Why did the price of ONDO go up?
Ondo (ONDO) increased by 1.7% to $0.692 in the last 24 hours, building on an 11.95% gain over the past week. Here’s why:
- Technical Breakout – ONDO surpassed a key price level at $0.68, showing strong upward momentum.
- Institutional Attention – Ondo’s co-founder spoke at a Federal Reserve event, highlighting the importance of real-world assets (RWAs).
- Strategic Partnership – Integration with Chainlink improved the usefulness of Ondo’s tokenized assets.
Deep Dive
1. Technical Breakout (Positive Signal)
What happened: On November 10, ONDO’s price broke above the $0.68 resistance level after weeks of sideways movement. This price jump came with a 33.7% increase in trading volume, reaching $92.8 million, showing strong interest from traders.
Why it matters: Breaking this resistance means the downward pressure seen since October has eased. Short-term indicators like the 7-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 56.87 and a positive MACD histogram suggest there’s potential for ONDO to rise further, possibly reaching $0.70 to $0.75 if buying continues.
What to watch: Holding above $0.70 will be important to confirm a lasting upward trend.
2. Regulatory & Institutional Momentum (Mixed Impact)
What happened: Ondo’s co-founder is set to participate in a Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia panel on November 12, discussing how tokenization can impact capital markets.
Why it matters: This event highlights Ondo’s focus on following regulations while working with real-world assets—a market that BlackRock’s CEO recently described as a “multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.” However, uncertainty around regulations still poses some risk.
3. Chainlink Partnership Boosts Utility (Positive Signal)
What happened: On October 30, Ondo expanded its partnership with Chainlink to support cross-chain settlements for tokenized stocks and ETFs.
Why it matters: This integration allows institutions to use Ondo’s tokenized assets, such as OUSG (linked to U.S. Treasuries), as collateral in decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. This increases demand for ONDO tokens. Ondo’s Total Value Locked (TVL) now exceeds $1.4 billion, according to recent reports.
Conclusion
ONDO’s price movement reflects a mix of strong technical momentum, strategic positioning in regulated tokenization, and improved infrastructure. Short-term traders are watching the $0.70 resistance level closely, while long-term investors are optimistic about Ondo’s growing adoption in real-world assets.
Key points to watch: Results from the Federal Reserve panel on November 12 and whether ONDO can maintain support above $0.68.
What could affect the price of ONDO?
ONDO’s price is currently influenced by two main forces: token unlocks that could increase supply and put downward pressure on price, and growing interest in real-world assets (RWA) that could boost demand.
- Token Unlocks (Potential Downside): About 85% of ONDO’s total tokens are still locked, but as they gradually become available, there’s a risk of price dilution.
- RWA Adoption (Positive Driver): Partnerships with big institutions like BlackRock and JPMorgan, along with ETF filings, are increasing demand for ONDO.
- Regulatory Environment (Uncertain Effect): Decisions by the SEC on tokenized assets and ETFs could either help or hurt market sentiment.
In-Depth Analysis
1. Token Unlocks and Supply Impact (Potential Negative Effect)
Overview:
More than 85% of ONDO’s maximum supply of 10 billion tokens is still locked. These tokens are set to unlock gradually over 1 to 5 years after launch. For example, 24% of the Ecosystem Growth tokens (about 1.25 billion) become available right away, with the rest released quarterly. Private investors and core team members have a 12-month waiting period before their tokens start unlocking steadily.
What this means:
When tokens unlock, holders might sell them, which could push the price down. For instance, 179 million tokens bought through CoinList were released at launch, creating some selling pressure. Historically, ONDO’s price dropped 35% in the second quarter of 2025 during similar unlock events. However, institutional investors have longer lock-up periods (e.g., 1.29 billion tokens locked for over a year), which may help prevent sudden large sell-offs.
