What could affect the price of GRT?
The future price of The Graph (GRT) depends on its shift from a single-purpose indexing tool to a versatile data platform, with adoption and real-world use driving demand.
- Protocol Upgrade – The Horizon update introduces new data services on one unified platform, which could boost GRT’s usefulness and increase staking demand.
- Ecosystem Growth – Integrations with other blockchains through Chainlink CCIP and support for networks like TRON make GRT more accessible and attractive to developers.
- Market Adoption – Being part of Grayscale’s AI fund and a rise in network activity show growing interest from institutions and users.
Deep Dive
1. Protocol Upgrade & The Horizon Update (Positive Outlook)
What happened: In December 2025, The Graph launched the Horizon mainnet upgrade, changing it from a protocol focused only on indexing (subgraphs) to a flexible, multi-service data platform. This allows new features like real-time data streams and analytics tools to run on the same system, all powered by GRT tokens used for staking and payments.
Why it matters: This change could make GRT much more useful. As more services are added, more people will need to stake GRT to help secure the network and pay fees for data queries. This creates a stronger economic foundation for GRT and is a positive sign for its long-term value. (The Graph)
2. Cross-Chain & Ecosystem Growth (Positive Outlook)
What happened: The Graph is expanding its reach by connecting with other blockchains. Thanks to Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), GRT can now be transferred across networks like Arbitrum, Base, and Solana, allowing staking and fee payments across chains. Support for TRON’s EVM Mainnet also opens The Graph to a large new user base.
Why it matters: Making GRT usable across multiple blockchains increases its accessibility and usefulness for developers working in different ecosystems. This lowers barriers and could lead to more network activity and higher demand for GRT tokens. (Chainlink)
3. Institutional & Fundamental Adoption (Mixed Outlook)
What happened: In January 2026, GRT was added to Grayscale’s Decentralized AI Fund with a 5.30% allocation, showing growing institutional interest. The network also processed over 1.2 trillion queries in 2024, highlighting strong real-world use.
Why it matters: Institutional investment provides credibility and steady demand. However, GRT’s price has not yet reflected this strong usage and remains near historic lows. For the price to rise, query fee revenue needs to keep growing and the overall crypto market must improve. This situation offers both potential upside and short-term risk. (CoinMarketCap)
Conclusion
GRT’s price is caught between its growing real-world utility and a cautious crypto market. The key question for investors is whether increasing adoption—measured by things like query volume—can overcome negative market sentiment. Will the rise of AI and multi-chain decentralized apps finally turn GRT’s critical infrastructure role into lasting price gains?
What are people saying about GRT?
The conversation around The Graph (GRT) is divided. Some traders see signs that the price has hit a historic low and may soon rise, while others worry it could drop further. Here’s what’s trending:
- Analysts spot a large, long-term chart pattern called a "falling wedge," which often signals a big price increase ahead.
- Short-term traders warn about a "rising wedge" pattern that could lead to a price drop.
- Long-term holders point to strong network activity and believe the coin is undervalued, making it a good buy.
Deep Dive
1. @nustleo: Large Falling Wedge Pattern Suggests Price Rise bullish
"🔭 $GRT Huge Falling Wedge formation on the Monthly chart... Price seems to have confirmed the $0.032 bottom. Breakout targets: 🎯 $0.75 🚀 $2.40"
– @nustleo (535 followers · Jan 10, 2026)
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What this means: A falling wedge on a monthly chart is a classic sign that a downtrend might be ending. If GRT breaks out of this pattern, it could start a multi-year price increase, with the first major target around $0.75.
2. @KlondikeAI: Rising Wedge Pattern Signals Possible Price Drop bearish
"❕Rising Wedge was formed on $GRT... Enter short at $0.0417... target $0.0317 for a MAJOR potential downside."
– @KlondikeAI (3,057 followers · Jan 12, 2026)
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What this means: A rising wedge during a downtrend often leads to a sharp price drop. This analysis suggests GRT could fall more than 20% soon, breaking important support levels.
3. @deexra: Strong Network Use Despite Low Price bullish
"$GRT is described as the most undervalued crypto asset for 2026... record usage: 11.6 billion queries... over 160,000 delegators... while the token price remains historically low."
– @deexra (805 followers · Dec 25, 2025)
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What this means: This highlights a big gap between The Graph’s strong real-world use and its low price. Such a mismatch often happens before the price rises significantly.
Conclusion
Opinions on GRT are mixed. Some see strong long-term potential based on its role in Web3 and AI data, viewing current prices as a rare buying opportunity. Others are cautious, pointing to short-term technical signs that suggest the price could fall further. Keep an eye on the $0.0381 resistance level—if GRT breaks above this and holds, it could confirm the optimistic outlook and change the short-term trend.
What is the latest news about GRT?
