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Why did the price of ETH go up?

Ethereum (ETH) increased by 8.49% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market’s 4.53% gain. This rebound comes after a tough month, where the market dropped nearly 12%. The main reasons behind this bounce are:

  1. Big investors buying the dip – Coinbase Premium reached its highest point since 2025, showing that large U.S. investors are accumulating ETH.
  2. Easing trade tensions – Concerns about a U.S.-China trade war eased after former President Trump made more conciliatory comments.
  3. Technical recovery – ETH price climbed back above $4,100, holding steady above an important support level.

In-Depth Look

1. Institutional Buying (Positive Sign)

What happened:
During a sudden price drop on October 10, big investors in the U.S. aggressively bought Ethereum. The Coinbase Premium Index, which measures how much more U.S. buyers pay compared to international markets, jumped to +6.0 — its highest since 2025 (CryptoQuant).

Why it matters:
When this index spikes, it often signals a strong rally ahead. For example, in November 2024, Ethereum surged 40% after an ETF was launched. These big investors might be preparing for more inflows from Ethereum ETFs, which saw $638 million in September 2025. Since the amount of ETH held on exchanges is low, this concentrated buying puts upward pressure on prices.

Keep an eye on:
Flows into spot ETH ETFs (like BlackRock’s ETHA, which holds $12.1 billion) and how much ETH is locked up in staking (currently 30% of supply).

2. Trade War Concerns Ease (Mixed Impact)

What happened:
Markets bounced back after Trump softened his stance on imposing 100% tariffs on China. The chance of these tariffs being implemented dropped from 37% to 17%, according to Polymarket. This helped calm fears that had caused a $19 billion crypto sell-off last Friday.

Why it matters:
Ethereum’s recent price jump aligns with gains in Nasdaq futures (+2.7%) and a drop in gold prices. However, the recovery is still fragile — overall crypto trading activity is 17% lower than before the sell-off, showing some investors remain cautious.

Keep an eye on:
How U.S. stock markets open on Tuesday and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release on October 15, which could influence market sentiment.

3. Technical Recovery (Neutral)

What happened:
Ethereum’s price bounced back above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ($4,265) and stayed above the 200-day moving average ($3,403). The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a measure of momentum, moved out of oversold territory but remains below neutral levels.

Why it matters:
While ETH cleared resistance at $4,250, it faces new challenges at $4,455 and the 7-day moving average around $4,256. The MACD indicator shows bearish momentum is slowing but hasn’t reversed yet.

Keep an eye on:
If ETH can hold above $4,450, it might aim for $4,763, the high from October 9.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s recent price rise is driven by opportunistic buying from big investors, easing trade tensions, and a technical bounce. While this is positive for market sentiment, overall leverage remains low, indicating some skepticism about how long the rally will last.

Key question: Can Ethereum maintain these gains if concerns about tariffs resurface during Tuesday’s stock market session?


What could affect the price of ETH?

Ethereum’s price outlook depends on upcoming protocol upgrades, large investor activity, and broader economic risks.

  1. Fusaka Upgrade (Positive) – Improvements in scaling could encourage more users.
  2. Whale Activity (Mixed) – Big investors bought $500 million worth of ETH, but some selling on exchanges raises concerns.
  3. Geopolitical Risks (Negative) – Trade tensions and tariffs highlight vulnerabilities in the market.

In-Depth Analysis

1. Fusaka Protocol Upgrade (Positive Impact)

Overview: Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade, planned for December 3, 2025, aims to improve scalability through a technology called PeerDAS (data availability sampling) and gradually increasing data capacity. This upgrade is expected to boost Layer 2 transaction speeds to over 12,000 transactions per second (TPS) by 2026, which should lower fees for users.
What this means: These efficiency gains could increase demand for ETH, similar to the positive market reaction after Ethereum’s Merge event (CryptoGucci). The price level of $4,250 remains a key resistance point to watch.

