What could affect the price of WLD?
Worldcoin’s price is caught between growing use of its biometric technology and increasing regulatory challenges.
- User Growth vs. Privacy Concerns – Over 33.5 million users boost its usefulness, but privacy risks related to biometric data remain a concern.
- Strong Investor Support – $135 million in venture capital funding helps expand the Orb network, which is positive for adoption.
- Regulatory Challenges – Bans in Kenya and investigations in the EU threaten important markets.
Deep Dive
1. Biometric Adoption & Venture Capital Support (Positive Outlook)
Overview:
Worldcoin’s Orb device verifies users’ identities, and more than 33.5 million people have signed up, with over 530,000 new users joining each week (CCN). In May 2025, Worldcoin raised $135 million from investors like a16z and Bain Capital to increase Orb production in the U.S. and expand globally.
What this means:
If Worldcoin can scale its identity verification successfully, it could become the leading “proof-of-human” system, increasing demand for its token (WLD) for governance and transaction fees on its blockchain. However, raising funds by issuing more tokens increases the supply, which can put downward pressure on prices in the short term.
2. Regulatory Challenges (Negative Outlook)
Overview:
Worldcoin faces bans in Kenya, suspensions in Germany and France, and investigations in Brazil due to concerns over biometric data privacy (Coingeek). The European Union’s MiCA regulations, effective since 2025, introduce strict identity verification rules that may conflict with Worldcoin’s privacy approach.
What this means:
Legal issues in key markets could slow user growth significantly. For example, a 2025 court ruling in Germany led to WLD being removed from the Kraken exchange. Similar actions in other countries could cause users to sell off their tokens.
3. Large Investors & AI Hype (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
Large holders (“whales”) owning between 10 million and 100 million WLD tokens purchased over 80 million tokens in September 2025 (CCN). Additionally, Eightco’s $250 million investment helped push the price up by 44%. On the other hand, $144 million worth of team tokens moved to exchanges in the same month, raising concerns about potential sell-offs.
What this means:
With the top 10 wallets controlling about 40% of the token supply, price swings can be significant. The connection to AI, especially through Sam Altman’s OpenAI, may attract speculative investors, but this hype also increases the risk of sharp price corrections.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s price depends on balancing rapid user growth with growing regulatory pressure. The price may stay between $1.20 and $1.50 in the short term, but breaking above $1.63 (the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level) could push it toward $2.00 if Orb deployments speed up. A key factor to watch is whether daily active users can stay above 500,000 amid ongoing EU data privacy battles.
What are people saying about WLD?
Worldcoin’s community is split between excitement about AI-driven growth and concerns over privacy. Here’s what’s trending right now:
- $1.28 resistance level – Traders are watching for a breakout that could lead to a 60% price increase.
- Regulatory investigations vs. partnerships with Razer and Match Group – Privacy worries are balanced by promising real-world uses.
- “$10 by 2030” price prediction – Long-term optimism depends on how widely World ID is adopted.
Deep Dive
1. @CryptoTA: Breakout Above Descending Channel Bullish
“WLD is retesting its 50-day moving average after breaking out – if it holds, targets are $1.75 to $2.50.”
– @CryptoTA (1.2M followers · 8 May 2025)
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What this means: This is a positive sign for Worldcoin. A confirmed breakout could attract momentum traders, especially since open interest (a measure of market activity) has increased by 326% since June 2025.
2. @BTCC: German Probe Sparks Volatility Mixed
“WLD rose 5.64% despite an investigation into biometric data – partnerships with Razer and Match Group help offset regulatory concerns.”
– @BTCC (3.1M followers · 26 July 2025)
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What this means: The outlook is neutral. While German regulators are investigating privacy issues, Worldcoin’s partnerships with gaming and dating apps provide positive use cases. This keeps the price steady between $1.10 and $1.20.
3. @johnmorganFL: $10 Price Target by 2030 Bullish
“If World ID expands to 46 countries, WLD could reach $35.60 in a best-case scenario.”
– @johnmorganFL (890K followers · 19 July 2025)
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What this means: This is a positive long-term outlook. Growth in World ID users combined with AI developments fuels optimism. However, a 19% increase in circulating supply since May 2025 means some caution is warranted.
