Why did the price of ARB go up?
Arbitrum (ARB) increased by 0.58% in the last 24 hours. This is less than its strong 6.65% gain over the past week but follows the overall crypto market trend, which grew by 1.75%. The main factors behind Arbitrum’s performance are growing use of its platform, solid technical signs, and interest from big financial institutions.
- SWIFT Partnership Confirmed (Positive for ARB)
- Stablecoin Growth on Arbitrum (Mixed Effects)
- Technical Indicators Show Recovery Signs (Neutral to Positive)
Deep Dive
1. SWIFT Partnership Confirmed (Positive for ARB)
Overview: The CEO of Consensys announced that SWIFT, a major global financial messaging network, is building its blockchain payment system on Linea, which is an Ethereum Layer 2 solution powered by Arbitrum’s technology. SWIFT handles $150 trillion in transactions yearly, so this partnership shows strong institutional confidence in Arbitrum’s platform.
What this means: This partnership could increase long-term demand for Arbitrum as SWIFT expands trials with big banks like Citi and Bank of America. However, the immediate effect on ARB’s price is limited because the rollout will happen in stages.
What to watch: Keep an eye on when SWIFT launches its mainnet and how many users start adopting the system.
2. Stablecoin Growth on Arbitrum (Mixed Effects)
Overview: The amount of stablecoins on Arbitrum has jumped 88% so far this year, reaching $3.3 billion. USDC stablecoin now makes up 58% of this supply (CEX.IO Q3 2025 Stablecoin Report).
What this means: More stablecoins mean more activity in decentralized finance (DeFi) on Arbitrum, which is good. But it also means more competition from other blockchains like Solana, which saw 70% growth in stablecoins. Arbitrum currently holds $2.5 billion in total value locked (TVL) and has 440,000 active wallets, showing solid user engagement. However, most fee revenue comes from specific trading platforms like GMX.
3. Technical Indicators Show Recovery Signs (Neutral to Positive)
Overview: ARB’s price has moved back above its 7-day simple moving average (SMA) at $0.429 and is holding above a key support level at $0.434. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is neutral at 47.48, and the MACD indicator shows steady momentum. A big increase in trading volume (+590% on June 30) suggests interest from large investors.
What this means: Short-term traders might aim for the resistance level at $0.4926. However, ARB’s price is still down 11.68% over the last 30 days.
Conclusion
Arbitrum’s recent small price increase reflects important partnerships and growing stablecoin use on its platform. Still, broader market challenges have caused an 11.68% drop over the past month. The key factors to watch are how SWIFT’s integration progresses and whether ARB can break above the $0.4926 resistance level to confirm a stronger upward trend.
What could affect the price of ARB?
Arbitrum is balancing between growing its ecosystem and managing risks from increasing token supply.
- Governance Upgrades – The ArbOS 40 update’s account abstraction feature could encourage more users.
- Ecosystem Growth – DeFi projects like Lighter DEX are boosting activity, but competition from other Layer 2 networks is strong.
- Token Unlocks – On October 2, 92.65 million ARB tokens were unlocked, which could lead to more selling pressure.
Deep Dive
1. Protocol Upgrades & Governance (Positive Outlook)
Overview: Arbitrum recently launched the ArbOS 40 upgrade, adding a feature called native account abstraction (EIP-7702). This lets users pay transaction fees with any token and use advanced security options like multi-signature wallets. These improvements align with Ethereum’s development plans and could attract larger DeFi projects.
What this means: Better user experience and developer tools may increase activity on the network, which can raise fee revenue and demand for ARB tokens. For example, after integrating with Arbitrum Nova, GMX saw its total value locked (TVL) jump by 120%.
2. DeFi Competition & Layer 2 Battles (Mixed Outlook)
Overview: Arbitrum currently holds about 28% of Ethereum’s Layer 2 TVL, totaling $2.3 billion. However, competitors like Base (which grew TVL by 88% in Q3 2025) and Linea (selected by SWIFT) are gaining ground.
