What could affect the price of ALGO?
Algorand’s price is caught between strong technical support and ongoing challenges.
- Foundation Sell Pressure – Algorand Inc. and its Foundation continue selling ALGO tokens, which may limit price gains.
- Tokenization Momentum – Focus on real-world assets (RWAs) could boost demand for ALGO.
- Decentralization Progress – The number of network nodes increased by 179% in 2025, making the network more secure.
Deep Dive
1. Foundation Sell Pressure (Bearish Impact)
Overview: There are ongoing concerns in the community about Algorand Inc. and the Foundation selling large amounts of ALGO during price increases. For example, a recent forum post highlights this issue. Last week, about 50 million ALGO tokens (worth over $10 million) were sold, which absorbed most retail buying interest.
What this means: When major holders keep selling, it puts downward pressure on the price and makes it harder for ALGO to rally. Since about 1.19 billion ALGO tokens are still waiting to enter the market, careful management of these sales is essential to prevent further price drops.
2. Tokenization & Partnerships (Bullish Impact)
Overview: Algorand is working to become a leading platform for tokenizing real-world assets. For example, FIFA’s World Cup ticket NFTs were initially on Algorand but moved to Avalanche. Algorand also partners with companies like VersaBank on projects such as insured stablecoins. CEO Staci Warden described tokenization as crypto’s “killer app” at DAS London 2025.
What this means: If Algorand can successfully grow adoption of tokenized assets—like Midas, which has over $90 million in tokenized Treasuries—it could attract more institutional investors. However, losing high-profile projects like FIFA’s NFTs to competitors shows there is strong competition in this space.
3. Network Health & Roadmap (Mixed Impact)
Overview: Algorand’s roadmap for 2025 and beyond focuses on improving security with quantum-resistant technology, adding AI-powered tools, and expanding decentralized governance (called xGov). The number of network nodes jumped to 3,894, a 179% increase from last year, which reduces dependence on Foundation-controlled validators.
What this means: More decentralization builds trust among investors and users. But delays in launching key features, like the Rocca Wallet now expected in 2026, could allow competitors like Chainlink to gain an edge in attracting institutional users.
Conclusion
ALGO’s future depends on balancing the pressure from Foundation token sales with growth in real-world asset adoption. Technical indicators suggest the price is oversold (RSI at 48.76), but it’s important that the $0.20 support level holds to avoid revisiting the $0.12 low from 2024. The question remains: can Algorand’s “invisible blockchain” approach overcome ongoing selling pressure? Keep an eye on stablecoin inflows and the rollout of xGov governance in Q4 for signs of progress.
What are people saying about ALGO?
The Algorand community is buzzing with a mix of technical optimism and excitement about real-world uses. Here’s what’s trending right now:
- Breakout bets – Traders are watching $0.27 as a key resistance level to flip into support.
- Real-world asset (RWA) growth – Partnerships involving tokenized real estate and banking are driving positive sentiment.
- Roadmap updates – A new Chief Technology Officer and cross-chain improvements are generating developer interest.
In-Depth Look
1. @johnmorganFL: “$0.50 incoming if ALGO holds $0.26” (Bullish)
“Algorand broke through the $0.26 resistance with a 7.7% gain in one day. Next targets are $0.30 to $0.50 if volume stays strong.”
– @johnmorganFL (89K followers · 412K impressions · August 20, 2025)
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What this means: Technical analysts see a bullish pattern called a “double bottom” forming since April 2025. The $0.27 to $0.30 range is a critical zone to watch for a breakout.
2. @AlgoFoundation: “Algoland quests begin” (Neutral)
“Complete on-chain challenges for a chance to win 100,000 $ALGO tokens and exclusive NFTs.”
– @AlgoFoundation (210K followers · 1.2M impressions · September 22, 2025)
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What this means: The Algorand Foundation is encouraging more users to engage with the network and decentralized apps (DApps) through gamified challenges. While this may increase activity, its immediate effect on price is uncertain.
