What could affect the price of TRX?
TRON's price outlook is shaped by growing interest from big investors and ongoing regulatory challenges.
- ETFs & Corporate Holdings – New leveraged ETFs and TRON Inc.'s $220 million TRX holdings show strong institutional demand.
- Stablecoin Leadership – TRON supports half of the world's USDT supply, fueling steady transaction activity.
- Network Upgrades – The upcoming v4.8.0 update aims to improve Ethereum compatibility and boost security.
Deep Dive
1. Institutional Adoption via ETFs & Corporate Strategy (Positive for Price)
Overview:
TRON Inc. (listed on Nasdaq as TRON) now holds $220 million worth of TRX tokens, similar to how MicroStrategy holds Bitcoin as a treasury asset. Additionally, T-Rex Group has filed for a 2x leveraged TRX ETF (CryptoBriefing), and Canary Capital has proposed a staked TRX ETF. These moves could bring more institutional investors into TRON.
What this means:
When companies hold large amounts of TRX, fewer tokens are available on the market, which can support higher prices. If ETFs get approved, they make it easier for regular investors and institutions to buy TRX, potentially increasing demand and price stability. Similar ETFs for Bitcoin have helped boost liquidity and price growth.
2. Stablecoin Leadership & Network Activity (Mixed Effects)
Overview:
TRON handles about $5.5 trillion in USDT transfers each year, holding half of the global USDT supply. USDT is a popular stablecoin pegged to the U.S. dollar. However, relying heavily on stablecoins like USDT can attract regulatory attention, especially with the recent launch of USD1, a Trump-linked stablecoin on TRON (Crypto.News).
What this means:
Being a major platform for stablecoin transactions means TRON earns consistent fees and reduces token supply through burning (destroying tokens), which helps support TRX’s value. On the flip side, if regulators crack down on USDT or stablecoins in general, it could hurt TRON’s network activity and token demand.
3. Protocol Upgrades & Ecosystem Growth (Positive for Price)
Overview:
The upcoming v4.8.0 upgrade, with voting starting June 23, 2025, will add Ethereum’s Cancun improvements to TRON, making it easier for apps built on Ethereum to work on TRON. Also, the $10 million Builders League fund supports new projects in decentralized finance (DeFi) and artificial intelligence (AI).
What this means:
Better compatibility with Ethereum could attract more developers and apps to TRON, increasing usage and demand for TRX. Previous upgrades, like Stake 2.0, boosted staking participation to 47.1%, which helps reduce selling pressure and supports price stability.
Conclusion
TRX’s medium-term future depends on balancing growing institutional interest with regulatory challenges. Its built-in token burning and upcoming upgrades provide a strong foundation for price growth. Keep an eye on the SEC’s decisions about TRX ETFs and the adoption of the v4.8.0 upgrade—Ethereum compatibility could be a game-changer for attracting developers and users.
What are people saying about TRX?
The TRON community is divided between excitement over big corporate developments and concerns about the network’s health. Here’s what’s trending right now:
- Nasdaq listing sparks hopes for $0.40 price
- Large investors eye $0.35 breakout despite fewer transactions
- False $11 TRX price rumor reveals market vulnerability
In-Depth Look
1. @sunpumpmeme: TRON Inc. Nasdaq connection fuels rally optimism 🚀 bullish
"SRM rebranded as Tron Inc., holding over 365 million $TRX... This could change how TRX is valued."
– @sunpumpmeme (23.2K followers · 189K impressions · 2025-07-23 09:54 UTC)
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What this means: This is positive for TRX because a Nasdaq-listed company holding TRX adds credibility and could lead to more buying.
2. @johnmorganFL: Technical analysis points to $0.45 target 🎯 mixed signals
"TRX reached $0.42, but some investors might sell to take profits"
– @johnmorganFL (88K followers · 2.1M impressions · 2025-08-06 17:19 UTC)
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What this means: The outlook is mixed—while charts suggest upward potential, the high RSI (74.99) indicates the coin might be overbought, and some selling could pull the price back.
