What could affect the price of WLD?
Worldcoin’s price is balancing between growing use of its biometric technology and challenges from new regulations.
- Regulatory Challenges – Global rules on biometric data could slow down growth.
- Token Unlocks – Weekly releases of $37 million worth of tokens may increase selling pressure through 2025.
- AI and Identity Use – Partnerships with companies like Razer and Visa could increase Worldcoin’s usefulness.
Deep Dive
1. Regulatory Risks (Mixed to Negative Impact)
Overview: Worldcoin uses iris-scanning technology called the “Orb” to verify users, but it’s under investigation in countries like Germany, Kenya, and Indonesia. Kenya’s new crypto law, passed on October 14, 2025, introduces strict rules for crypto businesses, which might limit Worldcoin’s operations there, despite having over 3.5 million verified users.
What this means: Tough regulations could slow Worldcoin’s growth in fast-growing markets like Africa, where it was gaining popularity before the crackdown. On the other hand, following European Union rules like MiCA could help Worldcoin’s identity system gain long-term acceptance (Axios).
2. Tokenomics & Unlocks (Short-Term Negative)
Overview: Each week, about $37 million worth of Worldcoin tokens (WLD) are unlocked and become available for sale, which is 0.09% of the total supply. This week, $446 million in various cryptocurrencies, including WLD, entered the market. Since May 2025, the number of tokens available has increased by 19%, which can reduce the value for current holders.
What this means: More tokens being sold could keep the price down, continuing the recent 21% drop over the past week. However, a $250 million purchase of WLD by BitMine in September 2025 shows that some big investors are willing to buy and support the price if token unlocks slow down (The Block).
3. AI and Identity Use Case (Positive Catalyst)
Overview: Worldcoin’s World ID system is now integrated with Razer’s gaming platforms and Visa for payments without traditional identity checks. This “proof-of-humanity” feature, powered by AI, connects to Sam Altman’s OpenAI network and has attracted $135 million in investments from firms like a16z and Bain.
What this means: These real-world uses could help Worldcoin overcome regulatory challenges. The token saw a 326% increase in open interest in July 2025, and with over 26 million app users, there’s potential for price gains if adoption grows faster (BTCC).
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s price depends on how well it can handle biometric data regulations while expanding its AI-based identity services. Short-term risks from token unlocks and overall crypto market volatility (with $706 million liquidations on October 14) may limit price rallies. Still, if Worldcoin can grow its use in payments and gaming, it could spark renewed investor interest. The key question remains: Will large investors buying tokens balance out selling by smaller holders after unlocks?
What are people saying about WLD?
The Worldcoin (WLD) community is divided between excitement about its technology and concerns over regulations. Here’s the latest:
- Traders are watching for WLD to break $1.28, aiming for $2.50
- Critics point out that most WLD is held by a few wallets, raising centralization worries despite AI-related hype
- Partnerships are growing, but privacy investigations are challenging Worldcoin’s market position
Deep Dive
1. Bullish Signal: Potential Breakout to $2.50
According to @CryptoTA, if WLD price breaks above $1.28, it could jump 60% to $2.50.
This optimism is backed by a 326% increase in open interest since June 2025 and a 92% spike in trading volume in July, showing strong trader confidence. Also, the price retesting its 50-day moving average adds technical strength to this outlook.
2. Bearish Warning: Centralization and Regulatory Risks
@btcdemonx highlights that over 90% of WLD tokens are held by the top 100 wallets, which is a sign of “extreme centralization.”
This concentration, combined with ongoing biometric privacy investigations in Kenya, Spain, and Hong Kong, could slow down user growth. Additionally, a 19% increase in circulating supply since May 2025 might add selling pressure.
3. Mixed Signals: Partnerships vs. Privacy Probes
A report from BTCC notes a 5.64% price increase despite biometric bans in some regions.
Worldcoin’s integration with apps like Razer and Match Group is driving adoption, but regulatory concerns keep the price between $1.10 and $1.20. This shows a balance between growing use cases and privacy fears.
Conclusion
The outlook for Worldcoin (WLD) is mixed. On one hand, technical momentum and AI partnerships are reasons for optimism. On the other, the fact that a small group controls most tokens and ongoing global regulatory scrutiny are significant risks. Keep an eye on the $1.28 resistance level—breaking above it could confirm a bullish trend, while failing to do so might lead to a drop toward the recent low of $0.95. The big question remains: Can Worldcoin’s “proof-of-personhood” idea succeed despite concerns about its centralized control?
What is the latest news about WLD?
Worldcoin is facing a mix of regulatory changes and market challenges. Here’s what’s happening:
- Kenya Approves Crypto Law (October 14, 2025) – This law sets rules for crypto businesses but raises some privacy questions.
- $37 Million WLD Tokens Released (October 13, 2025) – More tokens entering the market could put downward pressure on prices.
