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Why did the price of ONDO go up?

Ondo (ONDO) increased by 7.06% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market, which rose 4.68%. Here’s why:

  1. Market-wide boost: The total crypto market value grew 4.68%, supported by positive economic conditions.
  2. Altcoin spotlight: ONDO was featured in a top altcoins article for its strong appeal to institutional investors through real-world asset (RWA) tokenization.
  3. Technical breakout: Indicators show growing buying momentum, suggesting a potential price rally.

Deep Dive

1. Market-Wide Rally (Positive Impact)

Overview: The total value of all cryptocurrencies increased by 4.68% in 24 hours. Altcoins, or alternative cryptocurrencies to Bitcoin, gained attention as the CoinMarketCap (CMC) Altcoin Season Index jumped 26.09% over the past week. Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s market share slightly dropped to 58.57%, indicating that investors are shifting some funds toward altcoins like ONDO.

What this means: ONDO’s 7.06% price increase outpaced the overall market, benefiting from this broader optimism. Historically, tokens linked to real-world assets (RWAs) tend to attract more institutional investment during such periods.

2. Altcoin Narrative Boost (Positive Impact)

Overview: On January 14, CoinMarketCap published an article naming ONDO as a top altcoin with “historic 50x potential.” The article highlighted ONDO’s institutional-grade infrastructure for tokenizing real-world assets and partnerships with major firms like BlackRock and Chainlink.

What this means: This increased attention helped raise awareness of ONDO’s unique value: connecting traditional finance (TradFi) with decentralized finance (DeFi) by offering tokenized stocks and ETFs. With over $350 million in total value locked (TVL) on Ondo Global Markets, this story has driven demand.
What to watch: Upcoming policy announcements at the Ondo Summit on February 3, 2026.

3. Technical Momentum (Positive Impact)

Overview: The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator turned positive (+0.0021453), signaling growing buying pressure. The RSI (Relative Strength Index) is at 50.01, indicating there’s still room for price growth before the asset becomes overbought (above 70).

What this means: These technical signals confirm the recent price breakout. The MACD crossover often precedes short-term price rallies. The next key resistance level is at the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, around $0.4426.

Conclusion

ONDO’s recent price increase is driven by positive market trends, strong altcoin narratives, and supportive technical indicators. However, a large token unlock event worth $774 million is scheduled for January 18, which could impact the price.
Key watch: Will ONDO maintain support at $0.40 ahead of the token unlock?


What could affect the price of ONDO?

Ondo’s price is balancing between major token releases and growing demand for real-world assets.

  1. $774M Token Unlock (Bearish) – A large token release on January 18 could increase supply and pressure prices.
  2. Real-World Asset (RWA) Growth (Bullish) – Regulatory approvals in the EU and growing institutional interest support price gains.
  3. Technical Outlook (Mixed) – Price is consolidating near important support levels, suggesting potential volatility ahead.

In-Depth Analysis

1. $774M Token Unlock on January 18 (Potential Negative Impact)

What’s Happening:
On January 18, 2026, $774 million worth of ONDO tokens—about 57% of the tokens currently circulating—will become available to early investors and private holders. Historically, when large amounts of tokens unlock, some holders sell to take profits, which can push prices down temporarily.

Why It Matters:
This unlock could increase the available supply by roughly 25%, which might strain market liquidity (CoinMarketCap). In 2025, similar unlocks caused ONDO’s price to drop between 20% and 30%. However, some big investors like Pantera and Founders Fund may hold their tokens, which could help limit the price decline.


2. Growth in Real-World Assets and Regulatory Wins (Positive Outlook)

What’s Happening:
Ondo leads the market in tokenizing real-world assets (RWAs), with $1.38 billion locked in U.S. Treasuries and ETFs. Recent positive developments include:

Why It Matters:
These milestones could attract more institutional investors as Ondo connects traditional finance (TradFi) with decentralized finance (DeFi). Analysts estimate that a 1% increase in RWA assets under management correlates with about a 0.8% rise in ONDO’s price (Ondo Finance).


3. Technical Analysis: Support and Resistance Levels (Mixed Signals)

Current Setup:

What This Means:
If ONDO holds above $0.40, it could rally back up to $0.55, a potential 31% gain. But if it falls below $0.40, the price might drop further to $0.30, a 28% decline, especially if Bitcoin’s market dominance rises above 60%.


Conclusion

Ondo’s outlook for 2026 depends on how well it manages the large token unlock in January and how quickly it can benefit from growing adoption of tokenized real-world assets. Keep an eye on token flows after the unlock and upcoming partnerships, like the planned integration with Solana for tokenized stocks. The key question remains: will institutional investors see the unlock as a chance to buy more, or will they use it as an opportunity to sell?


What are people saying about ONDO?

