, especially for Layer 2 solutions that run on top of Bitcoin. (Source)

3. Full Bitcoin Data Indexing (September 10, 2025)

What happened: Companies Covalent and GoldRush launched a new system that indexes all Bitcoin transactions and balances, covering every type of Bitcoin address (Legacy, SegWit, Taproot) and historical data going back to the very first block.

This unified API helps wallets and tax software access accurate and complete Bitcoin data in real time.

Why it matters: Before this, Bitcoin data was scattered and hard to analyze. This new indexing system simplifies how developers access Bitcoin information, making it easier to build apps and tools.

Impact: Users get clearer insights into their Bitcoin holdings and transactions, and developers can create better applications faster. (Source)

Conclusion

Bitcoin’s 2025 updates focus on making the network more adaptable, secure, and easier to build on. While some debate the risks of increasing blockchain size, these changes lay a stronger foundation for Bitcoin’s future — both as a financial system and a platform for new types of applications. It will be interesting to see how developers use these new tools to expand what Bitcoin can do.