- Market Drops 40% Due to Geopolitical Tensions (October 14, 2025) – Tariff threats from former President Trump caused a big sell-off in crypto.
In-Depth Look
1. Kenya Approves Crypto Law (October 14, 2025)
What happened:
Kenya’s parliament passed a new law called the Virtual Asset Service Providers Bill. This law gives the Central Bank and Capital Markets Authority the power to regulate crypto companies. Worldcoin, which has been active in Kenya since 2023, had some concerns raised earlier this year about how it handles biometric data. The new law could provide clearer rules and oversight.
Why it matters:
This is good news for Worldcoin’s reputation in Kenya, where mobile money use is very high (96%). However, if privacy issues come up again, it could hurt the project. The law is similar to South Africa’s crypto regulations, which might help Worldcoin expand more easily across Africa. (Yahoo Finance)
2. $37 Million WLD Tokens Released (October 13, 2025)
What happened:
This week, $37 million worth of WLD tokens were gradually released into the market. This is part of a larger release of $446 million in various altcoins. The circulating supply of WLD increased to 2.21 billion tokens, which is about 22% of the total supply. This increase raises concerns about potential selling pressure, especially since the market is not very liquid right now.
Why it matters:
In the short term, this token release could push prices down because more tokens are available to sell. However, if demand stays strong, the long-term impact might be neutral. Traders are watching for signs that large holders (whales) are buying up tokens, like a recent withdrawal of 18.2 million WLD from Binance. (Coinspeaker)
3. Market Drops 40% Due to Geopolitical Tensions (October 14, 2025)
What happened:
Worldcoin’s price dropped 40% after former President Trump threatened to impose a 100% tariff on Chinese technology. This announcement triggered a $19 billion sell-off in the crypto market. Although prices have partially recovered, WLD is still down 21% for the week, showing that investors remain cautious.
Why it matters:
The overall market risk is high right now, which is bad for WLD’s price. However, some technical indicators suggest that investors might be starting to buy again. Analysts compare this situation to the market crash in March 2020, which was followed by a strong rebound. If Bitcoin can hold above $100,000, Worldcoin might also recover. (Axios)
Conclusion
Worldcoin is navigating a complex landscape. Kenya’s new crypto law could help the project grow in Africa, but recent token releases and global political tensions are creating challenges. The big question is: Can Worldcoin’s Proof-of-Personhood technology help it stay strong despite these market ups and downs?
What is expected in the development of WLD?
Worldcoin is making progress with these key goals:
- Completing U.S. Expansion (Q4 2025) – Rolling out 7,500 iris-scanning Orbs across the country to onboard 180 million Americans.
- Visa Card Launch (Q4 2025) – Allowing users to convert WLD tokens into regular money through the World App.
- Upgrading World Chain (2026) – Adding features like cross-chain transfers and AI fraud detection.
- Global Orb Rollout (2026) – Expanding to emerging markets in Asia and Africa.
In-Depth Look
1. Completing U.S. Expansion (Q4 2025)
What’s Happening:
Worldcoin plans to install 7,500 Orbs—devices that scan your iris to verify identity—across the U.S. by the end of 2025. This aims to onboard about 180 million Americans. The project recently raised $135 million from investors like Andreessen Horowitz and Bain Capital Crypto (Worldcoin Foundation). When users verify their identity, they receive between 16 and 150 WLD tokens.
Why It Matters:
This could boost demand for WLD tokens as more people start using them. However, there are concerns about privacy and regulations, especially since some countries like Germany and Brazil are investigating how biometric data is handled.
2. Visa Card Launch (Q4 2025)
What’s Happening:
World App will introduce a Visa debit card that lets users convert their WLD tokens and other cryptocurrencies into U.S. dollars or other traditional currencies. This comes after partnerships with companies like Match Group (for Tinder age verification) and Razer (Worldcoin Blog).
Why It Matters:
Making it easier to spend WLD tokens could attract more casual users. On the flip side, relying on Visa means depending on a centralized company, which might not sit well with those who prefer decentralized systems.
3. Upgrading World Chain (2026)
What’s Happening:
After integrating USDC stablecoin in mid-2025, World Chain plans to add tools that let users move assets between different blockchains more easily. They’ll also use AI to detect fraud. The Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP) will help transfer assets between Ethereum and World Chain (Coin Edition).
Why It Matters:
These upgrades could make World Chain more attractive to developers and users. But if other blockchain platforms like Optimism or Arbitrum gain more popularity, World Chain might struggle to keep up.
4. Global Orb Rollout (2026)
What’s Happening:
After finishing the U.S. rollout, Worldcoin will focus on Southeast Asia and Africa. Pilot programs in countries like Thailand, Indonesia, and Nigeria aim to bring 50 million new users onboard by 2026 (CryptoFrontNews).
