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Why did the price of KAS fall?

Kaspa (KAS) dropped 2.64% in the last 24 hours, falling to $0.0502. This decline was sharper than the overall crypto market, which dipped 0.36%. The price drop is linked to technical resistance levels and mixed news from Kaspa’s ecosystem.

  1. Technical Resistance (Negative Impact): Kaspa hit a price ceiling at $0.0544 and showed signs of short-term weakness based on technical indicators like the RSI (Relative Strength Index) at 40.8.
  2. Competitive Pressures (Mixed Impact): Some criticism of Kaspa’s Proof-of-Work (PoW) system compared to other projects like XRP Tundra’s adaptive liquidity model has reduced speculative interest.
  3. Market-Wide Caution (Negative Impact): Overall market fear, measured by the Fear & Greed Index at 26/100, has caused investors to avoid riskier coins like Kaspa.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Resistance (Negative Impact)

Kaspa’s price struggled to break above $0.0544, which is now acting as a strong resistance level. The coin is trading below important moving averages, such as the 7-day average price of $0.0507 and the 30-day average of $0.0533. The RSI, a tool that measures momentum, is at 40.8, indicating bearish pressure but not yet oversold conditions.

What this means: Sellers are controlling the market near this resistance level, and there’s no clear sign of a price rebound yet. Another technical indicator, the MACD histogram, shows a slight positive value but the overall signal remains negative, suggesting the price could continue to fall unless it breaks above $0.0544.

What to watch: Look for daily closing prices above the 7-day moving average ($0.0507) as a sign that buyers are gaining strength.


2. Competitive Pressures (Mixed Impact)

A recent Bitcoinist article highlighted the differences between Kaspa’s Proof-of-Work system, which can be volatile, and XRP Tundra’s adaptive automated market maker (AMM), which adjusts liquidity automatically. This comparison has sparked debate about Kaspa’s long-term usefulness.

What this means: Kaspa has impressive technical achievements, including a record 158 million transactions processed on October 5, 2025. However, the growing interest in projects with adaptive liquidity models has shifted some speculative investment away from Kaspa. Additionally, activity in Kaspa’s KRC-20 tokens (like KASPY and GHOAD) hasn’t been enough to overcome broader skepticism about PoW-based assets.

What to watch: Adoption of Kaspa’s Layer 1 applications, such as Kasia messaging and file storage, will be important to prove real-world value.


3. Market-Wide Caution (Negative Impact)

The overall cryptocurrency market fell by 0.36%, driven by fear and uncertainty. The Fear & Greed Index, which measures market sentiment, is at 26 out of 100, indicating fear. Bitcoin’s dominance—the share of the total crypto market it controls—rose to 59.35%, meaning investors are favoring Bitcoin over riskier altcoins like Kaspa.

What this means: Kaspa’s trading volume increased by 6.4% to $46.6 million, but its turnover ratio (volume compared to market cap) remains low at 3.45%. This suggests limited liquidity, which can make price drops more severe. Investors are moving toward safer assets like Bitcoin amid ongoing geopolitical and economic uncertainties.

What to watch: Bitcoin’s price movements and upcoming U.S. economic data, especially Friday’s core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, will provide clues about the market’s direction.


Conclusion

Kaspa’s recent price drop is due to hitting a technical resistance level at $0.0544, competition from projects with new liquidity models, and a cautious market environment. Despite strong fundamentals like growing network nodes and high transaction throughput, short-term price action is driven mainly by negative sentiment.

What to watch: Can Kaspa maintain support at $0.049 (its October low) to avoid testing $0.041 (a key low from 2025)? Keep an eye on Bitcoin’s stability and the growth of Kaspa’s KRC-20 token ecosystem for signs of a potential price recovery.


What could affect the price of KAS?

Kaspa’s price is caught between strong technical improvements and uncertainty in its growing ecosystem.

  1. Network Upgrades – The Crescendo upgrade speeds up transactions, but adoption of new apps is slow
  2. Tokenomics & Mining – Most coins will be mined by 2026, which should reduce selling pressure
  3. Market Sentiment – Big investors are buying, but technical indicators show caution

Deep Dive

1. Network Scalability & Adoption (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Kaspa’s Crescendo upgrade in May 2025 increased block speed to 10 per second, allowing over 5,700 transactions per second and a record 158 million daily transactions (Kaspa Recent Updates). However, Layer 2 applications like Kasia (encrypted messaging) and file storage are still in beta, not fully audited, and have limited user adoption.

