What could affect the price of GRT?

The Graph’s price is balancing between upcoming upgrades and broader market challenges.

1. Mainnet Upgrades Ahead – Cross-chain staking through Chainlink CCIP (expected Q1 2026) could increase how useful the network is.
2. Growing Enterprise Interest – DTCC’s blockchain data pilot shows that big companies are starting to use The Graph.
3. Regulatory Uncertainty – The SEC’s unclear position on “data tokens” like GRT adds risk.

In-Depth Look

1. Protocol Upgrades & Cross-Chain Expansion (Positive Outlook)

What’s Happening:
The Graph’s Horizon upgrade, planned for early 2026, will allow GRT tokens to be staked across different blockchains using Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP). This means tokens can move between Ethereum, Solana, and Layer 2 solutions like Arbitrum. This follows the July 2025 integration with TRON, which expanded real-time data access to over 318 million users.

Why It Matters:
Making GRT work smoothly across multiple blockchains could increase demand, as developers will pay fees on various networks. For example, when The Graph integrated with Solana in May 2025, GRT’s price jumped 40% (The Graph).

2. Institutional Adoption vs. Competition (Mixed Outlook)

What’s Happening:
DTCC, a major financial services company, is testing The Graph for blockchain settlement data in late 2025. This shows growing interest from big institutions. However, competitors like Bittensor (TAO) and Ocean Protocol (OCEAN) are gaining ground in the AI and data sectors.

Why It Matters:
Deals with large companies like DTCC could help keep GRT’s price stable — for instance, DTCC’s involvement was linked to a 12% weekly price increase in December 2025. But competition from AI-focused projects could challenge The Graph’s market share in 2026.

3. Regulatory Ambiguity (Potential Downside)

What’s Happening:
The SEC’s 2025 guidance leaves “work tokens” like GRT in a gray area. The Graph Foundation is pushing for exemptions for decentralized infrastructure, but a negative ruling could scare off institutional investors.

Why It Matters:
Clear regulations have helped other altcoins rally — XRP, for example, surged 90% after settling with the SEC. On the other hand, tough regulations could extend GRT’s recent annual decline of 78%.

Conclusion

The Graph’s success in 2026 depends on rolling out cross-chain features (keep an eye on CCIP adoption) while managing regulatory risks. The current price range of $0.035–$0.045 shows cautious optimism, but breaking above the 200-day EMA at $0.072 will require steady growth in query fees. The big question: can enterprise adoption balance out the wider crypto market’s ups and downs?

What are people saying about GRT?

Conversations around The Graph (GRT) are swinging between optimistic breakouts and cautious bearish signals, with a quiet phase of buying activity sparking interest. Here’s what’s happening:

1. A bullish falling wedge pattern points to a possible big price increase
2. A rising wedge pattern suggests potential short-term price drops
3. A surge in trading volume indicates growing momentum

Deep Dive

1. Bullish Falling Wedge Pattern (@CryptocamT)

A long-term falling wedge pattern is forming near a key support area where GRT has historically seen buying interest. This pattern, combined with strength from related altcoins, suggests a strong chance of a breakout to the upside if volume increases.
– @CryptocamT (1.3K followers · Jan 9, 2026)
View original post
What this means: The falling wedge is a technical pattern that often signals a reversal from a downtrend to an uptrend. If GRT breaks out with strong volume, it could lead to a significant price rise.

2. Bearish Rising Wedge Setup (@KlondikeAI)

A rising wedge pattern has appeared on the 12-hour chart, fitting within a bearish flag formation. This setup suggests a potential price drop, with a recommended short position entry at $0.0417 and a target near $0.0317.
– @KlondikeAI (3K followers · Jan 12, 2026)
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What this means: Rising wedges often indicate that upward momentum is weakening and a price decline may follow. This points to possible short-term downward pressure on GRT.

3. Volume Spike Signals Accumulation (@Layer2Alex)

Trading volume for GRT has doubled compared to recent weeks, marking an unusual increase after a period of low activity.
– @Layer2Alex (1.5K followers · Jan 10, 2026)
View original post
What this means: Higher trading volume often signals that investors are accumulating the asset, which can lead to upward price movement as momentum builds.

Conclusion

The outlook for GRT is mixed, with both bullish and bearish technical patterns in play. However, the rising trading volume suggests growing interest. Keep an eye on the $0.0417 to $0.0457 price range for a clearer signal—either a breakout above from the falling wedge or a breakdown below from the rising wedge.

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What is the latest news about GRT?

The Graph (GRT) is making progress with institutional support and technical improvements, while traders watch key price levels closely. Here’s a quick summary of the latest updates:

1. Grayscale Adds GRT to AI Fund (Jan 8, 2026) – GRT now makes up 5.3% of Grayscale’s decentralized AI portfolio, boosting its credibility with big investors.
2. Cross-Chain Functionality Expands (Oct 31, 2025) – Integration with Chainlink allows GRT to move across three major blockchain networks.
3. Technical Price Signals (Jan 13, 2026) – Traders see GRT testing important trendlines, with indicators suggesting a possible price reversal.