2. Whale Activity & Market Sentiment (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Large investors, known as whales, purchased 138,000 ETH (about $500 million) in one week, bringing total whale holdings to 41 million ETH, the highest in seven years. However, during the market crash on October 11, between $60 million and $90 million worth of WBETH tokens were sold off on Binance, showing risks tied to centralized exchanges.
What this means: While whale accumulation suggests confidence in Ethereum, reliance on major exchanges like Binance—which controls about 44% of the market—could pose risks. Ethereum’s 12.83% market dominance needs to hold steady to prevent a bearish trend (CoinMarketCap Whale Data).

3. Macro Risks & Regulatory Challenges (Negative Impact)

Overview: The October 11 “Black Friday” crash wiped out $20 billion in positions after a surprise announcement of a 100% tariff on Chinese goods by former President Trump. Ethereum’s price dropped 17% to $3,686, with $19 billion liquidated in derivatives trading. Additionally, regulatory investigations into exchange practices—such as Binance’s WBETH pricing issues—could hurt market confidence.
What this means: Ethereum remains sensitive to large-scale economic shocks and liquidity problems. The Fear & Greed Index currently sits at a neutral 40, indicating cautious market sentiment (Decrypt).

Conclusion

Ethereum’s future price movement is a balance between promising technological upgrades and risks from economic instability and large investor behavior. Keep an eye on the $4,250 resistance level and progress in the Fusaka testnet (Sepolia scheduled for October 14). A liquidity crisis at Binance or significant ETF outflows below $23 billion could push prices lower. The key question remains: Will Fusaka’s scalability improvements be enough to overcome risks tied to centralized control points?


What are people saying about ETH?

The Ethereum community is divided between optimism for a price breakout and concerns about a possible correction. Here’s what’s trending right now:

  1. 🚀 Analysts are targeting $5,500+ if ETH holds key support levels
  2. 🚨 Warning signs appear after Ethereum failed to reach a new all-time high
  3. 🏦 Institutions are buying big, with over $200 million in ETH purchases
  4. ⚡ The Pectra upgrade boosts hopes for better network scalability

In-Depth Look

1. @CryptoMobese: ETH Could Reach $5,500 if Uptrend Continues

"ETH is following an upward trend – next targets are $4,900 and then $5,500 if the trend holds"
– @CryptoMobese (189K followers · 2.1M impressions · 2025-09-08 14:43 UTC)
View original post
What this means: The technical setup looks positive, suggesting Ethereum’s price could rise. However, traders are keeping a close eye on the $4,300 support level after a sudden drop to $3,686 last Friday.

2. @mkbijaksana: Warning Signs for ETH After Failed $5K Breakout

"ETH failed to break $5,000 and shows signs of weakness, risking a drop to $3,500"
– @mkbijaksana (62K followers · 890K impressions · 2025-08-27 01:28 UTC)
View original post
What this means: There’s caution in the market as Ethereum struggles to surpass its August high of $4,956. About 24% of holders bought above $4,200 and are currently at a loss, which could lead to selling pressure.

3. @SharpLinkGaming: Institutions Buy $200M+ in ETH for Corporate Reserves

"Bought 205,000 ETH for company reserves – staking returns are better than bonds"
– @SharpLinkGaming (38K followers · 1.4M impressions · 2025-08-26 19:09 UTC)
View original post
What this means: Big investors are increasing their Ethereum holdings. Public companies now hold over 3.4 million ETH (worth about $14 billion), which supports the price despite some fear and uncertainty among retail investors.

4. @Rue1776: Pectra Upgrade on Arbitrum Improves Network Speed

"Gas limit increased to 45 million + parallel processing – transactions per second hit 3,579 after upgrade"
– @Rue1776 (214K followers · 6.7M impressions · 2025-07-04 01:00 UTC)
View original post
What this means: Recent upgrades are making Ethereum’s network faster and more scalable. Layer 2 solutions like Arbitrum now handle 42% of Ethereum transactions as of October 2025, easing congestion on the main network.

