Why did the price of PUMP go up?
Pump.fun (PUMP) increased by 3.48% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market, which gained 0.67%. Here’s why:
- Buyback Program – Since July 2025, $32.7 million has been spent buying back tokens, creating extra demand.
- Oversold Bounce – The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped to 27.52 over 7 days, indicating a short-term buying opportunity.
- Market Positioning – Recent news highlighted PUMP as the top token sale of 2025, raising $600 million.
Deep Dive
1. Buyback Momentum vs. Whale Selling (Mixed Impact)
Overview: Pump.fun uses 98% of its platform revenue to buy back tokens daily, totaling $213.41 million since July 2025. However, a large investor (a “whale”) recently sold 3.8 billion PUMP tokens, losing $7.57 million on the trade, according to CoinMarketCap.
What this means: Buybacks reduce the number of tokens available, which can support the price (14.75% of tokens have been burned since launch). But big sales like this suggest some investors are losing confidence. The recent price increase shows buybacks are currently outweighing selling pressure.
What to watch: Keep an eye on net inflows to exchanges—if more tokens keep coming in to sell, buybacks might not be enough to support the price.
2. Technical Rebound from Extreme Lows (Bullish)
Overview: On December 24, PUMP’s 7-day RSI hit 27.52, signaling it was oversold. This coincided with a bounce off the $0.0016831 Fibonacci support level. The token is now trading above its 7-day simple moving average (SMA) of $0.001837.
What this means: Traders saw the oversold signal as a chance to buy, especially since PUMP is down 70% from its all-time high in July 2025. The MACD histogram (-0.000030178) suggests bearish momentum is weakening.
3. Narrative Fatigue vs. Market Leadership (Mixed)
Overview: PUMP leads 2025 token sales with $600 million raised (CoinMarketCap), but Solana’s decentralized finance (DeFi) total value locked (TVL) has dropped 33% since October. Meanwhile, competitors like LetsBONK.fun are gaining market share.
What this means: Some traders are betting on PUMP’s strong past performance despite a weakening ecosystem. The Fear & Greed Index at 28 (Extreme Fear) suggests high market volatility.
Conclusion
PUMP’s recent 24-hour price increase reflects a technical rebound supported by aggressive buybacks. However, challenges remain, including Solana’s declining TVL and large investor sell-offs. Key to watch: Will PUMP stay above the $0.001836 SMA, or will the downward trend of -59% over 60 days continue?
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What could affect the price of PUMP?
The future of Pump.fun (PUMP) depends on its buyback program, demand for memecoins, and ongoing legal challenges.
- Buyback sustainability – The platform has spent $213 million since July 2025 on buybacks, but the token price is still down 70% from its all-time high.
- Rising competition – LetsBONK.fun now controls 55% of new Solana memecoin launches, outpacing Pump.fun.
- Legal challenges – A $5.5 billion lawsuit accuses Pump.fun of using predatory practices, which could force major changes to the platform.
Deep Dive
1. Buyback Effectiveness vs. Large Holder Sell-Offs (Mixed Results)
Overview:
Pump.fun uses 98% of its daily revenue (about $1 million) to buy back PUMP tokens, removing roughly 15% of the total supply since July 2025. Despite this, large holders have recently sold 3.8 billion PUMP tokens (worth $7 million) at significant losses (CoinMarketCap).
What this means:
While buybacks create steady demand, they aren’t enough to offset big sell-offs by whales and the large total supply of 1 trillion tokens. For the price to stabilize, daily buybacks would need to double to over $2 million, which is unlikely unless the platform’s revenue triples.
2. Memecoin Launch Competition (Negative Impact)
Overview:
In July 2025, LetsBONK.fun surpassed Pump.fun by capturing 55% of the Solana memecoin launch market. They attract users with lower fees and BONK token rewards. Meanwhile, Solana memecoin launches have dropped 40% year-over-year as Bitcoin ETFs have drawn retail investors away (The Defiant).
What this means:
Pump.fun’s success depends heavily on the number of new memecoin projects launched weekly—currently about 1,200. If this number falls below 800, revenue may not cover buyback costs. Additionally, the market is shifting toward tokens with real-world use cases in 2026, which could further reduce demand for memecoins like PUMP.
3. Legal Risks (Potentially Severe)
Overview:
A class-action lawsuit claims Pump.fun operates like an “unlicensed casino” through its bonding curve token model. Similar cases have led the SEC to classify comparable token launches as unregistered securities in 2024 (CoinMarketCap).
What this means:
If courts require Know Your Customer (KYC) checks or ban U.S. users, trading volume could drop sharply. However, since 70% of users are outside the U.S., the platform has some protection. Worst-case scenarios include removal from regulated exchanges like Coinbase.
