What could affect the price of WLD?
Worldcoin’s price is caught between growing use of its biometric technology and challenges from new regulations.
- Regulatory Challenges – Global rules on biometric data could slow growth.
- User Growth vs. Token Control – Over 33 million users show strong interest, but the top 100 wallets hold 90% of WLD tokens.
- Token Unlocks – 78% of tokens are still locked up, which could lead to price drops if many are released when demand is low.
Deep Dive
1. Regulatory Challenges (Mixed to Negative Impact)
Overview:
Worldcoin’s iris-scanning device, called the Orb, has been temporarily banned in places like Kenya, Spain, and Hong Kong (Worldcoin Risks). In Germany, an investigation into how biometric data is handled caused the price to drop 15% in August 2025. New rules from the European Union (MiCA framework) and U.S. laws targeting AI-related tokens add more uncertainty.
What this means:
Stricter regulations could limit where Worldcoin can operate and slow down user growth, putting pressure on the price below important support levels (around $0.86). On the other hand, if Worldcoin can comply with regulations and expand—like Dubai’s pilot program for government crypto payments starting in September 2025—it could attract more institutional investors.
2. Adoption vs. Token Supply (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
Worldcoin’s user base grew to 33.5 million by October 2025, but 7.8 billion WLD tokens (78% of the total supply) are still locked and not available for trading. If these tokens are released between 2026 and 2027 without enough demand, it could flood the market and lower prices. However, Nasdaq-listed company Eightco holds a $250 million WLD treasury (Eightco Holdings), which helps reduce selling pressure.
What this means:
Short-term positive factors, like businesses adopting Worldcoin, could push the price up toward $1.32. But long-term success depends on balancing token supply with real-world uses, such as integrating World ID with gaming company Razer and dating apps.
3. Large Holders and Market Signals (Neutral)
Overview:
In September 2025, large investors (whales) bought 18.2 million WLD tokens, worth about $17 million (Lookonchain). However, technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 35.1 and the MACD at -0.1148 show weak market momentum. If the price moves above the 30-day exponential moving average (EMA) of $1.13, it could signal a trend change.
What this means:
Retail investors are cautious. If the price falls below the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) of $1.07, it might cause panic selling. But if it stays above $0.98 (the 50% Fibonacci retracement level), it could attract investors who have been waiting on the sidelines.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s price will depend on how well it handles privacy regulations while growing its biometric user network. Expect short-term ups and downs, but advances in AI-based identity solutions or new partnerships could boost the price. The key question is whether user growth in the last quarter of 2025 will overcome regulatory challenges.
What are people saying about WLD?
The Worldcoin (WLD) community is divided between optimism for a price breakout and concerns about privacy and regulation. Here’s what’s currently trending:
- Technical traders are watching for a breakout at $1.28, which could lead to a 60% price increase.
- Regulatory concerns are rising as Germany investigates how biometric data is handled.
- Long-term supporters still expect $35.60 by 2030, even though the price has dropped 44% in the past month.
Deep Dive
1. @CryptoTA: Testing a breakout from a downward trend — bullish sign
"Retesting the 50-day moving average after a confirmed breakout – targets are $1.25, $1.75, and $2.50 if the price holds."
– @CryptoTA (1.2M followers · 2.8M impressions · 2025-05-08 21:03 UTC)
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What this means: This is positive for WLD because the 50-day moving average often acts as support. If the price bounces here, it could confirm a new upward trend.
2. @btcdemonx: Concerns about centralization — bearish sign
"90% of WLD is held by the top 100 wallets. Germany and Spain are investigating despite a 6% price increase."
– @btcdemonx (187K followers · 420K impressions · 2025-10-08 23:41 UTC)
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What this means: This is a warning for WLD because when a few holders control most of the coins, and regulators are investigating, it could discourage big investors, even if the price rises temporarily.
3. Coinpedia: Forecast of $35.60 by 2030 — mixed outlook
"The AI identity use case competes with token supply inflation: a 19% increase since May 2025 makes $10+ targets uncertain."
