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Why did the price of DOGE fall?

Dogecoin (DOGE) dropped 8.2% in the last 24 hours, falling more than the overall crypto market, which declined by 5.6%. Three main factors contributed to this:

  1. Leveraged liquidations – $1.2 billion worth of crypto positions were forcibly sold, making DOGE’s decline worse
  2. Macro risk aversion – Rising tensions between the U.S. and China caused investors to pull back from risky assets like crypto
  3. Technical breakdown – DOGE fell below a key support level at $0.20

In-Depth Analysis

1. Crypto-Wide Liquidations (Negative Impact)

What happened:
On October 17, over $1.2 billion in crypto positions were liquidated (forced sales due to margin calls), with Dogecoin among the hardest hit altcoins (Coinspeaker). Traders who were betting on prices going up lost $917 million as prices dropped below important support levels.

Why it matters:
These liquidations triggered a chain reaction of automated selling. DOGE’s trading volume jumped nearly 40% to $4.21 billion, indicating panic selling. Since there’s still a large amount of open positions ($2.97 billion), more forced sales could keep pushing prices down.

What to watch:
Bitcoin’s ability to stay above $105,000 is crucial. If Bitcoin falls below this, it could cause another wave of selling in altcoins like DOGE.

2. Geopolitical Risk Spillover (Negative Impact)

What happened:
Renewed trade tensions between the U.S. and China, including proposals for 100% tariffs, scared investors away from risky assets like cryptocurrencies (CoinGape). The crypto market lost $830 billion in value over the past week. DOGE, known as a meme coin, is especially vulnerable during times of uncertainty.

Why it matters:
Meme coins like DOGE usually perform worse when there’s economic or political uncertainty because they are more speculative. DOGE’s price movement has become closely linked to Bitcoin’s, with a 30-day correlation of 0.89, meaning it tends to follow Bitcoin’s ups and downs.

What to watch:
The Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision on October 28-29. If the Fed signals a more cautious approach, it could encourage investors to take more risks again.

3. Technical Breakdown (Negative Impact)

What happened:
DOGE fell below the important $0.20 level and its 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $0.206, triggering automated selling by trading algorithms. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 30.93, indicating the coin is oversold, while the MACD histogram (-0.0056) confirms downward momentum.

Why it matters:
Technical traders are now eyeing the June low of $0.142 as the next possible support. However, historically, when DOGE’s RSI reaches oversold levels like this, it often bounces back 15-20% within about a week.

What to watch:
If DOGE closes above $0.183 on a daily basis, it could signal a short-term recovery.

Conclusion

Dogecoin’s recent drop reflects a combination of market-wide deleveraging, geopolitical fears, and technical breakdowns—typical for high-risk assets during uncertain times. While oversold indicators suggest a bounce could be coming, the absence of strong positive news like ETF approvals or major upgrades limits how much DOGE can rally right now.

Key levels to watch: The $0.175 to $0.18 range is important. Holding this zone could stabilize prices, but if DOGE falls below it, the next target could be around $0.15.


What could affect the price of DOGE?

Dogecoin is caught between debates over inflation and excitement around new ETFs.

  1. Block Reward Proposal – A plan to cut Dogecoin’s yearly new supply by 90% (from 5 billion to 500 million DOGE) is stirring debate about inflation.
  2. ETF Momentum – The first U.S. Dogecoin ETF launched with $17 million and is seeking approval for spot trading; the SEC’s decisions are coming soon.
  3. Whale Activity – Big investors bought over $200 million worth of DOGE after a price dip, signaling accumulation but also potential price swings.

Deep Dive

1. Inflation Policy Shift (Mixed Impact)

Overview: A proposal on GitHub suggests cutting Dogecoin’s annual new supply from 5 billion to 500 million DOGE. Supporters say this would reduce inflation (currently about 3.3% per year) and make DOGE more scarce. Critics worry that miners would earn less, which could hurt the network’s security.

