What could affect the price of HBAR?

Hedera’s price movement reflects a balance between growing business use and ongoing regulatory questions.

1. ETF Developments (Mixed Impact)
   The SEC has delayed decisions, but there’s strong interest from institutions in spot ETF applications.

2. Business Adoption (Positive Outlook)
   Partnerships with companies like Google, IBM, and central banks are creating real-world uses for Hedera.

3. Regulatory Uncertainty (Potential Risk)
   Changes in U.S. policies and SEC scrutiny could slow down investments from big players.

In-Depth Look

1. ETF Developments & Institutional Interest (Mixed Impact)

Summary:
Companies like Grayscale and Canary Capital have applied to launch spot ETFs for Hedera (HBAR), but the SEC has postponed decisions until November 2025 (CoinMarketCap). If approved, this could bring in significant institutional investment similar to what we’ve seen with Bitcoin ETFs. However, the delay creates uncertainty that might reduce enthusiasm among everyday investors.

What this means:
Approval would likely open the door for more institutional money since HBAR isn’t classified as a security, which makes approval more likely. Meanwhile, delays could slow momentum. The recent 43% gain over 90 days shows investors are optimistic but cautious.

2. Business Adoption & Practical Uses (Positive Outlook)

Summary:
Hedera’s leadership includes major companies like Google, IBM, and Boeing. They’re involved in projects such as central bank digital currency (CBDC) pilots with the Reserve Bank of Australia, AI-related computing with NVIDIA, and tokenized assets with Lloyds Bank (CCN).

What this means:
These real-world applications increase demand for HBAR, as businesses use it for transaction fees and staking in decentralized apps. Partnerships like Swarm, which handles stock settlements for companies like Apple ($AAPL) and Tesla ($TSLA), could increase network activity and reduce token availability, potentially driving up value.

3. Regulatory & Economic Risks (Potential Risk)

Summary:
The SEC’s cautious approach to ETFs and possible policy changes following the 2024 U.S. elections could impact the crypto market broadly. Hedera’s compliance with Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) rules may help, but overall market downturns could still affect it.

What this means:
HBAR’s price tends to move with Bitcoin (57% correlation over 30 days), so economic challenges like a more aggressive Federal Reserve or tougher crypto regulations could push its price below the current $0.23 support level.

Conclusion

HBAR’s price will depend on whether ETF approvals and business adoption grow faster than regulatory challenges. Technical indicators show positive momentum (RSI at 62.83, MACD rising), but SEC delays might lead some investors to take profits. Will Hedera’s strong business partnerships outweigh ETF uncertainties by late 2025? Keep an eye on SEC updates and transaction activity on the network.

What are people saying about HBAR?

The Hedera (HBAR) community is seeing mixed feelings—some are excited about potential price jumps, while others are more cautious. Here’s what’s currently making waves:

1. Robinhood listing sparks $0.30 price targets
2. ETF talk drives optimistic 2026 price predictions
3. Traders are divided: some see a “golden cross” signal, others warn of an overbought RSI

Deep Dive

1. Robinhood Listing Boosts Optimism

John Morgan (@johnmorganFL) shared on July 26, 2025, that HBAR’s price jumped 8% after being listed on Robinhood, a popular trading app. He asked if the price could reach $0.39 soon.
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What this means: More people can easily buy HBAR now, which is good for the price. But to keep climbing, HBAR needs to break through a key resistance level at $0.263.

2. ETF Speculation Sparks Big Price Predictions

The CoinMarketCap Community discussed on August 17, 2025, the possibility of a Spot HBAR ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) being approved in 2025. They suggested that if this happens, 8,137 HBAR could be worth $12,000 by 2026.
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What this means: This is hopeful news but still uncertain. If regulators approve the ETF, it could reduce selling pressure because institutions would hold HBAR more securely.

3. Enterprise Use Cases Support Stability

Hedera announced on June 30, 2025, a partnership with Accenture to use AI governance for public sector projects.
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What this means: This is a positive sign for the long term. Real-world applications like supply chain tracking and carbon markets could help HBAR’s price become less volatile and more stable.

Conclusion

Overall, the outlook for HBAR is cautiously optimistic. The price is currently balancing between technical signals that suggest it might be overbought and strong business developments that support growth. The $0.25–$0.27 price range is a key battleground. Watch closely for a break above $0.263, which could trigger automated buying. On the downside, if HBAR falls below $0.23, it might drop further to lows seen in June. Keep an eye on the ETF decision expected in September, as it could bring significant price movement.

What is the latest news about HBAR?

Hedera’s network is gaining momentum with big companies adopting its technology and real-world uses. Here are the latest highlights:

1. Swarm Partnership (August 16, 2025) – Allows instant settlement of tokenized stocks, cutting out traditional waiting times.
2. Nasdaq HBAR ETF Filing (August 27, 2025) – Shows growing interest from big investors, with rumors of BlackRock involvement.
3. Enterprise Stablecoin Launches (September 5, 2025) – Companies are using Hedera to launch stablecoins like AUDD, PHPX, and FRNT.

