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Why did the price of ARB go up?

Arbitrum (ARB) increased by 0.51% to $0.187 in the past 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market, which dropped by 1.15%. Despite this short-term gain, ARB is still in a long-term downtrend, down 41% over the last 60 days. The main factors behind this movement are:

  1. Robinhood Integration Buzz – Growing speculation that Arbitrum will be part of Robinhood’s new platform for trading tokenized European stocks.
  2. Technical Rebound from Oversold Levels – Indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 42.34 and a positive MACD crossover suggest short-term buying interest.
  3. DeFi Total Value Locked (TVL) Growth – Arbitrum’s TVL stands at $2.5 billion, supported by increasing activity in real-world asset (RWA) protocols, strengthening the network’s fundamentals.

Deep Dive

1. Robinhood Partnership Speculation (Positive Outlook)

Overview:
On December 23, Arbitrum’s price jumped 17% after Robinhood hinted at a new blockchain project for trading European stocks. Although not officially confirmed, reports suggest Arbitrum could be the technology behind this platform.

What this means:
If Robinhood partners with Arbitrum, it would show that Arbitrum is ready for large-scale business use and could introduce ARB to over 23 million users. The market’s reaction is similar to a 46% price increase seen in June when similar rumors circulated. Still, ARB’s price remains 85% below its 2024 peak, reflecting cautious investor sentiment until there’s official news.

Key event to watch:
Robinhood’s announcement at their Cannes event on December 24 for more details on the partnership.

2. Technical Bounce From Oversold Levels (Mixed Signals)

Overview:
ARB’s RSI has moved up to 42.34, coming out of the oversold range, and the MACD indicator has turned positive (+0.0004) for the first time in two weeks.

What this means:
This technical bounce is consistent with past price recoveries around the $0.172 to $0.186 support zone. However, the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a key resistance level, is at $0.353—47% higher than the current price—indicating strong overhead resistance.

Key level to watch:
If ARB closes above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.216, it could signal more upward momentum.

3. DeFi Recovery & Real-World Asset Growth (Positive Impact)

Overview:
Arbitrum’s Total Value Locked (TVL) reached $2.5 billion in the fourth quarter of 2025, driven by protocols focused on real-world assets, such as Morpho Labs ($485 million TVL) and Silo Finance ($113 million).

What this means:
The network generated over $2 million in fees for the DAO treasury in December through activities like Timeboost auctions and Orbit chains. These strong fundamentals contrast with ARB’s low price, suggesting a possible undervaluation.

Conclusion

Arbitrum’s recent price increase is driven by a mix of partnership rumors, technical factors, and solid DeFi performance. While excitement around Robinhood’s potential partnership is fueling short-term optimism, ARB needs to maintain prices above $0.20 to confirm a possible trend reversal.

Key points to monitor: Watch for Robinhood’s announcement at Cannes and whether ARB can hold the $0.185 support level. Falling below this could lead to a retest of yearly lows near $0.172.


What could affect the price of ARB?

The future of Arbitrum (ARB) depends on how well its ecosystem grows, upcoming token releases, and competition among Layer 2 (L2) blockchain solutions.

  1. Robinhood Partnership – Connecting traditional finance to crypto could boost users (positive)
  2. Token Inflation – New tokens being released may put downward pressure on price (negative)
  3. L2 Competition – Leading in total value locked (TVL) but facing challenges from rivals (mixed)

In-Depth Analysis

1. Ecosystem Growth Through Robinhood (Positive Outlook)

What’s happening: Arbitrum’s “Everywhere” initiative includes a partnership with Robinhood, allowing European users to trade tokenized stocks around the clock. This is seen as a major step that could bring millions of traditional finance (TradFi) users onto Arbitrum’s Layer 2 platform.

Why it matters: Real-world use cases like this can increase activity on the Arbitrum network and boost demand for ARB, the platform’s governance token. Similar partnerships, such as Gemini’s launch of on-chain equity trading in June 2025, have previously led to significant price increases (around 17% rallies).

2. Token Supply and Unlocks (Negative Outlook)

What’s happening: ARB has a fixed total supply of 10 billion tokens. Nearly 43% is held by the DAO treasury, and about 27% is allocated to team members and advisors. Starting March 2024, up to 2% new tokens are minted annually. Additionally, a large unlock of 92 million tokens is scheduled for mid-December 2025, which has already caused some selling pressure.