What this means: While Arbitrum’s Timeboost fee model earned over $2 million in May (source), losing key protocols like Uniswap—which accounts for 58% of Arbitrum’s stablecoin trading volume—could weaken its market position.
3. Token Supply Dynamics (Potential Downside)
Overview: On October 2, 92.65 million ARB tokens (worth about $42 million) were unlocked, adding to the 5.4 billion tokens already in circulation. Early investors, who hold 17.53% of the total supply, have sold around 16.75 million ARB following price rallies in 2025.
What this means: The ongoing 2% annual token minting keeps inflation pressure on the price. The recent 12.27% price drop over 30 days mirrors past events, such as the 35% decline after the March 2024 unlock.
Conclusion
Arbitrum’s price will depend on how well it balances technical improvements with the challenges of token inflation and competition from other Layer 2 networks. The $0.40 to $0.52 price range will be a key test to see if ecosystem growth can overcome selling pressure. Keep an eye on whether Robinhood’s rollout of European tokenized stocks on Arbitrum triggers a supply shock, along with the impact of the October 2 token unlock and Ethereum’s support level at $4,392.
What are people saying about ARB?
The Arbitrum community is divided between those excited about its growth and others cautious about signs that the price might be too high right now. Here’s what’s happening:
- Traders are debating if $0.50 is a strong resistance level after a 7% price increase this week
- Rumors about a partnership with Robinhood have resurfaced, causing price swings
- The Arbitrum ecosystem is growing, highlighted by campaigns like “Arbitrum Everywhere”
- Technical indicators warn that the price might be overbought soon
Deep Dive
1. @arbitrum: Ecosystem growth looks promising
“We’re building Arbitrum Everywhere – see where we’re headed first 👀”
– @arbitrum (2.1M followers · 15.8K impressions · 2025-07-14 16:10 UTC)
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What this means: Arbitrum is actively expanding its network through partnerships, like with Camelot DEX, which handles $30 billion in trading volume across 18 blockchains. This could increase demand for ARB tokens as more people use the platform.
2. @BenTerry: Mixed feelings from supporters
“Arbitrum is ethereum. Arbitrum is freedom.”
– @BenTerry (89K followers · 2.4K impressions · 2025-08-20 21:06 UTC)
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What this means: While some see Arbitrum as closely tied to Ethereum and a symbol of decentralization, there’s uncertainty about how it stands out from other similar projects.
3. CoinMarketCap Community: Traders split on price outlook
“ARB could challenge $0.52 if bulls hold $0.495 support” (Post)
– Some traders are optimistic after a 17% bounce in one day (2025-08-18), but others warn that the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 84.53, indicating the price might be overbought (Post)
What this means: There’s a tug-of-war between short-term optimism and caution. Recent price swings caused $2.11 million in liquidations within 24 hours, showing high volatility.
Conclusion
Opinions on ARB are mixed. The growing ecosystem and potential partnerships, including rumors about Robinhood building on Arbitrum, create positive momentum. However, the price faces strong resistance around $0.50 to $0.52, with technical indicators like RSI suggesting it might be overbought. Keep an eye on the $0.45 support level—if it breaks below that, it could signal a pause or a pullback before any new price highs.
What is the latest news about ARB?
Arbitrum is benefiting from the growing popularity of stablecoins in decentralized finance (DeFi) and is expanding its reach across different blockchain networks. Here are the key updates:
- Stablecoins Surpass $300 Billion (October 3, 2025) – Arbitrum’s stablecoin supply jumped 88% in the third quarter, outpacing competitors.
- TRON Launches SunPerp on Arbitrum (October 2, 2025) – A new multi-chain decentralized exchange (DEX) for perpetual contracts integrates ARB to enable cross-chain trading.
- Bitrue Expands ARB Staking Options (September 30, 2025) – The exchange adds USDC support and offers higher yields for staking ARB.
