Why did the price of WLD fall?
Worldcoin (WLD) dropped 8.69% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell by 3.72%. The main reasons for this decline are:
- Technical weakness – Negative signals from price trends and momentum indicators.
- Regulatory challenges – New concerns about biometric data in China and Brazil.
- Altcoin market pressure – Investors moving funds to Bitcoin during the current "Bitcoin Season."
Deep Dive
1. Technical Downtrend (Negative Impact)
Overview: WLD’s price fell below important support levels. Its 30-day simple moving average (SMA) is $1.14, which is 33% higher than the current price of $0.854. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) over 7 days is 32.85, indicating the coin is close to being oversold but hasn’t shown signs of bouncing back yet.
What this means: The MACD indicator shows continued downward momentum, and Fibonacci retracement levels suggest the next support price is around $0.788. Traders are selling as WLD’s price swings (-9.71% over 7 days) are more volatile than Bitcoin’s (-5.59%).
Key watch: If WLD’s price can close above the 7-day SMA at $0.90, it might stabilize. If not, the price could fall further to $0.60.
2. Regulatory Risks Increase (Negative Impact)
Overview: On August 6, China’s Ministry of State Security issued new warnings about biometric data collection, directly affecting projects like Worldcoin. Brazil also stopped WLD incentives for iris scans starting February 2025.
What this means: These moves raise concerns about possible restrictions on Worldcoin’s operations, especially in growing markets. South Korea recently fined a company $829,000 for data violations, adding to the regulatory pressure and costs.
Key watch: Watch for regulatory updates in the European Union and the U.S. after October 2025, which could impact Worldcoin’s future.
3. Altcoin Market Sentiment Weakens (Negative Impact)
Overview: The crypto Fear & Greed Index is at 29, indicating “Fear” among investors. Bitcoin’s market dominance has increased to 59.28%, as investors move money away from altcoins like WLD.
What this means: WLD’s 24-hour trading volume dropped 19% to $168 million, showing less market activity. Altcoins are struggling as traders focus more on Bitcoin, with Bitcoin perpetual futures open interest rising 56.7% to $2.02 trillion in 24 hours.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s recent price drop is due to a combination of technical challenges, regulatory uncertainty, and weak investor interest in altcoins. Although the upcoming Polymarket Mini App integration on October 22 could boost its usefulness, broader risks are currently weighing heavily.
Key watch: Will WLD hold the $0.78 support level, or will ongoing regulatory fears cause a deeper price decline?
What could affect the price of WLD?
Worldcoin’s price is caught between excitement over its biometric technology and challenges from new regulations.
- Regulatory Challenges – Bans in Colombia and investigations in Europe and Asia could slow user growth (negative).
- Growing Ecosystem – Launch of World Chain Layer 2 and Polymarket integration add real-world uses (positive).
- Token Supply Risks – Unlocking 90% of tokens by 2030 may lower value over time (negative in the medium term).
In-Depth Look
1. Regulatory Challenges (Mostly Negative)
What’s happening:
Colombia’s Superintendence of Commerce ordered Worldcoin to stop processing user data on October 20, 2025 (Latam Insights). This follows similar restrictions in Kenya, Portugal, and Hong Kong. Additionally, strict European privacy rules (GDPR) make handling biometric data more complicated.
Why it matters:
These bans limit Worldcoin’s ability to add new users, which is crucial for the value of WLD tokens. Worldcoin is trying to address this by making its technology open-source (Worldcoin Tokenomics) and giving users more control over their data. Still, each regulatory update could cause WLD’s price to move up or down by about 15%.
2. World Chain and Prediction Markets (Positive)
What’s happening:
Worldcoin launched “World Chain,” a Layer 2 solution on Ethereum in Q3 2025, which lowers transaction fees for WLD users. On October 22, Worldcoin integrated with Polymarket, a prediction market app, generating $8.8 million in WLD trading volume. Over 10 million users are now betting on events using WLD tokens (Cointelegraph).
Why it matters:
Adding real-world uses like prediction markets and decentralized finance (DeFi) can increase how often WLD tokens are used. If World Chain reaches its goal of processing over 2,000 transactions per second, demand for WLD as a transaction fee token could push prices toward the $1.20 resistance level.
3. Token Unlocks and Inflation Risk (Negative)
What’s happening:
Since May 2025, the number of WLD tokens in circulation has grown 19% to 2.22 billion. The total supply could reach 10 billion by 2040, with about 120 million WLD tokens (worth roughly $104 million) unlocking every month until 2026 (Token Unlock Data).
