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What could affect the price of PI?

Pi’s price outlook depends on how smoothly the migration goes, how much the ecosystem grows, and overall market conditions.

  1. Open Network Launch (Q1 2025) – A crucial moment that will determine Pi’s real-world use and liquidity.
  2. Token Unlocks & Core Team Activity – Over 180 million PI tokens unlocking soon could put downward pressure on price.
  3. Regulatory Compliance – Meeting EU rules (MiCA) could open doors to more exchanges and investors.

Deep Dive

1. Open Network Transition (Q1 2025) – Mixed Impact

Overview:
Pi is moving to an open blockchain network in early 2025, which is a key event for its future. The team has extended the deadline for users to complete identity verification (KYC) and migrate their tokens until February 28, 2025 (Pi Core Team). This extension aims to get more verified users ready before the official launch.

What this means:

2. Token Unlocks & Team Activity – Bearish Pressure

Overview:
More than 180 million PI tokens will become available over the next month, with about 6 million unlocking daily. Recently, the Core Team moved 2 million PI tokens to exchanges, similar to a move in September 2025 that was followed by a 42% price drop (Yahoo Finance).

What this means:

3. Regulatory Progress & Ecosystem Growth – Bullish Potential

Overview:
Pi became compliant with the EU’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) regulations in November 2025, which could help it get listed on European exchanges. At the same time, over 215 Mainnet apps now accept PI for payments, gaming, and social features (CoinMarketCap).

What this means:

Conclusion

Pi’s price may face short-term challenges from token unlocks and technical weakness, but it has strong long-term potential if the Open Network launch delivers real utility. Keep an eye on the February 28 migration deadline and the Q1 2025 launch — will Pioneers start using PI, or just sell it?


What are people saying about PI?

The Pi community is feeling a mix of cautious optimism and frustration as upcoming token releases meet some promising technical signs. Here’s the latest:

  1. Token unlocks raise concerns about a flood of new supply hitting the market.
  2. Predictions of $1,000 by 2030 spark debate between believers and skeptics.
  3. The App Studio’s beta launch brings hope for real-world use, despite some early hiccups.
  4. A $0.42 double bottom pattern suggests a possible upward price reversal.

Deep Dive

1. @johnmorganFL: Growing Concerns Over Token Unlocks (Bearish)

"July unlocks of 276M $PI could trigger $127M in sell pressure"
– @johnmorganFL (35K followers · 12M impressions · 2025-07-09 05:22 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a bearish sign for $PI because releasing a large number of tokens without matching demand could push the price down further, continuing its significant yearly decline of 79%.

2. @HolaItsAk47: Excitement Around v23 Upgrade (Bullish)

"Smart contracts + KYC upgrades could ignite breakout"
– @HolaItsAk47 (44K followers · 2.3M impressions · 2025-09-15 16:44 UTC)
View original post
What this means: If the upgrade goes smoothly, it could be a positive development. Adding smart contracts and Know Your Customer (KYC) features might attract more developers to Pi’s growing app ecosystem, which already includes over 10,500 apps.

3. CoinMarketCap: Debate Over $1,000 Price Target (Mixed)

Bitget analysts highlight Pi’s potential for global adoption, but critics point out that reaching $1,000 per token would require a market value of $6 trillion—an extremely high bar.
– Source: CMC Article (2025-07-07)
What this means: This is a neutral outlook. The optimistic price predictions clash with the current price of $0.207 and a 72% increase in circulating supply this year, making such growth challenging.

4. @Nicat_eth: $0.42 Double Bottom Pattern (Bullish)

"Break above $0.52 resistance could trigger 20% rally"
– @Nicat_eth (7.5K followers · 885K impressions · 2025-07-26 10:24 UTC)
View original post
What this means: From a technical standpoint, this pattern is bullish. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 54% indicates that the momentum needed to confirm a price reversal is still uncertain.

