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What is expected in the development of ETH?

Ethereum’s development plan focuses on improving scalability, security, and decentralization with three main milestones:

  1. Fusaka Upgrade (December 3, 2025) – A major scaling update using PeerDAS technology and increasing data capacity by 8 times.
  2. Lean Ethereum Initiative (2026 and beyond) – Introducing quantum-resistant security and simplifying the protocol.
  3. The Verge (Date TBD) – Implementing stateless clients and Verkle trees to make running nodes easier and less resource-intensive.

In-Depth Look

1. Fusaka Upgrade (December 3, 2025)

What it is: The Fusaka upgrade, scheduled for late 2025, will bring in PeerDAS (Peer Data Availability Sampling). This technology lets Ethereum nodes check the validity of blocks by sampling small pieces of data instead of processing everything. This reduces the hardware needed to run a node. Additionally, the amount of data (called “blobs”) per block will increase from 6 to 48, which is an 8-fold increase. This change is expected to cut Layer 2 (L2) transaction fees by about 95%, dropping costs from around $0.05–$0.20 to less than $0.01 (CryptoGucci).

Why it matters:

2. Lean Ethereum Initiative (2026 and beyond)

What it is: Proposed by researcher Justin Drake, this initiative focuses on adding quantum-resistant cryptography to protect against future quantum computer threats and simplifying Ethereum’s protocol to reduce vulnerabilities (CryptoMinute).

Why it matters:

3. The Verge (Date TBD)

What it is: This part of Ethereum’s future plan introduces Verkle trees, a new data structure that supports stateless clients. This means validators won’t need to store huge amounts of data (terabytes) but only a small fraction (kilobytes), making it easier for individuals to run their own nodes and stake independently (ethereum.org).

Why it matters:

Summary

Ethereum’s roadmap carefully balances immediate improvements in scalability (Fusaka) with future security (quantum resistance) and greater decentralization (The Verge). The Fusaka upgrade is a key milestone for 2025–2026 and could solidify Ethereum’s position as the foundation for Layer 2 solutions. However, its success depends on smooth adoption of PeerDAS and ongoing developer commitment to tackling long-term challenges.

How will these upgrades influence Ethereum’s leadership in decentralized finance (DeFi) and institutional adoption?


What updates are there in the ETH code base?

In 2025, Ethereum made significant improvements to its technology, focusing on scaling, security, and attracting more developers.

  1. Fusaka Upgrade (December 2025) – Boosts Layer 2 scaling by increasing data capacity 8 times and introducing PeerDAS technology.
  2. Pectra Upgrade (May 2025) – Raises staking limits and adds smart account features for easier use.
  3. Gas Limit Increase (June 2025) – Raises the gas limit to 45 million to allow more transactions per block.

Deep Dive

1. Fusaka Upgrade (December 2025)

Overview: This upgrade uses a new technology called PeerDAS (EIP-7594) to improve how data is shared for Layer 2 solutions, which are systems built on top of Ethereum to make transactions faster and cheaper. It also increases the number of data blobs per block from 6 to 48 in steps, making the network much more scalable.
What this means: This is very positive for Ethereum because it lowers transaction fees on Layer 2 to less than one cent. This makes small payments (microtransactions) practical and encourages more use in decentralized finance (DeFi) and digital collectibles (NFTs). Importantly, it keeps the requirements for running a node manageable, helping keep the network decentralized.
(Source)

2. Pectra Upgrade (May 2025)

Overview: This update activated 11 Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs), including increasing the maximum amount validators can stake to 2,048 ETH (EIP-7251) and adding smart features to regular wallets (EIP-7702).
What this means: While this may not immediately affect Ethereum’s price, it improves how staking works for big investors and allows users to pay transaction fees with tokens other than ETH. This makes Ethereum easier to use and more attractive over time.
(Source)

3. Gas Limit Optimization (June 2025)

Overview: Updates to Ethereum clients like Geth and Nethermind increased the default gas limit to 45 million, allowing more transactions per block after community agreement.
What this means: This change may be challenging for individuals running their own nodes because it requires more powerful hardware. However, it benefits the overall network by increasing transaction capacity by about 15%, helping Ethereum handle more activity.
(Source)

Conclusion

Ethereum’s 2025 upgrades focus on making the network faster and more flexible, especially through the Fusaka, Pectra, and gas limit improvements. These changes strengthen Ethereum’s role as the foundation for decentralized applications. With Layer 2 fees dropping close to zero and over 16,000 new developers joining, Ethereum is well-positioned for growth in the expanding multi-chain world of 2026.


Why did the price of ETH fall?

Ethereum (ETH) dropped 4.33% to $2,714.52 in the past 24 hours, slightly underperforming Bitcoin, which fell 3.63%. Here’s why:

  1. ETF outflows – Investors pulled $261.6 million from Ethereum ETFs, showing caution among big institutional players.
  2. Market-wide selloff – About $2 billion worth of crypto positions were liquidated, with Ethereum long positions hit the hardest.
  3. Technical breakdown – Ethereum fell below a key support level at $2,800, and its Relative Strength Index (RSI) shows it’s oversold at 29.35.