Conclusion

The outlook for Ethereum is mixed. Supporters point to strong institutional buying and important technical upgrades, while skeptics warn about risks from leveraged positions after a $20 billion liquidation event last Friday. Key levels to watch this week include $4,100 support and daily ETF inflows, which are currently around $1.02 billion. The ongoing Pectra to Fusaka upgrade path through 2026 remains a critical factor for Ethereum’s future growth.


What is the latest news about ETH?

Ethereum is navigating market ups and downs after a recent crash, as regulators investigate exchange practices and technical indicators suggest a possible recovery. Here’s the latest:

  1. Binance Linked to $20 Billion Liquidation (October 13, 2025) – Structural issues at Binance worsened a market crash, drawing regulatory attention.
  2. Ethereum Leads Market Recovery (October 13, 2025) – ETH jumped 10.5% after a major selloff, outperforming Bitcoin’s rebound.
  3. Price Breaks Above $4,100 (October 13, 2025) – Ethereum cleared a key resistance level, aiming for $4,500 if momentum continues.

In-Depth Look

1. Binance Linked to $20 Billion Liquidation (October 13, 2025)

What happened: A large sell-off of USDe and wBETH tokens on Binance, worth between $60 million and $90 million, triggered a chain reaction during the October 11 market crash. Binance’s use of internal price feeds, instead of external data sources called oracles, caused some stablecoins to lose their peg and led to a wave of forced sell-offs (liquidations). Binance has since refunded users $280 million and switched to oracle-based pricing to prevent this from happening again.
Why it matters: This event exposes the risks of relying on centralized exchanges like Binance, which can become single points of failure in the market. Regulators and industry leaders, including Crypto.com CEO Kris Marszalek, are calling for audits and greater transparency to improve exchange infrastructure.
(CoinDesk)

2. Ethereum Leads Market Recovery (October 13, 2025)

What happened: After dropping to $3,686, Ethereum’s price bounced back to $4,138, a 10.5% increase, outperforming Bitcoin’s 5% gain. Experts say this rebound was driven by traders covering short positions and moving money into higher-risk assets like Solana (+11%) and Bittensor (+28%).
Why it matters: The strong recovery suggests traders believe the crash was more about geopolitical tensions—like new tariffs from the U.S. on China—rather than fundamental problems with Ethereum. However, trading activity in Ethereum derivatives remains cautious, indicating traders are still careful about using leverage.
(CoinJournal)

3. Price Breaks Above $4,100 (October 13, 2025)

What happened: Ethereum’s price moved above a key resistance level at $4,100 and regained its 100-hour moving average, a technical indicator of momentum. The next resistance level is around $4,250, with positive signals from the MACD indicator suggesting further upside.
Why it matters: If Ethereum holds above $4,250, it could push toward $4,500. But if it fails, the price might drop back to support at $4,020. Traders are also watching the RSI indicator, currently at 58, to see if the asset becomes overbought.
(NewsBTC)

Conclusion

Ethereum’s recent bounce shows its ability to recover despite turmoil caused by exchange issues. However, ongoing questions about Binance’s risk management and regulatory actions could lead to more short-term price swings. The key question remains: can Ethereum’s technical strength hold if broader economic tensions rise again?


What is expected in the development of ETH?

Ethereum’s future plans focus on improving speed, security, and decentralization through key updates:

  1. Fusaka Upgrade (December 3, 2025) – Doubles data capacity for Layer 2 rollups using PeerDAS technology.
  2. zkEVM Integration (2026) – Adds built-in zero-knowledge proofs for faster, cheaper transactions.
  3. Quantum Resistance (2030 and beyond) – Introduces advanced cryptography to protect against future quantum computer threats.
  4. Ethereum Lean Plan (Next 10 years) – Aims for 10,000 transactions per second on the main network and easier node operation.

Deep Dive

1. Fusaka Upgrade (December 3, 2025)

Overview: The Fusaka upgrade will bring PeerDAS (Peer Data Availability Sampling) to Ethereum. This technology increases the amount of data Ethereum can handle for Layer 2 solutions like rollups, which bundle transactions to reduce fees. After the upgrade, the data capacity per block will more than double, helping lower transaction costs (CryptoGucci).