The conversation around Ondo (ONDO) shows a mix of cautious hope and technical worries as the token approaches important price points. Here’s what’s trending:

  1. Long-term supporters believe ONDO is undervalued despite recent price drops
  2. Technical analysts warn of bearish signals near the $0.37 support level
  3. Large holders (“whales”) are buying during the current price pause, suggesting confidence
  4. Upcoming token unlocks raise concerns about increased supply and potential price pressure before January 18

Deep Dive

1. @SaroshQ2022: ONDO Seen as Undervalued Leader in Real-World Assets

"ONDO leads in onchain T-bills and tokenized U.S. equities, courted by major institutions – a mispriced growth asset, not a speculative meme coin."
– @SaroshQ2022 (5,766 followers · Jan 4, 2026, 5:11 PM UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is positive for ONDO because it highlights Ondo’s strong position in turning real-world financial assets into digital tokens, attracting big institutional investors. This suggests the current price might not fully reflect the token’s true value.

2. @KlondikeAI: Bearish Technical Pattern Detected

"Bearish Pennant formed on $ONDO. Consider entering short at $0.3690, targeting $0.3305."
– @KlondikeAI (3,028 followers · Dec 30, 2025, 8:01 PM UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a warning sign for ONDO. Technical traders see this pattern as a signal that the price could drop below the important $0.37 support level, potentially leading to further declines.

3. @NagatoDharma: Concerns Over Upcoming Token Unlocks

"Next token unlock incoming – price has been down only since January 18th unlocks. Market needs fresh tokenomics."
– @NagatoDharma (26,903 followers · Dec 23, 2025, 4:54 AM UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a negative signal for ONDO because scheduled token unlocks increase the number of tokens available, which can put downward pressure on the price if demand doesn’t keep up.

4. @LCX: ONDO’s Role in Governance

"$ONDO functions as governance token for Ondo DAO and Flux Finance – foundation for tokenized finance."
– @LCX (Unknown followers · Jul 23, 2025, 1:00 PM UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is neutral news for ONDO. It confirms the token’s important role in helping govern the Ondo community and related projects but doesn’t suggest any immediate impact on price.

Conclusion

Opinions on ONDO are mixed. On one hand, there’s optimism about Ondo’s leadership in tokenizing real-world assets and growing institutional interest. On the other hand, technical analysis and upcoming token unlocks raise concerns about potential price drops. Keep an eye on the $0.37 support level this week—if the price falls below it, it could trigger a wave of selling. If it holds, it may signal that buyers are stepping in to accumulate.


What is the latest news about ONDO?

Ondo Finance is facing a significant token unlock event while continuing to grow its presence in real-world asset (RWA) tokenization. This creates a balance between short-term price fluctuations and growing interest from institutional investors.

  1. Major Token Unlock (January 17, 2026) – $774 million worth of ONDO tokens will be unlocked this week, making up 65% of the total tokens unlocked across all cryptocurrencies this week.
  2. Ethereum RWA Leadership (January 13, 2026) – 77% of Ondo’s tokenized assets are settled on the Ethereum blockchain, highlighting its strong role in institutional finance.
  3. Global Growth (December 19, 2025) – Ondo teamed up with LayerZero to enable cross-chain transfers of tokenized securities between Ethereum and BNB Chain.

Deep Dive

1. Major Token Unlock (January 17, 2026)

Overview:
On January 17, $774 million worth of ONDO tokens will be unlocked. This is part of a larger $1.19 billion token unlock happening across the crypto market that week. These tokens mostly belong to early investors and represent 57% of ONDO’s circulating supply, all unlocking on a single day when trading volume tends to be lower.

What this means:
In the short term, this could put downward pressure on ONDO’s price as some investors might sell their tokens. However, if most of these tokens (85%) are held by Ondo’s ecosystem funds and used wisely, the market could stabilize. Watching how many tokens move to exchanges after the unlock will help indicate whether selling pressure is strong or if the market can absorb the supply. (CoinMarketCap)

2. Ethereum RWA Leadership (January 13, 2026)

Overview:
According to data from the Ethereum Foundation, Ondo holds 77% of its $365 million+ tokenized assets on the Ethereum blockchain. These assets include stocks, ETFs, and government bonds, making up 11.6% of all real-world assets tokenized on Ethereum.

What this means:
This is a positive sign for ONDO, showing that Ethereum remains the top platform for secure and compliant asset settlement. It also strengthens Ondo’s position as a trusted partner for institutional investors. Increased use of Ethereum could lead to more integration of tokenized assets within decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. (Binance)

3. Global Growth (December 19, 2025)

Overview:
Ondo has partnered with LayerZero to create a cross-chain bridge that allows tokenized securities like stocks and ETFs to move smoothly between Ethereum and BNB Chain.