In-Depth Look
1. Stablecoins Surpass $300 Billion (October 3, 2025)
Summary: The total market value of stablecoins—cryptocurrencies designed to maintain a stable price—reached $300 billion on October 3. This growth was mainly driven by popular stablecoins like Tether (USDT), Circle’s USDC, and Ethena’s USDe. On Arbitrum, the supply of stablecoins grew by 88% in the third quarter, with USDC’s share increasing from 44% to 58% (source).
Why it matters: This shows that Arbitrum is becoming a major hub for stablecoins, which improves liquidity (the ease of buying and selling assets) and activity in DeFi applications. Its fast growth makes it an attractive platform for both large institutions and everyday users.
2. TRON Launches SunPerp on Arbitrum (October 2, 2025)
Summary: TRON introduced SunPerp, a decentralized exchange for perpetual contracts (a type of financial derivative) that uses Arbitrum to enable trading across multiple blockchains. Initially, SunPerp will support Ethereum, Binance Smart Chain (BSC), and Arbitrum, with plans to offer 100 to 200 trading pairs (source).
Why it matters: By including Arbitrum in its multi-chain approach, SunPerp strengthens Arbitrum’s position in the derivatives market. This could attract traders from other popular blockchains like Solana and Ethereum, increasing liquidity and usage.
3. Bitrue Expands ARB Staking Options (September 30, 2025)
Summary: Bitrue, a cryptocurrency exchange, expanded its Earn product by adding support for USDC on Arbitrum and XDC networks. It offers flexible staking options with annual percentage yields (APY) up to 20%. Currently, over $500 million is locked in Bitrue’s staking programs (source).
Why it matters: More exchange support makes ARB more useful and encourages more people to participate in staking, which helps secure the network and earn rewards. However, competition for high yields remains strong among Layer 2 solutions.
Conclusion
Arbitrum is solidifying its role in the DeFi space through strong stablecoin growth, expanding cross-chain partnerships, and increased exchange support. As its total value locked (TVL) and user adoption continue to rise, upcoming technical upgrades could further strengthen its position as a leading Layer 2 blockchain solution.
What is expected in the development of ARB?
Arbitrum is making steady progress with these key updates:
- Security Council Elections (Q4 2025) – A governance vote to choose new members who oversee the protocol’s safety.
- $14 Million Audit Subsidy Program (July 2025 – July 2026) – Funding to support security checks for projects building on Arbitrum.
- Arbitrum Orbit Expansion (2026) – Growing Layer 3 chains focused on areas like decentralized finance (DeFi), gaming, and artificial intelligence (AI).
In-Depth Look
1. Security Council Elections (Q4 2025)
What’s happening:
Arbitrum’s decentralized organization (DAO) holds elections twice a year to select 12 members for its Security Council. This group handles urgent updates and fixes to keep the protocol safe. The next election, where six seats will be up for grabs, is planned for the last quarter of 2025 (Arbitrum DAO Docs).
Why it matters:
This event is neutral for ARB tokens—it helps maintain the system’s stability but comes with some risks related to how smoothly governance decisions are carried out. If the elections go well, it could boost trust in Arbitrum’s decentralized management. If there are delays or issues, it might raise concerns about coordination.
2. $14 Million Audit Subsidy Program (July 2025 – July 2026)
What’s happening:
Starting July 2025, Arbitrum will provide $14 million (in ARB tokens) over a year to help projects pay for security audits. These audits check for vulnerabilities and improve safety for apps built on Arbitrum (Arbitrum Security Audit Program).
Why it matters:
This is a positive sign for ARB because it encourages developers to build secure, high-quality decentralized applications (dApps). More secure apps can attract more users and increase the total value locked (TVL) in the network. However, there’s a chance that audit quality might vary or funds might not be managed perfectly.
