Why did the price of WLD go up?
Worldcoin (WLD) increased by 1.63% in the past 24 hours, building on a strong 14.49% gain over the week. This growth is fueled by rising network activity, large investors buying in, and positive technical signals.
- Network Growth (Positive) – Active users reached 1 million, showing strong demand.
- Whale Activity (Positive) – Big investors are buying both in the spot market and futures contracts.
- Technical Signals (Mixed) – Indicators suggest upward momentum, but there’s resistance ahead.
Deep Dive
1. Network Expansion & User Growth (Positive Impact)
Overview: The number of active addresses on Worldcoin’s network surpassed 1 million, marking a 170% increase since January 2025. Over 500,000 new users joined since May (AMBCrypto). Daily active users have stabilized above 60,000, up 44.1% over the last three months.
What this means: More users mean stronger fundamentals, which attracts investors looking for growth. Increased engagement also reduces selling pressure from long-term holders and suggests the network is becoming more useful.
What to watch: Keep an eye on daily active users staying above 64,000 to confirm ongoing organic growth.
2. Whale Accumulation & Futures Positioning (Positive Impact)
Overview: Large investors (often called “whales”) have been buying aggressively. Spot markets saw $2.18 million in net outflows, indicating accumulation, compared to previous inflows of $6 million. In futures markets, whales have held dominant long positions for seven days, with 7.77 million buy contracts versus 6.4 million sell contracts on Hyperliquid (AMBCrypto).
What this means: Whale buying often signals confidence and can lead to short-term price rallies. However, if too much leverage is used, it could cause a sharp pullback if market sentiment changes.
What to watch: Monitor futures funding rates (currently neutral) and changes in open interest to spot signs of over-leveraging.
3. Technical Momentum & Resistance (Mixed Impact)
Overview: WLD’s price moved above its 7-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $0.8036 and 30-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.88754. The MACD indicator turned positive (+0.01543), and the RSI (7-day: 53.68) shows the coin is not yet overbought. However, there is resistance near $0.952, which corresponds to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
What this means: The short-term trend favors buyers, but if the price falls below $0.85, some investors might take profits, causing a pullback.
What to watch: A close above $0.952 could push the price toward $1.04 (a recent high), while dropping below $0.80 might lead to testing support at $0.68.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s recent price increase is driven by strong network growth, strategic buying by large investors, and positive technical momentum. While resistance at $0.95 and upcoming token unlocks (part of a $5 million weekly release) present risks, continued user growth could support further gains.
Key points to watch: Can WLD stay above $0.85 and turn resistance into support? Watch daily active user numbers and futures market liquidations for early signs of trend changes.
What could affect the price of WLD?
Worldcoin’s price is caught between growing user interest and increasing regulatory challenges.
- User Growth vs. Token Inflation – Network activity is rising, but 4.4 billion tokens are still set to be released by 2028.
- Regulatory Scrutiny – Biometric data bans in over eight countries threaten key parts of its business.
- AI Identity Demand – The need for reliable proof-of-human identity could increase Worldcoin’s usefulness.
Deep Dive
1. User Growth vs. Token Inflation (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
Between May and November 2025, Worldcoin gained 500,000 new users, pushing active wallet addresses past 1 million. However, 80% of its total 10 billion tokens are still locked, with daily token releases planned for investors and team members until July 2028.
What this means:
In the short term, the price may rise due to growing demand—there was a 16% price increase when the 1 million user mark was reached. But as more tokens are unlocked over time, there’s a risk of oversupply, which could limit price growth unless user adoption speeds up significantly. Currently, 22% of the tokens are in circulation.
2. Regulatory Risks (Bearish Impact)
Overview:
Worldcoin has paused operations in Kenya, Spain, Hong Kong, and parts of Asia because of concerns about biometric privacy. The European Union’s MiCA regulations now label WLD as a “sensitive asset,” making it harder to list on exchanges.
What this means:
These restrictions reduce the markets where Worldcoin can operate. If the U.S. follows Europe’s example—which is likely given ongoing Federal Trade Commission investigations—Worldcoin could lose up to 40% of its users. Similar bans in the past have led to price drops between 28% and 52% for other projects.
3. AI Identity Demand (Bullish Impact)
Overview:
World ID verifications have increased by 170% this year as concerns about AI-generated deepfakes grow. Partnerships with companies like Gemini and prediction markets show real-world applications for Worldcoin’s technology.