What this means: While these upgrades make Kaspa technically faster and more capable, the slow growth of practical apps limits its real-world use. Price may fluctuate around key events like the 1,000 Node Initiative planned for November 2025, which aims to increase network decentralization.


2. Tokenomics & Miner Dynamics (Bullish)

Overview: About 95% of Kaspa’s total supply of 28.7 billion coins will be mined by July 2026 (Tokenomics). Currently, around 26.9 billion KAS (94%) are in circulation, with monthly coin issuance steadily decreasing.

What this means: As fewer new coins are created each month (now about 5%), miners have less incentive to sell immediately, which can reduce downward price pressure. Maintaining stable mining power is important—private mining pools like Kasrate report 15–30% higher efficiency, which may help keep miners active even if prices dip (Mining Kaspa Through the Storm).


3. Market Sentiment & Competition (Bearish)

Overview: Although large investors have been accumulating Kaspa near $0.06 (October 2025), the price remains below key technical averages (200-day moving average at $0.08) and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 41, indicating neutral to bearish momentum. Competitors like XRP Tundra use adaptive automated market makers (AMMs) to better handle price swings caused by proof-of-work mining (Bitcoinist).

What this means: Kaspa’s price depends heavily on speculative trading, with about 93% of sentiment bullish according to Crypto News. If resistance around $0.0544 holds, sharp price drops are possible. Overall market fear is high (Fear & Greed Index at 26/100), which adds to downside risks.


Conclusion

Kaspa’s price outlook depends on balancing its technical advantages—like fast transactions and fair coin issuance—with challenges in ecosystem growth and broader market conditions. Keep an eye on the progress of the 1,000 Node Initiative and whether demand in derivatives markets (open interest rising 5.95% weekly) keeps prices above $0.05.

Will Kaspa’s blockDAG technology overcome market doubts as mining rewards decrease?


What are people saying about KAS?

Kaspa’s community is celebrating its birthday while making big strides in blockchain technology. Here’s the latest buzz:

  1. WhiteBIT lists $KAS and announces a trading tournament
  2. Record of 1,800+ transactions per second (TPS) sparks excitement about decentralized finance (DeFi)
  3. Four-year anniversary fuels talk of Kaspa as “Bitcoin 2.0”
  4. KRC20 tokens increase, testing the ecosystem’s usefulness
  5. Price struggles with mixed technical signals

Deep Dive

1. @WhiteBIT_ua: Kaspa Exchange Listing & Tournament — Positive news

"Happy to welcome #Kaspa! [...] Trading tournament with $KAS supported by @Kaspa_KEF"
– @WhiteBIT_ua (67.6K followers · 3,795 impressions · 2025-09-11 12:01 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is good news for $KAS. WhiteBIT’s large audience brings more trading activity and visibility. Trading competitions usually increase short-term trading volume, which can boost interest and liquidity.


2. @0xBoogieX: 158 Million Transactions in 24 Hours — Positive news

"Kaspa processed 158.4 million transactions [...] averaging 1,800+ TPS! [...] Is DeFi coming?"
– @0xBoogieX (991 followers · 34,228 impressions · 2025-10-06 07:13 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is promising because Kaspa’s network handles over 1,800 transactions per second, compared to Bitcoin’s roughly 7 TPS. This shows Kaspa’s technology can support fast, small transactions and could be ready for future DeFi applications.


3. @KASPAEnthusiast: 4th Anniversary Celebration — Positive news

"Four years down, an era still to come [...] proving that technology can stay true to principles while moving at light speed."
– @KASPAEnthusiast (22K followers · 1,145 impressions · 2025-11-07 07:25 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This milestone is encouraging for long-term holders. Data shows 70% of Kaspa’s supply has been held for more than three months, indicating strong community confidence.


4. @cryptomes: Growth of KRC20 Tokens — Neutral news

"🔥 New tokens on #KSPR! $BINARY: 0.0000000225 KAS [...] $DODO: 0.0000653 KAS"
– @cryptomes (3,092 followers · 350 impressions · 2025-09-10 09:48 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is neutral. The rise in new tokens shows developer activity, but the extremely low token values suggest these may be speculative and not yet widely useful.


5. Cryptodaily: Price Resistance Challenges — Negative news

"Kaspa has dropped nearly 9% [...] RSI at 32.86 indicates oversold conditions but overall signals remain bearish."
– Analysis dated 2025-05-31 (Source)
What this means: Short-term price action is weak. $KAS is struggling to break through resistance at $0.14, which is 44% below its all-time high of $0.20 from 2024. Although the Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests the coin is oversold, the overall trend remains bearish.