What this means:
This partnership is good news for ONDO, as it opens up access to millions of new users and improves liquidity for tokenized real-world assets. Future partnerships with other blockchains could further expand Ondo’s reach and market presence. (Twitter)

Conclusion

Ondo’s upcoming token unlock will test short-term market sentiment, but its strong foundation in real-world asset tokenization and expanding cross-chain capabilities point to growing institutional interest. The key question is whether the January token unlock will cause a liquidity crunch or become an opportunity for strategic investors to increase their holdings.


What is expected in the development of ONDO?

Ondo’s roadmap for early 2026 centers on growing its ecosystem and expanding real-world asset tokenization.

  1. Token Unlock (January 18, 2026) – Releases 1.9 billion ONDO tokens (valued at about $772 million) to support ecosystem growth.
  2. Ondo Summit (February 3, 2026) – A major industry event in New York focused on advancing tokenized finance.
  3. BNB Chain Expansion (Q1 2026) – Ondo Global Markets will launch on the BNB Chain, reaching millions of new users.

Deep Dive

1. Token Unlock (January 18, 2026)

Overview: Ondo plans to unlock 1.9 billion ONDO tokens, which is roughly 60% of the circulating supply, worth around $772 million. These tokens are allocated mainly for ecosystem growth (40%) and protocol development (42%) (Token Unlock Alert). The tokens will be vested, meaning they are released gradually to avoid flooding the market all at once.

What this means: This event is generally neutral for ONDO. While large token unlocks can cause short-term price swings, these tokens are intended to fund long-term development rather than quick investor sell-offs. It’s important to watch trading volume and price changes around this date to gauge market sentiment.

2. Ondo Summit (February 3, 2026)

Overview: Ondo will bring together executives, investors, and policymakers in New York to discuss the future of tokenized capital markets. Building on progress made in 2025, the summit will focus on regulatory frameworks and encouraging institutional adoption of real-world assets (Ondo Finance).

What this means: This is positive news for ONDO. High-profile partnerships and clearer regulations could speed up institutional investment. Keep an eye out for announcements about new asset offerings or regulatory developments during the event.

3. BNB Chain Expansion (Q1 2026)

Overview: Ondo Global Markets will expand to the BNB Chain, allowing millions of users to access tokenized U.S. stocks and ETFs. This follows previous integrations with platforms like Blockchain.com and PancakeSwap (Ondo Finance).

What this means: This expansion is a strong positive for ONDO. Making the platform available to more users can boost transaction volume and total value locked (TVL). Watch for increases in new wallet connections and cross-chain trading after the launch.

Conclusion

Ondo’s early 2026 plans focus on scaling its ecosystem through strategic token releases, industry collaboration, and expanding to new blockchain networks. These moves position Ondo as a leader in real-world asset tokenization. A key question remains: How will evolving U.S. SEC regulations shape Ondo’s approach to tokenized securities?


What updates are there in the ONDO code base?

Ondo’s recent code updates focus on building the infrastructure needed to tokenize real-world assets (RWAs), but most of this work happens behind the scenes and isn’t publicly visible.

  1. Ondo Chain Launch (February 2025) – A new Layer 1 blockchain designed for institutions to securely and compliantly tokenize real-world assets.
  2. Smart Contract Upgrades (July 2025) – A 40% increase in GitHub activity aimed at improving compliance and enabling cross-chain compatibility.
  3. Private Development Focus – Most core development is done in private repositories, limiting what the public can see.

Deep Dive

1. Ondo Chain Launch (February 2025)

Overview: Ondo Chain is a permissioned Layer 1 blockchain built to connect traditional financial institutions with decentralized finance (DeFi) networks. It emphasizes regulatory compliance and the ability to work across different blockchain systems.

This blockchain is compatible with Ethereum’s technology (EVM-compatible), allowing seamless and secure settlement of tokenized assets between private networks (like JPMorgan’s Onyx) and public blockchains. It uses validator nodes run by regulated institutions and supports staking backed by real-world assets.

What this means: This is a positive development for ONDO because it positions the platform as a key link between traditional finance and DeFi, potentially attracting more institutional investors to tokenized assets such as U.S. Treasuries. (Source)

2. Smart Contract Upgrades (July 2025)

Overview: In July 2025, Ondo’s GitHub activity jumped by 40%, focusing on auditing the tokenization process and integrating Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP).

The updates include features to meet regulatory requirements, such as Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) checks, as well as proof-of-reserve systems to verify asset backing. These improvements support Ondo’s growing product offerings, including tokenized stocks and ETFs on blockchains like BNB Chain and Polygon.

What this means: This is a neutral update for ONDO. While these upgrades improve the platform’s infrastructure, the fact that much of the development happens in private repositories means the community can’t fully verify the progress. (Source)

Conclusion

Ondo is clearly focused on building strong, institution-ready infrastructure for tokenizing real-world assets, but much of the critical work is done out of public view. The launch of Ondo Chain and the compliance-focused upgrades show long-term commitment, but the limited transparency raises questions about how the project balances institutional demands with open-source values. Moving forward, it will be important to see how Ondo manages this balance to maintain trust and community support.