Deep Dive

1. Institutional Exodus (Negative Impact)

What happened:
On November 21, Ethereum ETFs saw $261.6 million in withdrawals, part of a larger $795 million weekly outflow (The Block). This trend follows JPMorgan’s analysis that retail investors are moving money from crypto ETFs into stock ETFs.

Why it matters:
When big investors pull money out of Ethereum ETFs, it puts selling pressure on ETH itself because fund managers need to sell ETH to meet redemptions. This is made worse by BitMine’s reported $4.52 billion unrealized loss on ETH holdings (Cointelegraph), which shakes confidence in a quick recovery.

What to watch:
Keep an eye on Ethereum ETF flows on November 22. If outflows continue, ETH’s price could keep falling.

2. Market-Wide Risk-Off Mood (Negative Impact)

What happened:
The crypto fear and greed index dropped to 11 out of 100, signaling “extreme fear.” Around $2 billion in leveraged crypto positions were liquidated. Ethereum’s price drop followed Bitcoin falling below $84,000 and other altcoins like Solana (SOL) and Ripple (XRP) dropping 5-10%.

Why it matters:
Ethereum often moves more sharply during crypto selloffs because it’s considered a higher-risk asset. Open interest in Ethereum derivatives has fallen 22% over the past month (CoinGlass), showing traders are pulling back from risky bets.

3. Technical Breakdown (Mixed Impact)

What happened:
Ethereum broke below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $2,906 and is now testing the 38.2% level at $2,692. The RSI is at 29.35, indicating the asset is oversold, but the MACD (a momentum indicator) remains negative.

Why it matters:
Oversold conditions often suggest a bounce back, but the negative momentum indicators mean the downward trend might not be over yet. If ETH closes below $2,692, it could trigger stop-loss orders pushing the price down toward $2,500.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s recent price drop is driven by ETF-related selling, a broader market risk-off mood, and technical weaknesses. Despite strong staking activity (35 million ETH locked), short-term sentiment is bearish.

Key level to watch: Can Ethereum hold above $2,692? Regaining $2,800 would be a positive sign that the selling pressure is easing.

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What could affect the price of ETH?

Ethereum’s price is caught between growing interest from big investors and challenges from the broader economy.

  1. Fusaka Upgrade (Positive) – Improvements to the network could boost developer activity
  2. Staking Risks (Negative) – Individual validators may struggle to stay profitable
  3. ETF Staking Approval (Mixed) – SEC’s decision could unlock over $4 billion in institutional demand

In-Depth Look

1. Protocol Upgrades & Network Effects (Positive)

What’s Happening:
The Fusaka upgrade, planned for December 2025, aims to make Ethereum more scalable by increasing data capacity eightfold using a technology called PeerDAS. This could lower transaction fees on Layer 2 solutions to under one cent. This follows the May Pectra upgrade, which introduced smart contract wallets and increased the maximum stake per validator to 2,048 ETH.

Why It Matters:
Better scalability could revive decentralized app (dApp) development, which slowed after a 14% drop in total value locked (TVL) in 2025. Past major upgrades, like The Merge in 2022, led to strong price rallies (41% over 63 days). However, delays are possible since 38% of core developers have recently shifted focus to Layer 2 projects.

2. Staking Centralization Pressures (Negative)

What’s Happening:
Although a record 35 million ETH is staked (Bitcoinist), new research shows solo stakers are 24% more sensitive to returns than institutional players. The current annual percentage rate (APR) of 3.8% barely covers the costs for enterprise-level validators.

Why It Matters:
More ETH moving to centralized staking services like Coinbase and Lido could reduce the network’s decentralization—a key feature of Ethereum’s value. Historically, every 1% increase in institutional staking has been linked to a 0.6% price drop due to concerns over security risks.

3. Regulatory Catalysts (Mixed)

What’s Happening:
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to decide on Ethereum staking ETFs by November 30, 2025, following BlackRock’s updated filing. Meanwhile, the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) chair has indicated Ethereum might be classified as a commodity in a 2026 regulatory update.

Why It Matters:
If approved, ETFs could bring in $4.2 billion from institutional investors within 90 days (The Block). If rejected, it could trigger $2.8 billion in futures liquidations. Regulatory clarity is crucial—Ethereum’s price correlation with broader markets hit 0.87 in October, the highest since 2020.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s future depends on successfully rolling out technical upgrades while managing Wall Street’s appetite for risk. The Fusaka upgrade could counterbalance risks from staking centralization, but macroeconomic factors like Bitcoin’s dominance at 58.3% may limit short-term gains. Keep an eye on the Sepolia testnet results on November 28 and CME’s ETH futures open interest, which has predicted 83% of major price moves since 2023. The big question: Can Ethereum’s appeal to institutional investors overcome the current cautious crypto market?

{{technical_analysis_coin_candle_chart}}


What is the latest news about ETH?

Ethereum is balancing strong institutional support with market ups and downs, highlighted by record staking levels and an important upcoming upgrade.