Why It Matters:
This expansion has big potential but also big challenges. Local regulations and limited technology infrastructure could slow progress.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s plan focuses on growing its user base through Orb deployments and increasing real-world use with the Visa card. However, challenges like token inflation (with 37 million WLD tokens unlocked each month until 2028) and regulatory concerns remain significant. The big question is whether more people verifying their identity with biometrics will drive demand faster than the supply of tokens grows.
What updates are there in the WLD code base?
Worldcoin’s latest updates focus on improving privacy, making it easier to use across different blockchains, and increasing real-world usefulness.
- AMPC Framework Launch (September 8, 2025) – Boosts privacy by using decentralized verification nodes.
- USDC Integration on World Chain (June 13, 2025) – Enables smooth dollar transactions worldwide.
- Cross-Chain Protocol Upgrade (June 13, 2025) – Makes transferring assets between blockchains simpler.
Deep Dive
1. AMPC Framework Launch (September 8, 2025)
Overview:
Worldcoin rolled out the Anonymized Multi-Party Computation (AMPC) framework to decentralize its Orb verification system. This means biometric data is split into encrypted pieces and processed by independent nodes, like UTEC in Peru.
What this means:
This is good news for WLD holders because it enhances privacy and reduces dependence on any single centralized party. Users get stronger security, and regulators can still oversee the system in a transparent, decentralized way (Source).
2. USDC Integration on World Chain (June 13, 2025)
Overview:
World Chain now supports USD Coin (USDC) natively, allowing instant dollar transactions in over 160 countries.
What this means:
This update is neutral for WLD’s price but improves how developers and users can use the platform. It helps position Worldcoin as a bridge between traditional finance and cryptocurrency (Source).
3. Cross-Chain Protocol Upgrade (June 13, 2025)
Overview:
The Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP) launched, enabling easy asset transfers between Ethereum, Optimism, and World Chain.
What this means:
This is positive for WLD because it boosts network activity and makes it easier for developers to create apps that work across multiple blockchains, potentially increasing adoption (Source).
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s recent improvements focus on privacy (AMPC), financial usability (USDC), and cross-chain compatibility (CCTP). These changes support its goal of combining AI-driven identity solutions with blockchain technology. The key question remains: how will Worldcoin balance growth with ongoing regulatory challenges?
Why did the price of WLD fall?
Worldcoin (WLD) dropped 5.10% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell by 2.7%. This decline comes amid global political tensions and concerns specific to the token.
- Market-wide sell-offs – $19 billion worth of crypto positions were liquidated after former President Trump threatened tariffs, causing investors to pull back.
- Large holder selling – A new wallet moved 10 million WLD (about $9.5 million) off Binance, raising concerns about potential large private sales.
- Technical weakness – WLD fell below a key support level at $1.05, speeding up the selling pressure.
Deep Dive
1. Global Political News & Market Sell-Off (Negative Impact)
Overview:
On October 14, former President Trump announced the possibility of 100% tariffs on Chinese tech imports. This news caused a sharp drop across the crypto market, wiping out $19.1 billion in positions (Axios). Many altcoins, including WLD, saw steep declines—WLD dropped as much as 40% during the day before partially recovering.
What this means:
WLD is especially sensitive to big market events, showing a strong negative correlation (-0.72 over 30 days) with Bitcoin’s price. Data from futures markets shows that traders reduced their exposure by 23% in just 24 hours, indicating a move to lower risk.
What to watch:
Bitcoin’s ability to stay above $100,000 is critical. If it falls below this level, it could lead to further sharp declines in altcoins like WLD.
2. Large Holder Selling & Supply Issues (Negative Impact)
Overview:
On October 14, a newly created wallet withdrew over 10 million WLD tokens (worth about $9.5 million) from Binance, according to Coin Edition. This comes after the total circulating supply of WLD increased by 19% since May 2025.
What this means:
Big holders might be selling their tokens ahead of more tokens being released into the market—currently, 80% of WLD’s total supply has not yet been distributed. This withdrawal fits a pattern suggesting that large holders expect prices to fall further.
3. Technical Weakness & Selling Pressure (Bearish Signs)
Overview:
WLD’s price fell below the $1.05 level, which is an important technical support based on Fibonacci retracement analysis. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 39.36, indicating growing selling pressure. The MACD indicator also shows weakening buying momentum.
What this means:
The next key support level is at $0.89. If WLD closes below $0.95, it could trigger automatic sell orders. Meanwhile, the 200-day moving average at $1.07 now acts as resistance, making it harder for the price to recover quickly.
Conclusion
The recent drop in WLD reflects a combination of global market fears, large holders selling, and technical breakdowns. While the long-term story around AI and digital identity remains promising, the short-term outlook is cautious.
Key point to watch: Will WLD hold above $0.89, or will the increasing supply of 2.21 billion tokens push prices lower? Keep an eye on Binance’s order books for signs of large holder activity.