Why did the price of TRUMP fall?
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) dropped 26% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell about 9.4%. This decline matches its 29% loss over the past week, driven by doubts about a $200 million treasury rescue plan, negative technical signals, and concerns about token supply.
- Questions Around Treasury Plan – The $200 million to $1 billion fundraising effort to stabilize TRUMP faces challenges in execution.
- Oversold Technical Indicators – The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 21 suggests the token is oversold, but other indicators like the MACD show continued downward momentum.
- Upcoming Token Unlocks – 80% of TRUMP tokens are still locked, raising worries about potential market dilution.
Deep Dive
1. Uncertainty Over Rescue Plan (Negative Impact)
Overview: Fight Fight Fight LLC, the company behind TRUMP, announced plans to raise between $200 million and $1 billion to create a Digital Asset Treasury (DAT). This fund would buy back tokens to help stabilize prices (Bloomberg). However, insiders say the deal is still in early stages and may not be finalized.
What this means: The market sees this as a desperate attempt to stop TRUMP’s 90% price drop since January 2025. Skepticism about whether the fundraising can succeed—especially with decreasing hype and regulatory reviews by the SEC on memecoin ETFs—has led to selling pressure.
What to watch: Updates on whether the fundraising progresses or faces delays.
2. Technical Analysis (Negative Outlook)
Overview: TRUMP is trading below key moving averages (7-day average: $7.39; 30-day average: $7.96). The RSI is at 21.27, indicating oversold conditions, but the MACD histogram is negative (-0.115), confirming bearish momentum.
What this means: While the low RSI could suggest a short-term bounce, the MACD’s bearish signal and lack of support until $4.21 (based on Fibonacci retracement levels) point to continued downward pressure.
Key level to watch: If TRUMP falls below $5.25 (a pivot point), losses could accelerate.
3. Token Supply Risks (Neutral to Negative)
Overview: Only 20% of TRUMP’s total 1 billion tokens are currently circulating. The remaining 800 million tokens are locked by entities linked to Trump (Coindesk).
What this means: Investors worry that when these locked tokens are gradually released, they could flood the market, especially if the holders sell to cover expenses. This risk contrasts with optimistic views that scarcity would support the token’s price, especially given its recent high volatility (down 37% over 30 days).
Conclusion
TRUMP’s sharp decline reflects weakening confidence in short-term efforts to stabilize its price and growing fatigue around memecoins in general. Although oversold technical conditions might attract some speculative buying, the lack of strong positive factors and ongoing supply concerns suggest the risks outweigh the potential rewards.
Key levels to watch: Can TRUMP hold above $5.25, or will bearish momentum push it down to $4.21? Stay tuned for updates on the Digital Asset Treasury fundraising and the SEC’s decisions regarding memecoin ETFs.
What could affect the price of TRUMP?
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) is a political meme coin that combines hype with notable risks.
- $200M Treasury Plan – There’s a plan to raise funds for buying back TRUMP tokens, but it’s uncertain if it will happen (Mixed Impact).
- Regulatory Challenges – The SEC is reviewing a TRUMP ETF, and legal issues could create problems (Bearish Risk).
- Token Supply Locked Up – 80% of TRUMP tokens are locked until 2027, which could put downward pressure on the price (Bearish Pressure).
Deep Dive
1. Digital Asset Treasury Plan (Mixed Impact)
What’s happening: The company behind TRUMP, Fight Fight Fight LLC, wants to raise between $200 million and $1 billion to create a crypto treasury. This treasury would buy back TRUMP tokens, potentially reducing the number of tokens available for sale and showing confidence from big investors. However, this plan isn’t confirmed yet, and many are skeptical because TRUMP’s price has dropped 90% from its high of $75.
What it means for you: If the plan goes through, it could help the token’s price by lowering supply and improving its reputation. But if it fails, it might make investors lose trust. Similar treasury plans in 2025 had mixed results, often falling short of expectations (Bloomberg).
2. Regulatory and Political Risks (Bearish Risk)
What’s happening: The SEC is reviewing a proposal for a TRUMP ETF, but approval is uncertain because meme coins tend to be very volatile. Additionally, the MEME Act, which targets political coins, and ethics complaints related to Trump’s token holdings add legal challenges.
What it means for you: If regulators delay or reject these proposals, it could cause investors to sell their tokens. TRUMP’s price dropped 29% last month amid investigations by the Department of Justice (Cointelegraph).
3. Token Supply and Unlock Schedule (Bearish Pressure)
What’s happening: Only 20% of the total 1 billion TRUMP tokens are currently available for trading. The remaining 800 million tokens, held by entities connected to Trump, will gradually become available until 2027. This steady release could increase selling pressure. For example, in June, a large transfer of $20.5 million worth of tokens was moved to exchanges.
What it means for you: Even small monthly unlocks (around 44.4 million tokens) might exceed demand, pushing prices down. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is very low at 13.79, indicating the token is oversold, but broader market challenges make a quick recovery unlikely (CoinMarketCap).
