Why did the price of HBAR go up?

Hedera (HBAR) increased by 6.83% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market’s 4.12% gain. This rise is driven by positive technical signals, excitement around a potential ETF approval, and growing use by businesses focused on sustainability.

1. Technical Breakout Signs – HBAR is testing important resistance levels after holding steady at $0.1686 support.
2. ETF Buzz – The SEC is reviewing the Canary HBAR ETF, sparking interest from big investors.
3. Business Partnerships – New sustainability projects with Blockchain for Energy (B4E) are underway.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Breakout Momentum (Positive Outlook)

Overview: HBAR has been stable above $0.1686, fitting into a long-term upward trend. Key technical indicators like the Fibonacci retracement level at $0.204 and a bullish MACD crossover suggest the price could rise. Trading volume increased by nearly 19% to $254 million, showing strong market interest.

What this means:

• Short-term traders are encouraged by the rising support and the channel pattern from 2020 to 2025.
• If HBAR breaks above $0.187 (the 30-day moving average), it could reach $0.20 to $0.22, representing a 10–20% gain.

Watch: A daily close above $0.182 (current price) would confirm this upward move.

2. ETF Approval Optimism (Positive Outlook)

Overview: The SEC is reviewing the Canary HBAR ETF, filed in June 2025, with public comments open until July 7. This comes after Europe launched its first HBAR exchange-traded products (ETPs) on Euronext and the SIX Swiss Exchange.

What this means:

• If approved, HBAR would become the third cryptocurrency (after Bitcoin and Ethereum) to have a U.S. spot ETF, attracting more institutional investors.
• For context, Litecoin’s ETF launch in October 2025 led to a 27% price increase within two weeks.

Watch: Keep an eye on the SEC’s decision timeline and Grayscale’s related ETF filing expected by November 11.

3. Enterprise Adoption & ESG Focus (Mixed Outlook)

Overview: Hedera’s Governing Council added Blockchain for Energy (B4E) on June 24 to enhance its platform for tracking carbon emissions. HBAR’s energy consumption per transaction is extremely low—0.0000003 kWh, which is 1,000 times less than Visa’s, according to 21Shares.

What this means:

• This strengthens Hedera’s appeal to investors focused on environmental, social, and governance (ESG) criteria and to regulated industries.
• However, business adoption tends to grow slowly, so short-term price changes depend more on market sentiment.

Watch: Updates in Q4 2025 on B4E’s node operations and emissions reporting will be important.

Conclusion

HBAR’s recent price increase is supported by strong technical momentum, hopeful ETF news, and a growing focus on sustainability. While the overall outlook is positive, the 7-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 47.15 suggests there’s still room for growth before the asset becomes overbought.

Key watch: Can HBAR stay above $0.18 if Bitcoin faces resistance near $119,000? Follow ETF developments and hourly trading volumes for clues on the next move.

What could affect the price of HBAR?

Hedera's price movement reflects a balance between growing business use and market uncertainty.

1. ETF Approvals – The SEC is expected to decide on spot HBAR ETFs soon, with about a 90% chance of approval. This could bring more institutional investors.
2. Enterprise Partnerships – Big companies like Google and Boeing are using Hedera, adding real-world value.
3. Network Upgrades – A major update to Hedera’s network (v0.67) scheduled for November 12 aims to improve its speed and capacity.

Deep Dive

1. Institutional Access via ETFs (Positive Outlook)

Overview: Investment firms Grayscale and Canary Capital have applied for spot HBAR ETFs, with the SEC’s decision expected by November 11, 2025. Experts believe there’s a 90% chance these ETFs will be approved, similar to what happened with Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. The Canary HBAR ETF already saw $45.9 million in investments during its first week on Nasdaq (Oct 28–Nov 2).

What this means: If approved, these ETFs would make it easier for traditional investors to buy HBAR, potentially driving a price rally like Bitcoin experienced in 2024. However, any delays (like those the SEC caused in June 2025) could keep HBAR’s price below $0.20 for longer.

2. Enterprise Adoption & Tokenization (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Hedera’s Governing Council includes major companies like Google, IBM, and Deutsche Telekom, which support business-focused projects such as:

• Over $100 million in real estate tokenization through StegX and Zoniqx
• Partnerships with NVIDIA and Accenture for AI governance
• Central bank digital currency (CBDC) pilots with Australia’s Reserve Bank

What this means: These real-world applications could help keep HBAR’s price stable around its current support level of $0.17. However, Hedera faces competition from platforms like Ethereum and Solana in decentralized finance (DeFi) and real-world asset tokenization. Success depends on whether Hedera’s high transaction speed (10,000 transactions per second) leads to more developers building on the network.

3. Technical Breakout Potential (Both Upside and Downside Risks)

Overview: HBAR is currently trading at about $0.182 and is testing a technical pattern called a falling wedge. Key price levels to watch:

• Bullish scenario: If HBAR breaks above $0.21, it could rise to $0.50, a potential 150% gain based on technical analysis.
• Bearish scenario: If it falls below $0.17, the price could drop further to $0.12.

