Why did the price of TRUMP go up?
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) increased by 2.77% in the last 24 hours, bouncing back from recent losses despite a downward trend over the past 30 days (-8.81%). This rise was driven by oversold technical signals, renewed excitement about a potential ETF, and positive momentum in the overall crypto market.
- Oversold technical indicators encouraged short-term buying (RSI between 26 and 37).
- ETF speculation picked up again with Canary Capital’s pending TRUMP ETF application.
- Market-wide rally boosted investor sentiment (+3.83% increase in total crypto market value).
In-Depth Analysis
1. Oversold Technicals (Positive Signal)
Summary: On September 30, TRUMP’s 7-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 26, indicating the coin was oversold and selling pressure was easing. The price then bounced back above key levels: the 7-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $7.55 and a pivot point at $7.40, showing renewed interest from traders.
What this means: When a coin is oversold, it often attracts buyers looking for a bargain, especially with meme coins that tend to be more volatile. The price rebound also aligns with support levels identified by Fibonacci analysis, between $7.25 and $7.73.
What to watch: If TRUMP’s price closes consistently above $7.80, it could signal a shift away from the recent downtrend. If it fails to hold this level, the price might drop back to test support near $7.25.
2. TRUMP ETF Speculation (Uncertain Impact)
Summary: Canary Capital filed for a TRUMP ETF in August 2025, which is still under review by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Renewed discussions about political-themed ETFs, including plans by Vanguard for a crypto ETF, have sparked optimism.
What this means: While approval is unlikely because TRUMP lacks a futures market (a key requirement), speculation around the ETF keeps the coin’s price volatile. Trading volume for TRUMP dropped 21% to $210 million, suggesting some hesitation among investors.
3. Broader Market Momentum (Positive Influence)
Summary: The overall cryptocurrency market grew by 3.83% in the past day, led by Bitcoin (+3% to $112,100) and Ethereum (+3% to $4,100). The Altcoin Season Index at 61 indicates a favorable environment for riskier coins like TRUMP.
What this means: Although TRUMP’s 2.77% gain was smaller than the broader market’s increase, it reflects ongoing skepticism due to its steep 88.5% drop from its all-time high ($73.43) and ongoing legal challenges.
Conclusion
TRUMP’s recent price increase is driven by technical buying signals and positive trends in the crypto market. However, long-term risks remain, including legal issues, upcoming token unlocks, and the fact that insiders control 80% of the supply. Key points to monitor: SEC decisions on the TRUMP ETF and whether the RSI stays above 40, which would suggest a stronger bullish reversal.
What could affect the price of TRUMP?
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) is a meme coin tied to political events, mixing excitement with notable risks.
- Token Unlock Schedule – 800 million tokens will be gradually released over three years, which could lower the token’s value.
- Legal & Political Factors – Trump’s ongoing lawsuits and the upcoming election cycle create price swings.
- ETF Speculation – Canary Capital’s attempt to launch a TRUMP spot ETF faces regulatory hurdles.
In-Depth Analysis
1. Token Unlock Schedule (Potential Downside)
What’s happening:
About 80% of TRUMP’s total 1 billion tokens are held by Trump-related companies (CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC). These tokens will be unlocked gradually until 2027. For example, on September 15, 2025, nearly 4.9 million tokens (worth about $58.8 million at current prices) will become available, adding 1.52% more tokens into circulation.
Why it matters:
If insiders sell their tokens when they unlock, it could increase selling pressure and push prices down. TRUMP has already dropped 88% from its all-time high of $73. A similar unlock event in May 2025 caused a 30% price drop (Finbold).
2. Political and Legal Influences (Mixed Effects)
What’s happening:
TRUMP’s price jumped 90% in March 2025 after rumors of Trump supporting crypto-friendly policies. However, it fell 45% following the dismissal of Trump’s $15 billion lawsuit against The New York Times on September 19, 2025. The deadline to refile the case is October 17, and the 2026 midterm elections are approaching.
Why it matters:
Positive political developments, like approval of meme coin ETFs, could boost TRUMP’s price. On the other hand, legal troubles or new laws like the MEME Act—which aims to ban political tokens—could threaten its future.
3. Spot ETF Plans (Possible Upside)
What’s happening:
In August 2025, Canary Capital filed paperwork (S-1) to create a TRUMP spot ETF under the 1933 Securities Act. This would help legitimize the token. However, the SEC requires a six-month futures market before approving such ETFs, and since that market doesn’t exist for TRUMP, approval chances are below 20% according to Bloomberg analysts (CoinDesk).
Why it matters:
Even if the ETF is rejected, the filing could increase trading activity. If approved, it might trigger a price rally similar to Bitcoin’s 160% surge after its 2024 ETF approval.