What this means: This is good news for Ethereum because it boosts the network’s ability to support decentralized apps (dApps) by handling more transactions efficiently. However, it may require more powerful hardware for network participants running nodes.

2. zkEVM Integration (2026)

Overview: Ethereum plans to integrate a native zkEVM (zero-knowledge Ethereum Virtual Machine). This allows validators to confirm transactions using cryptographic proofs instead of reprocessing every transaction, aiming for transaction fees under one cent and near-instant finality (Binance News).

What this means: This update could attract more institutional users by making Ethereum faster and cheaper. However, it depends on smooth integration and affordable hardware for proof generation, which could face delays.

3. Quantum Resistance (2030 and beyond)

Overview: Ethereum researchers are working on quantum-resistant cryptography to protect the network from future quantum computer attacks. This involves switching from current cryptographic methods to more secure lattice-based algorithms (CoinMarketCap).

What this means: This is a long-term security upgrade that helps ensure Ethereum stays safe as technology advances. The complexity of implementing these changes may slow down adoption.

4. Ethereum Lean Plan (Next 10 years)

Overview: The Lean Ethereum initiative aims to increase the main network’s speed to 10,000 transactions per second, maintain 100% uptime, and allow nodes to run on lightweight devices like smartphones. It also focuses on reducing technical complexity and improving developer tools (ETHKipu).

What this means: This plan supports Ethereum’s decentralization and user-friendliness but requires ongoing community effort. Some specialized features might be simplified or removed in the process.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s roadmap balances short-term improvements in scalability (Fusaka, zkEVM) with long-term upgrades for security and usability (quantum resistance, Lean Plan). While Layer 2 scaling leads the near-term strategy, the focus on resilience and accessibility could reshape Ethereum’s role in global finance. How will Ethereum’s evolving architecture affect its competition with Solana and other fast blockchain networks?


What updates are there in the ETH code base?

Ethereum’s software is getting important upgrades and improvements to make it faster and easier to use.

  1. Fusaka Upgrade (Dec 2025) – Doubles the capacity of Layer-2 solutions using a new method called PeerDAS.
  2. Pectra Activation (May 2025) – Improves staking rules, increases gas limits, and boosts data capacity for rollups.
  3. Geth v1.16.4 (Sep 2025) – Prepares test networks for the Osaka fork and raises gas limits to 60 million.
  4. Account Abstraction (EIP-7702) – Makes wallets more flexible by letting them act like smart contracts.

Deep Dive

1. Fusaka Upgrade (December 2025)

What it is: Fusaka uses Peer Data Availability Sampling (PeerDAS), a technique that lets Ethereum nodes store only a fraction (1/8) of the blockchain data while still confirming that all data is available. This lowers the hardware needed to run a node and supports faster Layer-2 transactions.

Why it matters:

2. Pectra Upgrade (May 2025)

What it is: This upgrade includes 11 Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs). Key changes include raising the minimum amount of ETH needed to stake from 32 to 2,048 ETH, and increasing the data capacity for rollups (Layer-2 scaling solutions).

Why it matters:

3. Geth Client Updates (September 2025)

What it is: The Geth software (one of Ethereum’s main clients) version 1.16.4 increases the default gas limit to 60 million and activates the Osaka fork on test networks. It also adds new features to support larger data blobs.

Why it matters:

4. Account Abstraction (EIP-7702)

What it is: This change allows regular wallets to temporarily behave like smart contracts. This enables features like paying gas fees on behalf of users and sending multiple transactions at once.

Why it matters:

Conclusion

Ethereum is focusing on making its network faster, more scalable, and easier to use. The Fusaka upgrade targets big improvements in transaction speed, Pectra enhances staking and lowers fees, and Account Abstraction improves wallet functionality. These updates aim to help Ethereum meet growing demand from institutions and high-volume users. It will be interesting to see how these changes affect Ethereum’s position compared to other blockchains like Solana.