Conclusion

The outlook for $KAS is mixed. Kaspa is making impressive technical progress with high transaction speeds and growing token activity, which is promising for its future. However, the price is consolidating and facing resistance, which could limit short-term gains. Keep an eye on transaction volumes in October—if the high activity continues, it could confirm Kaspa’s growing network effect and support future growth.


What is the latest news about KAS?

Kaspa is making big technical strides and growing its community, but it’s also facing some challenges in the market. Here’s the latest:

  1. Record Transaction Volume (October 5, 2025) – Kaspa processed 158 million transactions in one day, beating Bitcoin’s yearly total.
  2. Kasia App Launch (October 12, 2025) – A new decentralized messaging app built on Kaspa’s blockchain went live.
  3. Node Growth Before Anniversary (October 27, 2025) – The number of active nodes increased by 48%, reaching 443.

In-Depth Look

1. Record Transaction Volume (October 5, 2025)

What happened:
On October 5, Kaspa handled 158.4 million transactions in 24 hours, which is about 5,700 transactions per second. This is close to Bitcoin’s total transactions for an entire year. Kaspa achieved this thanks to its unique blockDAG technology and a recent upgrade called Crescendo, which allows it to process 10 blocks per second while keeping transaction fees under a tenth of a cent. For comparison, Dogecoin and Ethereum Classic processed about 75,000 and 24,000 transactions that same day.

Why it matters:
Kaspa’s ability to handle so many transactions shows it can support fast, low-cost payments and real-time transactions. However, it still needs more users and developers to fully take advantage of this technology. (BSC News)


2. Kasia App Launch (October 12, 2025)

What happened:
The Kasia app, a messaging platform built directly on Kaspa’s blockchain (Layer 1), launched on Google Play. Every message sent is recorded as a blockchain transaction, costing about 0.00001791 KAS (less than a millionth of a dollar). The app doesn’t rely on servers, doesn’t require identity verification (KYC), and uses strong encryption through the GHOSTDAG protocol.

Why it matters:
Kasia shows how Kaspa’s technology can be used for more than just payments. However, since the app is still in beta and hasn’t been fully audited for security, users should be cautious. Its success will depend on how easy and enjoyable it is to use. (BSC News)


3. Node Growth Before Anniversary (October 27, 2025)

What happened:
The number of active Kaspa nodes jumped from about 300 in mid-October to 443 by the end of the month. This is a big step toward Kaspa’s goal of reaching 1,000 nodes by its anniversary on November 7. More nodes mean better decentralization, which is important for security and trust, especially when competing with networks like Ethereum and Solana.

Why it matters:
More nodes make the network stronger and more secure. Still, Kaspa’s network is smaller compared to Ethereum’s roughly 8,400 nodes. Growing the community organically is positive but slower than projects backed by big investors. (BSC News)


Conclusion

October was a big month for Kaspa, with impressive technical achievements like 5,700 transactions per second and new innovations like the Kasia messaging app. However, its market value dropped 19% to $1.35 billion, reflecting doubts about whether proof-of-work blockchains like Kaspa can compete in a market dominated by decentralized finance (DeFi). With more nodes coming online and proven speed, the key question is whether Kaspa can turn these technical wins into real developer interest and user growth. Keep an eye on upcoming smart contract developments expected in early 2026.


What is expected in the development of KAS?

Kaspa’s roadmap strikes a balance between technical improvements and growing its ecosystem. Key upcoming milestones include:

  1. Smart Contracts (2026) – Opening the door for decentralized finance (DeFi) and apps.
  2. Rust Migration Completion (Q1 2026) – Increasing transaction speed to 100 blocks per second (BPS).
  3. DAGKNIGHT Consensus (2026) – Faster and more adaptable transaction confirmations.
  4. Ecosystem Growth – Building more partnerships and tools.

Deep Dive

1. Smart Contracts (2026)

Overview
Kaspa is planning to add smart contracts, which are self-executing contracts with the terms directly written into code. This upgrade will turn Kaspa’s Layer-1 blockchain into a platform where developers can create decentralized apps (dApps) and DeFi services. These tools will run on Kaspa’s fast BlockDAG technology, enabling new financial applications.

What this means
Positive: Smart contracts could attract more developers and users, expanding Kaspa’s use beyond simple payments.
Risk: Delays or security issues during rollout could slow adoption and affect confidence.


