Why did the price of APT go up?

Aptos (APT) increased by 2.7% to $2.03 in the past 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market, which rose 2.3%. However, it still shows a downward trend over the last week (-11.3%) and month (-26.4%). Here are the main factors behind this movement:

1. Strong stablecoin inflows – Aptos ranked second among Layer 1 blockchains with $51 million in stablecoin deposits, indicating growing liquidity (CoinMarketCap).
2. Aave incentives launch – Aave introduced rewards for early users on Aptos, marking its first deployment outside Ethereum-compatible networks, which is boosting decentralized finance (DeFi) activity (Aptos).
3. Technical oversold bounce – The Relative Strength Index (RSI14) at 27.6 suggests a short-term price rebound after a period of heavy selling.

Deep Dive

1. Stablecoin Momentum (Positive Outlook)

Overview:
On December 3, 2025, Aptos saw $51 million flow into stablecoins, second only to Sui Network. The total stablecoin market cap on Aptos reached a record $1.58 billion, with USDT making up 46% and institutional products like BlackRock’s USD BUIDL playing a significant role.

What this means:
Stablecoin inflows are important because they provide liquidity that traders and DeFi platforms use. Historically, such inflows often come before price increases. Aptos’ low transaction fees and its Move programming language attract institutional investors, helping build a strong foundation for future growth.

What to watch:
Keep an eye on the total value locked (TVL) in top Aptos DeFi platforms like Aries Markets and Amnis Finance to see if this momentum continues.

2. Aave’s Expansion on Aptos (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
On November 12, 2025, Aave launched its first deployment outside Ethereum-compatible blockchains on Aptos, offering incentives for lending stablecoins like USDT and USDC through @metromxyz.

What this means:
This move adds credibility and brings new users to Aptos’ DeFi ecosystem. However, the impact on APT’s price has been limited so far because the incentives focus on stablecoins rather than directly increasing demand for APT tokens. Over time, if adoption grows, this could strengthen Aptos’ DeFi space.

3. Technical Rebound (Neutral)

Overview:
APT’s RSI14 indicator rose from 24.4 (indicating oversold conditions) to 27.6, and the price climbed back above the key $2.00 level.

What this means:
While this suggests a short-term bounce, the trading volume dropped 25% to $111 million, showing weak buying interest. Resistance is expected near the 7-day simple moving average at $2.08. Without strong positive news, this rebound might be temporary in a longer-term downtrend—APT has lost 85% of its value over the past year.

Conclusion

APT’s recent gains come from a combination of growing ecosystem activity (stablecoin inflows and Aave incentives) and a technical bounce after being oversold. However, broader market challenges—like Bitcoin’s dominance at 58.7% and widespread investor caution—are limiting upside potential. Key point to watch: Whether APT can maintain support at $2.00 ahead of the U.S. jobs report on Friday, which could influence overall crypto market sentiment.

What could affect the price of APT?

Aptos is at a crossroads, balancing strong technical features with cautious market sentiment. Here’s what could influence its future:

1. Ecosystem Growth – Increasing DeFi partnerships and stablecoin activity show promise
2. Token Unlocks – Nearly one-third of tokens still locked until 2028 could lead to selling pressure
3. Technical Signals – Mixed indicators with oversold conditions but bearish chart patterns

In-Depth Analysis

1. Ecosystem Growth vs. Competition (Mixed Outlook)

Overview:
Aptos hit a record $1.58 billion in stablecoin inflows by December 2025, boosted by partnerships like BlackRock’s BUIDL and Paxos’ USDG0 (Aptos Foundation). Aave launched its first non-Ethereum-compatible deployment on Aptos, offering liquidity rewards through Metro Network, aiming for over $50 million in total value locked (TVL).

What this means:
On the positive side, Aptos is building a solid foundation for institutional stablecoins, which could attract traditional finance investors. On the downside, competitors like Sui processed $2.4 billion in stablecoin volume in a single day (November 24, 2025), surpassing Aptos among blockchains using the Move programming language.

