Why did the price of TRUMP fall?

OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) dropped 2.01% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell by 0.4%. The main reasons include:

1. Newsmax’s $5 million crypto treasury plan didn’t boost buying – The announcement didn’t meet high expectations.
2. Technical breakdown – TRUMP’s price fell below a key support level at $5.74.
3. Market-wide cautious mood – The Crypto Fear & Greed Index showed “Fear” at 28, hurting riskier assets like TRUMP.

Detailed Analysis

1. Newsmax’s Announcement Disappoints (Negative Impact)

Summary:
Newsmax, a company listed on the New York Stock Exchange, said it plans to invest $5 million in Bitcoin and TRUMP tokens over the next year (TradingView). While this is a new move for a big company, $5 million is only 0.44% of TRUMP’s total market value of $1.14 billion.

What this means:
The market’s lukewarm response shows doubts about whether this plan will have a big impact, especially since the investment depends on market conditions. Also, TRUMP’s daily trading volume of $310 million is much larger than the planned $5 million purchase, so this won’t push the price up much.

2. Technical Weakness Signals More Downside (Bearish Trend)

Summary:
TRUMP’s price is below important moving averages: the 30-day average is $6.92 and the 200-day average is $9.53. The MACD indicator shows negative momentum, and the RSI is at 31.41, close to oversold but not yet signaling a reversal.

What this means:
Dropping below the $5.74 support level triggered automatic sell orders, pushing the price down further. Technical analysis suggests the next support level is around $5.40, which is halfway back from the recent rally.

What to watch:
If TRUMP’s price closes above $6.02, it might signal a short-term bounce.

3. Overall Crypto Market Sentiment Weighs on TRUMP (Neutral to Negative)

Summary:
The broader crypto market fell 0.4% as investors showed fear, according to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index at 28. TRUMP’s price tends to move closely with Bitcoin, with a 30-day correlation of 0.82, so it felt the impact strongly.

What this means:
Tokens like TRUMP, which are tied to political memes, tend to be more volatile when investors are cautious. Lower trading activity compared to previous months suggests less liquidity, making price drops more severe.

Conclusion

TRUMP’s recent decline is due to a combination of disappointing institutional interest, technical price weaknesses, and a cautious crypto market overall. While the token may see short-term rebounds due to oversold conditions, it remains vulnerable to large sell-offs and fading retail enthusiasm.

Key levels to watch: Can TRUMP hold the $5.40 support? If it breaks below, it could retest its 2025 low of $2.77. Also, keep an eye on Newsmax’s actual buying activity and Bitcoin’s price stability around $104,000.

What could affect the price of TRUMP?

The price of OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) depends heavily on political events, how the token is managed, and the hype created by internet memes.

1. Token Unlock Schedule – 80% of the tokens are held by Trump-related groups and will be gradually released over three years, which could lead to more tokens flooding the market.
2. Political Events – Donald Trump’s actions and media coverage can cause big swings in trading activity.
3. Corporate Interest – Newsmax’s plan to invest $5 million in TRUMP shows some business interest, but it’s still a small part of the overall market.

Deep Dive

1. Token Unlocks & Supply Impact (Potential Downside)

What’s happening:
Two companies linked to Trump, CIC Digital LLC and Fight Fight Fight LLC, control 80% of the total 1 billion TRUMP tokens. These tokens will be unlocked and released into the market over the next three years. Right now, only 200 million tokens (20%) are available for trading. Past unlock events have often led to price drops—for example, a 23% fall in October 2025.

Why it matters:
As more tokens become available, the market could get flooded, pushing prices down further. Investors often sell before these unlocks to avoid losses, which can create ongoing downward pressure on the token’s price.

2. Political Influence & Media Coverage (Mixed Effects)

What’s happening:
The value of TRUMP is closely tied to Donald Trump’s political moves and how the media covers him. For instance:

• Newsmax’s announcement of a $5 million investment in TRUMP helped stabilize prices briefly in October 2025.
• Tweets from Trump about tariffs allegedly caused $19 billion in crypto liquidations, showing how his statements can shake the market.

Why it matters:
Positive political news or support for cryptocurrencies could boost TRUMP’s price. On the other hand, regulatory crackdowns or a decline in Trump’s influence could hurt it. Essentially, TRUMP acts like a barometer for political excitement and risk in the crypto space.

3. Market Trends & Technical Analysis (Neutral to Bearish)

What’s happening:
TRUMP is currently trading at $5.73, which is below important short- and medium-term price averages ($5.87 and $6.92). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 33, indicating the token might be oversold, but the next strong price support is around $4.78. Overall, fear is high in the crypto market, with the Fear & Greed Index at 29.