Deep Dive

1. Swarm Partnership (August 16, 2025)

What happened: Hedera teamed up with Swarm Markets to let users instantly redeem tokenized stocks such as Apple and Tesla using automated liquidity pools. This removes the usual two-day wait for stock settlements, making it faster and easier to trade.
Why it matters: This move boosts Hedera’s role in the growing world of tokenized finance, attracting big investors who want quick and smooth transactions. It also increases the use of HBAR, Hedera’s native token, to power these transactions. (CoinMarketCap Community)

2. Nasdaq HBAR ETF Filing (August 27, 2025)

What happened: Nasdaq filed paperwork for a spot HBAR ETF through Canary Capital, with rumors that BlackRock is exploring financial products based on Hedera. After the announcement, HBAR’s price rose to about $0.30, up 18% for the week.
Why it matters: If approved, this ETF could bring in more institutional money, similar to how Bitcoin ETFs have boosted Bitcoin’s price. Clearer regulations showing HBAR isn’t a security also improve its chances for wider adoption. (Bitget)

3. Enterprise Stablecoin Launches (September 5, 2025)

What happened: Hedera’s Stablecoin Studio is helping banks and companies launch stablecoins like AUDD (Asia-Pacific), PHPX (Philippines), and FRNT (Europe), expanding its reach in regulated digital currencies.
Why it matters: These stablecoins show Hedera’s strength in offering fast, compliant payment solutions for businesses, making it a key player in enterprise blockchain. (RealAllinCrypto on X)

Conclusion

Hedera is carving out a strong position in the enterprise blockchain space. Its advances in tokenized stocks, ETFs, and stablecoins are driving adoption and price growth. With regulatory support and growing institutional interest, HBAR could soon break past its $0.39 resistance level.

What is expected in the development of HBAR?

Hedera’s roadmap is focused on growing its use in businesses, integrating artificial intelligence (AI), and expanding how tokens are used.

1. Project Acacia (Q4 2025) – A pilot program for a wholesale Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC) with the Reserve Bank of Australia.
2. Verifiable Compute Platform (Q1 2026) – AI auditing powered by NVIDIA Blackwell chips to ensure trustworthy AI operations.
3. Stablecoin Studio Expansion (2025) – Building stablecoin infrastructure aimed at the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region.
4. NFT Ecosystem Growth (2025–2026) – Increasing the use of NFTs in gaming and digital collectibles.

Deep Dive

1. Project Acacia (Q4 2025)

Overview: Hedera was chosen by the Reserve Bank of Australia and Digital Finance CRC to test a wholesale Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). This project will explore how digital currencies can work with current payment systems and introduce programmable money features (Hedera).
What this means: This is a positive development for Hedera (HBAR) because working on CBDCs shows it can meet regulatory standards and may attract large financial institutions. However, public sector adoption of blockchain technology can be slow, which is a potential risk.

2. Verifiable Compute Platform (Q1 2026)

Overview: Hedera is partnering with EQTY Lab and NVIDIA to launch a secure AI auditing platform using NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. This platform aims to provide tamper-proof monitoring of AI systems used by governments and public agencies (EQTY Lab).
What this means: This development could increase Hedera’s usefulness for businesses and governments. However, it faces competition from other AI-focused blockchain projects like Fetch.ai. Success will depend on how widely governments and companies adopt this technology.

3. Stablecoin Studio Expansion (2025)

Overview: Hedera’s Stablecoin Studio is being used to support projects in the Asia-Pacific region, such as AUDD Digital’s stablecoin pegged to the Philippine peso. This toolkit makes it easier to create stablecoins that comply with regulations, aiming to improve cross-border payments and remittances (RealAllinCrypto).
What this means: This is good news for HBAR’s transaction volume since stablecoins encourage more network use. However, regulatory challenges in countries like the Philippines could slow progress.

4. NFT Ecosystem Growth (2025–2026)

Overview: Partners like Kabila App are expanding Hedera’s NFT use cases into gaming memberships and event ticketing. Hedera’s low transaction fees (around $0.0001 per transaction) and fast processing times (about 1 second) make it suitable for handling large numbers of digital collectibles (The HBAR Bull).
What this means: This growth is promising for attracting everyday users, but Hedera will need to compete with established NFT platforms like Ethereum and Solana. Key indicators to watch include NFT trading volume and the number of active wallets.

Conclusion

Hedera’s roadmap emphasizes practical applications in digital currencies, AI, and stablecoins, leveraging its strong governance and energy-efficient technology. While partnerships with large organizations provide a stable foundation, wider adoption by individual users will depend on how well Hedera can outperform competitors in speed, cost, and developer support.

How will Hedera balance the needs of big institutions and everyday users as its platform grows?

What updates are there in the HBAR code base?

