Why did the price of TRUMP fall?
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) dropped 0.63% to $7.83 in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 0.5%. The main reasons include weak technical signals, ongoing legal issues, and negative effects from other Trump-related crypto projects.
- Technical Resistance (Bearish Impact) – The price is struggling to rise above important moving averages.
- Legal Uncertainty (Mixed Impact) – Developments in a lawsuit involving The New York Times are affecting market sentiment.
- Project-Specific Risks (Bearish Impact) – Poor performance of tokens connected to Trump.
Deep Dive
1. Technical Resistance (Bearish Impact)
Overview: The price of TRUMP is trading below its 30-day simple moving average (SMA) at $8.18 and its 200-day SMA at $9.88. This suggests ongoing downward pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 44.23 indicates weak buying interest, while the MACD histogram (+0.033) shows a slight sign of potential upward momentum.
What this means: The token is having trouble breaking through resistance levels between $8.20 and $8.38, which may lead traders to take profits soon. If the price falls below $7.73 (a key Fibonacci retracement level), it could drop further.
What to watch: Watch for a steady move above the 30-day SMA ($8.18) or a fall below $7.70 for clues on the next direction.
2. Legal Uncertainty (Mixed Impact)
Overview: On September 19, a federal judge dismissed Trump’s $15 billion defamation lawsuit against The New York Times but allowed the case to be refiled. This has raised concerns about regulatory risks for tokens linked to political figures.
What this means: Although this lawsuit isn’t directly related to the TRUMP token, it adds to doubts about the governance and stability of Trump-branded crypto projects. The token’s price remains 89% below its all-time high of $75.35, showing ongoing trust issues.
3. Project-Specific Risks (Bearish Impact)
Overview: Trump-related crypto projects are under pressure. For example, on October 4, World Liberty Financial (WLF) burned $11 million worth of its WLFI tokens after a difficult launch. Meanwhile, TRUMP has dropped 22% this quarter.
What this means: The weak performance of Trump-linked tokens like TRUMP, WLFI, and MELANIA points to declining confidence in this group of projects. TRUMP’s 24-hour trading volume also fell 14% to $208 million, indicating less speculative interest.
Conclusion
The recent decline in TRUMP’s price reflects a combination of weak technical momentum, legal uncertainties, and skepticism about the broader Trump crypto ecosystem. While some technical indicators hint at short-term buying opportunities, overall challenges remain strong.
Key things to watch: Updates on Trump’s stance toward cryptocurrency regulations and the timing of World Liberty Financial’s next token buyback, which is funded by liquidity fees.
What could affect the price of TRUMP?
The price of OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) is caught between political excitement and risks tied to how the tokens are managed.
- Token Unlocks & Large Holder Sales – Insiders control 80% of the supply, with over $58 million worth of tokens set to unlock soon.
- Political News vs. Regulatory Concerns – Trump’s crypto-friendly policies face potential government pushback.
- Social Media Buzz & Competition – Meme-driven price spikes compete with fading interest and new rival coins.
In-Depth Analysis
1. Token Unlocks & Large Holder Activity (Negative Impact)
What’s Happening:
Two Trump-related companies, CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC, hold 80% of TRUMP’s total 1 billion tokens. These tokens are being gradually released over three years. Recent events include:
- A $58.82 million token unlock (about 1.5% of tokens in circulation) scheduled for September 15, 2025 (Finbold)
- In June 2025, 2.28 million TRUMP tokens (worth $20.5 million) were moved to major exchanges Binance and OKX (CoinMarketCap)
Why It Matters:
When a few holders control most tokens, large sales can push prices down. TRUMP’s price has already fallen 89% from its peak of $75.35. After a May 2025 “VIP dinner,” 34 big holders sold off, causing a 33% drop over the next quarter.
2. Political News vs. Regulatory Risks (Mixed Impact)
What’s Happening:
Positive factors include Trump’s promises to support crypto and speculation about a new ETF (exchange-traded fund) filing by Canary Capital. On the downside:
- Proposed MEME Act legislation could restrict political tokens like TRUMP.
- The SEC is reviewing whether TRUMP should be classified as a security, despite current exemptions.
- Legal challenges, such as Trump’s $15 billion lawsuit against The New York Times being dismissed, led to a 3.1% price drop (CryptoNews)
Why It Matters:
TRUMP’s price reacts strongly to political news. It surged 90% on NFT rumors in July 2025 but tends to decline steadily when regulatory threats arise. Despite this, the token has gained 544% over the past year, reflecting ongoing optimism tied to election cycles.