Conclusion
Pump.fun faces significant risks. While buybacks provide some support, legal troubles and growing competition pose serious threats. The big question is whether Pump.fun can shift toward sustainable uses like governance and staking before interest in memecoins fades. Keep an eye on the number of active creators on the platform—if weekly active creators fall below 50,000 (down from 72,000 today), it could signal major trouble ahead.
What are people saying about PUMP?
The Pump.fun (PUMP) community is divided between hope from recent token buybacks and concerns about large holders selling off. Here’s the latest:
- A $19.2 million token buyback has sparked optimism, even though the buyback price is 87% higher than the current market price.
- Legal challenges are underway, with a class-action lawsuit raising questions about the platform’s fairness.
- Technical analysis points to a critical support level around $0.00181 that could determine the token’s next move.
In-Depth Look
1. Buyback Raises Mixed Feelings
According to @Lookonchain, Pump.fun spent 118,350 SOL (about $19.2 million) to buy back 2.99 billion PUMP tokens at $0.0064 each — which is 87% above the current price. This shows confidence from the team but also creates a price barrier at $0.0064 that might limit future price gains.
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What this means: While buybacks reduce the number of tokens available and can support prices, paying a premium means the token has to climb a steep price wall to rally further.
2. Legal Issues Cast a Shadow
Velvet_Unicorn highlights ongoing legal troubles, including a $5.5 billion class-action lawsuit accusing the platform of operating like a “rigged casino.” This raises concerns about transparency and fairness that buybacks alone can’t fix.
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What this means: These legal challenges could scare off new investors and force changes to the platform, potentially hurting its revenue and growth.
3. Technical Support Could Spark a Rally
Finora_EN points out a key price zone between $0.00181 and $0.00203. If this support holds, PUMP could see a 39% price increase up to $0.00256. However, if the price falls below $0.00174, it could trigger a sharp sell-off.
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What this means: There’s cautious optimism here. If the token holds this support level, it might bounce back, but breaking below it could lead to further losses.
Conclusion
The outlook for Pump.fun (PUMP) is mixed. On one hand, aggressive token buybacks and incentives show commitment to growth. On the other, ongoing legal issues and the risk of large holders selling create uncertainty. Keep an eye on the $0.0034 resistance level — breaking above it could confirm a positive trend, while failing to do so might reinforce bearish sentiment. With technical indicators like the RSI at 42 and neutral funding rates, PUMP’s future depends on whether it can overcome legal hurdles and capitalize on renewed interest in Solana-based meme coins.
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What is the latest news about PUMP?
Pump.fun is riding the wave of Solana-based memecoins but faces legal challenges and struggles with buyback efforts. Here’s a quick update:
- $600M Token Sale Leads the Market (Dec 27, 2025) – Pump.fun raised $600 million in one of 2025’s biggest token sales, aiming to grow its platform with social and live-streaming features.
- 35% Price Drop Despite Buybacks (Dec 24, 2025) – Even with aggressive buybacks, PUMP’s price fell 35% amid broader market selloffs and large holders selling off.
- Legal Allegations Surface (Dec 24, 2025) – A law firm accused Pump.fun of harassment related to anonymous memecoin launches, adding pressure on the project.
Deep Dive
1. $600M Token Sale Leads the Market (Dec 27, 2025)
What happened:
Pump.fun raised $600 million in just 12 minutes during its July 2025 token sale, selling 12.5% of its total 1 trillion PUMP tokens to the public. The funds will help expand the platform on Solana by adding social networking and live streaming features. The rest of the tokens are reserved for the team, liquidity, and ecosystem growth.
Why it matters:
This shows strong investor interest and supports Pump.fun’s plan to grow beyond just memecoin launches. However, despite this success, PUMP’s price has dropped 70% year-to-date, showing that raising money doesn’t always mean the market will follow. (Cryptopotato)
2. 35% Price Drop Despite Buybacks (Dec 24, 2025)
What happened:
In December, PUMP’s price dropped 35% even though the team spent $32.7 million buying back tokens. Large holders (whales) sold $7.57 million worth of tokens, taking a $12 million loss. Daily buybacks of about $1 million couldn’t stop the price from falling, as the overall crypto market dropped 30% since October.
Why it matters:
This is a negative sign, showing that even with strong buyback efforts, PUMP is struggling against wider market downturns. The token is now trading 80% below its all-time high from July 2025 ($0.0121), reflecting reduced confidence in memecoin projects during uncertain times. (CoinMarketCap)
3. Legal Allegations Surface (Dec 24, 2025)
What happened:
Burwick Law filed a complaint accusing Pump.fun of harassment and threats connected to anonymous memecoin launches that referenced the law firm’s clients. While there’s no direct proof that Pump.fun’s team was involved, the allegations have hurt PUMP’s reputation and price.