Hedera’s technology is moving forward with open-source governance, new developer tools, and important network improvements.

1. Open-Source Shift with Hiero (July 2025) – Hedera’s code was donated to a neutral foundation, allowing the community to help govern and improve it.
2. New CLI Tool for Developers (June 2025) – A command-line interface that makes it easier for developers to deploy apps and manage accounts.
3. Mainnet Upgrades (June 2025) – Daily rewards for network nodes and better management of communication topics.

In-Depth Look

1. Open-Source Shift with Hiero (July 2025)

What happened: Hedera handed over its codebase to Project Hiero, part of the Linux Foundation’s decentralized group (LF Decentralized). This means the code is now fully open-source.

Anyone can now review, contribute to, or create their own version of the code. Governance is moving to a community-driven process called Hedera Improvement Proposals (HIPs). This supports decentralization while keeping the system reliable for businesses.

Why it matters: This is good news for HBAR because it reduces control by any single group, increases transparency, and encourages more developers to get involved.

2. New CLI Tool for Developers (June 2025)

What happened: Hedera released a Command Line Interface (CLI) that automates setting up test environments, deploying smart contracts, and managing accounts.

Created by Hedera’s developer team, this tool cuts down on manual work like generating keys and signing transactions. It’s similar to Ethereum’s Truffle suite, which simplifies the development process.

Why it matters: This is somewhat positive for HBAR because it makes it easier for developers to build apps on Hedera, which could lead to more decentralized applications (dApps) over time.

3. Mainnet Upgrades (June 2025)

What happened: Updates 0.60 and 0.61 introduced two key improvements: HIP-1064, which gives daily staking rewards to network nodes, and HIP-1021, which improves automatic renewal of communication topics (Source).

Daily rewards encourage node operators to keep the network running smoothly. The auto-renewal feature reduces the work needed to maintain decentralized apps that use Hedera Consensus Service (HCS).

Why it matters: This is positive for HBAR because it boosts network participation and makes the platform easier to use—important factors for businesses relying on Hedera for secure audit trails.

Conclusion

Hedera’s recent updates focus on decentralizing control (Hiero), making development easier (CLI), and strengthening the network (mainnet upgrades). Together, these changes help position HBAR for long-term use in enterprise settings. It will be interesting to see how these improvements affect Hedera’s role in regulated industries like central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and supply chain management.

Why did the price of HBAR go up?

Hedera (HBAR) increased by 1.78% to $0.235 over the past 24 hours, building on a 7.74% gain over the last week. This growth is driven by excitement around a potential ETF, growing use of tokenized assets, and positive technical signals.

1. ETF Buzz – A Nasdaq filing for an HBAR ETF is attracting institutional investors.
2. Tokenized Stocks – A new partnership with Swarm enables instant stock settlements.
3. Technical Recovery – Indicators like MACD and RSI suggest upward momentum.

Deep Dive

1. Institutional ETF Momentum (Positive Outlook)

What’s happening: Nasdaq filed for a spot HBAR ETF on August 7, stirring interest in easier, regulated access for big investors. This follows earlier moves like Grayscale’s application and Robinhood listing HBAR in July 2025.

Why it matters: If approved, the ETF could open new demand for HBAR and confirm its compliance with regulations. Since HBAR has a fixed supply of 50 billion tokens, increased demand could make it more valuable.

What to watch: The SEC’s decision timeline and activity from Grayscale’s HBAR Trust.

2. Real-World Asset Adoption (Positive Outlook)

What’s happening: On August 16, Hedera teamed up with Swarm to let users instantly redeem tokenized stocks like Apple and Tesla, skipping the usual two-day wait.

Why it matters: This connects traditional finance with decentralized finance (DeFi), using Hedera’s fast transaction times (about 1 second) and low fees. Other projects, like the AUDD stablecoin and a $100 million real estate tokenization with StegX Finance, are also boosting demand.

What to watch: Trading volumes for assets integrated with Swarm and updates on enterprise partnerships in Q3.

3. Technical Breakout Signals (Mixed Outlook)

What’s happening: HBAR has moved above its 7-day and 30-day simple moving averages (around $0.222 and $0.236). The MACD indicator turned positive for the first time since August 25, and the RSI is at 62.83, showing room to grow before becoming overbought.

Why it matters: Traders are focusing on the $0.23 to $0.24 support range. However, resistance levels at $0.251 and $0.260 could slow gains unless trading volume increases.

Key level: Closing above $0.243 could push HBAR toward its yearly high of $0.276.

Conclusion

HBAR’s recent price increase reflects optimism about ETF approval and growing blockchain use in business, supported by positive technical trends. While overall market conditions are neutral, specific developments around Hedera are driving short-term momentum.

What to watch: Can HBAR stay above $0.235 if Bitcoin’s price becomes more volatile? Keep an eye on SEC updates about the ETF and trading activity in Swarm’s redemption pools for clues on the next move.