2. Token Unlock Schedule & Supply Risks (Bearish Factor)

Overview:
About 13.5% of Aptos tokens (160 million APT) remain locked for investors until 2026, with monthly unlocks averaging nearly $49 million at current prices (TokenUnlocks).

What this means:
This steady release of tokens could create ongoing selling pressure. Historically, there’s a strong negative correlation (-0.72 over 90 days) between token unlocks and price drops (CoinGlass). However, since 71% of circulating APT (861 million tokens) is staked, this helps reduce some of the selling risk.

3. Technical Analysis & Market Mood (Neutral)

Overview:
The daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 27.66, indicating the token is oversold. However, a “death cross” pattern on the weekly chart signals bearish momentum. Fibonacci retracement levels point to $1.82 as key support; if this breaks, prices could fall to $1.50.

What this means:
Traders are watching the $1.88 to $1.91 price range closely. To shift the trend, Aptos needs to close above $2.10 consistently to break the bearish pattern. The Fear & Greed Index at 22 suggests cautious buying but limited upside until broader market sentiment improves.

Conclusion

Aptos’ future price depends on turning its technical strengths—like 19,200 transactions per second and near-instant finality—into real-world adoption, especially in regulated assets and compliant decentralized finance (DeFi). Although the network has processed over 3.3 billion transactions, it still faces challenges from $2.6 billion in upcoming token unlocks and competition from other Layer 1 blockchains. Keep an eye on Aave’s incentive program and its TVL growth through early 2026 to see if it can close the gap with Sui, which currently leads with 96% of weekly stablecoin volume among Move-based chains.

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What are people saying about APT?

Aptos (APT) is hovering near its lowest price levels, with developers actively building and traders watching closely for potential price moves. Here’s what’s happening now:

1. Regulatory progress vs. price stagnation – A new CFTC committee seat appointment contrasts with the struggle to hold $2.10 support.
2. Ecosystem growth vs. price decline – Aave’s deposits on Aptos reach $2 million, but APT’s price remains down 89% from its all-time high.
3. Technical uncertainty – Traders are watching the $2.45 resistance level for signs of a possible price bounce.

Deep Dive

1. @DA_RENOWNED: Strong selling pressure despite upgrades — bearish

“$APT is drifting toward historic lows, down 89% from its peak, even with new partnerships like Paxos, AI security tools, and liquid staking launches. Analysts suggest a 17–31% price increase if the $2.10 support level holds.”
– @DA_RENOWNED (837 followers · Nov 29, 2025)
View original post
What this means: Despite improvements in the network, negative market sentiment is strong. Traders are waiting to see if the $2.10 support level holds before betting on a price recovery.

2. @Web3Niels: Ecosystem milestones vs. price disconnect — bullish

“Aave has reached $2 million in deposits on Aptos, boosted by the Bedrock BTCFi integration. If APT can reclaim $4.30, it could trigger a 15–20% price rally.”
– @Web3Niels (53.9K followers · Sep 7, 2025)
View original post
What this means: While APT’s price remains weak, growing adoption and DeFi activity on Aptos suggest potential for price gains if momentum continues.

3. @EdgenTech: Technical limbo at key support — neutral

“$APT is trading between $2.10 and $2.45. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 42.5 indicates oversold conditions, but the MACD indicator remains bearish. A break above $2.50 is needed to signal a trend reversal.”
– Via CoinMarketCap post (Jun 8, 2025)
What this means: The technical picture is mixed. There’s potential for price accumulation, but a strong breakout above resistance with good trading volume is necessary to confirm a positive shift.

Conclusion

The outlook for Aptos is mixed. On one hand, strong institutional partnerships and growth in decentralized finance (DeFi) show promise. On the other, the price remains weak, and a large portion of tokens (32.5%) are still locked up, which adds risk. Keep an eye on the $2.10 support level—if it breaks, it could lead to panic selling. Conversely, holding above $2.45 might indicate the price has found a short-term bottom. Also, watch Aptos’ stablecoin inflows (currently $1.13 billion) as a sign of real user activity versus speculative trading.