Why it matters: The increase in token supply (estimated to grow by 24% annually in 2026) is outpacing demand, which can push prices down. Large holders (“whales”) selling tokens after unlocks, like the recent sale of 7.11 million ARB tokens, show how sensitive the market is to these events. Despite ecosystem growth, ARB’s price remains about 76% below its 2024 peak.

3. Competition Among Layer 2 Solutions (Mixed Outlook)

What’s happening: Arbitrum currently leads the Layer 2 space with $2.53 billion in total value locked (TVL) and over 900 decentralized apps (dApps). However, competitors like Base (which grew its TVL by 209.8% in 2025) and zkSync are gaining ground. Arbitrum’s DAO has set up a $14 million security fund and launched the Fusaka upgrade to keep developers engaged.

Why it matters: Arbitrum’s technology allows for custom app-chains, which is a strong advantage. But if it fails to capture emerging markets like Real-World Assets (RWAs), expected to reach around $16 billion by late 2025, its dominance could weaken. Network effects are strong, but issues like network congestion (seen in October 2025) might push projects to explore other platforms.

Conclusion

ARB’s price is caught between positive adoption trends and selling pressure from token unlocks. Technical indicators show the price consolidating around $0.18 to $0.19, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 42.34, suggesting potential accumulation. Keep an eye on the ARB/ETH ratio—a move above 0.00052 might indicate a shift favoring Layer 2 tokens, while sustained drops below $0.17 could confirm a bearish trend.

The key question: Can Arbitrum’s governance shift to fee-sharing models before inflation slows down the rally?


What are people saying about ARB?

The Arbitrum (ARB) community is divided between hope for a technical price rebound and concerns about ongoing downward pressure. Here’s the latest:

  1. Traders are watching for a bounce back to $0.23–$0.26 if the $0.18 support level holds.
  2. Despite signals that ARB is oversold, bearish momentum remains strong.
  3. Token supply and upcoming unlocks are causing long-term doubts.
  4. The Arbitrum network is growing, but the token’s price isn’t keeping up.

Deep Dive

1. @bpaynews: Bullish outlook targeting $0.23–$0.26

"ARB price prediction shows potential recovery to $0.23–$0.26 range if $0.18 support holds"
– Bpay News (2,008 followers · 419 media posts · 2025-12-19 12:40 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a positive sign for ARB. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a tool that measures if an asset is oversold or overbought, suggests ARB might be due for a bounce. If the $0.18 price level holds as support, ARB could rally by about 26%. However, this depends on Bitcoin staying stable and daily buying volume exceeding $90 million.

2. @RipBullWinkle: Bearish signals continue

"ARB ranges $0.19–$0.23 with MA20 < MA50. Break below $0.19 risks $0.11"
– RipBull Winkle (130K followers · 96K posts · 2025-12-22 02:12 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This outlook is more cautious. The “death cross” — where the 20-day moving average falls below the 50-day moving average — often signals downward momentum. The RSI at 40 also points to sellers being in control. The $0.19 support level has only been tested twice before, so it may not hold strong. If ARB falls below $0.19, it could drop further to around $0.11.

3. @AncientIORR: Long-term selling pressure remains

"ARB down 82% from ATH despite L2 dominance – circulating supply at 5.72B vs 10B max"
– AncientIORR (795 followers · 19K posts · 2025-12-18 04:39 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This highlights ongoing challenges. Even though Arbitrum is a leading Layer 2 (L2) solution on Ethereum, ARB’s price has dropped 82% from its all-time high. Nearly half of the total tokens are still locked until 2027, which means many holders might sell once they unlock, adding selling pressure. Meanwhile, the network’s total value locked (TVL) is growing by 18% month-over-month, but this hasn’t yet boosted demand for the token itself.

4. @0xrizzyy: Network growth vs token struggles

"Arbitrum network thrives but tokenomics drag ARB – 92M token unlock crushed price"
– Rizzy (1,601 followers · 19K posts · 2025-12-20 08:01 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a mixed picture. Arbitrum handles 44% of all Ethereum Layer 2 transactions, showing strong network activity. However, the token’s inflation rate—about 2.1 million new tokens unlocked daily—is weighing down the price. There are ongoing governance discussions about burning fees, which could help improve the token’s outlook in the future.

