Why did the price of LTC go up?
Litecoin (LTC) dropped 0.84% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 1.64%. Despite this, recent updates offer cautious hope amid mixed signals:
- Renewed ETF Speculation – The SEC’s delayed decisions on spot LTC ETFs have increased expectations for approvals once government operations resume.
- ViaBTC Loan Service Upgrade – ViaBTC now accepts LTC as collateral for loans, potentially improving Litecoin’s usefulness and liquidity.
- Technical Support Levels Holding – Key price support levels and oversold indicators suggest Litecoin might stabilize soon.
Deep Dive
1. ETF Approval Optimism (Positive Outlook)
Overview:
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has postponed decisions on spot Litecoin ETFs—investment funds that track LTC’s price—due to a recent government shutdown. This delay has actually increased speculation that approvals will come once the SEC is back in operation. Experts like Nate Geraci expect many approvals in 2025, with betting markets showing a 95% chance.
What this means:
If spot LTC ETFs get approved, it could open the door for large institutional investors to enter the market, similar to the boost Bitcoin saw with its ETF approval in 2024. Litecoin’s status as a commodity, recognized by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), strengthens its case. However, the current delay means we haven’t seen immediate price gains yet.
Key to watch: When the SEC reopens and updates ETF application deadlines, especially the October 10 deadline.
2. ViaBTC’s Collateralized Loans (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
ViaBTC, one of the largest Bitcoin mining pools, expanded its loan service on October 13 to allow Litecoin as collateral. This service offers loans with lower interest rates (9.9% per year) and quick approvals.
What this means:
This development could make Litecoin more useful for miners and traders who want to access cash without selling their LTC holdings. However, the actual impact depends on how many users take advantage of this option. Some miners might prefer holding Litecoin in hopes of price gains rather than using it as loan collateral.
3. Technical Rebound Potential (Neutral to Slightly Positive)
Overview:
Litecoin’s current price is $96.45, which is below a key resistance level at $119.21 but above important support at $81.09. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of momentum, is at 38.85, indicating neither strong buying nor selling pressure. Another indicator, the MACD, shows bearish momentum.
What this means:
Short-term indicators suggest Litecoin is oversold, which could limit further declines. Since 2022, Litecoin has followed an upward support trendline. If LTC breaks above $100.91, it might trigger a short-term price recovery.
Conclusion
Litecoin’s small drop over the past day reflects uncertainty in the broader market caused by the U.S. government shutdown and geopolitical concerns. However, optimism remains due to potential ETF approvals and new ways to use LTC, like ViaBTC’s loan service. While technical signals lean bearish, signs of accumulation and growing institutional interest in Litecoin as an alternative to Bitcoin could help stabilize its price.
Key to watch: Can Litecoin hold the $92.74 support level and climb back above $100 this week? Keep an eye on SEC updates and any spikes in trading volume related to ETF news.
What could affect the price of LTC?
Litecoin’s price is caught between hopes for ETF approval, broader economic risks, and signs that its recent price gains may be slowing down.
- ETF Approvals (Positive Factor) – The U.S. government shutdown has delayed SEC decisions, holding back big institutional investments.
- Privacy Features (Mixed Impact) – More people are using Litecoin’s privacy upgrade, but regulators remain cautious.
- Economic Risks (Negative Factor) – Trade tensions and risky trading are causing price swings and potential sell-offs.
In-Depth Analysis
1. ETF Momentum vs. Regulatory Delays (Mixed Impact)
What’s happening: Three Litecoin ETFs from Grayscale, Canary Capital, and CoinShares are waiting for approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Experts believe there’s about a 90% chance they’ll be approved once the government shutdown ends. Big players like MEI Pharma and Luxxfolio have already added large amounts of Litecoin to their portfolios, showing strong institutional interest. However, since the U.S. government has been shut down since October 1, the SEC has paused all decisions, delaying potential inflows of over $1 billion (source).
