Why did the price of XMR go up?
Monero (XMR) increased by 0.83% in the last 24 hours, matching its 7.49% gain over the past week and outperforming the overall crypto market’s 0.55% rise. Here are the main reasons behind this movement:
- Growing Interest in Privacy Coins (Positive for Price)
- Technical Indicators Suggest Upward Momentum (Positive for Price)
- Confidence from Recent Network Upgrade (Positive for Price)
In-Depth Analysis
1. Growing Interest in Privacy Coins (Positive for Price)
Summary: Privacy-focused cryptocurrencies like Monero and Zcash have gained attention as major crypto platforms such as Coinbase and Tempo add privacy features to their services (AMBCrypto). Zcash’s recent 25% price jump has boosted confidence in the privacy coin sector, benefiting Monero as a leader in secure, untraceable transactions.
What this means: More institutional investors are recognizing the importance of privacy tools, including private stablecoins. This shift in perception—from privacy being linked to illegal activity to being seen as a necessary feature—is driving more investment into Monero.
What to watch: Updates on regulations affecting privacy coins and milestones in the adoption of shielded (private) transactions.
2. Technical Indicators Suggest Upward Momentum (Positive for Price)
Summary: Monero’s price bounced off a key support level at $269, with technical signals showing strength. The MACD histogram is rising (+0.705), and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 57.86, indicating a neutral to slightly bullish trend. The 7-day simple moving average ($314.43) and 30-day exponential moving average ($308.43) are both trending upward.
What this means: Traders see Monero holding above $330 as a sign of strength, aiming for the next resistance level near $346 (the high from October). If the price closes above $327.76 (a key Fibonacci retracement level), it could trigger more buying momentum in the short term.
What to watch: A sustained move above $346 could confirm a push toward the yearly high of $420.
3. Confidence from Recent Network Upgrade (Positive for Price)
Summary: Monero’s recent “Fluorine Fermi” upgrade, released on October 10, improved privacy by blocking suspicious network nodes that could spy on transactions (CoinDesk).
What this means: This upgrade reinforces Monero’s focus on privacy, attracting users concerned about surveillance. Following the update, Monero’s price rose to $347 before settling around $331.
What to watch: How widely the new privacy features are adopted and any future improvements to the network protocol.
Conclusion
Monero’s recent price increase reflects positive trends in the privacy coin sector, strong technical signals, and confidence from network upgrades. While the short-term outlook looks promising, investors should watch whether Monero can maintain support above $330 and break through resistance levels between $345 and $420.
Key question: Will Monero sustain buying interest above $330 to challenge the $345–$420 resistance zone?
What could affect the price of XMR?
Monero’s price depends on advances in privacy technology, regulatory challenges, and risks related to network security.
- Upcoming FCMP++ upgrade (Positive) – Adds protection against quantum computing and improves privacy
- Mining centralization risks (Negative) – History of a 51% attack by Qubic mining pool
- Regulatory scrutiny (Mixed) – Some exchanges removing Monero vs. growing interest from institutions
In-Depth Look
1. FCMP++ Upgrade & Quantum Resistance (Positive Impact)
What’s happening: Monero plans to release the Full-Chain Membership Proofs (FCMP++) upgrade by late 2025. This upgrade will strengthen defenses against future quantum computers and improve privacy by encrypting past transactions. This comes after a 2025 community-funded study revealed some weaknesses in Monero’s ring signature technology.
Why it matters: If FCMP++ works as planned, Monero could become the top privacy-focused cryptocurrency, attracting users concerned about quantum computing threats. A similar upgrade in 2021 (CLSAG) led to a 25% jump in Monero’s price.
2. Mining Centralization & Qubic’s Role (Negative Impact)
What’s happening: In August 2025, Qubic—a mining pool connected to IOTA co-founder Sergey Ivancheglo—controlled over half (51%) of Monero’s mining power. This allowed them to perform an 18-block reorganization, effectively undoing 36 minutes of transactions. Although Qubic’s share has since dropped to about 35%, the risk of centralization remains.
Why it matters: When mining power is too concentrated, the network’s security and trustworthiness are at risk. The August attack caused Monero’s price to fall by 19%. Moving miners to decentralized pools like P2Pool could help reduce this threat.
3. Regulatory Pressure vs. Privacy Demand (Mixed Impact)
What’s happening: Some major exchanges like Kraken and Bittrex removed Monero trading in 2025 due to regulatory concerns. However, companies like Coinbase and Stripe-backed Tempo are exploring private transaction options, showing growing institutional interest. The U.S. FIT21 bill also excluded privacy coins from being classified as securities, offering some relief.
Why it matters: Exchange delistings reduce how easily Monero can be traded (its turnover ratio is 2.3% compared to Bitcoin’s 5.8%), but demand for privacy-focused, censorship-resistant coins is increasing. Monero’s 20% fee cut in 2021 helped boost adoption, and similar improvements could help offset regulatory challenges.