Why it matters:
This adds regulatory risk to the platform, which already operates in a volatile space. How Pump.fun responds to these claims could affect investor trust and the platform’s future. (The Defiant)
Conclusion
Pump.fun is growing quickly with new token launches but faces serious challenges: buybacks aren’t stopping price drops, legal issues are mounting, and the memecoin market on Solana is shifting. Its move toward social and live-streaming features might help regain momentum, but regulatory scrutiny could limit its upside.
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What is expected in the development of PUMP?
Pump.fun’s roadmap is focused on growing its ecosystem and rewarding users:
- EVM Chain Expansion (2026) – Making Pump.fun compatible with Ethereum and similar networks.
- Daily Active Token (DAT) Buybacks (Q1 2026) – Buying back PUMP tokens every day to support the price.
- Social & Creator Tools (2026) – Adding subscription options and better tools for content creators.
- Revenue Sharing for Holders (2026) – Sharing platform fees with PUMP token holders.
Deep Dive
1. EVM Chain Expansion (2026)
Overview: Pump.fun plans to expand beyond the Solana blockchain to include Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) compatible chains like Ethereum and Polygon. This will allow users to create meme coins on these popular networks. This move is part of Pump.fun’s competition with Bonk.fun, which currently leads meme coin launches on Solana (CoinCu).
What this means: This is a positive step for PUMP because supporting multiple blockchains, especially Ethereum’s large developer community, could bring more users and projects. However, there are risks in successfully launching on new chains and competing with well-established platforms like Uniswap.
2. Daily Active Token (DAT) Buybacks (Q1 2026)
Overview: Recent code updates suggest Pump.fun will start buying back PUMP tokens daily using revenue from the platform. A community leak from September 2025 hinted that buybacks could reach up to $5 million per day (CryptoStreamHub).
What this means: If this happens, it could help stabilize or increase PUMP’s price by reducing the number of tokens available. On the other hand, if buybacks are smaller than expected, it may not have much impact, especially since PUMP’s price has dropped about 70% so far this year.
3. Social & Creator Tools (2026)
Overview: Updates to Pump.fun’s software development kit (SDK) show plans to introduce subscription services, social feeds, and copy-trading features. These tools aim to increase user engagement and help creators earn more on the platform (Dumpster DAO).
What this means: This could be good for Pump.fun by encouraging more activity and content creation. However, there may be regulatory challenges, especially around influencer-led token promotions.
4. Revenue Sharing for Holders (2026)
Overview: Pump.fun announced in June 2025 that it plans to share 50% of fees collected on its decentralized exchange, PumpSwap, with PUMP token holders. This is similar to how other decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms like Uniswap reward their users, though no exact start date has been given (Coinlive).
What this means: This could attract investors looking for passive income from holding PUMP tokens. The short-term benefit depends on trading volume, which recently dropped by 28%.
Conclusion
Pump.fun’s roadmap focuses on expanding its platform through cross-chain support, token buybacks, and rewarding its community. These efforts could help Pump.fun regain its position in meme coin creation. However, success will depend on how well these plans are executed amid strong competition and regulatory challenges. A key question remains: can these improvements make up for the 90% increase in PUMP’s circulating supply since July 2025?
What updates are there in the PUMP code base?
Pump.fun has updated its platform to focus more on user experience and rewarding its community.
- Version 2.0 Launch (June 28, 2025) – Made trading easier with real-time updates and one-click trades.
- Incentive Program SDK Update (July 28, 2025) – Introduced plans to reward traders using the PUMP token.
Deep Dive
1. Version 2.0 Launch (June 28, 2025)
Overview: The new version added real-time price alerts, a "Movers Feed" to highlight trending tokens, and one-click trade execution. These features were designed to make trading meme coins simpler and faster.
The update also improved the mobile app’s speed, reducing delays when placing trades. A news section was added to help users quickly find trending coins and potential opportunities.
What this means: This is positive for PUMP because a smoother trading experience can attract more users and increase activity on the platform. However, the token’s price didn’t immediately rise much after the update, indicating it might take time for users to fully adopt these changes. (Source)
2. Incentive Program SDK Update (July 28, 2025)
Overview: The code changes revealed plans for a new incentive program using the PUMP token. This includes tools to track how much users trade and customize rewards based on that activity.
The update showed test settings for distributing up to 1 billion PUMP tokens daily (about 3% of the total supply), though this number is likely an overestimate. The goal seems to be keeping traders engaged, especially with competition from platforms like BONK.fun.
What this means: This is a mixed signal for PUMP. While rewards could encourage more trading in the short term, giving out too many tokens risks inflation, which can lower the token’s value. After the news, PUMP’s price dropped by 6.55%, showing some market concern. (Source)
Conclusion
Pump.fun’s recent updates focus on making the platform easier to use and keeping traders engaged. However, there are risks around how these changes will affect the token’s long-term value. It remains to be seen if ongoing development will create lasting benefits for PUMP holders or if token dilution will limit growth.