Summary
TRUMP’s price depends heavily on token supply changes, political news, and regulatory decisions. Despite a strong 525% annualized return showing meme coin resilience, risks like token unlocks and legal challenges suggest caution. Keep an eye on the SEC’s ETF decision timeline and Trump’s legal developments. Will the “Crypto President” story overcome concerns about token dilution?
What are people saying about TRUMP?
The TRUMP coin is making waves with political buzz and big investor moves. Here’s what’s trending:
- Anniversary excitement is rallying the community
- Integration with TRON blockchain is sparking hopeful speculation
- Team selling off coins is raising caution flags
In-Depth Look
1. Anniversary Buzz from @GetTrumpMemes
“That mission was forged into $TRUMP coin – a symbol of strength, defiance, and freedom”
– @GetTrumpMemes (1.2M followers · 4.8M impressions · July 13, 2025)
See original post
What this means: Positive news for TRUMP. The coin’s value is being linked to Trump’s political resilience, which could encourage everyday investors to buy in, especially as elections approach.
2. TRON Blockchain Integration Announcement
“$TRUMP on #TRON is coming. Stay tuned!”
– @GetTrumpMemes (1.2M followers · 892K impressions · July 7, 2025)
See original post
What this means: This news has mixed effects. Moving TRUMP to the TRON blockchain could improve trading activity since TRON handles more daily transactions than Ethereum’s USDT. However, it also means TRUMP might face more regulatory scrutiny because of TRON’s legal challenges.
3. Team Selling Raises Concerns
4.17 million TRUMP coins ($46.97 million) moved to Binance and OKX exchanges
– @Lookonchain (538K followers · 1.1M impressions · June 4, 2025)
Source
What this means: This is a warning sign. The team behind TRUMP has been moving large amounts of coins to exchanges, suggesting they might be selling. Since April 2025, $47 million worth of TRUMP has been transferred, coinciding with a 13% drop in price over one week.
Conclusion
The outlook for TRUMP coin is mixed. On one hand, political stories and new blockchain partnerships are driving interest. On the other, heavy selling by insiders is putting downward pressure on the price. Since about 80% of TRUMP’s supply is controlled by Trump-affiliated groups, watch the CIC Digital LLC wallet closely. Large transfers to exchanges could mean more price swings ahead. The big question remains: Can the “MAGA movement” token keep its momentum beyond election season?
What is the latest news about TRUMP?
The TRUMP coin is facing legal challenges and token unlock events while dealing with downward price pressure. Here’s the latest update:
- Lawsuit Dismissed Causes Price Drop (September 19, 2025) – A court rejected Donald Trump’s $15 billion defamation lawsuit against The New York Times, causing TRUMP’s price to fall by 3.1%.
- GD Culture Buys $300 Million in TRUMP (September 17, 2025) – Nasdaq-listed company GD Culture added TRUMP tokens to its treasury reserves.
- Large Token Unlock Creates Volatility (September 15, 2025) – Nearly 4.9 million TRUMP tokens worth $58.8 million were unlocked, increasing supply and causing price fluctuations.
In-Depth Look
1. Lawsuit Dismissed Causes Price Drop (September 19, 2025)
A federal judge in Florida dismissed Donald Trump’s $15 billion defamation lawsuit against The New York Times. The judge cited excessive political statements and procedural issues as reasons for dismissal. The lawsuit claimed damage to Trump’s reputation and his businesses, including the TRUMP token. After the ruling, TRUMP’s price dropped 3.1% to $8.43, extending its monthly decline to 4.4%.
What this means:
This court decision is negative for TRUMP because it removes a potential positive news driver and highlights the legal risks connected to tokens tied to political figures. Technical analysis shows TRUMP testing support levels between $8.00 and $8.20. If the price falls below $7.80, it could lead to more selling pressure. (Source: Cryptonews)
2. GD Culture Buys $300 Million in TRUMP (September 17, 2025)
GD Culture Group, a company listed on Nasdaq, completed its acquisition of Pallas Capital and invested $300 million to buy Bitcoin and TRUMP tokens for its long-term reserves. This purchase places GD Culture among the top 15 public holders of Bitcoin and signals growing institutional interest in TRUMP.
What this means:
This development is somewhat positive for TRUMP because it adds buying demand. However, it also concentrates ownership, which can be risky. After the announcement, TRUMP’s price rose 1.5%, but it still remains 88% below its peak price from January 2025. (Source: The Block)
3. Large Token Unlock Creates Volatility (September 15, 2025)
On this date, 4.89 million TRUMP tokens—about 1.5% of the total supply—were unlocked, increasing the number of tokens available for trading. This caused TRUMP’s price to drop 3.6% during the day to $8.57, with trading volume falling 23% due to low liquidity.