3. @LordOfAlts: “Federally insured USDVB on Algorand” (Bullish)
“VersaBank’s pilot project to tokenize the U.S. dollar could make ALGO the foundation for compliant banking systems.”
– @LordOfAlts (62K followers · 287K impressions · August 28, 2025)
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What this means: Collaborations with regulated financial institutions highlight Algorand’s growing role in tokenizing real-world assets. Algorand currently holds over $90 million in total value locked (TVL) in this sector.
Conclusion
The overall outlook on Algorand is cautiously optimistic. While technical indicators suggest a potential breakout, on-chain growth has been slower than some expected. The $0.20 to $0.26 price range remains a key battleground. Keep an eye on:
- Stablecoin inflows: The supply of USDC stablecoins on Algorand jumped 77% in the third quarter of 2025 (Coinpedia)
- Regulatory news: Swiss regulators are reviewing FIFA’s Algorand-based World Cup NFTs, which could influence institutional adoption.
Watch for a weekly close above $0.27 — breaking this level decisively could confirm a strong upward trend known as the “accumulation-to-parabola” thesis.
What is the latest news about ALGO?
Algorand is navigating the buzz around tokenization, making technical adjustments, and responding to regulatory developments. Here’s the latest update:
- Tokenization Called a “Killer App” (October 14, 2025) – CEO Staci Warden highlighted tokenization’s potential at DAS London, pointing to $33 billion in real-world asset (RWA) activity.
- Price Targets $1 Amid Accumulation Pattern (October 9, 2025) – Analysts see a possible price breakout if ALGO holds support at $0.20.
- FIFA Token Investigation Raises Concerns (October 6, 2025) – Swiss regulators are reviewing FIFA’s NFT ticketing system, which was originally built on Algorand but later moved to Avalanche.
In-Depth Look
1. Tokenization Called a “Killer App” (October 14, 2025)
Summary:
At the DAS London 2025 conference, Algorand Foundation CEO Staci Warden described tokenization as the key breakthrough for blockchain technology. She highlighted a $33 billion market for real-world assets (RWAs) and a $300 billion stablecoin market as major growth areas. The event stressed the importance of making blockchain easy to use, with industry leaders like Santiago Roel Santos encouraging strategies that simplify adoption for everyday users.
What this means:
This is a positive sign for Algorand (ALGO). Its infrastructure is ready for ISO 20022, a global financial messaging standard, and it has strong partnerships with companies like Circle and S&P Global. These factors position Algorand well to meet growing demand from institutional investors interested in RWAs. However, Algorand faces competition from other blockchains like Avalanche and Ethereum, which handle large volumes of cross-chain transactions (around $1.3 trillion annually).
(Source: Blockworks)
2. Price Targets $1 Amid Accumulation Pattern (October 9, 2025)
Summary:
ALGO’s price recently dropped to $0.20, testing a key support level. Analysts have identified a potential “double-bottom” pattern, which often signals a price rebound. If ALGO can break above its 20-week moving average at $0.23, it could aim for a price between $0.90 and $1.00. However, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral at 46, meaning there’s still a chance the price could fall.
What this means:
Technically, the outlook is cautiously optimistic but depends on the overall market improving. ALGO’s 30-day price volatility is high at 65.57%, reflecting uncertainty among traders, even though transaction volume has grown by 66%. If ALGO fails to hold the $0.20 support, it might drop back to around $0.15, a level seen in June.
(Source: Crypto.News)
3. FIFA Token Investigation Raises Concerns (October 6, 2025)
Summary:
Swiss regulator Gespa is investigating FIFA’s “Right-to-Buy” NFT tickets for the 2026 World Cup. While no wrongdoing has been found, the review highlights that FIFA moved its NFT ticketing system from Algorand to Avalanche in May 2025 to improve scalability.
What this means:
This development could create negative sentiment around Algorand, as it raises questions about the platform’s ability to keep major partnerships. On the other hand, Algorand is shifting focus toward banking applications, such as VersaBank’s pilot project for tokenized U.S. dollars, and is actively involved in policy discussions through groups like the Blockchain Association. These efforts may help balance out any reputational damage.