What this means: If approved, this could help Dogecoin become more of a long-term store of value. However, miners might sell off their coins or stop mining, causing short-term price drops. While supply cuts have helped Bitcoin’s price in the past, Dogecoin’s price is also influenced by its popularity as a meme coin, making outcomes less predictable.

2. ETF Adoption & Regulatory Risks (Bullish)

Overview: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is reviewing several Dogecoin ETFs, including 21Shares’ TDOG and Rex-Osprey’s DOJE, which is listed on the DTCC (source). Approval of spot ETFs (expected by January 2026) could lead to price gains similar to Bitcoin’s 160% surge after its ETF approval in 2024.

What this means: ETFs could bring more stable investment into Dogecoin and reduce price swings caused by retail traders. However, some ETFs charge fees (like DOJE’s 1.5%), which might cause their price to not perfectly match DOGE’s price. A key date to watch is October 18, when Grayscale’s DOGE trust conversion decision is due.

3. Whale-Driven Volatility (Neutral/Bearish)

Overview: Large investors, known as whales, bought over 1 billion DOGE (worth $200 million) in August 2025, pushing prices up 11%. However, recent inactivity (source) suggests caution. Whales control about 17.5% of all DOGE, which can cause big price swings.

What this means: When whales buy or sell large amounts, it can cause rapid price increases or drops. The current Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 30.93 indicates DOGE might be oversold and due for a bounce, but broader risks like U.S.-China trade tensions could slow recovery.

Conclusion

Dogecoin’s future depends on balancing its meme-driven popularity with important changes like ETF approvals and supply cuts. Lowering new coin issuance and gaining ETF approval could help keep DOGE above its $0.18 price level. However, resistance from miners and global market challenges (with the overall crypto market cap dropping 11.5% monthly) remain risks. Keep an eye on the October 18 SEC decision on Grayscale’s ETF—approval could spark a breakout above $0.20.


What are people saying about DOGE?

The Dogecoin community is divided between hopeful excitement driven by memes and cautious technical analysis. Here’s what’s trending right now:

  1. ETF hopes – Grayscale’s filing for a Dogecoin Trust ETF is attracting interest from big investors.
  2. Whale activity – Large transactions over $40 million suggest potential price swings.
  3. Technical debate – Traders are watching whether Dogecoin holds support at $0.17 or breaks out above $0.25.

In-Depth Look

1. @johnmorganFL: DOGE ETF Approval Could Be a Game-Changer

“Grayscale’s Dogecoin Trust ETF (GDOG) is waiting on the SEC’s decision by October 2025. If approved, it could bring in institutional money similar to what happened with Bitcoin ETFs, boosting Dogecoin’s credibility.”
– @johnmorganFL (3.2M followers · 12M impressions · August 17, 2025)
View original post
What this means: Approval would likely be very positive for Dogecoin, attracting large investors. However, any delays might keep the market cautious or bearish for longer.

2. @ali_charts: Big Investors Moving Dogecoin Raises Eyebrows

“170 million DOGE (worth about $40 million) moved in 24 hours – classic behavior from ‘whales’ (large holders). If the $0.17 support level breaks, we could see a sharp sell-off.”
– @ali_charts (1.1M followers · 8.4M impressions · May 21, 2025)
View original post
What this means: If whales start selling, the short-term outlook could be negative. But if they’re accumulating at $0.17, it shows confidence for the long run.

3. @CobakOfficial: Meme Hype vs. Market Signals

“Dogecoin’s chart shows a pattern that could lead to a 30% rally, but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 52 indicates no strong momentum yet. Patience is key.”
– @CobakOfficial (890K followers · 4.7M impressions · August 14, 2025)
View original post
What this means: The technical indicators suggest the price might stay steady for now until Bitcoin’s market dominance changes or new ETF news breaks the current balance.