Technical indicators like RSI (47.15) and MACD (-0.0047) suggest neutral momentum right now. However, data from derivatives markets shows clusters of liquidations around $0.29, which could cause sudden price swings.

Conclusion

HBAR’s outlook for 2025 depends heavily on whether ETFs get approved, which would boost institutional interest. Meanwhile, enterprise projects provide a solid foundation for the token’s value. The price is likely to be volatile, especially between $0.17 and $0.21. The key question remains: Can Hedera’s unique governance structure help it outperform other Layer 1 blockchains by turning its technology advantages into real market growth?

What are people saying about HBAR?

Hedera (HBAR) is generating buzz with a mix of excitement about a possible ETF approval and some technical challenges. Here’s the quick rundown:

1. ETF optimism – There's about a 90% chance an HBAR spot ETF gets approved, pushing price predictions above $0.50.
2. Chart debate – Traders are split between expecting a price breakout or worrying the coin is overbought.
3. Strong partnerships – Big names like Google and IBM backing Hedera help balance out some negative market sentiment.

In-Depth Look

1. @johnmorganFL: ETF Buzz Drives $0.50 Price Predictions 🚀 bullish

“90% chance for a Spot HBAR ETF approval in 2025…most aren’t bullish enough”
– @johnmorganFL (35.2K followers · 21.3K likes · 2025-07-18 08:25 UTC)
View original post
What this means: If the ETF is approved, it could open the door for big institutional investors to buy HBAR, potentially driving the price up. However, the exact timing is still uncertain.

2. CoinMarketCap Post: $0.26 Resistance Zone ⚔️ mixed

“Entry: $0.2555–$0.256, Target $0.26+ if holds support”
– Anonymous trader (Aug 15, 2025 · 6.6K impressions)
View original post
What this means: In the short term, HBAR is struggling to break past $0.26 (currently around $0.18). Technical indicators like the RSI suggest the coin might be overbought, meaning a price pullback could happen.

3. Yahoo Finance: Warning Signs of Weakness 🐻 bearish

“HBAR down 13% monthly despite ETF launch…CMF signals institutional outflows”
– Analyst report (Nov 2, 2025)
What this means: Despite the ETF news, HBAR’s price has dropped 13% over the past month. Indicators show that big investors might be selling, which could push the price below key support at $0.168.

4. CoinMarketCap Article: Enterprise Partnerships Provide Stability 🏢 bullish

“Hedera’s council (Google, IBM) drives real-world use in supply chain/AI”
– Ecosystem update (Nov 8, 2025)
What this means: Hedera’s partnerships with major companies like Google and IBM give it a strong foundation for long-term growth, setting it apart from more speculative cryptocurrencies.

Conclusion

The outlook for Hedera (HBAR) is mixed right now. There’s strong potential upside if the ETF is approved and enterprise adoption continues, but technical challenges and some selling pressure are holding the price back. Analysts are eyeing multi-year price targets between $0.50 and $2+, with a key ETF decision expected by November 11, 2025. Keep an eye on the $0.175 resistance level—if HBAR closes above that, it could signal renewed momentum.

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What is the latest news about HBAR?

Hedera is making progress on regulatory approvals and technical improvements while showing signs of positive momentum. Here’s the latest update:

1. SEC Decision on HBAR ETFs Coming Soon (November 9, 2025) – Grayscale and Canary Capital await the SEC’s decision on spot HBAR ETFs by November 11.
2. Mainnet Upgrade Scheduled (November 6, 2025) – Hedera plans a network upgrade to version 0.67 aimed at better performance.
3. DApp Usage Jumps 190% Year-Over-Year (October 30, 2025) – The Q3 2025 report shows strong growth in decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible token (NFT) activity.

In-Depth Look

1. SEC Decision on HBAR ETFs Coming Soon (November 9, 2025)

What’s Happening:
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will decide soon on spot HBAR ETFs submitted by Grayscale and Canary Capital, with a deadline of November 11. Experts believe there’s about a 90% chance of approval, according to Bloomberg Terminal data. Canary Capital’s HBAR ETF (ticker: HBR) has already gathered $45 million since launching on Nasdaq in October.

Why It Matters:
If approved, HBAR would be recognized as a trusted asset for institutional investors, increasing its market liquidity and confirming it meets regulatory standards. If denied, there might be short-term price swings, but Hedera’s ongoing business partnerships and adoption would likely continue unaffected.
(Bloomberg)

2. Mainnet Upgrade Scheduled (November 6, 2025)

What’s Happening:
Hedera’s main network will undergo a planned upgrade to version 0.67 on November 12, expected to take about 40 minutes. This update focuses on improving network speed and efficiency. Following that, the test network will be updated to version 0.68 on November 13.