Conclusion

The outlook for $PI is mixed. Progress in the Pi ecosystem, like the App Studio upgrades and promising technical signals, offers some hope. However, the large number of tokens scheduled to unlock in 2025—about 630 million tokens, potentially causing over $130 million in selling pressure—casts a shadow over short-term gains. Keep an eye on the September unlock rate (161 million tokens compared to August’s 300 million). A slower release of new tokens could help stabilize prices if demand picks up, especially with the anticipated v23 upgrade. For now, Pi remains a high-risk investment in a market still dominated by Bitcoin, which holds 58.56% of the total market share.


What is the latest news about PI?

Pi Network is facing downward price pressure and growing its ecosystem despite legal and technical hurdles. Here are the key updates:

  1. Price Approaches Record Low (Dec 13, 2025) – Technical signals suggest the price might test support at $0.17.
  2. Hackathon Winners Announced (Dec 12, 2025) – Privacy and utility apps stood out in Pi’s first Open Network hackathon.
  3. Core Team Token Transfer (Dec 12, 2025) – A 2 million PI token move raised concerns about potential sell-offs.

In-Depth Look

1. Price Approaches Record Low (Dec 13, 2025)

Summary:
The price of PI dropped to $0.20, down 93% from its peak earlier in 2025. This decline is linked to weakening demand and a technical pattern called a “head-and-shoulders” breakdown. Predictions suggest the price could fall further to $0.16 if the $0.18 support level doesn’t hold. Additionally, 180 million tokens are set to unlock in December, which may increase selling pressure.

What this means:
Market sentiment is mostly negative due to low trading volume and speculative activity. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a tool that measures if an asset is oversold or overbought, is at 30, indicating the price might stabilize soon. However, for a recovery, the price needs to break above the $0.23 resistance level. (CoinMarketCap)

2. Hackathon Winners Announced (Dec 12, 2025)

Summary:
Pi Network awarded 160,000 PI tokens to innovative apps like Blind_Lounge, a privacy-focused dating app, and Starmax, a loyalty rewards platform. Over 215 projects were submitted, covering areas such as payments, gaming, and social networking.

What this means:
This is a positive sign for the long-term usefulness of Pi. However, the Core Team reminded users that these apps are built by the community and may carry risks. If these projects succeed, they could help increase real-world adoption of Pi. (CoinMarketCap)

3. Core Team Token Transfer (Dec 12, 2025)

Summary:
A transfer of 2 million PI tokens from the Core Team’s reserve wallet caused the price to drop by 14%. Similar transfers in September 2025 were followed by large sell-offs on exchanges, raising concerns about centralized control over the token supply.

What this means:
This event has a negative short-term impact due to fears of increased selling and lack of transparency. The Core Team’s vague timeline for launching the Open Mainnet (expected in 2026) adds to skepticism, even as they continue working to comply with European regulations under MiCA. (Yahoo Finance)

Conclusion

Pi Network is at a critical point. Technical challenges and upcoming token unlocks could push prices lower, but new apps from the hackathon and regulatory compliance efforts offer some hope. With a lawsuit accusing the team of token dumping and delays in the Open Mainnet launch, the question remains: can Pi’s community-driven approach withstand short-term volatility? Keep an eye on the $0.18 support level and the progress of ecosystem apps for signs of recovery.


What is expected in the development of PI?

Pi Network’s roadmap is focused on growing its ecosystem and advancing the Open Mainnet.

  1. DEX Launch (Q1 2026) – Introducing a decentralized exchange for direct Pi trading between users.
  2. Mainnet V23 Upgrade (2026) – Enhancements to improve scalability and enable cross-chain transactions.
  3. Global KYC Expansion (Ongoing) – Improving identity verification in regions with current delays.
  4. Pi App Studio 2.0 (2026) – New AI-powered tools to help build apps without coding.

Deep Dive

1. DEX Launch (Q1 2026)

Overview: Pi Network plans to roll out its own decentralized exchange (DEX). This platform will allow users to trade Pi directly with each other, reducing the need for outside exchanges. This supports Pi’s goal of creating a self-sustaining ecosystem (Pi Core Team).
What this means: This is positive for Pi’s liquidity and usefulness, as easy on-chain trading could increase activity. However, delays or low user adoption at launch could limit its impact.