Conclusion

Overall, opinions on Dogecoin are mixed. Optimism about an ETF approval is balanced by cautious views due to broader market trends, like Bitcoin’s recent drop to $105,000 on October 17. While community enthusiasm and whale activity show some strength, Dogecoin’s price still closely follows Bitcoin’s movements. Keep an eye on the SEC’s ETF decision and whether Dogecoin can hold the $0.17 support level—if it falls below that, prices could revisit 2024 lows near $0.13. For now, the market is caught between meme-driven excitement and larger economic forces.


What is the latest news about DOGE?

Dogecoin stays steady despite market ups and downs, focusing on important ETF decisions and big investor moves. Here’s what’s new:

  1. Market Crash Hits DOGE (October 17, 2025) – Dogecoin drops 9% as $1.2 billion in crypto assets are sold off and ETFs see money leaving.
  2. Grayscale’s Dogecoin ETF Nears SEC Approval (Mid-October 2025) – Updated filing shows progress toward getting institutional investors on board.
  3. Big Investors Buy More During Dip (October 15, 2025) – Short-term holders increase their Dogecoin, suggesting they expect prices to rise.

In-Depth Look

1. Market Crash Hits DOGE (October 17, 2025)

Summary:
Dogecoin’s price fell 9% to about $0.18, following a broad sell-off in cryptocurrencies caused by $1.18 billion in forced sales and tensions between the U.S. and China. Bitcoin ETFs saw $536 million withdrawn—the biggest outflow since August—as investors moved away from risky assets. Dogecoin’s weekly loss was 23%, worse than many other top coins.

What this means:
This drop is mainly due to overall market fear, but Dogecoin’s high trading volume ($4.16 billion in 24 hours) helps prevent wild price swings. Traders are watching the $0.17 level closely; if it falls below that, prices could test lows near $0.15 from June. (CoinJournal)

2. Grayscale’s Dogecoin ETF Nears SEC Approval (Mid-October 2025)

Summary:
Grayscale updated its application for a Dogecoin ETF (called GDOG), including a feature called “in-kind redemptions,” which is important for SEC approval. The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is expected to make a final decision by mid-October, around the same time it reviews other altcoin ETFs.

What this means:
If approved, this ETF would allow Dogecoin to be traded in regulated markets, likely attracting big institutional investors. However, the SEC remains cautious about meme coins like Dogecoin. Experts estimate a 60% chance the ETF will be approved, based on recent similar cases. (Bitcoinist)

3. Big Investors Buy More During Dip (October 15, 2025)

Summary:
Data from the blockchain shows that short-term Dogecoin holders increased their holdings by 22% in October, buying more even as prices hit three-month lows. This pattern is similar to what happened before price rallies in 2023 and 2024.

What this means:
This buying activity suggests confidence that Dogecoin’s price will bounce back. Still, a strong recovery depends on Bitcoin staying above $100,000 and overall positive sentiment toward meme coins improving. (Bitcoinist)

Conclusion

Dogecoin is navigating challenges from the broader market and important regulatory decisions. Its price is closely linked to Bitcoin’s performance and the progress of ETF approvals. While big investors are showing optimism by buying more, the key question is whether Dogecoin can overcome its typical price swings if the ETF gets approved. Keep an eye on the $0.17 support level and the SEC’s decision on Grayscale’s ETF for signs of what’s next.


What is expected in the development of DOGE?

Dogecoin’s development is focused on making the coin more useful and widely accepted by upgrading its technology and building tools for its community.

  1. Community Staking Proposal (2025) – Working with Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin to create a new way for users to earn rewards by participating in the network.
  2. Dogecoin ETF Decision (October 2025) – The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will decide on Grayscale’s application to launch a Dogecoin exchange-traded fund (ETF).
  3. Network Scaling Initiatives (2026) – Improving Dogecoin’s ability to handle more transactions faster, making it more practical for everyday use.

Deep Dive

1. Community Staking Proposal (2025)

Overview:
The Dogecoin Foundation is teaming up with Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum, to develop a “Community Staking” system based on Proof-of-Stake (PoS). This system would let more Dogecoin holders, even those with smaller amounts, earn rewards by helping secure the network. Part of the rewards would also support charitable causes (Dogecoin Trailmap).