Conclusion
The future price of OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) depends heavily on whether its treasury plan succeeds amid regulatory hurdles and a large supply of tokens waiting to be unlocked. While the 90% price drop reflects some of these risks, the token remains vulnerable to political developments and large holders selling. The big question is: Can the treasury plan offset the pressure from the 65% of tokens still locked up?
What are people saying about TRUMP?
The OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) coin is experiencing a wild ride influenced by political excitement, big investor moves, and uncertainty about its future. Here’s what’s happening right now:
- $200 million rescue plan – Key insiders are working to support the token.
- Big sell-off after dinner – Major holders sold their coins following a meeting with Trump.
- $520 million token unlock ahead – A large amount of tokens will become available soon, which could impact the price.
In-Depth Look
1. @GetTrumpMemes: "Fight spirit lives on" Positive
"That mission was forged into $TRUMP coin – a symbol of strength, defiance, and freedom."
– @GetTrumpMemes (1.2 million followers · 4.8 million views · July 13, 2025, 2:54 PM UTC)
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What this means: This anniversary message connects the TRUMP coin to Trump’s 2024 political comeback, aiming to boost confidence in the community despite the token’s 90% drop from its $75 high.
2. @WuBlockchain: $300 million institutional buy Mixed
GD Culture Group secured $300 million to buy TRUMP/BTC as part of their reserves.
– @WuBlockchain (890,000 followers · 2.1 million views · May 13, 2025, 3:29 AM UTC)
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What this means: This large purchase shows some confidence and adds liquidity, but since it happened before TRUMP’s recent 39% monthly price drop, it’s unclear if the same enthusiasm remains today.
3. @BullTradeFinder: Watching support level Neutral
"Triple-tap support at $10.02 – Risk to reward 2:1 if it holds."
– @BullTradeFinder (92,000 followers · 318,000 views · June 16, 2025, 6:18 PM UTC)
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What this means: Traders are watching the $9.93 price point closely. If it holds, there could be a good chance for gains, but declining trading volume (-28% in 24 hours) suggests weak buying interest.
Summary
Overall, the outlook for OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) coin is mostly negative with occasional hopeful spikes. While some fans focus on its political meaning, large investors (whales) are selling off their holdings—56% of sales happened right after a key dinner meeting. A big token release worth $520 million is scheduled for July 18, 2025, which could put more downward pressure on the price. Keep an eye on Fight Fight Fight LLC’s $200 million treasury plan; if it works, prices might stabilize, but if it fails, the coin could continue its steep decline.
What is the latest news about TRUMP?
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) is working to manage price swings with a $200 million treasury plan and hopes for an ETF, but legal challenges and supply issues remain risks. Here’s the latest update:
- ETF Listing & SEC Review (October 10, 2025) – Canary Capital’s TRUMP ETF has moved forward to the DTCC, awaiting feedback from the SEC.
- $200 Million Rescue Treasury Plan (October 9, 2025) – Fight Fight Fight LLC plans to stabilize TRUMP’s price by buying back tokens with a new fund.
- Technical Breakout Potential (October 8, 2025) – Traders are watching a chart pattern that could signal a price rebound.
In-Depth Look
1. ETF Listing & SEC Review (October 10, 2025)
What’s Happening: Canary Capital’s proposed ETF for OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) has been registered with the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC), which is a necessary step before the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) reviews it. The SEC currently treats TRUMP as a commodity, which might make approval easier. Still, the review process could take several months, and approval is not guaranteed.
Why It Matters: If the ETF is approved, it could bring in big investors and make it easier to buy and sell TRUMP tokens. However, some remain cautious because TRUMP is considered high-risk and faces ongoing regulatory scrutiny (AMBCrypto).
2. $200 Million Rescue Treasury Plan (October 9, 2025)
What’s Happening: Fight Fight Fight LLC, led by Trump supporter Bill Zanker, is raising between $200 million and $1 billion to create a Digital Asset Treasury (DAT). This fund would buy back TRUMP tokens to support the price. TRUMP’s price has fallen about 90% since January 2025, dropping from $75 to around $8. This decline is partly because 65% of its total 1 billion tokens are locked and will be released gradually over time.
Why It Matters: The treasury fund could help increase demand for TRUMP tokens in the short term. But long-term success depends on changing negative market sentiment. Critics warn this plan might mainly benefit insiders and doesn’t solve the underlying speculative risks of TRUMP (The Daily Hodl).
3. Technical Breakout Potential (October 8, 2025)
What’s Happening: Market analysts have spotted a “descending wedge” chart pattern in TRUMP’s price, with strong support around $7.34. If the price breaks above $7.66, it could signal a bullish reversal. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 30, indicating the token is oversold and might be due for a bounce.
