Why did the price of WLD go up?
Worldcoin (WLD) increased by 1.19% over the last 24 hours, reaching $0.50, which is slightly better than the overall crypto market’s 0.89% gain. Here’s why:
- Institutional OTC Purchase – Multicoin Capital bought 60 million WLD tokens (worth $30 million) directly from Worldcoin’s treasury at $0.50, showing strong confidence.
- Large Holder Buying – Big investors added 150 million WLD during recent price drops, easing selling pressure.
- Technical Bounce – The Relative Strength Index (RSI14) dropped to 33.21, close to oversold levels, encouraging short-term buying.
Deep Dive
1. Institutional OTC Purchase (Positive Sign)
What happened: On December 25, Multicoin Capital exchanged $30 million USDC for 60 million WLD tokens through an over-the-counter (OTC) deal (Lookonchain). This type of transaction avoids price swings and shows long-term interest from big investors.
Why it matters: OTC buys usually mean strategic investment rather than quick trading. This deal locked up about 2.3% of all WLD tokens available, reducing the chance of immediate selling. The price stayed close to $0.50, indicating buyers are defending this level.
What to watch: More OTC deals or longer token lockups could help keep the price steady or rising.
2. Large Holder Buying (Mixed Signals)
What happened: Wallets holding between 1 million and 100 million WLD tokens added 150 million tokens (about 5.8% of total supply) in the past week, according to Santiment data. This happened while WLD’s price dropped 21.66% over 30 days.
Why it matters: When big holders buy during price dips, it often leads to short-term price recoveries. However, WLD is still down 63.45% from its 90-day high. While this buying shows faith in Worldcoin’s AI and identity technology, ongoing token unlocks (with a total supply of 10 billion) and regulatory concerns could limit price gains.
3. Technical Bounce (Neutral)
What happened: The RSI14 for WLD is at 33.21, close to the oversold threshold of 30, and the MACD shows weak downward momentum (-0.0008). The price bounced off a key support level at $0.47.
Why it matters: Traders might see this as a chance to buy on the dip, but WLD is still below important moving averages like the 7-day SMA at $0.503. To confirm a trend reversal, the price needs to break above resistance at $0.56 (the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level).
Conclusion
The recent 24-hour increase in WLD reflects strong institutional buying and technical signs of a rebound, but overall bearish trends remain. Key point to watch: Will WLD maintain the $0.50 level amid increasing global scrutiny of biometric data projects?
What could affect the price of WLD?
Worldcoin is balancing between expanding its biometric technology and facing regulatory challenges.
- Biometric Growth vs. Regulation – Scaling World ID is under global privacy scrutiny.
- Token Unlock Pressure – $21.5 million worth of tokens unlock weekly, creating ongoing selling pressure.
- Big Investors Betting Big – Multicoin’s $30 million over-the-counter (OTC) purchase shows strong long-term confidence.
In-Depth Look
1. Regulatory Challenges for Biometrics (Mixed to Negative Impact)
Overview: Worldcoin’s Orb device, which verifies users through biometric data, has been banned in Spain, Portugal, and recently Thailand. The European Union’s new MiCA rules treat biometric-linked tokens with strict anti-money laundering (AML) regulations, which could limit how these tokens are distributed. Despite this, Worldcoin is expanding in the U.S., opening 12 new Orb locations in tech-focused cities like Austin and Miami.
What this means: Each regulatory hurdle slows down adoption among everyday users, who make up 60% of the token community. However, large institutional investors like Eightco Holdings, which allocated $250 million to Worldcoin (Coindesk), help balance this out. The token’s price could fluctuate by about 25% depending on legal developments expected in early 2026.
2. Token Supply and Selling Pressure (Short-Term Negative)
Overview: Out of the total Worldcoin supply, 7.4 billion WLD tokens (74%) are locked until 2026. Currently, $21.5 million worth of tokens unlock each week at a price of $0.49, which is more than a third of the average daily trading volume ($61.7 million). This creates ongoing pressure to sell.
What this means: Until more tokens enter circulation and supply stabilizes—likely by late 2026—price rallies will face resistance. Data shows a strong negative correlation (-0.82) between price and supply over the past 90 days. However, early investors like a16z and Bain have vesting schedules that prevent sudden large sell-offs.
3. Large Holder Buying Trends (Positive Signal)
Overview: Despite recent price drops, holders with between 1 million and 100 million WLD tokens increased their holdings by 150 million tokens (about 5.8% of total supply) during December’s dip. Multicoin’s $0.50 OTC purchase aligns with previous low price levels seen in 2024, around $0.26.