2. Growth in Real-World Asset (RWA) Tokenization (Positive Effect)
Overview:
Ondo is a leader in turning U.S. Treasuries (OUSG) and stocks into digital tokens. It currently manages $1.4 billion in total value locked (TVL) and has partnerships with major players like BlackRock’s BUIDL fund. The recent filing for a 21Shares ETF (July 2025) and integration with platforms such as Blockchain.com are making it easier for institutions to access these assets.
What this means:
The market for tokenized real-world assets is expected to grow to over $10 trillion by 2030 (Arkham). ONDO’s early entry and compliance with regulations put it in a strong position to benefit from this growth, which could increase demand and push prices higher.
3. Regulatory and Economic Factors (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is reviewing the 21Shares ONDO ETF application, which is modeled after spot Bitcoin ETFs. At the same time, the SEC is closely watching tokenized securities, creating some uncertainty. On the economic side, rising U.S. interest rates might increase demand for yield-generating RWAs like OUSG.
What this means:
If the ETF gets approved, it would confirm ONDO’s value to institutional investors, similar to how Bitcoin’s price surged after ETF approvals in 2024. On the other hand, regulatory delays or restrictions could slow down momentum. Additionally, changes in Treasury yields could affect how attractive ONDO is as a source of yield.
Conclusion
ONDO’s price will depend on how well it balances the increase in token supply from unlocks with growing demand from real-world asset adoption. While short-term price swings are expected, ongoing institutional interest and progress on ETFs could outweigh concerns about dilution. The key question is whether the large Ecosystem Growth unlocks (which make up 52.1% of total supply) will be used strategically to support adoption or if they will flood the market. Keep an eye on quarterly unlock schedules and SEC announcements for important updates.
What are people saying about ONDO?
Here’s the quick take on ONDO (Ondo) buzz, highlighting positive chart trends and growing interest in Real-World Assets (RWA):
- Traders are watching for a breakout above $0.80, aiming for $1 or more 🚩
- Growing excitement around Real-World Assets is attracting institutional investors 🏦
- Rumors about an ETF approval have some speculating prices between $2.50 and $3.00 🧨
Deep Dive
1. Bullish Flag Pattern Points to $2.00 Target
@VipRoseTr, a popular market analyst, shared:
"Flag compression + breakout loading = explosive move brewing"
(63K followers · 21K impressions · 2025-09-02 19:58 UTC)
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What this means: Technical chart patterns show ONDO forming a “bullish flag,” which often signals a strong upward move. If ONDO breaks above the $0.95 resistance level, it could rally 60% to 100%. The 50-day moving average at $0.73 is a key support level to watch.
2. Real-World Asset (RWA) Momentum Builds
@BlockNests notes:
"Trading above MA50...analysts eye breakout targets of $1.14–$2.00"
(10K followers · 8.2K impressions · 2025-09-03 11:33 UTC)
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What this means: Ondo is gaining attention for its work with tokenized government bonds (OUSG) and partnerships with major firms like BlackRock and JPMorgan. The Real-World Asset sector’s total value locked (TVL) reached $1.34 billion in July 2025, which supports positive long-term outlooks.
3. Long-Term Price Predictions Reach $10
@johnmorganFL shared a forecast:
"Ondo Price Prediction 2025, 2026 – 2030: Can Ondo Hit $10?"
(35K followers · 55K impressions · 2025-08-12 11:55 UTC)
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What this means: Optimists point to Ondo’s growing institutional partnerships, including the 21Shares ETF filing and the Oasis Pro acquisition, as drivers for long-term growth. However, reaching $10 per ONDO would require the market cap to grow to $31 billion—about 14 times its current size—so it’s a high bar.
Conclusion
The overall outlook for ONDO is positive, combining strong technical signals with increasing adoption of Real-World Assets. Short-term traders are focused on the $0.73 to $0.95 price range, while long-term investors are betting on Ondo’s potential to reshape traditional finance through tokenization. Keep an eye on the SEC’s decision regarding the 21Shares ETF proposal—approval could lead to a significant boost in liquidity and price movement.