What this means:
This is good news for Dogecoin because it could reduce dependence on large mining operations, make the network more decentralized, and attract new users who want to earn passive income. However, moving from the current Proof-of-Work (PoW) system to PoS could be technically challenging and may face resistance from some community members.

2. Dogecoin ETF Decision (October 2025)

Overview:
The SEC is expected to make a decision by October 2025 on Grayscale’s proposal to launch a Dogecoin ETF (ticker: GDOG). If approved, this would be the first regulated investment product for DOGE, similar to existing Bitcoin ETFs (CoinMarketCap News).

What this means:
Approval could increase Dogecoin’s credibility among large investors and improve market liquidity. On the other hand, if the SEC rejects the ETF, it might reinforce the idea that Dogecoin is mainly a speculative “meme coin,” which could lead to short-term price drops.

3. Network Scaling Initiatives (2026)

Overview:
Dogecoin plans to improve how many transactions it can process and how quickly they are confirmed. This includes upgrading node software like Libdogecoin and developing tools such as GigaWallet to help merchants accept Dogecoin more easily (Dogecoin Trailmap).

What this means:
Better scalability is generally positive because it addresses past issues with Dogecoin’s speed and capacity, making it more practical for everyday payments. The success of these upgrades depends on how well developers and platforms like X (formerly Twitter) adopt them.

Conclusion

Dogecoin’s roadmap combines technical improvements (staking and scalability) with financial infrastructure (ETF approval) to help it move from being just a meme coin to a widely used digital currency. While these steps could boost adoption, challenges like technical risks and regulatory uncertainty remain. Will Dogecoin’s community-driven spirit keep pace with the demands of larger investors as it grows?


What updates are there in the DOGE code base?

Dogecoin’s software is getting updates and improvements driven by its community.

  1. Java Library Update (September 13, 2025) – Improved Dogecoin Java tools by integrating updates from Bitcoinj.
  2. Dogecoinj Revival (September 8, 2025) – Brought back the Java protocol implementation to make it easier for developers to work with Dogecoin.
  3. Community Tooling Boost (June 30, 2024) – Released new libraries, block explorers, and coding tools to help grow the Dogecoin ecosystem.

Deep Dive

1. Java Library Update (September 13, 2025)

What happened: The #libdohj Java library was updated by combining improvements from Bitcoinj, a well-known Bitcoin Java library. Support for other coins like Namecoin and Litecoin was removed to focus only on Dogecoin.
Why it matters: This makes it easier for developers to build apps, wallets, or services specifically for Dogecoin. It also simplifies maintenance and reduces compatibility issues by using modern Java standards.
Impact on DOGE: Neutral for the coin’s price but positive for developers, making future projects easier to build and maintain. (Source)

2. Dogecoinj Revival (September 8, 2025)

What happened: The Dogecoinj project, which is a Java-based implementation of Dogecoin’s protocol, was updated and revived. This allows for lightweight nodes and wallet integration using Java.
Why it matters: This lowers the barrier for Java developers to create Dogecoin-related applications, such as payment systems or decentralized apps, potentially increasing Dogecoin’s use cases.
Impact on DOGE: Positive, as it encourages more developers to build on Dogecoin. (Source)

3. Community Tooling Boost (June 30, 2024)

What happened: New tools were released, including dogecoin.js (a lightweight JavaScript library), electrs-doge (a backend for block explorers), and BitIDE Doge (a coding environment for scripting).
Why it matters: These tools make it easier for developers to create Dogecoin apps and services, which can help grow the ecosystem beyond just being a meme coin.
Impact on DOGE: Neutral in the short term but positive in the long run as better tools attract more developers and users. (Source)

Conclusion

Dogecoin’s software is improving thanks to community-driven projects focused on developer tools and infrastructure. While there aren’t major changes to the core protocol, these efforts aim to encourage wider adoption and more practical uses for Dogecoin. The big question is whether these improvements will lead to noticeable growth in the Dogecoin ecosystem in 2026.