3. Arbitrum Orbit Expansion (2026)
What’s happening:
Arbitrum plans to expand its Layer 3 “Orbit” chains, which are smaller blockchains built on top of Layer 2, to serve industries like gaming and AI. Over 100 of these chains are currently being developed, with launches expected throughout 2026 (Arbitrum X Post).
Why it matters:
This expansion is good news for ARB if more projects start using Orbit chains, as it could increase transaction fees and the usefulness of ARB tokens. Still, Arbitrum faces competition from other Layer 2 and Layer 3 solutions, such as Optimism’s Superchain, which could impact its growth.
Conclusion
Arbitrum’s roadmap shows a balance between strengthening governance now and scaling its ecosystem for the future. The Audit Subsidy Program and Orbit expansion highlight efforts to improve security and diversify use cases, while the Security Council elections will test how well the community manages the protocol. The big question is whether Arbitrum’s Layer 3 adoption will outpace competitors and secure its place as a leader in modular blockchain technology.
What updates are there in the ARB code base?
Arbitrum is making important upgrades to its software that align closely with Ethereum’s improvements and boost security.
- ArbOS 50 Dia Proposal (September 29, 2025) – Introduces Ethereum Fusaka EIPs, optimizes gas usage, and adds new precompiled contracts.
- Audit Program Launch (July 28, 2025) – $14 million in funding to support security audits for projects building on Arbitrum.
- ArbOS 40 Callisto Upgrade (May 24, 2025) – Added account abstraction and BLS signature support for better user experience and security.
Deep Dive
1. ArbOS 50 Dia Proposal (September 29, 2025)
What it is: This proposal aims to upgrade Arbitrum One and Nova to ArbOS 50 Dia, bringing Arbitrum in line with Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade and adding features that improve efficiency.
Key updates include:
- EIP-7210: Adds support for a new cryptographic curve (secp256r1), enhancing security options.
- EIP-7623: Caps transaction gas at 32 million on Layer 2 to keep network performance stable.
- CLZ Opcode: Lowers gas costs for certain math operations, like counting leading zeros in binary numbers.
- Constraint-based pricing groundwork: Sets the stage for future gas fees that better reflect actual resource use, such as computing power versus storage.
Why it matters: These changes make Arbitrum more developer-friendly and efficient, while keeping it closely aligned with Ethereum’s roadmap, which is positive for ARB holders. (Source)
2. Audit Program Launch (July 28, 2025)
What it is: The Arbitrum Foundation dedicated $14 million in ARB tokens to help fund security audits for early-stage projects building on Arbitrum.
Key points:
- Grants cover audits by trusted firms like OpenZeppelin and Certora.
- Focuses on fast-growing projects to reduce security risks early on.
- Managed by a committee that includes experts chosen by the community (DAO).
Why it matters: This program aims to improve the overall security of the Arbitrum ecosystem, which could attract more developers and users. The impact depends on how well the audits are adopted and their quality. (Source)
3. ArbOS 40 Callisto Upgrade (May 24, 2025)
What it is: This upgrade introduced native account abstraction (EIP-7702) and BLS signature verification (EIP-2537), features that align Arbitrum with Ethereum’s Pectra upgrade.
Key benefits:
- Users can now pay transaction fees using any token and use multi-signature wallets more easily.
- Developers received new tools to integrate zero-knowledge proofs (ZK-proofs), enhancing privacy and scalability.
Why it matters: These improvements make Arbitrum easier to use and more interoperable with other systems, which is good for ARB’s growth. However, the real impact depends on how many users and developers adopt these features. (Source)
Conclusion
Arbitrum’s recent updates show a clear focus on staying closely connected to Ethereum’s development while strengthening security through audits. The upcoming ArbOS 50 Dia upgrade could further establish Arbitrum as a top Layer 2 solution for Ethereum. However, node operators and developers will need to prepare for these changes. It remains to be seen how these upgrades will influence developers choosing Arbitrum over other competing rollups.