3. Social Media Buzz & Competition (Negative Outlook)
What’s Happening:
TRUMP faces declining hype as newer political meme coins like MELANIA and WLFI, plus viral competitors like XYZVerse, gain attention. Key stats:
- Daily active users dropped 62% since January 2025 (CoinMarketCap)
- 67% of buyers use debit cards, indicating many retail investors who may sell quickly during downturns
Why It Matters:
Without strong use cases beyond merchandise and event access, TRUMP depends heavily on Trump’s cultural influence. Technical indicators show bearish signs: the price is below the 200-day moving average ($9.88), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 44, suggesting neutral but weakening momentum.
Conclusion
The future of OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) depends on balancing political excitement with ongoing risks from token supply releases and waning meme coin interest. While potential ETF approvals or Trump’s 2025 policy moves could boost the price, the scheduled token unlocks and an 88% price drop from all-time highs suggest caution. Will the $58 million token unlock in October push prices lower, or can election-related news offset this dilution? Keep an eye on token movements to exchanges and updates on Trump’s crypto policies.
What are people saying about TRUMP?
The TRUMP community is energized by political symbolism, while large holders (whales) are actively moving tokens. Here’s what’s trending:
- Anniversary excitement – Memes celebrate TRUMP’s origin story
- Justin Sun’s $100M pledge – Partnership with Tron sparks debate over price swings
- $300M corporate investment – Nasdaq-listed company adds TRUMP to its reserves
- Wallet controversy – Trump family denies involvement with the “official” crypto wallet
Deep Dive
1. @GetTrumpMemes: Anniversary hype suggests a bullish outlook
"That mission was forged into $TRUMP coin — a symbol of strength, defiance, and freedom"
– @GetTrumpMemes (213K followers · 2.1M impressions · July 13, 2025)
View original post
What this means: This is positive for TRUMP because anniversary events usually boost retail interest. However, the current price of $7.79 (down 89% from its all-time high) shows this excitement hasn’t led to lasting gains yet.
2. @WuBlockchain: Institutional buying is neutral for now
GD Culture Group to allocate $300M to TRUMP/BTC reserves
– @WuBlockchain (1.8M followers · 890K impressions · May 13, 2025)
View original post
What this means: This news adds credibility since a major company is investing, but TRUMP’s price dropped 6.4% in the 30 days after the announcement, indicating limited immediate impact.
3. CoinMarketCap Post: Large token transfers raise bearish concerns
2.28 million TRUMP tokens ($20.5 million) moved to Binance and OKX exchanges on June 28
– Anonymous analyst (42K views · June 28, 2025)
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What this means: This is a negative sign because big transfers to exchanges often lead to selling pressure. TRUMP’s price fell 36.16% in the 60 days following this move.
4. @GetTrumpMemes: Wallet dispute creates a mixed outlook
"Let the CRYPTO GAMES begin!" (after the Trump family denied involvement with the wallet)
– @GetTrumpMemes (213K followers · 1.7M impressions · July 18, 2025)
View original post
What this means: Mixed signals here. While the team is pushing for growth, Eric Trump’s public denial of the wallet project caused confusion, contributing to a 12.18% price drop over 60 days.
Conclusion
The overall sentiment around TRUMP is mixed. On one hand, the community’s patriotic memes and partnerships like the Tron integration on July 7 provide short-term excitement. On the other hand, concerns about celebrity-driven token volatility and regulatory scrutiny weigh heavily. Keep an eye on the $7.50 support level—if it breaks, it could confirm a bearish trend amid ongoing uncertainty. The key question remains: does the “Fight” narrative outweigh TRUMP’s high annual volatility of 544.97%?
What is the latest news about TRUMP?
The OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) cryptocurrency is facing challenges from legal issues and changes within its ecosystem, with its price hovering around $7.79. Here are the key updates:
- WLFI Token Burn Triggers Selloff (October 4, 2025) – A token burn by WLFI, a Trump-related crypto project, did not boost TRUMP’s price, which is down 22% this quarter.
- NYT Lawsuit Decision Shakes Market (September 19, 2025) – TRUMP’s price dropped 3.1% after a judge dismissed Trump’s $15 billion lawsuit against The New York Times but allowed it to be refiled.
- Mobile Game Announcement Amid Wallet Issues (July 14, 2025) – Bill Zanker, a collaborator, revealed plans for a TRUMP-themed mobile game while downplaying recent legal disputes over an unauthorized TRUMP wallet.
Deep Dive
1. WLFI Token Burn Triggers Selloff (October 4, 2025)
What happened: World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a crypto project linked to the Trump family, burned 47 million tokens worth about $11.3 million after a difficult launch. Although WLFI’s leadership suggested regular buybacks to manage supply, TRUMP’s price remains under pressure, down 22% this quarter and 89% below its all-time high of $75.35.