– Coinpedia (2025-08-12 11:08 UTC)
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What this means: This is neutral for WLD. While the AI and identity features attract interest, the growing supply of tokens creates ongoing selling pressure that could limit price gains.
Conclusion
The overall view on Worldcoin (WLD) is mixed. Technical indicators suggest potential gains, but regulatory and supply concerns create risks. Traders are closely watching the $1.28 resistance level — a daily close above this could confirm a bullish trend, while failure might lead to testing support around $0.85. Keep an eye on derivatives data: Open interest has jumped 326% since June 2025, showing strong interest from traders using leverage despite the uncertainty.
What is the latest news about WLD?
Worldcoin is making moves with new partnerships and technical improvements while its price stabilizes. Here’s what’s new:
- Treasury Strategy Launch (September 8, 2025) – Eightco Holdings is investing $250 million to hold WLD as a key reserve asset.
- Cross-Chain Integration (September 26, 2025) – World Chain now uses Chainlink’s technology to securely transfer WLD between blockchains.
- Technical Breakout (October 2, 2025) – WLD’s price broke out of a downward trend, aiming for $1.50 to $1.70.
In-Depth Look
1. Treasury Strategy Launch (September 8, 2025)
What happened:
Eightco Holdings (NASDAQ: OCTO) raised $250 million in a private deal to buy WLD tokens as their main treasury asset. This move is supported by BitMine and investors like Pantera and Kraken. It fits with Worldcoin’s plan to make WLD a trusted reserve currency for businesses.
Why it matters:
This is a positive sign for WLD’s adoption by big companies, showing confidence in its long-term value. However, WLD’s supply is growing fast (about 120% per year), which could limit price gains despite higher demand.
(Source: Coindesk)
2. Cross-Chain Integration (September 26, 2025)
What happened:
World Chain added Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), allowing WLD tokens to move easily and securely between Ethereum and World Chain blockchains. They also added Circle’s USDC stablecoin for regulated dollar transactions.
Why it matters:
This upgrade makes the Worldcoin ecosystem more attractive to developers and users by improving flexibility. The market reacted cautiously, with WLD’s price rising modestly by 4.5%, as Bitcoin remains dominant at nearly 59%.
(Source: Cryptotimes)
3. Technical Breakout (October 2, 2025)
What happened:
WLD’s price broke out of a downward channel on the daily chart, jumping 20% in one week to $1.27. Analysts spotted a bullish pattern called a pennant, with the next target resistance around $1.50.
Why it matters:
The price needs to stay above $1.20 to keep this momentum going. Technical indicators like RSI at 65 and rising trading volume suggest there’s room to grow, but some traders are closing long positions faster than shorts, which could cause price swings.
(Source: CCN)
Conclusion
Worldcoin is making strides with new partnerships and tech upgrades, aiming to attract businesses and developers. Still, its fast-growing supply and overall market conditions, especially Bitcoin’s dominance, could affect how far WLD’s price can go. Will WLD keep its momentum if Bitcoin’s influence grows?
What is expected in the development of WLD?
Worldcoin is moving forward with several key developments:
- World ID Protocol Upgrades (2026) – Improving privacy and making biometric verification faster and more scalable.
- Global Orb Expansion (Q4 2025) – Rolling out iris-scanning devices in over 10 new countries.
- Ecosystem Grant Wave1 (Q1 2026) – Providing funding for new projects focused on identity and governance.
Deep Dive
1. World ID Protocol Upgrades (2026)
Overview: Worldcoin plans to enhance its World ID system by using advanced privacy technology called zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs) and adding decentralized governance features. This upgrade aims to protect user privacy better and handle verification for millions of people more efficiently. The Foundation detailed this plan in its roadmap for robustness.
What this means: This is positive news for Worldcoin (WLD) because stronger privacy could ease regulatory concerns and attract more users. However, there is a risk of delays or security issues during development.