What this means: Big investors often buy ahead of major protocol upgrades. Worldcoin’s upcoming ZK-rollup upgrade, expected in the second quarter of 2026, could be a key catalyst. Similar OTC buying preceded a 180% price increase in 2025, when the token rose from $0.58 to $1.63.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s future depends on whether its biometric technology adoption can outpace regulatory challenges. Token unlocks will likely limit price gains until 2027. The $0.47 to $0.52 price range is critical—dropping below this could push prices into the $0.30 range, while holding steady may lead to a rebound toward $0.67 (the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level). Keep an eye on the SEC’s ruling on World ID’s data practices expected January 8, as it could be a turning point: will big investors’ confidence outweigh retail concerns?
What are people saying about WLD?
Worldcoin’s community is divided between hope and caution as WLD tests important support levels. Here’s what’s trending:
- Traders are debating whether WLD will bounce back to $0.67 or drop to $0.30
- Technical analysis points to $0.50 as a critical level for a strong rebound
- Token unlocks and regulatory concerns are fueling bearish outlooks
Deep Dive
1. @bpaynews: WLD’s chance to recover to $0.67 depends on holding $0.47 mixed
"WLD price could reach $0.67 in the medium term if it holds support at $0.47, but bearish momentum might push it down to $0.30."
– @bpaynews (2K followers · 109K tweets · Dec 24, 2025, 07:58 UTC)
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What this means: The signals are mixed. Technical charts suggest a rebound is possible if $0.47 support holds, but broader factors like Bitcoin’s strong market dominance (59.4%) and $21.5 million worth of WLD tokens unlocking weekly make a bullish outlook uncertain.
2. @Crypto_Mafiaa1: $0.52 is a “max fear” zone with big upside potential bullish
"This is the max fear zone. Risk is clear, but the upside could be huge. If this base holds, expect a strong bounce 🚀 Targets: $1 → $2.68 → $4.20 → $5.90+"
– @Crypto_Mafiaa1 (841 followers · 2.4K tweets · Dec 20, 2025, 05:21 UTC)
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What this means: Some traders see a big opportunity if WLD stays above $0.50. The token is oversold (RSI at 28.9), and history shows strong rebounds from similar “fear” levels.
3. @BTC_DailyAlpha: Token unlocks and regulations could push WLD back to $0.30 bearish
"WLD is oversold, but ongoing token unlocks and Bitcoin’s season keep sellers in control. 42% of WLD supply is still locked (4.25 billion tokens), with over $21 million unlocking weekly."
– @BTC_DailyAlpha (1.1K followers · 1.5K tweets · Dec 19, 2025, 04:34 UTC)
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What this means: There are ongoing risks. Large amounts of tokens are still being released into the market, and regulatory scrutiny in places like Spain and Hong Kong is adding selling pressure. These factors could outweigh short-term technical signs of recovery.
Conclusion
The outlook for WLD is mixed. On one hand, the token looks oversold and could bounce back; on the other, systemic risks from token unlocks and regulatory issues remain. Technical analysts are watching the $0.47–$0.50 range closely this week. If WLD falls below this zone, it could confirm bearish targets near $0.30. But if it holds, it might spark speculative buying with potential gains of 2 to 5 times the current price.
What is the latest news about WLD?
Worldcoin is facing a mix of big investor interest and technical challenges as large holders watch closely. Here’s what’s happening now:
- Multicoin’s $30M WLD Purchase (December 25, 2025) – A likely private deal shows strong long-term confidence from institutions.
- Record Trading Volume & Big Holder Buying (December 25, 2025) – $1.46 billion traded in one day, with large investors buying 150 million WLD tokens.
- Important Price Resistance at $0.56 – For prices to rise, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) needs to stay above 50, signaling a trend change.
In-Depth Look
1. Multicoin’s $30M WLD Purchase (December 25, 2025)
What happened: Analysts noticed a $30 million USDC transfer from a wallet linked to Multicoin to Worldcoin’s treasury, followed by the receipt of 60 million WLD tokens at about $0.50 each. Although neither side has confirmed this, the deal looks like an over-the-counter (OTC) transaction, which fits Multicoin’s pattern of investing in identity and AI projects.
Why it matters: This is a cautiously positive sign for Worldcoin. Large OTC purchases help avoid sudden price drops and show strategic interest, but since details are limited, some investors may remain skeptical in the short term. (CoinMarketCap)
2. Record Trading Volume & Big Holder Buying (December 25, 2025)
What happened: Data from Santiment shows Worldcoin’s trading volume hit $1.46 billion—the highest since July 2024. At the same time, wallets holding between 1 million and 100 million WLD tokens bought an additional 150 million tokens during recent price dips.
Why it matters: This is a positive indicator for Worldcoin. High trading volume and accumulation by large holders suggest strong institutional interest. However, for prices to keep rising, Worldcoin needs to overcome key technical hurdles. (CoinJournal)
3. Important Price Resistance at $0.56
What happened: Worldcoin is currently trading at $0.49, down 22% over the past month. The RSI—a tool that measures momentum—is at 49, just below the important 50 mark. If the price closes above $0.56, it could aim for the 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $0.63. If it fails, the price might fall to $0.47.