Why it matters: The token burn was an attempt to reduce supply and support prices, but it hasn’t stopped TRUMP’s decline. Demand for politically themed cryptocurrencies is weak, and competition from WLFI’s USD1 stablecoin—which is now among the top 10 stablecoins—adds to the pressure. (Gate.com)
2. NYT Lawsuit Decision Shakes Market (September 19, 2025)
What happened: A Florida judge dismissed Trump’s $15 billion defamation lawsuit against The New York Times but allowed the case to be refiled. Following the ruling, TRUMP’s price fell 3.1% to $8.43, extending its monthly losses to 4.4%. Technical analysis shows resistance levels between $8.80 and $9.00.
Why it matters: Ongoing legal uncertainty continues to weigh on TRUMP’s price, as investors remain cautious about the risks of prolonged court battles. The token’s price is closely tied to Trump’s legal news, highlighting its speculative nature. (CryptoNews)
3. Mobile Game Announcement Amid Wallet Issues (July 14, 2025)
What happened: Bill Zanker, a collaborator on the TRUMP project, announced plans for a mobile game themed around TRUMP to help increase mainstream interest. This came after a legal dispute involving an unauthorized TRUMP wallet, which Zanker called a “misunderstanding.”
Why it matters: The mobile game could expand TRUMP’s use beyond just trading and speculation. However, ongoing legal questions and the centralized control of the project pose risks to its success. (CoinDesk)
Conclusion
TRUMP is facing challenges from legal battles, competition within its ecosystem, and fluctuating demand for politically connected cryptocurrencies. While new projects like the mobile game suggest potential for broader use, regulatory scrutiny and market doubts remain. The question is whether Trump’s crypto ventures can evolve into practical tools or will continue to be driven mainly by headlines.
What is expected in the development of TRUMP?
I wasn’t able to find enough information to answer this question right now. The CoinMarketCap team is continuously updating my crypto knowledge, so I expect to have the details soon. Meanwhile, please feel free to choose another question or coin for analysis.
What updates are there in the TRUMP code base?
Recent updates to the OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) codebase focus on expanding the ecosystem and connecting with other blockchains.
- TRON Blockchain Integration (July 7, 2025) – TRUMP is now available on the TRON network through LayerZero bridging, making it easier to access.
- Mobile Game Development (July 14, 2025) – Plans announced for a TRUMP-themed mobile game that will use TRUMP tokens, though details are still limited.
- Wallet Partnership Dispute (June 4, 2025) – A planned TRUMP-branded wallet was canceled after the Trump family denied approval, leading to legal action and a clearer development roadmap.
Deep Dive
1. TRON Blockchain Integration (July 7, 2025)
Overview: OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) has expanded from the Solana blockchain to also operate on TRON. This allows users to swap tokens across these blockchains and access more liquidity. The integration uses LayerZero’s technology to enable smooth communication between blockchains. Contract addresses were updated to work with TRON’s TRC-20 token standard, but no major changes were made to the core protocol.
What this means: This is a positive development for TRUMP because it reduces dependence on Solana, which can sometimes experience network slowdowns. It also opens up access to TRON’s large stablecoin market, which has over $80 billion in liquidity. However, details about security checks for the bridging technology have not been shared yet. (Source)
2. Mobile Game Development (July 14, 2025)
Overview: Bill Zanker, a collaborator, confirmed that a TRUMP-themed mobile game is in the works. This suggests that TRUMP tokens could be used within the game, possibly as rewards or through NFT features. The game is being developed by Fight Fight Fight LLC, the same company that manages TRUMP’s original smart contracts.
What this means: This update is neutral for now because the technical details are still unclear. If the game successfully uses TRUMP tokens for things like staking or token burning, it could increase demand. But if the game is delayed or doesn’t add meaningful token use, it might not have much impact. (Source)
3. Wallet Partnership Dispute (June 4, 2025)
Overview: A planned TRUMP-branded wallet in partnership with Magic Eden was stopped after the Trump family said they did not approve it. This caused tension between the developers and the brand’s owners. The wallet’s code is currently on hold, and World Liberty Financial (WLFI) is now leading official wallet development.
What this means: This is a negative sign in the short term because it shows split efforts in development. However, in the long run, if WLFI’s wallet integrates well and securely with TRUMP’s existing systems, it could stabilize the project. (Source)
Conclusion
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) is focusing on growing across multiple blockchains and exploring new uses like gaming. While the TRON integration is live, the success of the upcoming wallet and game depends on smooth technical execution. The community will be watching to see if WLFI’s wallet development aligns with the overall vision or causes further division.