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What is the latest news about APT?

Aptos is showing mixed signals—on one hand, stablecoin inflows are surging, but on the other, technical indicators suggest caution. Here’s the latest update:

1. Stablecoin Market Cap Hits Record High (Dec 3, 2025) – Aptos leads top Layer 1 blockchains with $1.58 billion in stablecoins, indicating growing interest from institutional investors.
2. Institutional Buying Detected (Dec 2, 2025) – APT’s price rose 2.4% with a 40% jump in trading volume, hinting that smart investors are accumulating.
3. Technical Warning Signs (Dec 2, 2025) – Analysts point to lower highs and the risk of the price dropping below $1.82.

Deep Dive

1. Stablecoin Market Cap Hits Record High (December 3, 2025)

Overview
Aptos’ stablecoin market cap reached an all-time high of $1.58 billion. The majority comes from $USDT (46%), BlackRock’s $BUIDL, and Circle’s $USDC. Among the top 20 Layer 1 blockchains, Aptos ranked first in weekly stablecoin inflows at 22.24%, beating well-known networks like Ethereum and Solana.

What this means
This is a positive sign for APT because stablecoins represent real-world use and liquidity, which are essential for decentralized finance (DeFi) growth. The involvement of big players like BlackRock and partnerships with firms such as Paxos suggest Aptos is becoming a key platform for regulated digital assets. (CoinMarketCap)

2. Institutional Buying Detected (December 2, 2025)

Overview
APT’s price increased by 2.4% to $1.90, outperforming the broader crypto market. Trading volume jumped 40% above its 30-day average, especially during morning sessions—a pattern often linked to institutional investors buying quietly.

What this means
This is a cautiously optimistic sign for APT. The price didn’t spike aggressively despite high volume, suggesting steady accumulation rather than a quick rally. The fact that APT has made three higher lows in a row points to a possible breakout if it can hold above the $1.90 support level. (CoinDesk)

3. Technical Warning Signs (December 2, 2025)

Overview
Some analysts warn that APT could fall below the $1.82 support level, potentially dropping to $1.50. Negative signals include lower highs, a Supertrend sell indicator, and Chaikin Money Flow below zero, which shows money flowing out of the asset.

What this means
This is a bearish outlook for APT because the technical indicators suggest weakening momentum. However, if buying interest returns, there’s a chance for a rebound up to $2.72. This makes APT a high-risk, high-reward investment at the moment. (CCN)

Conclusion

Aptos is at a crossroads, balancing strong fundamentals like growing stablecoin use and institutional interest against technical signs of weakness and broader market risks. While its technology is attracting serious investment, APT’s price remains sensitive to overall market trends. The key question: will Aptos’ real-world adoption overcome its current technical challenges?

What is expected in the development of APT?

Aptos is making significant progress with these key developments planned for 2026:

1. Framework-Level CLOB (Q1 2026) – An on-chain order book that will improve liquidity and allow decentralized exchanges to work together smoothly.
2. Raptr Consensus Protocol (2026) – A new system to speed up transaction processing to under a second, even during network issues.
3. Shardines Scaling (2026) – A method to boost transaction capacity to over 1 million transactions per second by spreading the workload across multiple networks.

Deep Dive

1. Framework-Level CLOB (Q1 2026)

What it is: Aptos plans to introduce a Central Limit Order Book (CLOB) directly into its core system. This means decentralized exchanges can share liquidity and support advanced trading options like futures and options contracts. All trading actions will happen transparently on the blockchain.

Why it matters: This could attract big institutional investors to use Aptos for decentralized finance (DeFi), increasing trading volume and liquidity for APT. However, it will face competition from established platforms like Uniswap and dYdX.