Why It Matters:
Although there may be brief interruptions, this upgrade is important for Hedera’s ability to handle more users and complex applications. This is especially relevant for businesses using Hedera for digital assets and artificial intelligence projects. Network operators and developers should watch for any issues after the upgrade.
(Hedera Status)

3. DApp Usage Jumps 190% Year-Over-Year (October 30, 2025)

What’s Happening:
According to DappRadar, daily active wallets on Hedera’s decentralized apps (DApps) reached 2,000 in Q3 2025, a 190% increase compared to last year. This growth is driven by popular DeFi app SaucerSwap and NFT platform SentX. NFT trading volume also surged to $4.9 million, a 16-fold increase from the previous quarter.

Why It Matters:
This rapid growth shows Hedera is expanding beyond just enterprise solutions into a broader ecosystem that includes DeFi and NFTs. New projects like the “Forever Mint” NFT model and Bonzo Finance’s DeFi platform could keep this momentum going into the next quarter.
(DappRadar)

Conclusion

Hedera is balancing regulatory anticipation, technical upgrades, and ecosystem growth—all key factors that could strengthen its position in the regulated cryptocurrency market. The upcoming SEC decision on HBAR ETFs could be a major catalyst for price movement, but overall market trends will also play a big role in what happens next.

What is expected in the development of HBAR?

Hedera is making important progress with these key updates:

1. Mainnet Upgrade v0.67 (Nov 12, 2025) – Improvements to speed and stability of the network.
2. Testnet Upgrade v0.68 (Nov 13, 2025) – Testing new features for developers and better transaction handling.
3. AI Transparency Partnership (2025) – Working with Accenture and EQTY Lab to make AI systems more transparent and trustworthy for public use.

In-Depth Look

1. Mainnet Upgrade v0.67 (Nov 12, 2025)

What’s happening: Hedera will update its main network to version 0.67, which will make transactions faster and help network nodes stay better synchronized. The update will require about 40 minutes of downtime, which might temporarily affect services (Hedera Status).
Why it matters: This upgrade is good news for HBAR because it makes the network more reliable—something businesses look for when choosing blockchain platforms. However, there could be some short-term price swings if any issues arise during the update.

2. Testnet Upgrade v0.68 (Nov 13, 2025)

What’s happening: The test network will be updated to version 0.68 to try out new features like dynamic node management and changes to transaction pricing. Developers will also get to test batch transactions and new tools like the Hiero framework (Hedera Status).
Why it matters: This update won’t directly affect HBAR’s price right away, but better developer tools can lead to more innovative apps being built on Hedera, which is good for the network’s future.

3. AI Transparency Partnership (2025)

What’s happening: Hedera Foundation is teaming up with Accenture and EQTY Lab to create secure, tamper-proof systems that help public organizations audit AI processes. They’ll use Hedera’s consensus technology to ensure transparency (Hedera).
Why it matters: This partnership is a positive sign for HBAR because it positions Hedera as a trusted platform for AI oversight, an area that’s getting more attention from regulators. The main risk is if the partnership takes longer than expected to deliver results.

Summary

Hedera’s upcoming upgrades focus on improving network performance and supporting developers, while its partnership in AI transparency targets a growing and important market. The success of these efforts depends on smooth execution and how the broader market responds. If all goes well, Hedera could strengthen its position as a reliable and innovative blockchain platform.

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What updates are there in the HBAR code base?

Hedera’s technology is getting important upgrades to improve performance, security, and community control.

1. Mainnet v0.67 Upgrade (November 12, 2025) – Boosts network speed and adds daily rewards for nodes that help run the network.
2. Project Hiero Launch (June 2025) – Hedera’s code is now managed by the Linux Foundation, allowing the community to have a bigger say in its development.
3. CLI Tool Release (June 2025) – A new command-line tool makes it easier for developers to build and manage applications on Hedera.

Deep Dive

1. Mainnet v0.67 Upgrade (November 12, 2025)

What’s new: This update improves how the network processes transactions and runs its nodes (the computers that keep the network alive). It introduces daily rewards for active nodes, encouraging more people to participate.
Why it matters: More rewards for nodes can make the network safer and more decentralized, which is good news for Hedera (HBAR) holders. (Source)

2. Project Hiero Launch (June 2025)

What’s new: Hedera’s codebase is now part of the Linux Foundation’s decentralized platform. This means the community can propose and vote on improvements, rather than relying on a single company.
Why it matters: While this might not have an immediate impact on HBAR’s value, it’s a positive step toward long-term innovation and less central control. (Source)

3. CLI Tool Release (June 2025)

What’s new: The new Command Line Interface (CLI) tool automates tasks like setting up test networks and managing accounts, making it easier for developers to work with Hedera.
Why it matters: Easier tools can attract more developers to build apps on Hedera, increasing the network’s usefulness and demand for HBAR. (Source)

Conclusion

Hedera is strengthening its technology with the v0.67 upgrade and moving toward community-led governance through Project Hiero. At the same time, developer-friendly tools like the CLI are set to grow the ecosystem. With these changes coming soon, Hedera (HBAR) could see more active participants helping secure the network and potentially a stronger market position.

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