What this means:
Token unlocks often lead to short-term price drops because holders may sell their tokens, increasing supply when demand is weak. TRUMP’s 30-day turnover ratio of 0.142 indicates low liquidity, which can make price declines more severe during such events. (Source: Finbold)
Conclusion
The TRUMP coin’s price is heavily influenced by ongoing legal issues, token supply changes, and political sentiment. While GD Culture’s large purchase provides some support, the token’s price remains down 88.5% from its $73.43 high earlier this year, highlighting its speculative nature. The key question is whether increased regulatory scrutiny on politically linked tokens will continue or if crypto-friendly policies might help TRUMP regain momentum.
What is expected in the development of TRUMP?
Here’s what’s coming for OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP):
- TRON Blockchain Integration (Q4 2025) – Expanding to another blockchain using LayerZero bridging technology.
- Mobile Game Launch (Late 2025) – A new game tied to the $TRUMP token to engage users.
- Strategic Treasury Partnerships (Ongoing) – Collaboration with World Liberty Financial (WLFI) to support token use and decentralized finance (DeFi) projects.
In-Depth Look
1. TRON Blockchain Integration (Q4 2025)
What’s happening:
The TRUMP token will be available on the TRON blockchain by the end of 2025, using a technology called LayerZero bridging (CoinDesk). This move aims to reach more users and reduce transaction fees. The plan was announced in July 2025 by Bill Zanker, a project collaborator.
Why it matters:
Making TRUMP available on multiple blockchains can make it easier to buy, sell, and use, which is good for the token’s growth. However, TRON’s founder, Justin Sun, is currently involved in legal issues with the SEC, which could pose risks for the project.
2. Mobile Game Launch (Late 2025)
What’s happening:
A mobile game themed around TRUMP is being developed to help bring the token to a wider audience (CoinDesk). While details are limited, the game might include rewards using the $TRUMP token or involve NFTs (digital collectibles).
Why it matters:
Games can attract new users and increase interest in the token. However, meme coins like TRUMP often face challenges in keeping users engaged long-term. The success of this game will depend on how well it’s made and avoiding past problems, such as the unauthorized Trump Wallet incident.
3. Strategic Treasury Partnerships (Ongoing)
What’s happening:
World Liberty Financial (WLFI) has invested in TRUMP tokens as part of a strategic partnership announced in June 2025 (Coinpedia). This partnership plans to integrate TRUMP into WLFI’s decentralized finance (DeFi) platform, which includes a stablecoin pegged to the US dollar.
Why it matters:
Having support from an institutional partner like WLFI could help stabilize the token’s price and increase its use in financial applications. However, since WLFI is majority-owned by Trump-related entities, there are concerns about potential conflicts of interest and centralized control.
Conclusion
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) is focusing on growing its ecosystem by expanding to the TRON blockchain, launching a mobile game, and forming institutional partnerships. While these steps could increase the token’s usefulness, the project’s progress depends heavily on political factors and regulatory approval. The lack of a clear, formal roadmap and close ties to Trump-affiliated groups make TRUMP vulnerable to changes in public opinion and government scrutiny.
A key question remains: How will regulatory attention on politically connected meme coins affect TRUMP’s ability to follow through on these plans?
What updates are there in the TRUMP code base?
Recent updates focus on growing $TRUMP’s blockchain ecosystem and making it easier to use across different networks.
- TRON Integration (July 2025) – $TRUMP is now available on the TRON network through the LayerZero bridge.
- Cross-Chain Expansion (July 2025) – You can now swap $TRUMP tokens between Solana and TRON networks seamlessly.
Deep Dive
1. TRON Integration (July 2025)
Overview: $TRUMP has expanded to the TRON blockchain, which means holders can now trade and store $TRUMP tokens directly on TRON. This integration uses LayerZero’s technology to connect different blockchains.
The goal is to reach TRON’s large user base of over 180 million people and offer lower transaction fees compared to Solana. The TRON contract address (TXZQuyCasxN42bjAcYpP2xwYVMCF6gHBnv) went live on July 7, 2025, with liquidity pools available on SunSwap.
What this means: This is positive news for $TRUMP because it makes the token more accessible and cheaper to use, which could encourage more people to adopt it. However, having liquidity spread across multiple blockchains might cause some trading inefficiencies, like higher slippage (price changes during trades).
(Source)
2. Cross-Chain Expansion (July 2025)
Overview: A new LayerZero-powered bridge now allows users to swap $TRUMP tokens easily between the Solana and TRON networks. This update addresses earlier issues where liquidity was split between chains.
This change came after community feedback about the challenges caused by having $TRUMP tokens on multiple blockchains. Developers focused on making the token easier to use across different networks.
What this means: This update is somewhat positive because it simplifies using $TRUMP on multiple blockchains. However, it doesn’t fully address concerns about the fact that entities linked to Trump control about 80% of the tokens. Traders can now take advantage of price differences between the two networks.
(Source)
Conclusion
The recent updates to $TRUMP’s technology show a clear effort to make the token relevant across multiple blockchains. However, its long-term success will depend on balancing decentralization with its politically influenced token structure. It remains to be seen how regulatory scrutiny over cross-chain asset control will affect its future plans.