What is expected in the development of TRX?

TRON is moving forward with several important updates:

1. AINFT Roadmap (2025–2026) – Bringing artificial intelligence (AI) into decentralized finance (DeFi), NFTs, and blockchain infrastructure.
2. Mainnet 4.8.1 Upgrade (Nov 2025) – Improving smart contracts and making TRON’s system more compatible with Ethereum’s technology.
3. Base Network Integration (Dec 2025) – Connecting with Coinbase’s Layer 2 network to expand TRON’s reach across blockchains.

In-Depth Look

1. AINFT Roadmap (2025–2026)

What it is:
TRON’s #AINFT Roadmap plans to add AI in four stages:

• Ecosystem Intelligence (2025): Using AI to predict and improve transaction efficiency.
• AI Agent Platform (2026): Creating smart AI agents to manage identities and automate tasks.
• DeFi Intelligence (2026): AI tools to help manage investment portfolios and assess risks.
• Decentralized AI Models (2026+): Training large AI models across TRON’s network in a distributed way.

Why it matters:
This could attract more developers and big investors to TRON, but since AI adoption in crypto is still new, there are risks in how smoothly this will happen.

2. Mainnet 4.8.1 Upgrade (Nov 2025)

What it is:
The Java-tron v4.8.1 update (source) will bring:

• Smart contracts that work more like Ethereum’s (EVM-compatible).
• Stronger security checks for apps that handle many transactions quickly.
• Flexible fees to keep transaction costs stable.

Why it matters:
This upgrade should make it easier for developers to build on TRON. However, Ethereum’s own upgrades (like the Cancun update) are strong competition. Keep an eye on how much value is locked in TRON’s network after this update.

3. Base Network Integration (Dec 2025)

What it is:
TRON will connect with Base, Coinbase’s Ethereum Layer 2 network, through LayerZero technology (source). This allows TRX tokens to move easily between TRON and Base, opening TRON to over 1 million Base users and more than $1 billion in DeFi assets.

Why it matters:
This partnership should increase TRON’s liquidity and usefulness across blockchains. TRX’s price has already risen by about 28% since this partnership was announced, showing potential for more growth depending on Base’s success.

Summary

TRON’s plans combine AI innovation, technical improvements, and key partnerships to strengthen its position in stablecoins and DeFi. While short-term price changes depend on the overall crypto market, TRON’s focus on real-world payment use (handling $600 billion per month in USDT volume) and collaborations with institutions (like Nasdaq and the U.S. Commerce Department) give it a unique edge.

Big question: Can TRON successfully use AI and cross-chain technology to grow beyond stablecoins before 2026?

What updates are there in the TRX code base?

In the last quarter of 2025, TRON made important updates to improve compatibility with Ethereum and boost network performance.

1. EVM Alignment with TIP-6780 (Nov 2025) – Changed how the SELFDESTRUCT command works to match Ethereum’s standards.
2. Java-tron v4.8.1 Testnet Upgrade (Nov 2025) – Improved support for ARM processors, faster node syncing, and better database handling.
3. LayerZero Integration (Dec 2025) – Allowed direct TRX transfers to Coinbase’s Base network without needing wrapped tokens.

Deep Dive

1. EVM Alignment with TIP-6780 (Nov 2025)

Overview: TRON updated the SELFDESTRUCT opcode to behave like Ethereum’s version (EIP-6780). This means contracts won’t lose their state unless they were created in the same transaction.

Why it matters:
This update is positive for TRON because it makes the network more compatible with Ethereum tools. Developers can more easily move their Solidity smart contracts to TRON, reducing unexpected issues in decentralized finance (DeFi) apps.
(Source)

2. Java-tron v4.8.1 Testnet Upgrade (Nov 2025)

Overview: The Nile testnet launched Java-tron v4.8.1 (Democritus), adding support for ARM64 processors, improving database resource use, and enabling on-chain governance for voting parameters.