Conclusion

The overall view on Arbitrum is mixed. Technical traders see a chance for a bounce since ARB looks oversold, but bigger-picture analysts worry about inflation and token unlocks. Keep an eye on the $0.18 support level, which has been tested three times since November, and daily trading volumes. If ARB falls below $0.17, it could trigger automatic selling by trading algorithms. On the other hand, holding above $0.18 might attract buyers looking for a bargain. With 72% of holders currently at a loss (according to IntoTheBlock), ARB’s next move will likely depend on Bitcoin’s price trends and how much Ethereum Layer 2 adoption continues to grow.

{{technical_analysis_coin_candle_chart}}


What is the latest news about ARB?

Arbitrum is making strategic moves with cautious optimism. Here’s the latest:

  1. Robinhood Partnership & New Chain Launch (Dec 23, 2025) – Arbitrum teams up with Robinhood to connect decentralized finance (DeFi) with traditional finance (TradFi).
  2. Signs of Price Recovery (Dec 23, 2025) – Experts see ARB as undervalued despite strong activity on its network.
  3. Mixed Market Signals (Dec 21, 2025) – Network usage is growing, but ARB’s price is falling.

In-Depth Look

1. Robinhood Partnership & New Chain Launch (Dec 23, 2025)

What happened:
Arbitrum launched a new blockchain called Converge and integrated with Robinhood, a popular trading app with over 23 million active users. This move makes Arbitrum the on-chain infrastructure behind Robinhood’s crypto services. Early results show $2 million in fees earned through a feature called Timeboost, which improves how transactions are processed.

Why it matters:
This partnership could boost ARB’s adoption and revenue by bringing more users from traditional finance into crypto. However, success depends on how smoothly the integration works and if Robinhood keeps supporting it long-term. (CoinMarketCap)

2. Signs of Price Recovery (Dec 23, 2025)

What happened:
ARB’s price is down about 55% this year, even though it leads Ethereum Layer 2 solutions with over 60% market share in total value locked (TVL) and transactions. Analysts point out that similar low price levels in the past have led to 2-3 times price rebounds, supported by growing network use and developer interest.

Why it matters:
This suggests ARB might be undervalued right now, which is a positive sign. But broader economic challenges and ARB’s inflationary token supply (capped at 10 billion) could delay a price bounce until the overall market improves. (CryptoNewsLand)

3. Mixed Market Signals (Dec 21, 2025)

What happened:
Arbitrum’s TVL increased 22% from the previous quarter to $4.1 billion, and daily active users topped 500,000. Despite this, ARB’s price dropped 8% over the past month. Experts say this is due to selling pressure from token unlocks and competition from newer Layer 2 networks like Plasma.

Why it matters:
In the short term, this is a negative sign for ARB’s price. But the growing network use is a positive long-term indicator. To improve investor confidence, ARB may need to offer clearer benefits for holding the token, such as staking rewards. (CoinMarketCap)

Conclusion

Arbitrum’s expanding ecosystem and partnership with Robinhood show strong long-term potential. However, token supply issues and broader market challenges could limit price gains in the near future. The key question for 2026: Can ARB’s institutional partnerships outpace its inflationary supply?


What is expected in the development of ARB?

Arbitrum’s roadmap is focused on growing its ecosystem and improving its technology.

  1. Robinhood Integration (2025) – A major partnership with Robinhood to connect traditional finance with decentralized finance (DeFi).
  2. Gaming Catalyst Program (2025) – A $215 million fund to encourage more gaming projects on Arbitrum’s network.
  3. Security Council Elections (Q1 2026) – Updates to onchain governance to boost the protocol’s security.
  4. Audit Subsidy Program (2025–2026) – A $14 million initiative to help improve the security of decentralized apps (dApps).

Deep Dive

1. Robinhood Integration (2025)

Overview: As part of its “Everywhere” campaign, Arbitrum is partnering with Robinhood to provide the blockchain infrastructure for EU users to trade U.S. stocks. This move aims to bring millions of new users by combining traditional finance liquidity with the efficiency of DeFi (Kanalcoin).
What this means: This is positive news for ARB, as more institutional use could increase network activity and total value locked (TVL). However, there are risks like regulatory challenges and possible delays in implementation.