Why It Matters: Traders could see a potential price increase of up to 78%, reaching about $13 if resistance is broken. However, high leverage (with $564 million in open interest) and low liquidity mean the price could also drop sharply (Coinspeaker).
Summary
The future of OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) depends on the progress of the ETF approval, how well the treasury fund performs, and technical price movements. At the same time, challenges like token unlocks and regulatory pressure could limit recovery. It remains to be seen whether the SEC’s classification of TRUMP as a commodity will protect it from stricter rules or if increasing token supply will hold back any price gains.
What is expected in the development of TRUMP?
OFFICIAL TRUMP’s roadmap highlights key plans during a volatile market:
- Digital Asset Treasury (Q4 2025) – Raising $200M to $1B to help stabilize $TRUMP
- TRON Blockchain Integration (Date TBD) – Expanding beyond Solana for wider access
- Token Unlock Schedule (2025–2027) – Gradual release of tokens over time
In-Depth Look
1. Digital Asset Treasury (Q4 2025)
What it is: Fight Fight Fight LLC, the company behind $TRUMP, plans to create a Digital Asset Treasury (DAT). This treasury will collect Trump-related tokens to help keep prices steady and improve trading activity. They aim to raise between $200 million and $1 billion, led by Trump supporter Bill Zanker (Crypto.news).
Why it matters: This move is neutral for $TRUMP’s price. If successful, it could reduce selling pressure, but concerns remain because there’s no formal governance structure and risks of central control.
2. TRON Blockchain Integration (Date TBD)
What it is: A July 2025 tweet from @GetTrumpMemes suggested that $TRUMP will expand to the TRON blockchain, adding to its current presence on Solana. While no exact date is set, this cross-chain move could improve liquidity and access.
Why it matters: This is a positive sign for $TRUMP. TRON offers lower transaction fees and a larger user base, which might attract more buyers. However, delays could reduce the impact of this upgrade.
3. Token Unlock Schedule (2025–2027)
What it is: According to the original token plan, 80% of the 1 billion $TRUMP tokens held by Trump-affiliated groups will unlock gradually over three years. As of October 2025, about 65% remains locked, with steady releases expected through 2027 (GetTrumpMemes).
Why it matters: This is a negative factor for $TRUMP. The ongoing token releases—around $58 million worth weekly—could push prices down if demand doesn’t keep up. This partly explains the token’s 90% drop since its January 2025 high.
Conclusion
$TRUMP’s future depends on balancing new liquidity from the Digital Asset Treasury with the pressure from token unlocks. The planned TRON integration offers potential growth but comes with timing risks. Without a clear development roadmap and given the political nature of the project, price swings are likely to continue. Additionally, regulatory scrutiny of Trump-related crypto ventures could affect long-term adoption and stability.
What updates are there in the TRUMP code base?
OFFICIAL TRUMP’s recent software updates focus on making the token work across multiple blockchains and improving tools for users and developers.
- TRON Integration (July 7, 2025) – Added support for the TRON blockchain, allowing TRUMP to be used there.
- LayerZero Bridging (July 14, 2025) – Enabled moving TRUMP tokens between Solana and TRON blockchains easily.
Deep Dive
1. TRON Integration (July 7, 2025)
Overview:
OFFICIAL TRUMP expanded from just the Solana blockchain to also include TRON. This means more people using TRON can now access and trade TRUMP tokens.
The update involved creating TRUMP tokens on TRON’s network (switching from Solana’s SPL token standard to TRON’s TRC-20). This allows users to swap and transact TRUMP smoothly on both blockchains. The project shared contract addresses for both networks and encouraged liquidity by supporting pools on popular platforms like SunSwap (TRON) and Raydium (Solana).
What this means:
This is positive news for OFFICIAL TRUMP because it opens the door to more users and increases the amount of TRUMP available for trading. It also reduces dependence on just one blockchain, giving traders options to use faster and cheaper networks like TRON. (Source)
2. LayerZero Bridging (July 14, 2025)
Overview:
OFFICIAL TRUMP integrated a technology called LayerZero, which allows tokens to move between different blockchains—in this case, between Solana and TRON.
They added a bridge feature on the TRUMP website, so users can transfer their tokens directly between these blockchains without needing a centralized exchange. The code was carefully reviewed to ensure security, including safe locking of assets during transfers and instant updates to user balances.
What this means:
This update is neutral in impact. While it makes using TRUMP more convenient across blockchains, it also introduces some risks common with bridges, such as potential security vulnerabilities. Still, it helps users who hold tokens on multiple blockchains manage their assets more easily. (Source)
Conclusion
OFFICIAL TRUMP’s latest updates focus on making the token more flexible and accessible across different blockchain networks, following a growing trend in crypto toward multi-chain use. This is good for adoption, but the token’s value still heavily depends on meme culture and political themes, which can cause price swings. The key question is how OFFICIAL TRUMP will balance these technical improvements with its unpredictable, speculative nature.