Why it matters: If approved, Litecoin could see investment inflows similar to what Bitcoin experienced with its ETFs, which attracted $2.4 billion in 2025 alone. But the longer the delay continues, the more investors may lose confidence. Litecoin’s price has already dropped 19% this month, reflecting uncertainty about when clarity will come.
2. Privacy Upgrade (MWEB) and Regulatory Challenges (Mixed Impact)
What’s happening: Litecoin’s MimbleWimble upgrade (MWEB) now handles about 190,000 LTC (roughly $18.3 million) in private transactions, improving user privacy. However, some major exchanges in South Korea, like Bithumb and Upbit, removed Litecoin in 2023 due to anti-money laundering concerns. The European Union’s new crypto rules (MiCAR) provide some regulatory clarity, but U.S. regulators remain cautious about privacy-focused coins (source).
Why it matters: The privacy features could attract users who value anonymity, similar to coins like Monero (which has a market cap of $2.9 billion compared to Litecoin’s $7.4 billion). Still, regulatory pushback and exchange delistings create obstacles for wider adoption.
3. Economic Uncertainty and Risky Trading (Negative Impact)
What’s happening: Litecoin’s price dropped 51% during a flash crash on October 12, triggered by renewed U.S.-China trade tensions and $19 billion in crypto liquidations. Data shows that futures trading in Litecoin increased 27% month-over-month, indicating more leveraged bets that could lead to sharp sell-offs (source).
Why it matters: Litecoin’s price tends to move closely with Bitcoin (correlation of 0.87 over 30 days), and because it has less trading volume than Bitcoin, it’s more vulnerable to big price swings. If Litecoin falls below $81 (its low from June 2025), it could drop another 30% to around $57.
Conclusion
Litecoin’s future depends heavily on whether ETFs get approved (expected in late 2025), how regulators respond to its privacy features, and Bitcoin’s overall market strength. Its strong use as a payment method (over 300 million transactions in 2025) provides some stability, but economic uncertainty and regulatory delays suggest investors should be cautious. Keep an eye on the $95–$100 price range—if Litecoin closes above this level for a week, it could spark renewed buying momentum toward resistance at $135.
Will large investors buying 181,000 LTC in early September be enough to counteract retail investors selling in panic? Time will tell.
What are people saying about LTC?
Litecoin’s outlook is a mix of excitement over a possible ETF approval and some caution based on recent price movements. Here’s the quick summary:
- ETF approval chances are high, around 95%, pushing price expectations above $200.
- Long-term charts suggest a major breakout could happen if key price levels hold steady.
- Price rejection at $116 signals some short-term downward pressure.
- Adoption is growing fast, with Litecoin leading in crypto payments.
In-Depth Look
1. @MASTERBTCLTC: 8-Year Bull Pattern + ETF Buzz — Positive Signal
"Litecoin’s price structure is an 8-year ascending triangle... high 5-digits likely in 6–9 months."
– @MASTERBTCLTC (15.2K followers · 12.3K impressions · 2025-09-21 02:06 UTC)
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What this means: This is a positive sign for Litecoin because long-term price patterns like this often lead to big upward moves. Plus, if the ETF gets approved, it could attract more institutional investors.
2. CoinMarketCap Analysis: 7-Year Symmetrical Triangle — Positive Signal
"LTC forming a 7-year symmetrical triangle... 13M LTC accumulated in $88–$99 range."
– CoinMarketCap Community (Posted 2025-05-08 15:19 UTC)
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What this means: This pattern usually ends with a strong price breakout. The fact that many Litecoin coins were bought between $88 and $99 shows buyers are confident.
3. @johnmorganFL: $116 Price Rejection — Short-Term Warning
"LTC rejected at $116... bulls now eye $102 support."
– @johnmorganFL (8.7K followers · 5.1K impressions · 2025-07-20 18:02 UTC)
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What this means: This is a caution sign for the near future. When Litecoin failed to stay above $116, it suggests sellers are pushing back. The $102 level is now an important price point to watch for support.
4. CCN Analysis: Growing Adoption — Positive Signal
"Litecoin processed 340M transactions in 2025... 14.5% of CoinGate’s crypto payments."