2. Mainnet V23 Upgrade (2026)

Overview: The V23 upgrade will add compatibility with Stellar Core technology, allowing Pi to work with other blockchains and improving how the network reaches agreement on transactions. Recent testing has progressed through versions v19 to v22 (Pi Blockexplorer).
What this means: This upgrade is generally positive for Pi’s long-term growth, but short-term technical issues like syncing nodes might cause some instability.

3. Global KYC Expansion (Ongoing)

Overview: More than 18 million Pi users, especially in Africa and Asia, still need to complete identity verification (KYC). Pi Network is using AI tools and local validators to speed up this process (Pi2Day 2025 Updates).
What this means: If verification delays continue, it could hold back user participation and token use. Successfully speeding up KYC could unlock about 500,000 active daily users.

4. Pi App Studio 2.0 (2026)

Overview: Building on the no-code AI platform launched in 2025, Pi App Studio 2.0 will add smart contract templates and shared liquidity pools between apps. The goal is to support over 10,000 decentralized apps (dApps) by 2027 (Pi Hackathon 2025).
What this means: This is promising for attracting developers, though there’s a risk of too many apps without real use cases, which could reduce overall value.

Conclusion

Pi Network’s roadmap combines important technical upgrades like the DEX and Mainnet V23 with efforts to grow the user base and developer community through KYC improvements and App Studio enhancements. These moves could strengthen Pi’s position as a mobile-first Web3 platform. However, challenges remain, especially around unlocking tokens and maintaining community trust. The big question is whether 2026 will bring the “utility explosion” needed to support Pi’s roughly $1.7 billion market value.


What updates are there in the PI code base?

In late 2025, Pi Network made important upgrades to its system and improved how its network nodes operate.

  1. Protocol v23 Upgrade (September 2025) – Introduced on-chain identity verification (KYC) and prepared the network for smart contracts through a testing environment.
  2. Pi Desktop 0.5.4 (November 2025) – Fixed issues with node rewards, added checks to ensure nodes are properly connected, and improved support for external links.
  3. Linux Node Launch (August 2025) – Expanded support to Linux operating systems, helping more users run network nodes and contribute to decentralization.

Deep Dive

1. Protocol v23 Upgrade (September 2025)

What happened: This update was first tested on Pi Network’s Testnet (a testing version of the blockchain). It introduced a way to verify user identities directly on the blockchain (on-chain KYC), which helps meet regulatory requirements without slowing down the network. It also set the stage for future smart contracts, using technology inspired by the Stellar blockchain.

The upgrade was rolled out in phases, improving how nodes sync with each other and providing better tools for developers. This means identity checks can happen in a decentralized way, which is especially helpful in areas where traditional verification is difficult.

Why it matters: This is a positive step for Pi Network because it makes identity verification smoother and prepares the network for more complex applications (dApps). However, there are still risks during the transition and concerns about privacy since identity data is stored on the blockchain. (Source)

2. Pi Desktop 0.5.4 (November 2025)

What happened: This update fixed bugs related to how node rewards were calculated and added a system to verify that nodes are properly connected to the network by checking open communication ports (TCP/UDP). It also improved automatic updates and made external links easier to use.

The port verification helps ensure that nodes are actively supporting the network’s security, which directly affects the rewards miners receive.

Why it matters: This update helps stabilize the network’s operations, which is good for the long-term health of Pi Network. However, it hasn’t yet reversed the recent drop in PI’s market price (which was $0.22 at the time of release). It lays important groundwork for future changes to how rewards are managed. (Source)

3. Linux Node Support (August 2025)

What happened: Pi Network officially added support for running nodes on Linux, expanding beyond Windows and macOS. This makes it easier for cloud service providers and enterprise users to participate, as Linux is widely used in server environments.

The update also introduced automatic syncing features to simplify updates and maintenance.

Why it matters: This is a positive development because it opens the door for more technical users and institutions to join the network. However, details about incentives for running Linux nodes are still unclear. (Source)

Conclusion

Pi Network’s updates in late 2025 focused on improving its technology: integrating identity verification more tightly, supporting more operating systems for nodes, and fixing reward system bugs. These changes strengthen the network’s foundation as it moves closer to its Open Mainnet launch. The key things to watch will be how quickly these Testnet improvements are adopted on the Mainnet and whether more developers and node operators get involved.