2. Raptr Consensus Protocol (2026)

What it is: Raptr is a new consensus method that combines two technologies to speed up how quickly transactions are finalized. It aims to keep transaction times under one second, even if the network is under heavy load or attack. This will replace the current AptosBFT system.

Why it matters: Faster transaction finality could make Aptos more attractive for high-speed trading and real-world asset applications. Still, there are risks involved in rolling out new technology and getting validators to adopt it quickly.

3. Shardines Scaling (2026)

What it is: Shardines introduces “execution sharding,” which splits the network’s workload across multiple smaller networks (subnets). This approach could allow Aptos to handle over 1 million transactions per second while keeping all parts working together seamlessly.

Why it matters: If successful, this would position Aptos as a strong candidate for handling large-scale financial systems worldwide. However, the timeline is uncertain, and proving the system’s stability at such a large scale will be crucial.

Conclusion

Aptos is focusing on building the infrastructure needed to become a major player in global trading by 2026, with efforts aimed at scaling (Shardines), speed (Raptr), and advanced DeFi features (CLOB). While these goals are ambitious, the main challenges will be executing these plans well and gaining market acceptance.

The big question remains: can Aptos turn its technical advantages into real-world use faster than competitors like Solana or Sui?

What updates are there in the APT code base?

In the third quarter of 2025, Aptos' TypeScript SDK received important updates that improved security and made transactions more flexible, especially around managing keys and handling multiple transactions.

1. AuthKey Overhaul (Not yet released) – Enhanced security for changing account keys with two new methods: verified and unverified rotations.
2. Orderless Transactions (June 2025) – Introduced a way to send transactions without needing them to happen in a strict order, using nonces instead of sequence numbers.
3. Account Derivation API (June 2025) – Made it easier to manage multiple keys and accounts, especially when keys are rotated or multiple signatures are required.

Deep Dive

1. AuthKey Overhaul (Not yet released)

What’s new? The system for updating authentication keys has been redesigned to prevent unauthorized changes while still supporting older applications.

The previous single function rotateAuthKey is now split into two:

• Verified rotations (the new default) require strong cryptographic checks using Ed25519 or MultiEd25519 signatures.
• Unverified rotations (rotateAuthKeyUnverified) allow older systems to continue working during the transition.

Why this matters: This update improves security by reducing the risk of account takeovers. At the same time, it helps developers maintain compatibility with existing apps. This balance is a positive sign for Aptos (APT) because it strengthens user protection without breaking current tools.
(Source)

2. Orderless Transactions (June 2025)

What’s new? Transactions can now be sent without following a strict order by using a “nonce” system instead of relying on sequence numbers tied to accounts.

Benefits include:

• Building multiple transactions at the same time without waiting for each to finish.
• Grouping transactions together without enforcing a specific order.
• Lowering the chance of front-running attacks, which are common in decentralized finance (DeFi).

Impact: While this change may require developers to update their apps, it opens the door for more advanced transaction workflows. This is especially important for institutional users who need complex operations, like dark pools. In the short term, this is neutral for APT, but it’s a strong positive for the future.

3. Account Derivation API (June 2025)

What’s new? A new set of tools helps wallets and apps manage multiple accounts and keys more easily, especially when keys are rotated or multiple signatures are involved.

Key features:

• Functions like getAccountsForPublicKey and deriveOwnedAccountsFromSigner help track all addresses linked to a user’s keys over time.
• Automatically detect accounts across different authentication methods.

Why it matters: This improves the user experience by reducing confusion around key rotations and making it easier to recover accounts on different devices. For Aptos, this means fewer lost funds and smoother wallet management, which is a clear win for APT holders.

Conclusion

Aptos’ recent SDK updates focus on making account management more secure, enabling more flexible and powerful transactions, and improving how users manage their accounts. These changes help position Aptos as a blockchain that balances strong developer control with ease of use for everyday users. It will be interesting to see how these improvements affect the upcoming Aave v3 integration on Aptos.