– CCN (Published 2025-07-18 11:42 UTC)
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What this means: This is a strong positive because more people using Litecoin for real transactions supports its reputation as “digital silver” and shows it’s more than just a speculative asset.
Conclusion
Overall, the outlook for Litecoin is mixed but leans positive. Optimism around ETF approval (with a 95% chance) and increasing real-world use are strong drivers. However, short-term price resistance near $116 and the need to hold $102 support are important to watch. The SEC’s decision on the ETF, expected by October 2025, and Bitcoin’s price movements will also play key roles in Litecoin’s future.
What is the latest news about LTC?
Litecoin is facing some ups and downs in its price and interest from big investors, all while the overall economy feels uncertain. Here’s a quick summary of the latest news:
- Price Challenges Continue (October 13, 2025) – Litecoin’s price struggles to break higher and shows signs of weakness.
- ViaBTC Offers More Miner Loans (October 13, 2025) – Miners can now use Litecoin as collateral to borrow funds, helping with cash flow.
- U.S. Government Shutdown Delays Litecoin ETF Approval (October 13, 2025) – Regulatory delays are putting a hold on Litecoin investment funds.
In-Depth Look
1. Price Challenges Continue (October 13, 2025)
What’s Happening:
Since December 2024, Litecoin’s price has dropped about 60%, struggling to rise above $135. On October 13, it fell to $52.71, marking the longest weekly drop in its history—worse than even the big crash in March 2020. Despite this, Litecoin’s long-term support line (dating back to June 2022) is still holding. However, technical indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) below 50 and a bearish MACD crossover suggest the price momentum is weakening. Experts say Litecoin is trading within a rising channel, but if it falls below the middle of this channel, it might test lows around $43.
What This Means:
The market sentiment is leaning bearish (negative), but there’s some hope if Litecoin can hold above $70. Traders are watching a symmetrical triangle pattern, which could mean the price stays steady for a while before making a big move. (Source: CCN)
2. ViaBTC Offers More Miner Loans (October 13, 2025)
What’s Happening:
Mining pool ViaBTC has improved its loan program, now allowing miners to use Litecoin (along with Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, and Dogecoin) as collateral to borrow USDT (a stablecoin) at an annual interest rate of 9.9%. Miners can borrow as little as 50 USDT and repay the loans using their mining earnings.
What This Means:
This gives Litecoin miners more flexibility and cash flow options, which could reduce the need to sell their coins quickly. It also shows Litecoin’s growing role in the mining industry. (Source: The Daily Hodl)
3. U.S. Government Shutdown Delays Litecoin ETF Approval (October 13, 2025)
What’s Happening:
The ongoing U.S. government shutdown since October 1 has paused the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), delaying decisions on 16 cryptocurrency ETFs, including spot Litecoin ETFs from Grayscale and Canary Capital. Experts like Nate Geraci expect approvals to pick up after the shutdown ends, but the timing is unclear.
What This Means:
In the short term, this is a setback for institutional investors wanting easier access to Litecoin. However, approval of these ETFs could boost demand significantly. Litecoin’s classification as a commodity by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) strengthens its chances for approval. (Source: Cointelegraph)
Conclusion
Litecoin is currently facing technical challenges and regulatory delays but is making progress in mining support. The big question is whether ETF approvals after the government reopens will confirm Litecoin’s reputation as “digital silver” or if broader economic risks will keep it under pressure. Keep an eye on the $70 support level and updates on the SEC reopening.
What is expected in the development of LTC?
Litecoin is making important updates with these key milestones:
- Nexus Wallet Transition (December 31, 2025) – Litewallet will be retired, and users will move to the new Nexus Wallet, which offers better privacy and payment features.
- ETF Approvals (Late 2025) – Three Litecoin ETFs are under review, with a strong chance they’ll be approved.
- LitVM Layer-2 Launch (Q2 2026) – A new smart contract platform compatible with Ethereum will launch, enabling decentralized finance (DeFi) and cross-chain transactions.