Why it matters: This is a neutral signal. While there’s cautious optimism, broader market factors like Bitcoin’s dominance (59.4%) and reduced liquidity in alternative cryptocurrencies could hold Worldcoin back.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s future depends on whether strong institutional interest can overcome current technical challenges. Multicoin’s large purchase and whale buying activity point to growing confidence, but the $0.56 price level is a key test. Will demand driven by AI-based identity solutions push Worldcoin higher in early 2026 despite overall market caution?
What is expected in the development of WLD?
Worldcoin is moving forward with key developments planned for 2026:
- Global Orb Expansion (2026) – Rolling out more iris-scanning Orb devices in new regions.
- World Chain Mainnet Launch (Q1 2026) – Launching a blockchain focused on human-verified transactions.
- Enhanced Privacy Protocols (2026) – Using advanced technology to better protect biometric data.
Deep Dive
1. Global Orb Expansion (2026)
Overview: In 2026, Worldcoin plans to deploy thousands more Orb devices, especially in underbanked areas like Southeast Asia and Africa. This expansion follows a $135 million funding round led by a16z (source, May 2025), aimed at speeding up the adoption of biometric identity verification.
What this means: This is a positive sign for Worldcoin (WLD) since more Orb devices could mean more users (currently over 26 million) and increased use of the token. However, there are risks, such as regulatory challenges seen in countries like Spain and Kenya in 2025.
2. World Chain Mainnet Launch (Q1 2026)
Overview: World Chain is a new blockchain built on Ethereum’s Layer 2 technology, designed to handle transactions verified by humans. It’s expected to launch in early 2026 and will offer lower transaction fees for World ID holders. It will also support USDC, a popular stablecoin, to make cross-border payments easier (source, June 2025).
What this means: This development could increase demand for WLD, but its success depends on how many developers build on World Chain. Competing Layer 2 solutions like Polygon and Optimism currently lead the market.
3. Enhanced Privacy Protocols (2026)
Overview: After increased scrutiny of biometric data in 2025, Worldcoin plans to use zero-knowledge proofs (ZKPs). This technology allows verification of identity without revealing personal biometric details, addressing privacy concerns raised by regulators in the EU and Germany (source, July 2025).
What this means: This is crucial for Worldcoin’s future. If implemented well, it could reduce regulatory risks but might also slow down product launches.
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s 2026 plans aim to grow its user base and technology while managing privacy and regulatory risks. While there are promising signs, challenges like regulatory hurdles and adoption remain important factors. The big question is whether biometric verification will become widely accepted or if privacy concerns will limit WLD’s growth.
What updates are there in the WLD code base?
Worldcoin’s recent software updates focus on improving its technology and growing its network.
- USDC Integration (June 12, 2025) – Added support for USD Coin (USDC) on World Chain, making it easier to send money worldwide.
- Layer-2 Upgrade (June 2025) – Improved the network’s speed and lowered costs, increasing the total value locked (TVL) to $50 million.
Deep Dive
1. USDC Integration (June 12, 2025)
Overview: Worldcoin now supports USD Coin (USDC), a stable digital dollar, on its World Chain platform. This means users in over 160 countries can send and receive USDC easily and securely. This update makes international payments simpler and helps Worldcoin work better with decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.
The integration uses Circle’s Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP) V2, which allows smooth transfers of USDC between Ethereum, Optimism, and World Chain. Developers can now create apps that use USDC directly on World Chain, making dollar-based transactions faster and less complicated.
What this means: This is good news for Worldcoin (WLD) because it increases its usefulness in global finance. It attracts developers and users who want stable digital dollars and helps Worldcoin meet regulatory requirements, reducing legal risks.
(Source)
2. Layer-2 Upgrade (June 2025)
Overview: World Chain upgraded to a Layer-2 blockchain, which means transactions are faster and cheaper. After this upgrade, the total value locked (TVL) jumped from $3 million to $50 million, showing more developers are building on the platform.
The upgrade improved rollup technology, cutting transaction fees by about 40% compared to the Ethereum main network. It also introduced batch processing of transactions, which helps the system handle more identity checks and payments efficiently.
What this means: In the short term, this upgrade didn’t boost WLD’s price much and even saw some decline. However, in the long run, lower costs and better performance could encourage more people to use World ID and related services, which is positive for Worldcoin.
(Source)
Conclusion
Worldcoin’s latest updates focus on building stronger financial tools and making the network more scalable. These improvements support its goal of creating a digital economy centered around people. However, challenges like regulatory rules and competition from privacy-focused blockchains could affect how much Worldcoin grows in the future.