(Source: Cointelegraph)
Conclusion
Algorand’s story is a mix of promising growth in real-world asset tokenization and challenges from technical and partnership issues. CEO Staci Warden’s push for tokenization fits well with broader market trends, but ALGO’s price still depends heavily on Bitcoin’s market dominance (currently 58.63%) and the overall liquidity of alternative cryptocurrencies. The key question for the last quarter of 2025 is whether momentum in real-world assets can outweigh the impact of FIFA’s move away from Algorand.
What is expected in the development of ALGO?
Algorand is moving forward with some key updates:
- xGov Grant Applications (September 2025) – Community members will help fund projects that support the Algorand ecosystem.
- Rocca Wallet Preview (Q4 2025) – A user-friendly wallet designed for everyday users to manage their own crypto securely.
- Algokit 4.0 Release (1H 2026) – New developer tools with AI features to make building smart contracts easier.
In-Depth Look
1. xGov Grant Applications (September 2025)
What’s happening:
The xGov platform, which started in August 2025, will begin giving out grants in September. Community voters—chosen based on their history of helping maintain the network—will decide how to distribute 3 million ALGO tokens (about $612,000 at today’s prices) to support public projects and developer tools. Those applying for funding must complete identity verification (KYC), and the funds will be released gradually to reduce risks related to smart contracts (Algorand Forum).
Why it matters:
This is a positive sign for ALGO because letting the community guide funding can boost developer involvement and help the ecosystem grow sustainably. However, since some processes are still manual during this early phase, progress might be a bit slow at first.
2. Rocca Wallet Preview (Q4 2025)
What’s happening:
The Rocca Wallet, expected to be previewed in late 2025, is designed for everyday users. It uses modern identity standards (called DID/VC) to give users control over their digital identity and simplifies managing private keys. The full version, planned for early 2026, aims to compete with popular wallets like MetaMask by making blockchain technology easier to use (CoinMarketCap News).
Why it matters:
This update could encourage more people to use Algorand by improving the user experience. However, its success will depend on how well it works with decentralized apps (dApps) and how it stacks up against other wallets.
3. Algokit 4.0 Release (1H 2026)
What’s happening:
Algokit 4.0 will bring AI-powered coding help, new software development kits (SDKs) for popular programming languages like Rust, Swift, and Kotlin, and modular smart contract libraries. It’s designed to make it easier for developers familiar with traditional web technologies (Web2) to build on Algorand, including a simple key-value storage system to reduce learning hurdles (Algorand Blog).
Why it matters:
If developers adopt these tools, it could significantly grow Algorand’s developer community. The main challenge will be convincing developers to switch from other popular blockchain platforms like Ethereum or Solana.
Conclusion
Algorand’s roadmap focuses on three main areas: decentralizing decision-making with xGov, improving user experience with Rocca Wallet, and empowering developers with Algokit. The project is also targeting the massive $18.9 trillion tokenization market and emphasizes compliance and security features that appeal to institutions. The big question is whether Algorand can attract developers faster than other leading blockchain platforms.
What updates are there in the ALGO code base?
Algorand’s recent software updates bring important improvements to speed, security, and cross-chain compatibility.
- Dynamic Block Timing (July 2025) – Block times now average 2.8 seconds thanks to smarter network adjustments.
- AVM v10 Upgrades (July 2025) – New cryptographic features and more efficient smart contract operations.
- Wormhole NTT Integration (July 2025) – Enables easy token transfers across multiple blockchains without wrapping assets.
Deep Dive
1. Dynamic Block Timing (July 2025)
What it is: Algorand’s update v3.21 introduced a system that adjusts how fast blocks are created based on real-time network conditions. Instead of fixed wait times, the network adapts to how well nodes are performing and connected.
This change reduced the average block time from 3.4 seconds to 2.8 seconds, speeding up transactions without compromising the network’s decentralization. The system increases or decreases wait times depending on network delays, preventing slowdowns while keeping everyone involved.