2. Rust Migration Completion (Q1 2026)

Overview
Kaspa is rewriting its software from Golang to Rust, a programming language known for speed and safety (Medium). This upgrade aims to boost Kaspa’s transaction speed to 100 blocks per second, helping it compete with networks like Ethereum and Solana.

What this means
Positive: Faster transactions make Kaspa more attractive for small payments and instant settlements.
Neutral: The new code needs thorough testing to ensure network stability.


3. DAGKNIGHT Consensus (2026)

Overview
DAGKNIGHT is a new consensus protocol Kaspa is developing to replace the current GHOSTDAG system. It’s designed to confirm transactions faster and adjust to network conditions more efficiently, while maintaining strong security (Medium).

What this means
Positive: Improved security and quicker transaction finality could attract institutional users.
Risk: Implementing this upgrade requires a hard fork, which must be managed carefully to keep the community united.


4. Ecosystem Growth

Overview
Kaspa is expanding beyond technology upgrades with projects like the Kasia messaging app (BSC News) and partnerships with exchanges such as WhiteBIT. Community-led initiatives, including NFT platforms and decentralized autonomous organizations (DAOs), are also gaining momentum.

What this means
Positive: A growing ecosystem can increase demand for KAS as the network’s utility token.
Neutral: Long-term success depends on attracting developers and keeping users engaged.


Conclusion

Kaspa’s 2026 roadmap aims to evolve from a fast payment network into a full-featured DeFi platform by adding smart contracts, optimizing performance with Rust, and upgrading consensus with DAGKNIGHT. While there are technical challenges ahead, successful implementation could position Kaspa as a scalable and secure proof-of-work alternative.

Will Kaspa’s focus on infrastructure help it lead the way in decentralized scalability?


What updates are there in the KAS code base?

Kaspa’s latest software updates focus on making the network faster, more scalable, and decentralized.

  1. Crescendo Upgrade (May 2025) – Switching to Rust programming made block processing 10 times faster.
  2. DAGKnight Protocol Research (Ongoing) – Developing a new system to improve security and speed by adapting to network conditions.
  3. Block Pruning Implementation (2025) – Cutting down storage needs to handle more transactions efficiently.

Deep Dive

1. Crescendo Upgrade (May 2025)

Overview: The Crescendo v1.0.0 update moved Kaspa’s code from Go to Rust, boosting block production from 1 to 10 blocks per second. This upgrade set the stage for Kaspa to grow and handle more users.

Rust is a programming language known for speed and safety. This change allowed Kaspa to use computer hardware better, process multiple tasks at once, and reduce delays. As a result, Kaspa’s network reached over 5,700 transactions per second with confirmation times under one second. On October 5, 2025, Kaspa processed 158 million transactions in a single day—about the same as Bitcoin’s total yearly transactions.

Why it matters: Faster blocks make Kaspa more practical for small payments and real-time uses. Rust’s safety features also help keep the network secure over time. (Source)


2. DAGKnight Protocol (In Development)

Overview: Kaspa’s team is working on DAGKnight, a new consensus protocol that will replace the current GHOSTDAG system. Consensus protocols help all participants agree on the state of the network.

DAGKnight is designed to adjust automatically to changes in network speed and delays, unlike fixed-parameter systems. It also improves fault tolerance, meaning the network can handle up to 50% of participants acting maliciously or failing, compared to 25% with GHOSTDAG. Once tested, DAGKnight will be integrated into Kaspa’s Rust-based code.

Why it matters: While this won’t have an immediate impact, it’s a positive step for Kaspa’s future. Adaptive consensus could make Kaspa a leader in secure, fast, and decentralized transaction processing. (Source)


3. Block Pruning & P2P Optimization (2025)

Overview: After the Crescendo upgrade, Kaspa introduced block pruning and improved peer-to-peer (P2P) communication to manage growing storage needs.

Block pruning removes unnecessary data while keeping essential information for verifying transactions. Along with enhancements to archival nodes (which store full history), this helps Kaspa aim for 100 blocks per second without requiring huge amounts of disk space.

Why it matters: Lower storage demands make it easier for more people to run nodes, which supports decentralization. Efficient storage also fits Kaspa’s goal of building a lightweight and scalable network.


Conclusion

Kaspa’s ongoing software improvements balance speed, security, and decentralization. The Crescendo upgrade and Rust rewrite deliver immediate benefits, while DAGKnight and pruning show promise for long-term growth. With Layer 2 smart contracts like Casplex in development, Kaspa’s technology could play a key role in expanding decentralized finance (DeFi) adoption.