Why it matters:
While this update is more technical, it’s important. Supporting ARM processors lowers hardware costs for those running nodes, and better synchronization means the network runs more smoothly. Developers get a more stable environment for testing.
(Source)

3. LayerZero Cross-Chain Integration (Dec 2025)

Overview: TRON connected with LayerZero to allow native TRX transfers directly to Base, Coinbase’s Layer 2 network, without needing wrapped tokens.

Why it matters:
This is a big plus for TRON because it opens access to Base’s $4.4 billion ecosystem. Users can now use TRX on Base-native decentralized exchanges (DEXs) like Aerodrome without splitting liquidity.
(Source)

Conclusion

TRON’s updates at the end of 2025 focus on making the network work better with Ethereum and Base, while improving infrastructure. These changes strengthen TRON’s position as a fast, Ethereum-compatible blockchain. The key question is whether better cross-chain liquidity will lead to more developer activity after these integrations.

Why did the price of TRX go up?

TRON (TRX) increased by 1.28% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 0.53%. This growth is driven by TRON’s new connection with Coinbase’s Base network, a surge in activity on the Kalshi prediction market, and positive technical signals.

1. Base Network Integration – TRX is now tradable on Coinbase’s Ethereum Layer 2 through LayerZero technology.
2. Kalshi Prediction Market Growth – Weekly trading volume reached $2.3 billion using TRX/USDT on the TRON network.
3. Technical Indicators – Bullish MACD crossover and a neutral RSI suggest potential upward momentum.

Deep Dive

1. Base Network Integration & Increased Liquidity (Positive Outlook)

Overview: On December 19, TRON announced it integrated with Base, Coinbase’s Ethereum Layer 2 network, using LayerZero. This allows TRX tokens to be bridged and traded on decentralized exchanges like Aerodrome, tapping into Base’s ecosystem, which holds over $1.3 billion in total value locked (The Block).

What this means:

• TRX gains direct access to Coinbase’s institutional users and Ethereum-compatible liquidity pools.
• TRX becomes a cross-chain asset, increasing its usefulness and attracting more traders.
• Historically, when coins get listed on major platforms like Coinbase, their prices often jump 10-20% in the short term.

What to watch: Adoption rates on Base’s decentralized exchanges and trading volume for TRX/USDT pairs.

2. Kalshi Prediction Market Activity (Positive Outlook)

Overview: Kalshi, a prediction market platform, saw weekly trading volume hit $2.3 billion between December 21-27, nearly twice that of competitor Polymarket’s $1.2 billion. Much of this volume comes from deposits and withdrawals on the TRON network. Sports-related markets made up 65% of this activity (The Defiant).

What this means:

• High trading volume boosts TRX/USDT liquidity and real-world use cases.
• Increased transaction volume generates more fees, benefiting TRON network validators.
• More retail users are engaging with TRON, especially for smaller stablecoin transfers under $1,000.

3. Technical Momentum (Mixed Signals)

Overview: On December 26, TRX broke out of a downward wedge pattern, showing:

• MACD: A bullish crossover after three weeks of negative readings, indicating potential upward momentum.
• RSI (14-day): Neutral at 54.18, suggesting the price is not overbought.
• Price remains above the 30-day simple moving average ($0.2811), a key support level.

What this means:

• Short-term traders are buying above the $0.28 level, signaling confidence.
• Resistance at $0.2858 (the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level) could limit gains unless trading volume increases.

Conclusion

TRON’s recent price increase reflects important infrastructure improvements through partnerships with Base and Kalshi, combined with encouraging technical signals. While TRON’s large user base (355 million accounts) hasn’t always led to sustained price growth, these developments help solve liquidity challenges.

Key point to watch: Can TRX maintain levels above $0.285 (December’s volume-weighted average price)? Weekly perpetual futures volume of $5.77 billion suggests that leveraged traders are increasing their positions.

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What could affect the price of TRX?

TRON’s price is caught between strong real-world use and market doubts.