In-Depth Look

1. Grayscale Adds GRT to AI Fund (January 8, 2026)

What happened: Grayscale, a major investment firm, updated its Decentralized AI Fund to include The Graph (GRT) at a 5.3% share. Other top holdings include Bittensor (29.88%) and NEAR (27.31%). This is the first time GRT has been included in a large institutional crypto fund.
Why it matters: This move is positive for GRT because it shows growing confidence in its role within AI and blockchain technology. It could lead to more long-term investment. However, the 5.3% allocation is still small compared to bigger players, indicating that institutions are cautiously optimistic. (Grayscale)

2. Cross-Chain Functionality Expands (October 31, 2025)

What happened: The Graph completed integration with Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), allowing GRT tokens to be transferred between Arbitrum, Base, and Avalanche blockchains. Support for Solana is expected in early 2026.
Why it matters: This development is somewhat positive because it improves how easily GRT can be used across different blockchain networks, which can attract more developers and users. However, daily transfer volumes are still low (under $500,000), so it hasn’t yet led to a big increase in activity. The real test will come with upcoming features like cross-chain staking. (The Graph)

3. Technical Price Signals (January 13, 2026)

What happened: GRT’s price is holding near a key support level that has lasted two years. Technical analysts point to a “falling wedge” chart pattern and indicators like RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 43 and MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) suggesting momentum might shift upward.
Why it matters: This is a speculative signal. If GRT’s price breaks above $0.044, it could rise about 25% to around $0.055. However, trading volume has dropped by 15.8% over the past week, which means there’s not much buying pressure right now. If the price falls below $0.038, it might retest lows from 2025 near $0.035.

Conclusion

The Graph (GRT) is gaining recognition from big investors and improving its technology, but its price hasn’t shown strong movement yet. The expansion of cross-chain features and inclusion in an AI-focused fund support its long-term potential. Still, traders are waiting for higher trading volumes to confirm a sustained price rally. The key question for early 2026 is whether more developers and users will drive growth beyond short-term trading trends.

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What is expected in the development of GRT?

The Graph’s roadmap is focused on expanding across multiple blockchains, integrating AI technology, and upgrading its core protocol.

1. Cross-Chain Staking with CCIP (2026) – Allow GRT holders to stake or delegate their tokens across networks like Arbitrum, Base, and Solana.
2. Unified Roadmap Release (Q1 2026) – Provide a clear, combined plan that connects Horizon, Token API, and AI tools.
3. Graph Assistant Launch (Mid-2026) – Introduce a no-code AI tool that lets users easily query blockchain data.

Deep Dive

1. Cross-Chain Staking with CCIP (2026)

Overview
The Graph is set to complete its integration with Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), enabling GRT tokens to be transferred and staked across different blockchains. This follows the launch of Horizon in December 2025, which created a multi-service protocol framework.

What this means
This is positive news for GRT because it increases the token’s usefulness by allowing holders to participate in staking on multiple networks like Solana and Arbitrum. However, success depends on smooth interaction between blockchains and strong demand from Layer 2 solutions.

2. Unified Roadmap Release (Q1 2026)

Overview
Community feedback from late 2025 has emphasized the need for a clear, unified roadmap. The goal is to align the development of Horizon (protocol upgrades), Token API (data services), and Subgraph MCP (AI integration).

What this means
This clarity could boost confidence in GRT’s economic model by addressing concerns about token inflation and treasury management raised by delegators. On the other hand, delays in publishing the roadmap could increase uncertainty.

3. Graph Assistant Launch (Mid-2026)

Overview
Building on the AI Beta’s MCP framework, The Graph plans to launch a natural language interface that allows users to ask questions and get blockchain data without needing coding skills.

What this means
This is promising because making blockchain data easier to access could attract more users to GRT-powered services. The tool’s success will depend on how quickly and accurately it can respond to frequent queries.

Conclusion

The Graph is evolving from a protocol focused mainly on Subgraphs to a multi-chain data platform with AI features. While technical advancements are clear, maintaining momentum will require transparency in economics and a unified development plan. The big question for 2026 is whether cross-chain adoption can balance out GRT’s inflationary token supply.

What updates are there in the GRT code base?

The Graph's latest updates focus on making its data services more flexible, improving cross-chain compatibility, and helping developers work more efficiently.

1. Horizon Upgrade Live (Dec 11, 2025) – A modular system that supports multiple data services at once.
2. Subgraph Dev Mode (Nov 12, 2025) – A local development mode that speeds up testing without needing to redeploy.
3. Injective EVM Integration (Nov 11, 2025) – High-speed indexing for Ethereum-compatible data on the Injective network.