Why it matters:
This steady increase in available tokens can create selling pressure, especially from early investors who hold 13.5% of tokens. This pressure has contributed to a 36.33% price drop over the past 30 days. If exchanges like Upbit list WLD but demand doesn’t keep up, the price could face further downward pressure.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s future depends on balancing user privacy and regulatory compliance while growing its practical uses faster than token supply increases. The adoption of World Chain is a promising sign, but monthly token unlocks and legal hurdles remain challenges. Will WLD’s user growth outpace the selling pressure from token unlocks in the last quarter of the year? Keep an eye on circulating supply data and regulatory news for key developments.
What are people saying about WLD?
Worldcoin’s online buzz swings between excitement about price gains and worries over privacy. Here’s what’s trending right now:
- Technical analysts see $1.28 as a key resistance level
- Regulatory actions on biometric data raise caution
- Long-term price targets of $10 face challenges from increasing token supply
Deep Dive
1. @CryptoTA: “$1.28 breakout could trigger 60% rally” Bullish
“WLD broke out of a downward trend – retesting the 50-day moving average could push it to $2.50. Open interest (the amount of active contracts) is up 326% since June, and trading volume jumped 92% during July’s rally.”
– @CryptoTA (1.2M followers · 2.8M impressions · 2025-08-10 13:31 UTC)
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What this means: The technical indicators suggest WLD could rise if it stays above $1.28. However, a high level of leveraged trading (open interest at $203 million) means there’s a risk of sudden price drops if traders get liquidated.
2. @btcdemonx: “90% supply concentration = structural risk” Bearish
“The top 100 wallets hold 90% of WLD tokens. Regulatory investigations in Kenya, Spain, and Hong Kong threaten wider adoption, despite 14 million user signups.”
– @btcdemonx (220K followers · 1.1M impressions · 2025-10-08 23:41 UTC)
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What this means: Because most tokens are held by a few wallets, and with ongoing government probes, there are risks that could slow down Worldcoin’s growth, even though its “Proof-of-Personhood” concept is gaining attention.
3. @johnmorganFL: “$10 by 2030 if AI identity scales” Mixed
“If World ID expands to 46 countries, WLD could reach $35.60 – but a 19% increase in token supply since May limits short-term gains.”
– @johnmorganFL (890K followers · 2.1M impressions · 2025-07-19 08:15 UTC)
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What this means: There’s long-term optimism about AI-driven identity solutions boosting Worldcoin’s value, but the growing number of tokens in circulation puts pressure on price growth in the near term.
Conclusion
Opinions on Worldcoin (WLD) are mixed, balancing technical signs of growth against risks like token concentration and regulatory scrutiny. Partnerships with companies like Razer and Match Group support adoption hopes, but the $1.20 to $1.28 price range is crucial. A clear move above this zone could confirm a bullish trend, while failure might lead to a drop back toward $1.05. Keep an eye on upcoming updates from Germany’s biometric data investigations for clues on regulatory direction.
What is the latest news about WLD?
Worldcoin is making moves with new partnerships but facing privacy concerns. Here’s the latest update:
- Polymarket Integration (October 22, 2025) – Users can now access prediction markets directly in the World App, adding more ways to use WLD.
- Operations Suspended in Colombia (October 20, 2025) – Regulators stopped Worldcoin from collecting biometric data due to privacy law issues.
- World ID Expands and Faces Challenges (October 22, 2025) – World ID launched in three new countries but reports of biometric data being sold on the black market have raised concerns.
In-Depth Look
1. Polymarket Integration (October 22, 2025)
What happened: World App now includes Polymarket’s prediction markets, letting users bet on events using Worldcoin (WLD) or USDC stablecoin. This comes after World App hit over 100 million downloads in 2024 and matches Polymarket’s recent surge to $2 billion in weekly trading volume. Eligible users receive a 10% bonus on deposits, up to 5 WLD.
Why it matters: This is a positive step for WLD, as it creates more real-world uses for the coin, which could lead to more transactions and keep users engaged. However, some places like New York restrict this service, and relying on third-party platforms could limit growth.
(Cointelegraph)
2. Operations Suspended in Colombia (October 20, 2025)
What happened: Colombia’s Superintendence of Commerce ordered Worldcoin to stop processing biometric data, citing violations of local privacy laws. Regulators pointed out unclear data policies and weak security for sensitive biometric information.
Why it matters: This is a setback for Worldcoin, showing increasing regulatory challenges. Similar actions in Kenya, Spain, and Hong Kong suggest ongoing difficulties with Worldcoin’s biometric data approach. Still, Worldcoin has 14 million verified users worldwide.
(Latam Insights)
3. World ID Expands and Faces Challenges (October 22, 2025)
What happened: World ID verification launched in Guatemala, Malaysia, and Poland, growing to over 30 million users. However, reports emerged that biometric data was being sold in China to claim signup bonuses, raising ethical questions. Worldcoin’s “Personal Custody” feature, which stores data locally, aims to protect user privacy.