  1. Staking Reaches New Highs (November 21, 2025) – 35 million ETH locked in staking shows long-term confidence despite recent price drops.
  2. ETF Withdrawals Increase (November 21, 2025) – $262 million pulled from Ethereum ETFs amid a broader $2 billion crypto selloff.
  3. Fusaka Upgrade Approaching (September 19, 2025) – Data capacity set to double, aiming for over 12,000 transactions per second by 2026.

In-Depth Look

1. Staking Reaches New Highs (November 21, 2025)

Summary:
More than 35 million ETH, worth about $95 billion, is now locked in staking contracts, according to Bitcoinist. This is a 14% increase year-to-date, even though Ethereum’s price has dropped 42% over the past 90 days. Big players like Bitmine Digital recently added nearly 25,000 ETH ($72.5 million) in one move, showing they’re betting on Ethereum’s future.

What this means:
This is a positive sign for Ethereum’s security and attractiveness to investors. Staking reduces the amount of ETH available to trade (about 11.4% is staked), which helps stabilize the network and encourages participation from validators who process transactions. However, staking rewards, currently around 3.2% annually, could come under pressure if more holders decide to sell. (Bitcoinist)

2. ETF Withdrawals Increase (November 21, 2025)

Summary:
On November 21, U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs experienced $261.6 million in outflows, according to The Block. This trend is similar to Bitcoin ETFs, which saw $903 million withdrawn the same day. JPMorgan suggests that many retail investors are moving their money into stock ETFs due to increased caution in the market.

What this means:
This is a mixed to negative sign in the short term, reflecting broader market concerns rather than problems specific to Ethereum. Overall, Ethereum ETFs still have positive inflows totaling $17.45 billion in assets under management. But if outflows continue, Ethereum’s price support around $2,600 could be tested.

3. Fusaka Upgrade Approaching (September 19, 2025)

Summary:
Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade is planned for December 3, 2025. It will increase the number of data “blobs” per block from 6 to 14, which will significantly lower fees on Layer-2 solutions. Developers are also testing new features like parallel transaction processing and quantum-resistant security measures.

What this means:
This upgrade is a strong positive for Ethereum’s future. Lower fees (targeting just $0.01 per Layer-2 transaction) could boost decentralized finance (DeFi) projects and attract more institutional users. After Fusaka, we may see more developer activity, though how the market reacts will depend on how smoothly the upgrade is implemented. (CryptoGucci)

Conclusion

Ethereum’s strong staking activity and the upcoming Fusaka upgrade help offset short-term ETF outflows and overall market uncertainty. With the network’s security at record levels but prices near an 18-month low, December’s upgrade could spark renewed interest and liquidity. Keep an eye on Ethereum’s $2,600 price support and staking reward trends for clues on where things are headed.


What are people saying about ETH?

Ethereum’s social buzz shows a mix of optimism about upcoming tech improvements and concerns over recent price drops. Here’s what’s trending:

  1. Record inflows into institutional ETFs – but recent outflows raise some worries
  2. Big investors (whales) are backing $4,000+ as key support despite a recent 16% price decline
  3. Pectra and Fusaka upgrades boost developer confidence – though traders watch closely for a possible drop below $2,900

Deep Dive

1. @Eliteonchain: Spot ETF inflows and exchange reserves align 🟢

"ETH spot ETFs added +27,219 ETH last week... exchange reserves fell by 2.64%. When ETF buyers and leveraged traders move together, it increases the chances of price gains."
– @Eliteonchain (23.8K followers · 42K impressions · 2025-09-17 15:55 UTC)
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What this means: This is a positive sign for Ethereum. The supply on exchanges is shrinking while institutional demand grows — a pattern not seen since March 2025. Watch for ETF inflows consistently above $100 million per day to confirm strength.

2. @MarketProphit: Crowd sentiment turns bearish 🔴

"CROWD = Bearish 🟥 / MP = Bullish 🟩... 4-hour chart shows price breaking below $3,876 support."
– @MarketProphit (68.7K followers · 553K impressions · 2025-11-03 03:40 UTC)
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What this means: Short-term pressure is bearish as retail investors pull back. According to Binance data, 62% of leveraged traders are now betting against ETH. The next critical support level to watch is $3,420, the low from earlier in 2025.

3. @EthereumDaily_: Fusaka upgrade moves forward ⚙️

"Developers confirm Fusaka mainnet launch is now set for 2025-12-03... introducing Verkle trees and a danksharding testnet."
– @EthereumDaily_ (4.7K followers · 141K impressions · 2025-09-20 07:00 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is cautiously optimistic for the long term. The upgrades could cut node synchronization time by 90%, making the network more efficient. However, staking rewards might be delayed. Keep an eye on how many developers participate in the testnet.

Conclusion

The outlook for Ethereum is mixed. Institutional investors are accumulating, while retail traders remain cautious. Network upgrades like Fusaka bring promise but also execution risks. With ETH down 28% over the past month but ETF assets under management still strong at $17.45 billion, watch the $3,000 psychological support level and progress on the Fusaka upgrade. Will Ethereum’s reputation as “digital oil” help it overcome technical challenges and price fears?

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