3. CryptoQuant: Network activity drops sharply ⚠️ bearish sign
"TRON transactions fell by 60%, yet price holds steady at $0.27"
– CryptoQuant report (June 22, 2025)
View analysis
What this means: This is a warning sign. The big drop in daily transactions (3.5 million vs. a peak of 9 million) raises questions about TRON’s long-term usefulness, even though the price hasn’t dropped much.
4. TRON Foundation: $11 TRX price rumor debunked 🚫 neutral
"TRX price remains stable at $0.32 with no truth to $11 claims"
– Official statement (July 29, 2025)
View statement
What this means: Neutral impact—quickly shutting down the false rumor helped avoid panic, but it also shows how easily misinformation can spread in the market.
Conclusion
The overall view on TRX is mixed. Corporate developments like the Nasdaq listing bring optimism, but concerns about declining network activity remain. Traders are watching the $0.35 resistance level closely—it’s been tested three times since August and could be a key turning point. Meanwhile, the 60% drop in transactions since June is a red flag. Keep an eye on TRON Inc.’s planned $1 billion buyback; if it happens successfully, it could support the bullish Nasdaq story. If it’s delayed or doesn’t happen, the current price might be too high.
What is the latest news about TRX?
TRON is making strategic moves to strengthen its position—from expanding its treasury to working with regulators. Here are the key updates:
- Justin Sun’s $200M WLFI Purchase (September 2, 2025) – Boosts TRON’s stablecoin presence and aligns with U.S. regulations.
- Tron Inc. Adds 312.5M TRX to Treasury (September 6, 2025) – Shows strong confidence in TRX’s long-term value.
- The Graph Integration for Real-Time Data (July 9, 2025) – Improves developer tools for apps built on TRON.
Deep Dive
1. Justin Sun’s $200M WLFI Purchase (September 2, 2025)
Overview:
Justin Sun bought 600 million WLFI tokens (about $145 million) and committed to increasing the supply of USD1 stablecoins on TRON by $200 million. This move supports TRON’s goal to grow its $80 billion+ USDT ecosystem and strengthen partnerships with U.S. institutions, including a collaboration with the Department of Commerce for economic data sharing.
What this means:
This is a positive sign for TRX because more stablecoins can lead to higher transaction volumes and reinforce TRON’s role in international payments. However, WLFI’s price has been volatile, with a 32% swing after unlocking, which shows some risk for investors. (Bitget)
2. Tron Inc. Adds 312.5M TRX to Treasury (September 6, 2025)
Overview:
Tron Inc., the largest public holder of TRX, bought $110 million worth of TRX, bringing its total holdings to $220 million. This move reflects confidence in TRON’s payment system, which processed $3.6 trillion in the first half of 2025—a 50% increase from last year.
What this means:
This is somewhat positive for TRX. While adding to the treasury reduces the number of coins available on the market, the price of TRX has stayed steady around $0.33. Over time, this helps build trust in TRON as a reliable platform for payments. (X (formerly Twitter))
3. The Graph Integration for Real-Time Data (July 9, 2025)
Overview:
TRON has integrated The Graph’s Substreams technology, allowing developers to access real-time data like wallet activity, token trades, and stablecoin flows. This cuts down the time needed to build decentralized apps (dApps) from weeks to minutes.
What this means:
This is good news for TRX because better tools can attract more developers to TRON’s network, which already supports over 318 million accounts and holds $23 billion in total value locked (TVL). Access to real-time data could also encourage new innovations in decentralized finance (DeFi) powered by artificial intelligence. (CoinDesk)
Conclusion
TRON is focusing on expanding its stablecoin ecosystem, building institutional partnerships, and improving developer tools. While TRX’s price hasn’t moved much recently, its emphasis on practical uses makes it a strong player in the blockchain space. The question remains: will regulatory concerns about WLFI’s price swings slow down TRON’s stablecoin growth?
What is expected in the development of TRX?
TRON’s roadmap focuses on improving technology, growing its ecosystem, and increasing real-world use.