Conclusion
The overall view on Worldcoin is mixed. Technical traders see potential for a breakout, but regulatory concerns and token supply increases add uncertainty. Keep an eye on the $1.28 resistance level—a daily close above this could confirm upward momentum, while failure might push the price down to $1.05. As of October 4, 2025, with WLD testing $1.50, the key factors remain the balance between AI adoption and privacy concerns.
What is the latest news about WLD?
Worldcoin is gaining attention from big companies and showing strong technical signs, even as the market sends mixed signals. Here are the key updates:
- Maison’s $70M Investment (September 29, 2025) – Grocery retailer Maison Solutions’ stock jumped 89% after announcing plans to use Worldcoin’s blockchain technology.
- Kraken Launches Margin Trading (October 2, 2025) – Kraken added Worldcoin (WLD) with 3x leverage, increasing trading activity and interest.
- Price Breakout Targets $1.96 (October 2, 2025) – Technical indicators show a bullish pattern and growing network activity.
In-Depth Look
1. Maison’s $70M Investment (September 29, 2025)
What happened:
Maison Solutions Inc., a grocery retailer listed on Nasdaq, saw its stock price jump 89% after raising $70 million to integrate Worldcoin into its business. The company plans to use WLD tokens for international payments, fraud-resistant loyalty programs, and identity verification through World ID.
Why it matters:
This move is positive for Worldcoin because it shows a major company adopting its biometric identity tools and token for real-world uses. However, Maison has not yet started using the Orb devices (which verify identities) or joined the World Network, so there are still risks in how well this will be executed. (MEXC News)
2. Kraken Launches Margin Trading (October 2, 2025)
What happened:
Kraken, a popular cryptocurrency exchange, introduced margin trading for Worldcoin with 3x leverage, allowing traders to borrow funds to increase their position size. They also increased leverage to 10x for other coins like ADA and LINK, attracting traders looking for higher risk and reward.
Why it matters:
This is somewhat positive for WLD because higher leverage can increase trading volume and liquidity. However, it can also lead to more price swings, so traders should watch for signs of overtrading or market stress. (Coinspeaker)
3. Price Breakout Targets $1.96 (October 2, 2025)
What happened:
On October 2, WLD’s price broke out of a downward trend, triggering a “Supertrend” buy signal. Analysts spotted a bullish pennant pattern, with resistance at $1.63. The number of daily active users on the network is growing faster than the price, which is a positive sign.
Why it matters:
This suggests cautious optimism. If the price stays above $1.24 and breaks through $1.63, it could climb to $1.96. But if the breakout happens on low trading volume, the price might fall back to $1.10. (CCN)
Conclusion
Worldcoin is showing promising signs with corporate adoption, exchange support, and technical momentum, indicating it’s becoming more than just a speculative asset. However, regulatory concerns in countries like Brazil and Germany about biometric data privacy remain challenges. The big question is whether Worldcoin’s practical uses can overcome these privacy issues and keep its strong monthly gains going.
What is expected in the development of WLD?
Worldcoin’s plan focuses on growing its user base, improving how the token is used, and making its governance more community-driven.
- Global Orb Expansion (2025–2026) – Bringing biometric verification to new regions worldwide.
- World Chain Upgrades (Q4 2025) – Adding USDC support and making it easier to move assets across different blockchains.
- Governance Model Finalization (2026) – Shifting decision-making power to the community.
- Tokenomics Adjustments – Managing token supply with incentives to encourage early users.
Deep Dive
1. Global Orb Expansion (2025–2026)
Overview:
Worldcoin plans to roll out more Orb devices, which verify that users are unique humans, especially in areas like Southeast Asia and Africa where adoption is still low. Over 12 million people have already been verified using the Orb. Recent funding of $135 million from investors like a16z and Bain Capital will help produce and distribute more devices (Worldcoin Foundation).
What this means:
This is positive for Worldcoin (WLD) because more verified users mean more demand for the token. However, there are risks related to privacy and regulations, as some countries like Germany and Kenya are investigating how biometric data is handled.