What this means:
If Worldcoin becomes the standard way to prove someone is human on AI platforms, demand for WLD tokens could rise. Technical indicators also suggest positive momentum—for example, the MACD histogram turned positive (+0.015) on November 9, breaking a three-week downward trend.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s future depends on whether user growth can outpace token releases and regulatory challenges. The price is expected to stay between $0.68 and $0.95 until significant events occur. Keep an eye on the $5 million token unlock scheduled for November 11–17—will large holders keep their tokens or sell?
Can Worldcoin overcome concerns about privacy and dystopian optics to become a trusted identity solution in web3?
What are people saying about WLD?
Worldcoin’s online buzz swings between excitement about AI and worries over regulations. Here’s the latest:
- Positive price signals: Traders are watching for Worldcoin (WLD) to break above $1.28, aiming for $2.50 next.
- Regulatory challenges: German investigations into biometric data raise concerns, even as partnerships with companies like Razer and Match Group continue.
- Long-term outlook: Experts predict WLD could reach $10 by 2030, driven by World ID expanding into 46 countries.
In-Depth Look
1. @johnmorganFL: $10 by 2030? Optimistic
“If World ID adoption speeds up across 46 countries, WLD might hit $35.60.”
– @johnmorganFL (35.1K followers · 194M impressions · July 19, 2025)
See original post
What this means: The growth of Worldcoin’s biometric identity system is key to its success. However, regulatory hurdles in Europe, like Germany pausing iris scan projects, could slow progress.
2. @CryptoTA: Price action uncertain
“If WLD bounces off its 50-day moving average, it could reach $2.50. But if it fails, it might drop back to $1.05.”
– CryptoTA (1.2M followers · 2.8M impressions · August 10, 2025)
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What this means: Technical indicators suggest potential for price gains, supported by a 326% increase in open interest since June. Yet, a 19% increase in circulating supply since May 2025 could dilute value.
3. @BTCC: Balancing regulation and use cases
“WLD rose 5.64% despite German probes, helped by Match Group’s integration easing concerns.”
– BTCC (July 26, 2025)
See original post
What this means: Practical uses like verifying identities on dating apps help offset privacy worries, keeping WLD’s price fluctuating between $1.10 and $1.20.
Summary
The outlook for Worldcoin is mixed. Positive technical signals and interest in AI support upward momentum, but increased token supply and regulatory issues limit gains. Watch the $1.20–$1.28 price range closely—staying above this could confirm a bullish trend, while falling below $1.05 might lead to a bigger drop. Keep an eye on upcoming German regulatory news and World ID’s user growth for clearer direction.
What is the latest news about WLD?
Worldcoin is managing rapid user growth and upcoming token releases while facing financial uncertainties tied to OpenAI’s big investments. Here’s what you need to know:
- Token Unlocks Increase (November 10, 2025) – Over $5 million worth of WLD tokens will enter the market, which could cause short-term price swings.
- Active Users Reach 1 Million (November 9, 2025) – The number of active Worldcoin users jumped 170% year-over-year, helping push the price up by 16%.
- OpenAI’s $1.4 Trillion Compute Contracts (November 7, 2025) – OpenAI’s massive spending deals raise concerns about potential risks to projects connected to its leadership, including Worldcoin.
In-Depth Look
1. Token Unlocks Increase (November 10, 2025)
What’s Happening:
Worldcoin will release more than $5 million worth of tokens in early November. This is part of a larger $476 million token release happening across the market. These tokens become available either all at once (called “cliff” unlocks) or gradually over time (“linear” unlocks). For example, tokens tied to the team and advisors will unlock daily, which could lead to steady selling pressure.
Why It Matters:
This increased supply could push prices down in the short term because more tokens on the market might outpace demand. However, long-term investors might see this as a test of how well Worldcoin can handle bigger market pressures. (CoinMarketCap)
2. Active Users Reach 1 Million (November 9, 2025)
What’s Happening:
Worldcoin’s network now has over 1 million active users, a 170% increase compared to last year. This growth helped the price rise 16% to $0.87. Daily active users have stayed above 60,000, and both spot and futures markets show strong buying interest, with about $2.18 million moving out of exchanges, indicating accumulation.
Why It Matters:
This is a positive sign for Worldcoin, showing strong demand and user engagement. If this trend continues, the price could break above the $1 mark. But if momentum slows, the price might drop back to around $0.68. (AMBCrypto)
3. OpenAI’s $1.4 Trillion Compute Contracts (November 7, 2025)
What’s Happening:
OpenAI has signed massive $1.4 trillion contracts with companies like Oracle and Nvidia to power its computing needs. These deals require OpenAI’s revenue to grow nearly 30 times by 2029. While OpenAI’s CEO Sam Altman isn’t personally responsible if things go wrong, any financial trouble could impact related projects like Worldcoin.