The Graph (GRT) is making steady progress with strong institutional support and ongoing improvements to its network security. Here are the latest highlights:
Immunefi Security Program (January 22, 2026) – The Graph is recognized as a major project using Immunefi’s bug bounty platform to protect its protocol from security risks.
Grayscale AI Fund Inclusion (January 8, 2026) – GRT was added to Grayscale’s Decentralized AI Fund, showing growing acceptance by institutional investors.
Deep Dive
1. Immunefi Security Program (January 22, 2026)
What happened: The Graph is using Immunefi, a platform that rewards ethical hackers for finding and fixing security issues. The project has addressed important vulnerabilities, including problems with data accuracy, with rewards reaching up to $6 million. This helps prevent potential losses that could have been much larger.
Why it matters: This is a positive sign for GRT because it shows the team is serious about keeping the network safe and reliable. Strong security is essential for The Graph’s role as a key part of Web3 infrastructure, helping developers and businesses trust the data it provides.
(Source: CoinMarketCap)
2. Grayscale AI Fund Inclusion (January 8, 2026)
What happened: Grayscale, a well-known investment firm, adjusted its Decentralized AI Fund to include 5.30% of The Graph (GRT). This fund focuses on crypto projects related to artificial intelligence and data, alongside other tokens like Bittensor (TAO) and Render (RNDR).
Why it matters: This move shows institutional confidence in GRT and opens the door for more traditional investors to get involved. While this could help GRT’s price over time, the effect may be gradual depending on how much money flows into the fund.
(Source: Binance)
Conclusion
The Graph is strengthening its position by gaining institutional support and investing in security, even though its market price hasn’t fully reflected these improvements yet. The upcoming launch of the Horizon mainnet could be a key moment that helps align The Graph’s real-world use with its market value.
What is expected in the development of GRT?
The Graph (GRT) is making important progress with these key updates:
- Cross-Chain GRT with Chainlink CCIP (2025) – This will let users securely transfer and stake GRT tokens across popular networks like Solana, Arbitrum, and Base.
- Horizon Mainnet Upgrade (Early 2026) – The Graph is evolving into a flexible platform that supports multiple types of data services, not just its original Subgraphs.
- SQL-Based Data Tools & AI Integration (Long-Term) – Plans to build advanced data engines powered by SQL and AI, aiming to become a central hub for blockchain data and smart tools.
In-Depth Look
1. Cross-Chain GRT with Chainlink CCIP (2025)
What’s happening?
In mid-2025, The Graph announced it will use Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) to enable GRT tokens to move safely between different blockchain networks like Solana, Arbitrum, and Base. This means users can stake GRT, delegate tokens, and pay for data queries across these platforms more easily (The Graph, CoinMarketCap).
Why it matters:
This upgrade is positive for GRT because it increases how and where the token can be used, potentially attracting more developers and users from different blockchain communities. However, the full benefits depend on the smooth rollout of the bridging technology, which could face delays or technical challenges.
2. Horizon Mainnet Upgrade (Early 2026)
What’s happening?
In December 2025, The Graph launched the Horizon upgrade, moving from a test network to its main network (The Graph). This upgrade changes The Graph’s system into a modular platform that can support various data services simultaneously. For example, it now supports real-time data streams (called Substreams) and pre-built APIs like the Token API, alongside the original Subgraphs.
Why it matters:
This is a big step forward because it transforms The Graph from a single-purpose data indexer into a versatile data platform. This opens up new ways to generate revenue and new use cases for developers. The risk is that it depends on developers adopting these new services, which might take time and is not guaranteed.
3. SQL-Based Data Tools & AI Integration (Long-Term)
What’s happening?
In July 2025, The Graph shared a long-term vision to build data engines powered by SQL (a common database language) and integrate AI tools to work with blockchain data (The Graph). This includes projects like the AI Beta, which connects AI agents to blockchain data, and the Subgraph MCP developed by GraphOps.
Why it matters:
This plan positions The Graph at the cutting edge where blockchain data meets artificial intelligence—a fast-growing area. While promising, it’s a long-term goal with risks related to execution and competition. Success will depend on ongoing development and market conditions.
Conclusion
The Graph is shifting from being just a decentralized data indexer to a flexible, multi-service data platform. The near-term focus is on enabling cross-chain GRT transfers and completing the Horizon upgrade. Meanwhile, the community is asking for clearer economic transparency to better understand the project’s long-term value (The Graph Forum). The big question remains: will developers adopt new services like the Token API quickly enough to support The Graph’s ambitious growth?
What updates are there in the GRT code base?
The Graph's main development team rolled out important infrastructure upgrades and performance tests in July 2025.
- Kubernetes & Software Updates (July 2025) – Released new deployment tools and updated core node software to make running the network smoother and more stable.