2. World Chain Upgrades (Q4 2025)
Overview:
World Chain, which operates on Ethereum’s Layer 2 (L2) network, will add native support for USDC, a popular stablecoin, making it easier to convert between cryptocurrencies and regular money. It will also introduce the Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP) to allow smoother transfers of assets between different blockchain networks (Cryptofront News).
What this means:
This upgrade could help Worldcoin grow by making transactions faster and cheaper. However, it faces competition from other L2 solutions like Optimism and Arbitrum. Expect some price fluctuations as the market adjusts.
3. Governance Model Finalization (2026)
Overview:
Worldcoin plans to move from foundation-led control to a hybrid governance system. This will combine “one-person-one-vote” using World ID verification and “one-token-one-vote” based on token holdings. The community is also discussing ways to reward long-term token holders (Worldcoin Whitepaper).
What this means:
If done well, this shift could boost trust and participation in the project. However, delays or disagreements could slow progress.
4. Tokenomics Adjustments
Overview:
Currently, 2.15 billion WLD tokens (about 21.5% of the total supply) are in circulation. The rate at which new users can claim tokens is decreasing to encourage early adoption. Meanwhile, tokens held by the team and investors will gradually unlock (up to 80% by 2028), increasing supply. Balancing this is important to avoid reducing the token’s value (Worldcoin Blog).
What this means:
In the short term, increasing supply may put downward pressure on the token price. Over the long term, if more people use Worldcoin, this could balance out. It’s important to watch how many tokens are claimed and traded.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s roadmap aims to grow its unique human verification network while carefully managing token supply and regulatory challenges. Key updates like adding USDC support and shifting governance to the community could strengthen its position in identity verification for the AI era. The big question remains: will expanding Orb devices be enough to balance the increased token supply?
What updates are there in the WLD code base?
Worldcoin’s latest updates focus on making its ecosystem more scalable and integrating stablecoins like USDC.
- USDC Integration (June 12, 2025) – World Chain now supports native USD Coin transactions.
- CCTP V2 Upgrade (June 12, 2025) – Cross-chain USDC transfers are faster and easier for developers.
- AMPC Framework (May 2025) – Improved privacy for biometric data using advanced encryption.
Deep Dive
1. USDC Integration (June 12, 2025)
What happened: World Chain added native support for USDC, meaning users and developers can now use official Circle-issued USDC tokens directly on the network. This replaces older methods that relied on third-party bridges, which were more complicated and slower.
Why it matters: This makes sending and receiving US dollars on World Chain simpler and more reliable. It also opens the door for developers to create decentralized finance (DeFi) apps using USDC liquidity right on World Chain.
Impact: This is a positive development for Worldcoin (WLD) because it increases real-world use cases like remittances and payments, attracting more users and developers to the platform. (Source)
2. CCTP V2 Upgrade (June 12, 2025)
What happened: The Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP) was upgraded to version 2, making it easier and cheaper to move USDC between different blockchains like Ethereum, Optimism, and World Chain. Transfers now happen faster, often within seconds.
Why it matters: This upgrade improves how different blockchain networks work together, especially for moving stablecoins. It also supports larger, institutional transactions through Circle Mint.
Impact: While this may not immediately affect Worldcoin’s price, it strengthens the network’s infrastructure for the future, making it more competitive in global finance. (Source)
3. AMPC Framework (May 2025)
What happened: Worldcoin introduced Anonymized Multi-Party Computation (AMPC), a new way to protect users’ biometric data collected by Orbs. Instead of storing sensitive data in one place, AMPC breaks it into encrypted pieces processed by separate nodes.
Why it matters: This approach greatly improves privacy and security, addressing concerns regulators have about how biometric data is handled.
Impact: This is a strong positive for Worldcoin (WLD) because it reduces privacy risks and could help the project gain approval in regulated markets like the U.S. and European Union. (Source)
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s recent updates focus on making the platform more interoperable with popular stablecoins and compliant with privacy regulations. These improvements support its vision to become a global identity and financial network. The enhanced privacy features, in particular, may help Worldcoin attract more institutional users as demand grows in the AI and digital identity space.