Why It Matters:
This situation is mixed for Worldcoin. On one hand, OpenAI’s success supports Worldcoin’s connection to AI technology. On the other hand, if OpenAI struggles financially, it could hurt confidence in projects linked to Altman. (Forbes)
Summary
Worldcoin is experiencing strong user growth but faces challenges from upcoming token releases and the financial risks tied to OpenAI’s ambitious plans. While the network’s activity points to positive momentum, investors should watch for potential price pressure from token unlocks and broader economic uncertainties. The key question remains: will Worldcoin’s growing adoption overcome the effects of increased token supply, or will dilution limit its price gains?
What is expected in the development of WLD?
Worldcoin is making progress with these key milestones:
- Global Orb Expansion (2026) – Bringing biometric verification to more regions worldwide.
- World Chain Upgrades (Q1 2026) – Improving the Ethereum Layer 2 network for easier, cheaper human-focused transactions.
- Ecosystem Grants Wave 1 (2026) – Funding new projects to strengthen the protocol and encourage wider use.
Deep Dive
1. Global Orb Expansion (2026)
Overview: Worldcoin plans to roll out advanced Orb devices in underserved areas, aiming to verify over 50 million users by 2026. This effort is supported by a $135 million funding round (Worldcoin Foundation) focused on expanding biometric identity technology. The new Orbs will include AI-powered privacy features to meet regulatory standards.
What this means: This is positive news for Worldcoin (WLD) because more users mean greater network value and higher demand for tokens. However, there could be challenges from regulations in places like the European Union or Asia.
2. World Chain Upgrades (Q1 2026)
Overview: Worldcoin’s Ethereum Layer 2 network, called World Chain, will focus on lowering transaction fees and integrating USDC (a popular stablecoin) to support international payments. These upgrades aim to cut transaction costs by about 40% and handle over 1,000 transactions per second, according to CoinMarketCap Community.
What this means: If successful, this could attract more developers and users, which is good for WLD. But delays or technical problems could slow down enthusiasm.
3. Ecosystem Grants Wave 1 (2026)
Overview: After funding 28 projects in the first round (Wave0), the next round of grants (Wave1) will support research in zero-knowledge proofs (a privacy technology), alternative Orb hardware, and experiments with universal basic income (UBI). Funding may exceed 1 million WLD tokens, as noted on the Worldcoin Blog.
What this means: This is promising for long-term innovation and could expand how WLD is used beyond just identity verification. Success depends on how well these projects perform.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s plan focuses on growing biometric verification, upgrading its technology, and supporting new projects—key steps toward building a digital economy centered on people. While regulatory challenges and adoption hurdles remain, these strategic moves could strengthen WLD’s position in the evolving world of AI-driven identity systems. One question to watch: How will changing privacy laws affect the rollout of Orb devices in 2026?
What updates are there in the WLD code base?
Worldcoin’s codebase is actively maintained but hasn’t introduced any major new features recently.
- Dependency Updates (September 13, 2025) – Routine updates to JavaScript libraries and security fixes.
- Task Completion (July 31, 2025) – Fixed seven issues in the developer portal to improve documentation and user experience.
Deep Dive
1. Dependency Updates (September 13, 2025)
Overview: A recent update (pull request #1636) upgraded some JavaScript tools used in Worldcoin’s developer portal. These updates patched security vulnerabilities and improved compatibility with modern software tools.
The changes mainly involved small version updates to popular libraries like React and Next.js. Importantly, these updates didn’t break any existing features, so everything should continue working smoothly.
What this means: This update is routine maintenance rather than a major upgrade. It helps keep the platform secure and stable, which benefits users by reducing risks and improving reliability.
(Source)
2. Task Completion (July 31, 2025)
Overview: Another update (pull request #1543) addressed seven tasks related to the developer portal’s API documentation and user interface. Changes included clearer code examples and easier navigation for developers.
These improvements aim to make it simpler for developers to understand and use Worldcoin’s identity protocols.
What this means: This is a positive sign for Worldcoin (WLD). Better documentation can attract more developers, which may help grow the Worldcoin ecosystem over time.
(Source)
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s recent updates focus on steady improvements rather than big new features. The team is prioritizing security and making the developer experience smoother. While no major protocol changes have been made yet, future updates will likely need to balance innovation with keeping the system scalable as more people start using Worldcoin.