Conclusion
Monero’s future depends on successfully rolling out privacy upgrades while managing mining centralization and regulatory pressures. The FCMP++ upgrade and growing institutional interest offer positive momentum, but Qubic’s influence and exchange delistings remain concerns. Will Monero’s mining power become more evenly distributed before the next upgrade? Keep an eye on miner activity this October and progress on FCMP++ development.
What are people saying about XMR?
The Monero (XMR) community is divided between excitement about its technology and concerns over security. Here’s what’s trending right now:
- Buy signals as traders notice positive price patterns
- Concerns about 51% attacks after one mining pool gained too much control
- Renewed interest in privacy features driving long-term price hopes
Deep Dive
1. @dcdotai: “Monero is being bought up” — bullish
“It’s a good time to get more Monero” – @dcdotai (Oct 11, 2025)
– 89K followers · 2.1M impressions · 2025-10-11 23:14 UTC
View original post
What this means: More people are buying Monero after it gained 25% in the last 90 days (from $250 to $330). Technical indicators like the 200-day moving average holding steady at $276 support this positive trend.
2. @Qubic: Risks of mining centralization — bearish
“We’re accumulating hashrate critical mass through incentives” – @Qubic (Aug 4, 2025)
– 212K followers · 15M impressions · 2025-08-04 11:29 UTC
View original post
What this means: The Qubic mining pool controls 38% of Monero’s mining power as of July 2025. This concentration raises concerns about decentralization and the risk of a 51% attack, leading to discussions about changing the protocol to prevent any one pool from dominating.
3. Bitrue: $532 price target by 2030 — mixed outlook
“Conservative 2030 forecast: $610 XMR” – Bitrue analysis (Sep 2, 2025)
What this means: Long-term price models predict Monero could nearly triple from its current $330 price. However, uncertainty around regulations for privacy-focused coins like Monero tempers this optimism.
Conclusion
The outlook for Monero is mixed. On one hand, strong technical signals and growing demand for privacy support price gains. On the other hand, concerns about mining centralization and security risks remain. The 51% attack fears from August 2025 still linger, but Monero’s recent 11% monthly price rebound shows resilience. Keep an eye on P2Pool, which currently holds about 15% of mining power, as a key indicator of decentralization health. For dedicated supporters, every price dip is seen as a “privacy discount.”
What is the latest news about XMR?
Monero is at the crossroads of growing interest in privacy and increasing regulatory challenges. Here are the key updates:
- Dark Web Crypto Operation Shut Down (October 24, 2025) – Five people pleaded guilty in a $7.9 million drug trafficking case that used Monero (XMR) to launder money.
- Monero Market Cap Surpasses Shiba Inu (October 23, 2025) – Monero’s market value rose above Shiba Inu’s, showing a shift toward privacy-focused cryptocurrencies.
- Privacy Features Added by Base and Tempo (October 24, 2025) – Coinbase’s Base and Stripe-backed Tempo are working on private stablecoin transactions to enhance user privacy.
In-Depth Look
1. Dark Web Crypto Operation Shut Down (October 24, 2025)
Summary: U.S. law enforcement took down FireBunnyUSA, a dark web drug trafficking group that laundered $7.9 million, including $3.1 million in Monero. The group converted Monero into Bitcoin through foreign exchanges, showing how Monero is used to keep transactions private.
What this means: This case highlights Monero’s strong privacy features but also raises concerns about increased regulatory attention. Global law enforcement efforts, like Interpol’s recent $260 million seizure, could lead to more exchanges removing Monero. Still, most criminal activity tends to use more traceable cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (Decrypt).
2. Monero Market Cap Surpasses Shiba Inu (October 23, 2025)
Summary: Monero’s market capitalization reached $6.11 billion, overtaking Shiba Inu’s $5.87 billion after an 8.22% price increase. This reflects growing interest in privacy coins as enthusiasm for meme coins fades.
What this means: Monero’s rise shows renewed focus on privacy and censorship resistance in the crypto space. Experts like Mert Mumtaz believe privacy is essential for cryptocurrency to gain wider acceptance globally, though limited support from exchanges remains a challenge (U.Today).
3. Privacy Features Added by Base and Tempo (October 24, 2025)
Summary: Coinbase’s Base and Stripe-backed Tempo are developing private stablecoin transactions to address concerns about the transparency of blockchain ledgers. This comes after strong gains by privacy coins like Zcash and Monero.
What this means: The move toward privacy by major platforms could help legitimize Monero and similar coins over time. However, regulatory uncertainty remains, especially after cases like Tornado Cash, and privacy-focused transactions may face compliance hurdles (AMBCrypto).
Conclusion
Monero is experiencing growing adoption and interest from institutions, but it also faces regulatory challenges. Its unmatched privacy technology is a strong advantage, yet its future depends on how well it can navigate increasing government scrutiny. The key question is whether demand for financial privacy will outpace regulatory crackdowns.
What is expected in the development of XMR?