- Mainnet v4.8.0 Upgrade (June 2025) – Boosts compatibility with other blockchains and strengthens security.
- $10M Builders League (Ongoing) – Supports projects in decentralized finance (DeFi), artificial intelligence (AI), and payment systems.
- $1B Mixed Securities Offering (Late 2025) – Raises funds to expand the TRON ecosystem.
- PayFi Ecosystem Expansion (2025–2026) – Enables fee-free USDT transfers and integrates global payment options.
- Real-World Asset (RWA) Integration (2026) – Brings physical assets like real estate onto TRON’s blockchain.
Deep Dive
1. Mainnet v4.8.0 Upgrade (June 2025)
What’s happening: TRON is upgrading its main network to include Ethereum’s Cancun improvements (EIP-4844). This will make it easier for TRON to work with other blockchains and speed up transactions. The upgrade vote finished in June 2025, and the network operators are now applying the changes.
Why it matters: This upgrade could attract developers from Ethereum by offering lower fees and better scalability. However, some decentralized apps (DApps) might face temporary compatibility issues during the transition.
2. $10M Builders League (Ongoing)
What’s happening: Started in early 2025, this program funds innovative projects in DeFi, AI, and payment infrastructure. Recent projects include PumpSwap, which enables creating tokens across different blockchains, and partnerships with Wintermute to improve liquidity.
Why it matters: This initiative encourages innovation and could lead to new tools and services on TRON. Its success depends on continued developer interest and user adoption.
3. $1B Mixed Securities Offering (Late 2025)
What’s happening: TRON Inc. (Nasdaq: TRON) plans to raise $1 billion through a mix of stock and debt offerings, similar to how MicroStrategy invested in Bitcoin. The funds will likely support TRX holdings and ecosystem development (CoinMarketCap).
Why it matters: If successful, this could increase demand for TRX and strengthen the ecosystem. However, investors may worry about potential dilution of shares.
4. PayFi Ecosystem Expansion (2025–2026)
What’s happening: TRON is rolling out gasless (fee-free) USDT transfers, targeting remittance markets in Latin America and Africa. Partnerships with MoonPay and Revolut Pay aim to make it easier to convert between traditional money and crypto.
Why it matters: This expansion could boost TRX’s real-world use, especially as stablecoin transactions exceed $600 billion per month.
5. Real-World Asset Integration (2026)
What’s happening: TRON plans to bring physical assets like commodities and real estate onto its blockchain, using its fast and low-cost network (2,000 transactions per second). Pilot projects with logistics companies in Asia are in discussion.
Why it matters: This could open new opportunities for TRON, but regulatory challenges and market readiness are important factors to watch.
Conclusion
TRON is working to build trust with institutions, support developers, and improve payment systems to strengthen its position in global finance. While technical upgrades and stablecoin use provide a solid base, challenges remain in managing funds and adopting real-world assets. TRON’s combined approach to decentralized and traditional finance could be key to its next phase of growth.
What updates are there in the TRX code base?
TRON’s latest software updates focus on making it easier to work across different blockchains, improving developer tools, and optimizing transaction fees.
- Mainnet v4.8.0 Proposal (June 2025) – Adds support for Ethereum’s Cancun upgrade and boosts security.
- Substreams Integration (July 2025) – Lets developers stream live blockchain data in real time.
- GasFree Wallet Activation (July 2025) – Introduces fixed USDT fees for transfers to simplify costs.
Deep Dive
1. Mainnet v4.8.0 Proposal (June 2025)
Overview: This upgrade improves how TRON connects with Ethereum and strengthens network security.
It includes Ethereum’s Cancun upgrade (EIP-4844), which lowers costs for Layer 2 transactions, and enhances verification processes to prevent attacks. Node operators had to update their software by late June 2025 after approval from TRON’s Super Representatives.
What this means: This is positive for TRX because it makes moving assets between Ethereum and TRON easier, which could attract more developers and increase liquidity. Better security also helps protect the network from risks.
(Source)
2. Substreams Integration (July 2025)
Overview: TRON teamed up with The Graph to launch Substreams, a tool that streams blockchain data instantly.