- Network Fixes & Accuracy Improvements (July 2025) – Fixed bugs affecting cross-chain data and improved how token supply is tracked across different blockchains.
- Testing New Data Processing Systems (July 2025) – Compared new database technologies to speed up how blockchain data is indexed and accessed.
In-Depth Look
1. Kubernetes & Software Updates (July 2025)
What happened: The team launched new deployment packages and updated key software components that keep The Graph’s decentralized network running. This includes a new Helm chart for Heimdall v2, which helps coordinate network operations, plus updates to important services like graph-node, erigon, and the graph-network-indexer. These updates include the latest improvements and security fixes from related projects.
Why it matters: This is routine maintenance that keeps the network stable and reliable. It doesn’t directly impact the value of GRT but ensures developers can continue building without interruptions.
(Source)
2. Network Fixes & Accuracy Improvements (July 2025)
What happened: Developers fixed a bug that caused incorrect block numbers when pulling data from the Scroll network using Arbitrum data. They also improved the system that tracks how many GRT tokens are circulating by syncing data more accurately between Ethereum (Layer 1) and Layer 2 blockchains.
Specifically, version 0.3.1 was released for all "EBO" subgraphs, adding logic to reconcile token supply data across chains.
Why it matters: This is a positive update for GRT because it improves data accuracy and reliability. Fixing these cross-chain issues builds trust in The Graph’s services, which is crucial for developers working with multiple blockchains.
(Source)
3. Testing New Data Processing Systems (July 2025)
What happened: The team is experimenting with new data engines like RisingWave and ClickHouse to find faster and more efficient ways to index blockchain data. They set up test environments to compare how each system performs under different data loads.
Why it matters: This shows The Graph is investing in technology that could make the network faster and cheaper to operate. Better data processing means quicker responses for users and lower costs for those running nodes, which helps The Graph stay competitive as blockchain data grows.
(Source)
Conclusion
Recent updates show The Graph is focused on strengthening network stability, improving data accuracy, and researching ways to scale for the future. The key question is how these technical improvements will boost developer use and increase the number of network queries in the coming months.
Why did the price of GRT fall?
The Graph (GRT) has increased slightly by 0.39% in the last 24 hours, not decreased. However, this small gain happens during a clear downward trend over several weeks, with GRT falling 4.8% in the past week. This recent weakness is due to a mix of technical factors and a cautious market mood, even though the network itself is being used heavily.
Here are the main points:
- Technical Breakdown – GRT’s price is below important moving averages and shows bearish signals, meaning sellers are in control and buyers are hesitant.
- Fundamental vs. Market Sentiment – Despite strong network activity (11.6 billion queries last quarter), the price remains low because the overall crypto market is cautious, especially toward altcoins.
Deep Dive
1. Technical Weakness (Bearish Impact)
Overview: GRT is in a long-term downtrend, currently trading below its 7-day average price ($0.0365) and 30-day average price ($0.0390). The MACD indicator, which helps show momentum, is negative at -0.00117, confirming the downward trend. The RSI, a measure of buying or selling pressure, is 36.76, which is neutral but leaning toward oversold.
What this means: Trading below these key averages shows ongoing selling pressure and a lack of confidence from short-term traders. The negative MACD confirms the downtrend is active, and the RSI suggests buyers haven’t stepped in strongly yet. The next important support level is at $0.0352 (known as the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement). If the price falls below this, it could lead to further declines.
What to watch: If GRT’s price can rise back above the 7-day average near $0.0365, it might signal a short-term change in market sentiment.
2. Fundamental vs. Market Sentiment (Mixed Impact)
Overview: The Graph’s network usage is growing, with 11.6 billion queries processed in six months and $8.11 million earned in query fees (CoinMarketCap). However, the price remains near historic lows, showing a disconnect between usage and valuation. Meanwhile, some centralized services are ending their Subgraph offerings, which could push users toward The Graph’s decentralized network.
What this means: This gap suggests that short-term price movements are influenced more by overall crypto market fear than by The Graph’s actual performance. The global Fear & Greed Index is at 29 (Fear), and the Altcoin Season Index is low at 28, meaning investors are avoiding riskier altcoins. The recent addition of GRT to Grayscale’s Decentralized AI Fund is a positive sign from institutional investors but hasn’t yet changed the cautious market mood.
What to watch: For GRT’s price to better reflect its strong network usage, the broader crypto market sentiment needs to improve, as shown by a higher Fear & Greed Index.
Conclusion
GRT’s price is stuck between strong network fundamentals and a market that is avoiding risk. Technical indicators suggest bearish pressure will likely continue in the near term. For investors, this means patience is important while the market works through the gap between The Graph’s usage and its current price.
Key point to watch: Will GRT hold the critical support at $0.0352, or will breaking below it lead to more selling?