2. Global Orb Expansion (Q4 2025)
Overview: Worldcoin intends to deploy its Orb devices—which scan users’ irises to verify identity—in more than 10 additional countries, including Brazil and India. This expansion follows recent launches in the UK and Southeast Asia (source). The goal is to grow the number of verified users beyond the current 12 million.
What this means: This expansion should boost adoption and user growth. However, if new countries impose strict regulations, it could slow down progress or create challenges.
3. Ecosystem Grant Wave1 (Q1 2026)
Overview: After awarding 800,000 WLD tokens to 28 projects in the initial Wave0 grants, Worldcoin Foundation will launch Wave1 grants. These will support projects building decentralized identity tools, alternatives to the Orb device, and new governance models (source).
What this means: This could encourage innovation and strengthen the Worldcoin ecosystem. However, if these grants are funded by creating new tokens, it might reduce the value of existing WLD tokens.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s roadmap focuses on growing its biometric identity network while balancing innovation with regulatory requirements. Key drivers include protocol upgrades and expanding into new countries. The big question remains: will WLD’s role as a governance token be strong enough to offset the inflation caused by ongoing token emissions to new users?
What updates are there in the WLD code base?
Worldcoin’s latest software updates focus on improving privacy, scalability, and adding stablecoin support.
- Anonymized Multi-Party Computation (September 2025) – Better privacy for user data verified by the Orb device.
- USDC Integration on World Chain (June 2025) – Built-in support for the stablecoin USDC to enable global dollar transactions.
- Layer-2 Infrastructure Upgrade (June 2025) – Enhancements to increase network speed and reduce transaction costs.
Deep Dive
1. Anonymized Multi-Party Computation (September 2025)
What it is: Worldcoin introduced a new privacy technology called Anonymized Multi-Party Computation (AMPC). This method breaks up iris scan data collected by the Orb into encrypted pieces that are processed separately by independent computers, such as those at universities like KAIST. These computers use powerful Nvidia H100 chips to quickly verify user uniqueness without ever seeing the full data, reducing risks of centralized data breaches.
Why it matters: This is a positive development for Worldcoin (WLD) because it addresses privacy and regulatory concerns, which are major obstacles for wider adoption. At the same time, it keeps the network’s core feature of “Proof-of-Personhood” intact, meaning users can prove they are unique individuals without compromising their privacy. (Source)
2. USDC Integration on World Chain (June 2025)
What it is: World Chain now supports USD Coin (USDC) natively, allowing users to send and receive stable, dollar-backed cryptocurrency instantly across more than 160 countries. This is made possible through Circle’s Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP).
Developers can build decentralized finance (DeFi) applications using USDC liquidity, and users can access regulated dollar payment options through the World App. This update coincided with a 4.5% increase in WLD’s price, though long-term price growth remains uncertain.
Why it matters: This update is neutral for WLD’s price in the short term but improves the overall usefulness of the Worldcoin ecosystem. USDC integration opens up real-world use cases, but WLD’s token price may still face challenges due to inflationary supply dynamics. (Source)
3. Layer-2 Infrastructure Upgrade (June 2025)
What it is: World Chain’s Layer-2 upgrade significantly boosted network capacity, increasing the Total Value Locked (TVL) from $3 million to $50 million within six weeks. This was achieved by improving transaction processing speed and lowering fees. The upgrade also added compatibility with Ethereum’s OP Stack and enhanced node performance.
Despite these technical improvements, WLD’s price struggled to stay above $1.00 after the upgrade, indicating weak speculative interest.
Why it matters: This is neutral for WLD’s price. While the infrastructure improvements make the network more efficient and scalable, the token’s market value hasn’t yet reflected this growth, showing some skepticism among investors. (Source)
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s recent updates focus on strengthening privacy (AMPC), enabling interoperability with stablecoins (USDC), and improving scalability (Layer-2). These changes support Worldcoin’s goal of creating a global digital identity network. However, WLD’s price will depend on how well the project can address regulatory challenges and build lasting demand. The key question remains: will these technical upgrades help Worldcoin overcome concerns about centralization and drive wider adoption?