Developers can now access live information like wallet activity and token swaps without building complex backend systems. This speeds up development for decentralized apps (dApps) and AI tools that analyze blockchain trends.
What this means: This is somewhat positive for TRX because it lowers the technical barriers for developers, encouraging more projects on TRON. However, the real impact depends on how quickly developers start using these tools.
(Source)
3. GasFree Wallet Activation (July 2025)
Overview: To tackle rising transaction fees, TRON introduced a GasFree wallet option.
Users pay a one-time activation fee of 1 USDT, then a fixed fee of 1 USDT per transfer, paid in USDT instead of TRX.
What this means: This is neutral for TRX. It offers predictable fees for users who move large amounts of stablecoins, but smaller transactions may feel more expensive. This update mainly benefits institutional or high-volume users.
(Source)
Conclusion
TRON’s recent updates highlight its focus on cross-chain compatibility, better developer tools, and easier stablecoin transactions—key factors for its goal as a global payment platform. While security and interoperability improvements strengthen its foundation, the GasFree wallet feature mainly serves a niche audience.
How might TRON’s Ethereum compatibility influence its DeFi TVL competition with BNB Chain and Solana?
Why did the price of TRX go up?
TRON (TRX) increased by 0.61% to $0.332 over the past 24 hours, slightly underperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 1.46%. This movement was influenced by strategic developments within TRON’s ecosystem and solid technical support levels.
- TRON Inc. Boosts Treasury – The company added $110 million worth of TRX to its reserves, showing strong institutional confidence.
- Stablecoin Supply Growth – The USD1 stablecoin supply on TRON expanded, improving liquidity and practical uses.
- Technical Support Holds – TRX price stayed above the important $0.30–$0.31 support zone despite market ups and downs.
Deep Dive
1. TRON Inc. Treasury Expansion (Positive Sign)
Overview:
On September 6, TRON Inc. (listed on Nasdaq as TRON) purchased 312.5 million TRX tokens, worth about $110 million, increasing its total holdings to $891.2 million. This move follows the company’s shift in July 2025 toward focusing more on cryptocurrency, similar to how MicroStrategy has accumulated Bitcoin.
What this means:
Buying back large amounts of TRX reduces the number of tokens available in the market and shows the company’s confidence in the long-term value of TRX. CEO Justin Sun has also committed not to sell tokens that are unlocked, which helps reduce selling pressure.
What to watch:
Look for announcements about more TRX purchases or official filings from TRON Inc. that could indicate further accumulation.
2. Stablecoin Liquidity Boost (Mixed Effects)
Overview:
The supply of TRON’s USD1 stablecoin increased by $25 million, moving toward a $200 million goal. This complements TRON’s strong position in USDT stablecoin transactions, which exceed $80 billion on-chain.
What this means:
More stablecoins improve the network’s ability to handle cross-border payments and decentralized finance (DeFi) activities, increasing demand for TRX. However, the staking yield for TRX is currently around 0.7% (via Bitvavo), which is low compared to competitors like Solana offering about 6%. This limits how attractive TRX is to retail investors looking for returns.
3. Technical Resilience (Neutral to Positive)
Overview:
Despite a 55% drop in trading volume over 24 hours, TRX price stayed above the key support range of $0.30 to $0.31. Technical indicators show mixed signals: the MACD histogram indicates some bearish momentum, but the RSI suggests there’s room for price recovery.
What this means:
The $0.30–$0.31 support zone has proven strong during past market corrections, providing a foundation for potential price rebounds. If TRX can break and hold above $0.335 (the 50-day exponential moving average), it could aim for $0.354, a key resistance level.
Conclusion
TRON’s price stability is supported by the company’s treasury growth and increased stablecoin activity, though low staking rewards and some bearish technical signals limit upside potential. Key point to watch: Whether TRX can maintain support at $0.30 if Bitcoin ETF-related market flows change. Keep an eye on TRON Inc.’s upcoming SEC filing expected in mid-September for updates on token accumulation.