1. Stablecoin Leadership – Over $80 billion in USDT stablecoins on TRON powers daily transactions but hasn’t boosted TRX’s price.
2. Regulatory Progress – Abu Dhabi officially recognizes TRON-based USDT as a compliant financial asset.
3. Network Improvements – Upgrades like Ethereum compatibility and AI plans could attract more developers.
4. Centralization Concerns – Founder Justin Sun controls 60% of the network, raising governance questions.
5. Market Challenges – Overall market fear and Bitcoin’s dominance keep altcoins like TRX under pressure.

1. Stablecoin Settlement Engine (Positive for TRON)

Overview: TRON handles $22 billion daily in USDT transfers, making up 65% of global retail transactions under $1,000. This shows TRON’s strong role as a dollar gateway, especially in emerging markets.
What this means: While this high transaction volume creates steady demand for the network, TRX’s price hasn’t followed—falling 16% in late 2025 despite record usage. Continued growth in stablecoin use might eventually push TRX’s market value higher.

2. Regulatory Tailwinds (Mixed Impact)

Overview: In December 2025, Abu Dhabi’s FSRA approved TRON-based USDT for regulated financial use. Meanwhile, the U.S. Commerce Department started storing GDP data hashes on TRON’s blockchain.
What this means: These moves add legitimacy to TRON’s technology but also bring more regulatory attention. Frameworks like ADGM’s AFRT could speed up institutional adoption, though TRX itself is still unregulated.

3. Technical & Ecosystem Upgrades (Potential Growth Drivers)

Overview: The Java-tron v4.8.1 upgrade, live since November 2025, improved compatibility with Ethereum’s network (EVM). The #AINFT roadmap aims to bring AI-powered agents into decentralized finance (DeFi).
What this means: These upgrades make TRON more attractive to developers. TRON now has 2.6 million daily active users, close to Solana’s 3.1 million. However, these technical improvements haven’t yet boosted TRX’s price, suggesting it may take time for the market to respond.

Conclusion

TRON’s price faces a dilemma: it has unmatched stablecoin usage but limited speculative interest. Keep an eye on Q1 2026—if daily transactions stay above 9 million and TRX token burns speed up (around 1.2 billion per month), the gap between TRON’s strong fundamentals and its price could close.

Will TRON’s reputation as “boring infrastructure” finally change as AI features launch?

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What are people saying about TRX?

The TRON community is divided between optimism about a technical breakout and doubts about the network’s activity. Here’s a quick summary:

1. Positive Technical Signs: Traders are targeting prices above $0.30 as TRX holds important support levels.
2. Network Activity vs. Price: While transaction numbers hit record lows, the price remains mostly unchanged.
3. Corporate Developments: TRON Inc., now listed on Nasdaq, has sparked discussions about whether big institutions are starting to adopt TRX.

Deep Dive

1. @ForExxKripto: TRX holds key support, signaling potential upside

“#Trx is trying to hold support around 0.2770… some upward moves have started.”
– @ForExxKripto (3.5K followers · Dec 25, 2025, 18:11 UTC)
View original post
What this means: Technical traders see the $0.277 to $0.28 price range as a strong foundation for TRX to test higher levels near $0.295 to $0.30. The 24-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 56 indicates there’s room for the price to rise before it becomes overbought.

2. CryptoQuant: Network activity drops sharply despite steady price

“TRON transactions have dropped 60%, but TRX price remains stable… is the market ignoring a slowdown?”
– CryptoQuant report via CoinMarketCap (June 22, 2025, 19:55 UTC)
View analysis
What this means: Daily transactions fell from 9 million to 3.5 million, yet the price stayed steady between $0.27 and $0.28. In the past, such a mismatch usually leads to either a price drop or a recovery in network activity.