Why it matters:
While there could be short-term price rebounds, the overall market conditions are challenging. The total crypto market has dropped 6.77% in the last 30 days, and interest in alternative coins like TRUMP remains low.

Conclusion

The future of OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) depends on a mix of political developments and the appetite for risk in the crypto market. Keep an eye on upcoming token unlock dates and any new policy announcements from Trump. This meme-driven token might continue to surprise, but the risk of price drops from token dilution is real.

What are people saying about TRUMP?

The conversation around OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) swings between political hype and concerns about market manipulation. Here’s what’s trending:

1. Claims of Trump-driven market swings – Some say tweets are causing price jumps and crashes.
2. $520 million token unlock impact – A large release of tokens has investors worried about oversupply.
3. “Trump Insider” whale bets – A mysterious $230 million long position has sparked speculation.

In-Depth Look

1. Market Manipulation Claims – Negative Outlook

@BTC_Chopsticks points out:
“Trump tweets tariffs → markets crash → reverses stance → profits. Rinse/repeat. TRUMP token down 88% since January 2025 peak.”
– @BTC_Chopsticks (1.2M followers · 2.8M impressions · 2025-10-18 11:21 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This suggests a negative outlook for TRUMP as traders become cautious about price swings driven by political events. The token’s 42% drop over the past 90 days supports this view.

2. Whale Activity – Potentially Positive

@TechLeviathan reports:
“A TRUMP-linked wallet opened a $230 million BTC/ETH long position with a 100% win rate. Could this signal a broader crypto rebound?”
– @TechLeviathan (890K followers · 1.1M impressions · 2025-10-18 13:32 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is neutral for TRUMP itself since the whale isn’t directly buying the token, but it could indicate coordinated bullish bets that might improve market sentiment.

3. Token Unlock Fallout – Negative Outlook

CoinMarketCap Analysis explains:
“50 million TRUMP tokens worth $520 million were unlocked in July, causing the price to drop sharply. A rescue plan to buy back over $200 million in tokens is underway, but confidence remains low.”
– Published 2025-06-07 08:52 UTC
What this means: This is negative until the buyback shows clear results. The circulating supply increased by 25% after the unlock, contributing to a 25% price drop in the last 30 days.

Summary

The outlook for OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) is mixed. On one hand, political hype and whale activity offer some hope. On the other, concerns about oversupply and market volatility weigh heavily. Keep an eye on the progress of the $200 million treasury buyback—if it fails to stabilize prices near $6, the token could face new lows.

What is the latest news about TRUMP?

OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) is gaining attention from businesses and political circles but faces challenges from regulators. Here’s a quick update:

1. Newsmax Supports TRUMP Treasury (October 17, 2025) – The media company plans to invest $5 million in Bitcoin and TRUMP tokens for its corporate funds.
2. Trump Family’s Crypto Earnings Reach $1 Billion (October 16, 2025) – Ventures linked to Trump’s presidency have made significant profits.
3. TRUMP ETF Proposal Moves Forward (October 10, 2025) – Canary Capital’s plan for a TRUMP exchange-traded fund (ETF) is listed on the DTCC, awaiting approval from the SEC.

In-Depth Look

1. Newsmax Supports TRUMP Treasury (October 17, 2025)

Summary: Newsmax, a publicly traded media company, announced it will allocate up to $5 million to Bitcoin and TRUMP tokens as part of its corporate treasury. CEO Christopher Ruddy described Bitcoin as “the gold standard” and linked TRUMP’s value to the success of Trump’s presidency.
What this means: This shows growing interest from established companies, which could help support TRUMP’s price. However, $5 million is small compared to TRUMP’s $1.1 billion market value, so the direct impact on price may be limited. (TradingView, The Block)

2. Trump Family’s Crypto Earnings Reach $1 Billion (October 16, 2025)

Summary: An investigation by the Financial Times found that Trump-related ventures, including the TRUMP memecoin and the USD1 stablecoin, have earned over $1 billion in pre-tax profits since Trump’s 2025 inauguration. TRUMP alone accounted for $362 million through sales and fees.
What this means: While this is positive for Trump-affiliated projects, it raises concerns about conflicts of interest. Lawmakers, especially Democrats, are considering bills to ban presidents from engaging in cryptocurrency activities, which could increase regulatory pressure. (Bitcoinist, Yahoo Finance)

3. TRUMP ETF Proposal Moves Forward (October 10, 2025)

Summary: Canary Capital’s proposal for a TRUMP ETF was listed on the Depository Trust & Clearing Corporation (DTCC) platform, a step before filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The SEC currently treats memecoins like TRUMP as commodities, which may improve chances of approval. After the announcement, TRUMP’s price rose slightly by 0.1%, though it remains 88% below its peak from January.
What this means: This is a neutral development. Approval of the ETF could increase trading options and liquidity for TRUMP, but the token’s high risk and speculative nature might limit widespread adoption. (AMBCrypto, CoinMarketCap)

Conclusion

OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) combines political momentum with growing corporate interest, but its future depends on clearer regulations and overall market confidence. The key question is whether increasing regulatory scrutiny will overshadow the excitement around this politically connected cryptocurrency.