2. Gaming Catalyst Program (2025)

Overview: Arbitrum is launching a $215 million fund to support game developers and infrastructure projects. More than 100 gaming-focused Orbit chains are already being developed, with funding allocated through decentralized autonomous organization (DAO) proposals (Josh (@cryptojosh101)).
What this means: This could be a positive development, as gaming can expand Arbitrum’s use cases. Success will depend on ongoing developer interest and player adoption.

3. Security Council Elections (Q1 2026)

Overview: In early 2026, the Arbitrum DAO will elect new members to its Security Council, which oversees emergency protocol updates and fixes vulnerabilities. This election is part of the regular governance cycle (Arbitrum DAO Docs).
What this means: This is a routine governance event. Smooth elections can help maintain trust in Arbitrum’s decentralized management.

4. Audit Subsidy Program (2025–2026)

Overview: Over 12 months, Arbitrum will provide $14 million to subsidize security audits for projects on its network. This program is managed by a committee including Offchain Labs and DAO representatives (NullTX).
What this means: This is a positive step to lower barriers for developers and improve overall ecosystem security. However, ensuring high-quality audits remains important.

Conclusion

Arbitrum is focusing on building partnerships with traditional finance, expanding into gaming, and strengthening security—key steps in evolving from a layer-2 scaling solution to a broader multi-chain ecosystem. Although ARB’s price has dropped 56% year-over-year, strong network indicators like over $6 billion in stablecoin liquidity and 100+ Orbit chains show solid underlying growth. The big question is whether Robinhood’s integration will drive widespread adoption or if competition from Coinbase’s Base chain will limit Arbitrum’s growth.

{{technical_analysis_coin_candle_chart}}


What updates are there in the ARB code base?

In 2025, Arbitrum’s technology received major upgrades and security improvements to make the network faster, more compatible with Ethereum, and safer for projects building on it.

  1. Fusaka Upgrade (December 18, 2025) – Improved speed and capacity for handling transactions.
  2. ArbOS 40 “Callisto” (May 29, 2025) – Added features to better align with Ethereum, including easier account management.
  3. $14 Million Audit Program (July 28, 2025) – Funded security checks for projects to help keep the ecosystem safe.

Deep Dive

1. Fusaka Upgrade (December 18, 2025)

Overview:
The Fusaka upgrade made Arbitrum faster and more efficient, especially when processing a large number of transactions. This likely involved improving the system that orders transactions to reduce delays.

What this means:
This is good news for ARB holders and users because faster transactions mean less waiting and smoother experiences, especially for decentralized finance (DeFi) apps and blockchain-based games. It helps Arbitrum stay competitive as a popular Layer 2 solution that runs on top of Ethereum.
(Source)

2. ArbOS 40 “Callisto” (May 29, 2025)

Overview:
ArbOS 40 brought Arbitrum closer to Ethereum’s latest updates by supporting new Ethereum Improvement Proposals (EIPs). These include native account abstraction (making accounts more flexible), better cryptographic signatures for zero-knowledge proofs, and storing historical block data.

What this means:
This upgrade is somewhat positive for ARB. Developers get new tools to build advanced apps, like wallets that can recover themselves if you lose access. Users might also benefit from more options to pay transaction fees and better interaction between different blockchains. However, the full benefits depend on how widely these features are adopted.
(Source)

3. $14 Million Audit Program (July 28, 2025)

Overview:
The ArbitrumDAO set aside 30 million ARB tokens (worth about $14 million) to help projects pay for security audits. A committee including Offchain Labs and community experts oversees this program.

What this means:
This is a strong positive for ARB and the Arbitrum ecosystem. By lowering the cost of security reviews, more projects can build safely on Arbitrum. This increases trust in the network and can attract more users and funds, boosting the overall health and value of the ecosystem.
(Source)

Conclusion

Arbitrum’s 2025 updates show a clear focus on making the network faster, more compatible with Ethereum, and more secure for developers and users. The Fusaka and Callisto upgrades improve technical performance and features, while the audit program strengthens ecosystem safety. As Ethereum’s own upgrades like Dencun change the Layer 2 landscape, these improvements could help Arbitrum attract more developers and users.