3. @sunpumpmeme: Nasdaq listing brings attention but mixed results

“SRM rebranded as Tron Inc., revealing over 365 million $TRX… Binance Alpha launched a $4 million TRON campaign.”
– @sunpumpmeme (255K followers · July 23, 2025, 09:54 UTC)
View thread
What this means: The Nasdaq listing increased TRON’s visibility, but TRX’s price only rose about 6.5% after the announcement. Traders are debating whether this increased exposure will lead to long-term demand.

Conclusion

The overall outlook on TRON is mixed. Positive technical signals clash with declining network activity and a lukewarm response to corporate news. Keep an eye on the $0.30 resistance level: breaking above it could confirm growing interest, while failing near $0.295 might suggest selling pressure.

“TRX needs either a rebound in network activity or a Bitcoin-driven altcoin rally to break out of its $0.27-$0.29 range.” – Summary from 5 analyst reports

What is the latest news about TRX?

TRON is making big strides in growing its network, even though its token price has faced challenges. Here’s a quick look at the latest updates:

1. Network Reaches 355 Million Accounts (Dec 27, 2025) – TRON’s user base grew by 26% this year, despite TRX experiencing its worst fourth quarter since 2017.
2. Kalshi Integration Generates $2.3 Billion in Volume (Dec 27, 2025) – TRX/USDT deposits are powering a leading prediction market platform.
3. Abu Dhabi Approves TRON USDT for Regulated Finance (Dec 25, 2025) – The Financial Services Regulatory Authority (FSRA) greenlit TRON-based USDT for official payments and settlements.

In-Depth Look

1. Network Reaches 355 Million Accounts (Dec 27, 2025)

Summary: TRON’s network now has over 355 million accounts, with more than 240,000 new signups daily in 2025, according to Tronscan. Despite this growth, the TRX token dropped 16.2% in the last quarter, marking its largest quarterly decline ever. This happened even as TRON handled $22 billion per day in stablecoin transactions and was chosen by the U.S. Commerce Department to publish GDP data on its blockchain.

What this means: The data shows TRON is focusing on real-world use rather than just price speculation. Most users (74%) are actively sending funds wallet-to-wallet, indicating genuine adoption. However, TRX’s price is under pressure due to broader market trends favoring Bitcoin and concerns about founder Justin Sun’s control of 60% of the tokens (CoinMarketCap).

2. Kalshi Integration Generates $2.3 Billion in Volume (Dec 27, 2025)

Summary: The prediction market platform Kalshi processed $2.3 billion in weekly trading volume through its integration with TRON, doubling the volume of competitor Polymarket. TRX/USDT deposits made it easy for users to place bets on sports, with Pro Football markets alone accounting for $65.8 million in activity.

What this means: TRON’s low transaction fees (about $0.63 per transaction) and strong use of USDT (which makes up 65% of transfers under $1,000) make it a popular choice for fast, frequent decentralized apps (dApps). However, most of the derivatives trading volume is in perpetual contracts ($1.1 billion daily), which can carry higher risks due to leverage (The Defiant).

3. Abu Dhabi Approves TRON USDT for Regulated Finance (Dec 25, 2025)

Summary: Abu Dhabi’s FSRA officially recognized USDT on TRON as an Accepted Fiat-Referenced Token. This means licensed financial institutions in the region can now use TRON-based USDT for payments and settlements. This approval follows TRON’s efforts to freeze over $250 million in illicit funds worldwide through its T3 FCU program.

What this means: This regulatory approval boosts TRON’s credibility and could attract more institutional investors. With over $80 billion worth of USDT on TRON, this move may bring more compliant capital into the network. However, concerns about centralization remain (NullTX).

Conclusion

In 2025, TRON combined rapid user growth, important regulatory wins, and strong performance in specific decentralized apps. Yet, the TRX token has struggled to reflect these fundamentals in its price. As Bitcoin ETFs and Solana’s DeFi projects dominate the news, TRON’s focus on payments and stablecoins will be key to attracting new investment in 2026. Keep an eye on network fee trends in the first quarter and institutional interest from the Middle East for signs of what’s next.

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