Deep Dive
1. Nexus Wallet Transition (December 31, 2025)
Overview:
The Litecoin Foundation plans to retire the current Litewallet by the end of 2025. Users will need to switch to the Nexus Wallet, which combines advanced privacy features (like MWEB), supports retail payments through Flexa, and includes SegWit technology for faster transactions. To keep their funds safe, users must transfer their wallets using seed phrases before the deadline (LitecoinTalk).
What this means:
This update is positive for Litecoin because a simpler, more private wallet can attract more users and make spending LTC easier. However, there’s a risk if users delay moving their funds, which could cause confusion or lost access.
2. ETF Approvals (Late 2025)
Overview:
Companies like Grayscale, Canary Capital, and CoinShares have applied to launch Litecoin ETFs. Experts believe there’s a 68–90% chance these ETFs will be approved by late 2025, similar to how Bitcoin ETFs have brought more institutional investors into the market (CoinMarketCap).
What this means:
Approval of these ETFs could be very good for Litecoin, potentially unlocking around $400 million in new investments from institutions. But if approvals are delayed or denied, Litecoin’s price might face short-term pressure.
3. LitVM Layer-2 Launch (Q2 2026)
Overview:
LitVM is a new technology built on Polygon’s developer tools that will allow Litecoin to run smart contracts and connect with other blockchains like Bitcoin and Cardano. A public beta is expected in the second quarter of 2026, with a full launch to follow (Luxxfolio).
What this means:
This development could expand Litecoin’s uses beyond just payments, making it more versatile. However, there are challenges ahead, including the complexity of the technology and whether developers choose to build on it.
Conclusion
Litecoin’s upcoming updates focus on improving user experience (Nexus Wallet), attracting institutional investors (ETFs), and expanding technical capabilities (LitVM). These steps could strengthen Litecoin’s reputation as “digital silver,” but success depends on smooth implementation and positive market response. The big question remains: will Litecoin’s new Layer-2 technology draw developers as well as its payment network has?
What updates are there in the LTC code base?
Litecoin is making important updates to improve privacy and expand its capabilities with Layer-2 technology.
- LitVM Launch (May 2025) – Introduced Litecoin’s first zero-knowledge (ZK) Layer-2 network, enabling smart contracts and transfers between different blockchains.
- MWEB Privacy Adoption (July 2025) – Over 164,000 LTC now locked in private transactions using Litecoin’s MimbleWimble Extension Block (MWEB).
Deep Dive
1. LitVM Launch (May 2025)
Overview: At the Litecoin Summit, Litecoin unveiled LitVM, its first Layer-2 network using zero-knowledge proofs. Built on BitcoinOS and Polygon’s developer tools, LitVM supports Ethereum-style smart contracts and allows Litecoin to interact with other blockchains like Bitcoin and Cardano.
This means developers can build decentralized apps (dApps) that use Litecoin natively, including tokenized real-world assets and secure, trustless bridges to other networks. The goal is to expand Litecoin’s use beyond simple payments while keeping its strong security features.
What this means: This is a positive development for Litecoin. It opens the door to decentralized finance (DeFi) applications and attracts developers looking for affordable, scalable blockchain solutions. Cross-chain bridges also reduce dependence on centralized services, improving security. (Source)
2. MWEB Privacy Adoption (July 2025)
Overview: Litecoin’s MimbleWimble Extension Block (MWEB) is now used in over 90% of Litecoin blocks, with more than 164,000 LTC locked in private transactions.
MWEB offers optional privacy by hiding transaction amounts and addresses, while still following regulatory rules.
What this means: This is a balanced update for Litecoin. It meets growing demand for privacy while maintaining compliance with regulations. The increased use of MWEB shows trust in Litecoin’s hybrid approach, though it hasn’t yet caused major price changes. (Source)
Conclusion
Litecoin is evolving by adding smart contract capabilities through LitVM and enhancing privacy with MWEB. While more LTC is being used in private transactions, the network’s future success depends on how many developers build on LitVM.
Could LitVM’s cross-chain features help Litecoin become a key link between Bitcoin and Ethereum ecosystems?