Why it matters: This growth shows strong adoption, but the black-market activity reveals security weaknesses. Open-sourcing the technology might help regain trust, though regulatory reviews in Europe and Asia could slow progress.
(OKX)
Conclusion
Worldcoin is expanding its ecosystem with partnerships like Polymarket and growing World ID users, but it faces increasing regulatory scrutiny and privacy concerns. While these partnerships add value, privacy issues and compliance challenges remain significant obstacles. The success of Worldcoin’s open-source strategy and its Layer-2 “World Chain” could be key to overcoming these hurdles.
What is expected in the development of WLD?
Worldcoin is moving forward with key developments:
- Global Orb Expansion (2025–2026) – Rolling out more biometric verification devices in new regions.
- World Chain Mainnet Launch (Q1 2026) – Launching a specialized Ethereum Layer 2 blockchain for human-verified transactions.
- Enhanced Governance Framework (2026) – Giving WLD token holders more power to vote on important decisions.
Deep Dive
1. Global Orb Expansion (2025–2026)
Overview: Worldcoin plans to grow its network of Orb devices, which help verify users’ identities through biometric data. Recent funding, including $135 million raised in May 2025, supports producing and deploying these devices, especially in regions like Southeast Asia and Africa where adoption has been slower.
What this means: This expansion is positive for Worldcoin’s growth because more Orbs mean more users verified and more WLD tokens distributed. However, regulatory challenges—such as temporary bans in countries like Kenya and Spain—pose risks to this plan.
2. World Chain Mainnet Launch (Q1 2026)
Overview: World Chain is an Ethereum Layer 2 (L2) blockchain designed to handle transactions that involve human verification more efficiently. It aims to lower transaction fees for World ID users and connect with decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms like Uniswap. For example, in June 2025, Worldcoin integrated USDC stablecoin support on World Chain (source).
What this means: This launch could improve the usefulness of Worldcoin’s ecosystem, potentially increasing demand for WLD tokens. Still, its success depends on how many developers build on World Chain and how it competes with other Ethereum L2 solutions.
3. Enhanced Governance Framework (2026)
Overview: Worldcoin plans to make its governance more decentralized by allowing WLD token holders to vote on important protocol changes, such as how tokens are managed and how funds are allocated.
What this means: This is a positive step toward long-term decentralization, giving the community more control. However, it could also lead to short-term uncertainty if there are disagreements among token holders.
Conclusion
Worldcoin is focusing on expanding its biometric verification network and improving its blockchain technology. At the same time, navigating regulatory challenges will be crucial. The big question remains: will growing interest in cryptocurrencies outweigh regulatory obstacles?
What updates are there in the WLD code base?
Worldcoin’s latest updates focus on adding stablecoins and growing its identity verification system.
- USDC Integration (June 13, 2025) – World Chain now supports USDC, enabling easy dollar transactions worldwide.
- Network Expansion Funding (May 21, 2025) – $135 million raised to increase production of Orb devices and expand World ID verification.
Deep Dive
1. USDC Integration (June 13, 2025)
Overview: Worldcoin has added USD Coin (USDC), a popular stablecoin, to its World Chain network. This allows users in over 160 countries to send and receive regulated U.S. dollar payments instantly and securely.
The integration uses Circle’s Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP), which automates transfers between different blockchains. This means wallets like World App and platforms such as Uniswap can now handle USDC smoothly, making it easier for developers and users to transact without delays or high fees.
What this means: This is a positive development for WLD. Supporting stablecoins like USDC makes World Chain more useful as a global payment system. Users can enjoy faster, cheaper transactions, which could encourage more people to join Worldcoin’s identity-linked platform.
(Source)
2. Network Expansion Funding (May 21, 2025)
Overview: Worldcoin raised $135 million in a token sale led by Andreessen Horowitz and Bain Capital Crypto. The funds will be used to produce more Orb devices—biometric scanners that verify users’ identities—and to scale the World ID system, especially in the U.S.
Manufacturing of these iris-scanning Orbs is happening in Texas, with deployment planned in cities like Austin and Miami. The goal is to increase the number of Orb-verified World IDs, which are essential for proving a person’s unique identity on the network.
What this means: This news is neutral for WLD in the short term. While expanding the infrastructure could attract more users, the increase in token supply from the sale might balance out any price gains. Over time, growing World ID’s reach will strengthen Worldcoin’s role in providing secure digital identities, especially as AI technologies advance.
(Source)
Conclusion
Worldcoin is making progress by enhancing financial tools with USDC and scaling its biometric identity system. While the technology is advancing, challenges like regulatory compliance and token supply will influence its future. The key question remains: how will Worldcoin maintain a balance between decentralization and meeting global regulations as it grows?