What is expected in the development of TRUMP?

OFFICIAL TRUMP’s roadmap is focused on growing its ecosystem and improving liquidity.

1. Tron Network Launch (Q4 2025) – $TRUMP will be available on the Tron blockchain, paired with the USD1 stablecoin.
2. $520M Token Unlock (July 2025) – 50 million tokens will be released, affecting the total supply.
3. ETF Approval Process (Ongoing) – The SEC is reviewing Canary Capital’s proposal for a spot TRUMP ETF.

In-Depth Look

1. Tron Network Launch (Q4 2025)

What’s happening: $TRUMP will expand to the Tron blockchain, allowing trading with USD1, a stablecoin backed by U.S. government debt. This move aims to increase liquidity across different blockchains. This follows a $100 million TRUMP purchase announced by Tron founder Justin Sun in July 2025 and highlights Tron’s growing role in institutional crypto adoption (Cryptonews).
What it means: This is neutral for $TRUMP. Making the token available on Tron could attract new users, but since Tron already has strong stablecoin liquidity (USD1 makes up 5% of Tron’s decentralized finance market), $TRUMP might lose some of its unique appeal.

2. $520M Token Unlock (July 2025)

What’s happening: On July 18, 2025, 50 million $TRUMP tokens (about 25% of the circulating supply) were unlocked. After this, insiders still hold around 645,000 tokens valued at $7 million, according to CoinMarketCap.
What it means: This is bearish in the short term. Previous token unlocks led to price drops of about 22%. However, in the long run, if selling pressure decreases and demand picks up, prices could stabilize.

3. ETF Approval Process (Ongoing)

What’s happening: Canary Capital has submitted a proposal for a TRUMP ETF (ticker: TRPC) that is currently under review by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). A decision is expected by late 2025. If approved, this would be the first ETF linked to a sitting president’s cryptocurrency project (AMB Crypto).
What it means: Approval would be positive, as ETFs often attract institutional investors. However, the SEC has been cautious about memecoins, viewing them as risky and not traditional investment assets, which could delay or block approval.

Conclusion

$TRUMP’s roadmap shows a mix of growth plans (Tron integration), liquidity challenges (token unlocks), and regulatory hurdles (ETF approval). While political themes add volatility, the token’s real-world use remains uncertain. The key question is whether these developments will help $TRUMP evolve from a meme coin into a more sustainable project.

What updates are there in the TRUMP code base?

The OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP) ecosystem is growing with new cross-chain connections and gaming partnerships.

1. TRON Integration via LayerZero (July 14, 2025) – TRUMP is now connected to the Tron blockchain, making it easier for more people to use.
2. Mobile Game Development Announced (July 14, 2025) – A new mobile game will use TRUMP for in-game purchases and decision-making.

In-Depth Look

1. TRON Integration via LayerZero (July 14, 2025)

What happened: TRUMP has been added to the Tron blockchain using LayerZero’s technology, which allows smooth transfers between Solana and Tron networks.

This means TRUMP holders can now use their tokens with decentralized finance (DeFi) apps, NFT marketplaces, and payment systems on Tron’s fast network. The integration uses LayerZero’s omnichain fungible token (OFT) standard, which helps make cross-chain transactions secure and cost-effective.

Why it matters: This is positive news for TRUMP because it increases how easily the token can be used and traded across different blockchains. It also opens the door to Tron’s large user base of over 200 million people. (Source)

2. Mobile Game Development (July 14, 2025)

What happened: Developers revealed plans for a TRUMP-themed mobile game that mixes business simulation with political strategy. The game will use TRUMP tokens for in-app purchases and player voting.

Though details are still limited, the game will likely run on Solana’s low-cost network to handle real-time transactions. Early development hints at NFT-based character customization linked to TRUMP token ownership.

Why it matters: This is neutral for TRUMP in the short term since the success depends on how well the game is made. However, if it succeeds, it could create steady demand for TRUMP from casual gamers. (Source)

Conclusion

The latest updates to TRUMP’s technology focus on making the token work across different blockchains and in real-world applications. While there are risks in how well these plans will be executed, the new cross-chain features could help offset the token’s recent 43% drop over the past 90 days.