What is the latest news about ONDO?
Ondo is gaining momentum in the real-world assets (RWA) space with new partnerships and strong technical signals. Here’s a quick update:
- Price Breakout (November 10, 2025) – ONDO jumped 7.1% after a period of steady trading, testing a key resistance level at $0.70.
- Partnership with Chainlink (October 30, 2025) – Ondo teams up with Chainlink to improve cross-chain tokenization infrastructure.
- Acquisition of Oasis Pro (October 31, 2025) – Ondo secures important U.S. regulatory licenses to expand its market reach.
In-Depth Look
1. Price Breakout (November 10, 2025)
What happened:
ONDO’s price rose 7.1% to about $0.69, breaking out of a multi-week period where the price was mostly stable. Trading volume increased by nearly 44%, showing strong market interest. The token is now testing resistance at $0.70, with support around $0.645. Analysts see potential for a 64% price increase if ONDO can break above $0.70.
Why it matters:
This breakout suggests renewed interest from traders in ONDO’s focus on real-world assets. If the price holds above $0.70, it could confirm a bullish trend. However, if it falls back, the price might retest support levels between $0.64 and $0.68. (CryptoNewsLand)
2. Partnership with Chainlink (October 30, 2025)
What happened:
Ondo partnered with Chainlink to enhance its tokenized securities platform. Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP) will enable seamless transfers of Ondo’s tokenized stocks and ETFs, which currently hold $350 million in total value locked (TVL). Chainlink’s oracles will also provide real-time price data and dividend tracking.
Why it matters:
This partnership strengthens ONDO’s appeal to institutional investors by making real-world assets more accessible and interoperable across different blockchain networks. It could speed up adoption of Ondo’s products, like OUSG (tokenized U.S. Treasury bonds), across various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. (Ondo Finance)
3. Acquisition of Oasis Pro (October 31, 2025)
What happened:
Ondo completed the acquisition of Oasis Pro, a broker-dealer registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). This gives Ondo the necessary licenses to legally offer tokenized securities in the U.S. The acquisition coincides with Ondo expanding its Global Markets platform to BNB Chain and Blockchain.com, which has over 90 million users.
Why it matters:
Having SEC-registered licenses strengthens Ondo’s ability to operate within U.S. regulations, bridging traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi). This could attract more institutional investors to ONDO-backed products by providing direct access to U.S. markets. (Ondo Finance)
Conclusion
Ondo is making significant strides with strong price momentum, improved infrastructure, and regulatory progress. These developments position it as a key player in the $53 billion real-world assets sector. The big question remains: Can ONDO turn these institutional partnerships into lasting demand despite ongoing market uncertainties?
What is expected in the development of ONDO?
Ondo’s 2026 roadmap centers on growing institutional use and advancing regulatory progress.
- Ondo Summit 2026 (Feb 3, 2026) – A major event bringing together policymakers and industry leaders.
- Chainlink Partnership (2026) – Building infrastructure for secure cross-chain tokenized assets.
- Global Markets Expansion (2026) – Expanding access to tokenized stocks and ETFs across more platforms.
- Regulatory Advocacy (2026) – Working with regulators to shape rules around tokenized securities.
Deep Dive
1. Ondo Summit 2026 (Feb 3, 2026)
Overview: Taking place in New York, this summit will gather executives, investors, and regulators to discuss the future of onchain capital markets. It follows Ondo’s 2025 progress in tokenizing real-world assets (RWAs) like U.S. Treasuries and ETFs.
What this means: Positive for ONDO, as partnerships formed here could speed up adoption by large institutions. However, delays in regulation or weak market interest could slow momentum.
2. Strategic Partnership with Chainlink (2026)
Overview: Ondo is teaming up with Chainlink to use the Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP). This technology will allow secure transfers of tokenized assets across different blockchains, aiming to connect traditional financial institutions like JPMorgan’s private blockchain with public networks.