In-Depth Look

1. Horizon Upgrade Live (December 11, 2025)

What it is: The Horizon upgrade changes The Graph into a modular platform. This means it can run different types of data services—like Subgraphs, Substreams, and Token API—all within the same system.

Developers can now create real-time data feeds, ready-to-use APIs, and analytics tools all on one platform. Current Subgraphs keep working as usual but now benefit from better uptime thanks to longer resource allocations. This modular setup also lets users combine services (for example, Subgraphs with Token API) and pay for them together.

Why it matters: This is positive news for The Graph (GRT) because it makes the platform more versatile and attractive to developers who need various data tools. It also reduces dependence on centralized providers, which improves reliability over time. (Source)

2. Subgraph Dev Mode (November 12, 2025)

What it is: This new mode lets developers run a local version of The Graph’s node software, so they can test changes instantly without uploading to IPFS or waiting for staging.

Developers can edit their code and see results immediately. The update supports modular datasets, parallel contract reads using eth_calls, and faster data aggregation (hourly/daily). It also cuts indexing costs by 75% on Ethereum and Solana thanks to Foundational Stores.

Why it matters: This is great for GRT because faster development encourages more builders to create Subgraphs, which increases usage and query volume. It also makes hackathons and real-time debugging easier, speeding up decentralized app (dApp) launches. (Source)

3. Injective EVM Integration (November 11, 2025)

What it is: The Graph now supports the Injective EVM Mainnet, allowing high-speed indexing of Ethereum-compatible data for AI tools and dashboards.

The optimized Firehose infrastructure indexes data with sub-second delays. Developers can build cross-chain analytics that take advantage of Injective’s fast transaction speeds (over 10,000 TPS) combined with The Graph’s decentralized indexing.

Why it matters: This update is neutral for GRT in the short term but promising long term. It expands The Graph’s presence in the Cosmos ecosystem and supports AI-driven decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. Better tools could increase demand for GRT staking. (Source)

Conclusion

The Graph’s recent updates focus on scaling its platform, improving cross-chain support, and making developer tools more efficient. With Horizon’s modular design and Subgraph Dev Mode’s faster workflows, GRT’s usefulness grows alongside the expanding multi-chain ecosystem.

How will AI-powered data workflows influence The Graph’s next protocol upgrades?

Why did the price of GRT fall?

The Graph (GRT) dropped 2.53% to $0.0417 in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 1.37%. Here are the main reasons:

1. Technical Resistance – GRT is struggling to rise above important moving averages, especially the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $0.0726.
2. Weak Market Sentiment – The Altcoin Season Index is at 27, indicating that Bitcoin is dominating the market right now.
3. Low Trading Volume – Trading volume over 24 hours is only 5.3% of GRT’s market cap, showing limited liquidity.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Signals)

Overview: GRT is facing strong resistance at its 200-day SMA ($0.0726), and its current price is about 42% below this level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral at 54.45, while the MACD histogram (+0.000702) suggests that bullish momentum is weakening.

What this means: Long-term holders are experiencing significant unrealized losses, which may cause them to sell during small price increases. The price recently failed to hold above the $0.0426 pivot point, opening the way for a possible drop toward the $0.0352 Fibonacci support level.

What to watch: If GRT can stay above the 30-day SMA ($0.0385) for a sustained period, it could signal price stabilization.

2. Altcoin Weakness (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Bitcoin’s dominance in the market has increased to 59.06% (up 0.42% in the past day), while the Altcoin Season Index remains low at 27, signaling a "Bitcoin Season." GRT’s 30-day return (+7.22%) is lagging behind Ethereum’s (+12.38% dominance growth).

What this means: Investors are moving their money into Bitcoin and large-cap cryptocurrencies, leaving mid-tier tokens like GRT behind. The Graph’s role in Web3 infrastructure doesn’t currently have strong catalysts to overcome this broader market trend.

3. Volume and Liquidity Decline (Bearish Impact)

Overview: GRT’s 24-hour trading volume dropped 15.9% to $23.7 million. The turnover rate (volume divided by market cap) is 5.3%, which is below the 8% level generally considered healthy for liquidity.

What this means: Lower trading volume means thinner order books, which can cause bigger price swings. Without major institutional investments or announcements (like ETFs or venture capital deals), GRT is more vulnerable to price volatility driven by retail traders.

Conclusion

GRT’s recent price drop is due to a combination of technical resistance, weak interest in altcoins, and declining liquidity—common factors in a sideways market. While The Graph’s cross-chain partnerships (such as Chainlink CCIP) offer long-term value, short-term traders may find better opportunities elsewhere.

Key levels to watch: Can GRT hold the $0.0385 support? If it breaks below this, stop-loss orders could push the price down toward $0.035. Also, keep an eye on Bitcoin’s market cap around $3.27 trillion—if Bitcoin’s value rises above this, it could spark renewed interest in altcoins.

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