Why it matters: Faster blocks mean quicker transactions and a better user experience. This makes Algorand more attractive for applications that need speed, like payments and decentralized finance (DeFi).
2. AVM v10 Upgrades (July 2025)
What it is: The Algorand Virtual Machine (AVM), which runs smart contracts, now supports advanced cryptography and more efficient data handling.
New commands like ec_pairing_check allow for stronger cryptographic signatures, improving security and privacy. Other updates like box_splice and box_resize help reduce the cost of storing and managing data on the blockchain. Also, LogicSig contracts can now share resources across multiple transactions, improving efficiency.
Why it matters: These upgrades give developers better tools to build privacy-focused and cost-effective applications. While promising, the real impact depends on how widely these features are adopted.
3. Wormhole NTT Integration (July 2025)
What it is: Algorand now supports Wormhole’s Native Token Transfer (NTT) standard, allowing tokens to move directly between Algorand and over 40 other blockchains without needing to create wrapped versions.
This means projects can issue tokens on Algorand and easily transfer them across multiple networks. The update included software development kit (SDK) improvements and partnerships with Folks Finance to enhance DeFi capabilities.
Why it matters: This makes Algorand a strong player in the multichain ecosystem, attracting developers who want to build decentralized apps that work across different blockchains.
Conclusion
Algorand’s latest updates focus on making the network faster, smarter, and more connected to other blockchains. While these technical improvements are promising, their success will depend on how many developers use these new features to create innovative applications.
Why did the price of ALGO fall?
Algorand (ALGO) dropped 3.68% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell 2.18%. The main reasons are:
- Technical signals – Indicators like MACD and RSI suggest weakening momentum.
- Regulatory concerns – Swiss authorities are investigating FIFA’s Algorand-based NFT tickets, though no wrongdoing has been found.
- Market shift – Traders are favoring Bitcoin over altcoins, as shown by the Altcoin Season Index dropping to 38/100.
Deep Dive
1. Technical Weakness (Negative Impact)
What happened: ALGO’s price fell below two important moving averages—the 30-day and 200-day simple moving averages (around $0.218-$0.219). The MACD indicator, which helps track momentum, is showing bearish signs, and the RSI (Relative Strength Index) is below 50, indicating less buying interest.
Why it matters: When a coin’s price drops below these moving averages, traders often see it as a signal to sell. The MACD crossing below its signal line has historically led to 3-5% price drops for ALGO.
Watch this level: $0.20 is a key support price. If ALGO falls below this, it could trigger automatic sell orders, pushing the price down further.
2. FIFA NFT Investigation (Mixed Impact)
What happened: Switzerland’s gambling regulator, Gespa, is looking into FIFA’s World Cup ticket NFTs that run on Algorand (source). This investigation is still early, and no wrongdoing has been found.
Why it matters: The probe focuses on gambling laws, not the blockchain technology itself. However, it may cause some traders to worry about Algorand’s reputation. Also, FIFA moved part of its NFT system to another blockchain, Avalanche, earlier this year, which reduces Algorand’s exclusive role in sports-related projects.
3. Shift Away from Altcoins (Negative Impact)
What happened: Bitcoin’s market share increased to 58.6%, while overall crypto trading volumes dropped 18%. ALGO’s trading volume is relatively low, meaning fewer buyers and sellers, which can make price swings more extreme.
Why it matters: The Altcoin Season Index, which measures how well altcoins are doing compared to Bitcoin, has fallen from 72 to 38 in a month. This shows traders are moving money into Bitcoin. ALGO’s price is now closely tied to Bitcoin’s movements, making it more vulnerable when Bitcoin pulls back.
Conclusion
ALGO’s recent price drop is driven by technical factors, weaker interest in altcoins, and regulatory news. While the FIFA investigation seems limited, it highlights the challenge Algorand faces in turning big partnerships into lasting demand.
Key level to watch: The $0.20 price point is important because a large number of ALGO tokens were bought there earlier this year. If the price falls below this, selling pressure could increase, potentially pushing ALGO down toward its 2025 low of $0.149.