What this means: Positive for ONDO, positioning it as a key player in infrastructure for tokenized assets. Success depends on smooth technical implementation and interest from institutions.
3. Global Markets Expansion (2026)
Overview: After integrating with BNB Chain and Blockchain.com (which has over 90 million users), Ondo plans to offer tokenized stocks and ETFs on more platforms. The Global Markets Alliance, now including over 30 members such as PancakeSwap, will help set industry standards.
What this means: Neutral to positive. Expanding reach could increase use, but success relies on market demand and competition from other tokenized asset platforms.
4. Regulatory Advocacy (2026)
Overview: Ondo submitted an open letter to the SEC opposing Nasdaq’s proposed rules on tokenized securities, pushing for clearer and more transparent regulations. This follows Ondo’s 2025 acquisition of Oasis Pro, an SEC-registered platform.
What this means: Positive over the long term, as clearer rules can legitimize Ondo’s products. Short-term risks include possible regulatory pushback.
Conclusion
Ondo’s 2026 plan focuses on building strong institutional partnerships, engaging with regulators, and expanding its ecosystem. The Chainlink partnership and Ondo Summit could drive wider adoption of tokenized real-world assets, though regulatory challenges remain. Key question: Will Ondo successfully balance innovation with compliance as competition in tokenization grows?
What updates are there in the ONDO code base?
Ondo’s latest software updates focus on creating secure, institution-ready digital assets and enabling smooth interaction between different blockchain networks.
- Ondo Chain Expansion (August 12, 2025) – Ondo’s blockchain now connects JPMorgan’s private network with public blockchains like Ethereum using Chainlink technology.
- Compliance Tools (July 2025) – Added strong security features to meet regulatory standards for tokenized assets.
- Cross-Chain Settlement (August 12, 2025) – Enabled instant, secure transactions for tokenized government bonds across different blockchains.
Deep Dive
1. Ondo Chain Expansion (August 12, 2025)
What happened: Ondo Chain, a blockchain compatible with Ethereum’s system, now links JPMorgan’s private blockchain with public networks through Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP). This means assets like tokenized bonds can move easily between traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms.
This upgrade uses Chainlink’s technology to ensure that transactions happen completely or not at all, preventing errors. For example, a U.S. Treasury bond recorded on JPMorgan’s system can be converted into a digital token on Ondo Chain in a single, secure step.
Why it matters: This is a positive development for ONDO because it positions the platform as a bridge between traditional financial institutions and the crypto world. It could attract large investors by offering access to assets like bonds that are usually hard to trade, now available 24/7 on the blockchain.
(Source)
2. Compliance Tools (July 2025)
What happened: In July 2025, Ondo increased its development efforts by 40%, focusing on security audits and adding features that enforce Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) rules directly into its smart contracts. New tools include lists of approved investors and systems to monitor transactions for suspicious activity.
Why it matters: This update is neutral in the short term because stricter compliance can slow down how quickly new users join. However, it reduces legal risks and builds trust with institutions, supporting Ondo’s goal of handling real-world assets safely.
(Source)
3. Cross-Chain Settlement (August 12, 2025)
What happened: Ondo Chain completed its first atomic Delivery-versus-Payment (DvP) transaction, which means tokenized assets were securely exchanged between JPMorgan’s blockchain and a public blockchain in a single, fail-safe process. The system now supports escrow contracts that lock funds until conditions are met and verifies proofs across chains.
Why it matters: This is a strong positive for ONDO because it addresses a major challenge in traditional finance—making sure payments and asset transfers happen simultaneously and securely. This capability could help Ondo capture a share of the growing market for tokenized securities, expected to be worth over $53 billion by 2025.
(Source)
Conclusion
Ondo is focusing on making its platform more interoperable and compliant to connect traditional finance with decentralized finance. These updates show increasing interest from institutional investors, but the project depends on partnerships like Chainlink and JPMorgan, which carry some risks. It will be important to watch how changing regulations around tokenized securities might affect Ondo’s future development plans.