Monero’s development plan focuses on improving privacy, building useful tools, and strengthening the network’s reliability.
- Seraphis & Jamtis Integration (2026) – A new transaction system to boost privacy and make addresses easier to use.
- Bulletproofs++ (Q1 2026) – Smaller, faster transactions to lower fees and speed up processing.
- Full-Chain Membership Proofs (Q4 2025) – A privacy layer that helps prove transaction history without revealing details, useful for compliance.
- Monero Browser Wallet (Q4 2025) – A browser-based wallet for easy and private XMR transactions.
Deep Dive
1. Seraphis & Jamtis Integration (2026)
Overview:
Seraphis is a new way to handle transactions that will replace Monero’s current system, RingCT. Jamtis adds reusable payment codes, making addresses simpler and easier to share. Together, they aim to make Monero more scalable and reduce the chance of leaking transaction details.
What this means:
This upgrade is positive for Monero (XMR) because it solves long-standing issues like complicated stealth addresses and strengthens privacy against tracking. However, if users and services are slow to adopt it, there could be risks during the transition.
2. Bulletproofs++ (Q1 2026)
Overview:
Bulletproofs++ is an improved version of Monero’s current system that verifies transactions. It reduces transaction size by about 20% and speeds up verification. It’s currently in final testing (Monero Research Lab).
What this means:
Smaller transactions mean lower fees and faster syncing, which could encourage more merchants to accept XMR. If this upgrade is delayed, it could be a disadvantage since other privacy coins like Zcash already use similar improvements.
3. Full-Chain Membership Proofs (Q4 2025)
Overview:
Full-Chain Membership Proofs (FCMP++) let users prove their transaction history without revealing specific details. This helps with audits and regulatory compliance while keeping privacy intact. This project received funding in April 2024 (Monero Community).
What this means:
This feature strikes a balance between privacy and regulatory needs. It’s especially important for exchanges thinking about relisting Monero after some removed it in 2024. Overall, it’s a neutral to positive development.
4. Monero Browser Wallet (Q4 2025)
Overview:
This is a browser extension wallet funded by the community and developed by Spirobel. It allows users to send and receive XMR directly in their browsers without relying on third-party servers. It’s designed to work smoothly with privacy-focused decentralized apps (dApps).
What this means:
This wallet could boost Monero adoption by reducing dependence on centralized wallets like Cake Wallet. However, success depends on overcoming challenges like browser extension bans, such as those from Chrome on privacy coins.
Conclusion
Monero’s roadmap focuses on advanced privacy technologies like Seraphis/Jamtis and practical tools like the Browser Wallet to tackle regulatory and usability challenges. While concerns about mining centralization exist (for example, Qubic controls 38% of the network’s hashrate), upcoming upgrades aim to protect decentralization. The big question remains: can Monero maintain its strong privacy values amid technical and economic pressures?
What updates are there in the XMR code base?
Monero’s recent software updates focus on boosting privacy and security.
- Fluorine Fermi Upgrade (October 10, 2025) – Improved how nodes connect to block spying and keep the network anonymous.
- Privacy Leak Patch (August 26, 2025) – Fixed a security flaw that could expose users when connecting to harmful remote nodes.
- Development Funding Increase (September 18, 2025) – Raised $925,000 to support upgrades and protect against attacks.
In-Depth Look
1. Fluorine Fermi Upgrade (October 10, 2025)
What it is: This update targets “spy nodes” — bad actors trying to link transactions to users’ IP addresses by monitoring network connections.
The upgrade uses smarter methods to choose which nodes connect, avoiding groups of nodes in the same IP range, a common spying tactic. It also allows users to create more subaddresses and makes the network more stable.
Why it matters: This strengthens Monero’s privacy by making it harder for anyone to track transactions. Users get better anonymity automatically, without needing to change settings.
(Source)
2. Privacy Leak Patch (August 26, 2025)
What it is: A critical fix closed a loophole where malicious remote nodes could trick wallets into revealing user information.
The patch makes wallets check transaction data more carefully, preventing exposure of IP addresses or transaction habits.
Why it matters: This fix doesn’t add new features but is important for keeping Monero secure and private. It shows the team’s ongoing commitment to protecting users.
(Source)
3. Development Funding Increase (September 18, 2025)
What it is: Monero’s Community Crowdfunding System raised $925,000 in 2025, with $189,000 coming in late September.
The money supports research to prevent “selfish mining” attacks—where miners try to gain unfair advantages—and upgrades like “Publish or Perish,” which penalizes miners who delay submitting blocks.
Why it matters: This funding boost shows strong community support for Monero’s long-term security. Developers can focus on reducing risks related to mining centralization.
(Source)
Conclusion
Monero’s latest updates focus on strengthening privacy and defending against attacks. The Fluorine Fermi upgrade and community-funded projects highlight Monero’s dedication to staying the top privacy-focused cryptocurrency.
How will Monero’s development keep pace with new challenges like mining centralization?