What could affect the price of TIA?

Celestia’s price is currently caught between growing interest in its modular technology and concerns about its token supply.

1. Growing Use of Modular Tech – More projects need data availability, which could increase demand for TIA tokens.
2. Changes to Token Supply – Plans to cut inflation from 8% to 0.25% may reduce how many new tokens enter the market.
3. New Staking Rules – Locking rewards aims to reduce selling pressure from early investors.

In-Depth Look

1. Modular Adoption & Data Availability Demand (Positive for Price)

What’s happening:
Celestia’s main strength is providing a modular data availability layer—a way for other blockchains to store and access data efficiently. Ethereum’s data availability is getting crowded, with Layer 2 solutions using more space and burning less ETH (Q3 ETH Report). Because of this, many projects are moving their data needs to chains like Celestia. Over 20 modular blockchains have already launched on Celestia, showing growing interest.

Why it matters:
As more projects use Celestia, they pay fees in TIA tokens for data storage. If Celestia captures just 10% of Ethereum’s data availability market, demand for TIA could rise significantly.

2. Inflation and Governance Changes (Mixed Effects)

What’s happening:
Celestia plans to change how many new TIA tokens are created each year, cutting inflation from 8% down to 0.25%. This aims to reduce concerns about too many tokens flooding the market. However, a large number of tokens (43.4 million TIA) from a previous investor, Polychain, are being released gradually until November 2025 (The Block), which could temporarily increase supply.

Why it matters:
In the long run, fewer new tokens could make TIA more valuable by limiting supply. But until the large token releases finish, prices might face downward pressure.

3. Technical Trends vs. Overall Market Mood (Neutral Outlook)

What’s happening:
Technically, TIA has broken out of a downward trend and is aiming for $1.50 to $2. Indicators like RSI and MACD suggest some buying momentum. However, the overall crypto market is in “Extreme Fear” (Fear & Greed Index at 24), and Bitcoin’s dominance (59.2%) means altcoins like TIA often follow Bitcoin’s lead.

Why it matters:
Even if TIA shows signs of recovery, broader market conditions and Bitcoin’s performance will heavily influence its price. According to CoinMetrics, TIA’s price moves closely with Bitcoin (90-day correlation of 0.82).

Conclusion

Celestia’s price depends on how well it balances growing use of its modular network with managing token supply. While increased adoption of data availability is a strong positive, changes in inflation and token unlock schedules need close attention. The success of new staking rules in encouraging long-term holding will also be key. Keep an eye on the completion of token releases in November and data on network usage for clearer signals about TIA’s future.

What are people saying about TIA?

Celestia’s big plans for modular blockchain technology are facing challenges from falling prices and doubts from insiders. Here’s what’s happening:

1. Modular blockchain idea gains attention as Ethereum’s data limits highlight Celestia’s (TIA) potential role
2. Polychain’s $62.5 million sell-off raises worries about early investors cashing out
3. Excitement around the Lotus upgrade competes with weak fundamentals and a 92% drop from Celestia’s all-time high

Deep Dive

1. @checkmatexxxxxx: Ethereum’s Data Layer Saturation Looks Positive

“L2 blobs per block up 25%, ETH burned by L2s down 87% – moving data availability to Celestia is inevitable”
– @checkmatexxxxxx (639 followers · 7.1K likes · Oct 18, 2025)
View original post
What this means: This is good news for Celestia (TIA). As Ethereum struggles with data congestion, more projects might turn to Celestia’s modular data availability solutions.

2. @MrMinNin: Overlooked Opportunity or Dead Project?

“At $1, the market is ignoring TIA – but the next wave of data-layer tech could change that”
– @MrMinNin (3.3K followers · 453 likes · Oct 22, 2025)
View original post
What this means: Opinions are mixed. TIA’s token design and fee model have strengths, but the broader adoption of modular blockchains like Celestia is still uncertain.

3. CoinMarketCap: Insider Selling Raises Alarm

“Polychain sells remaining $62.5M TIA stake to Celestia Foundation”
– CoinMarketCap Community (July 24, 2025)
View original post
What this means: This is a bearish sign as early investors exit. The Celestia Foundation plans to release these tokens gradually from August to November 2025, which could increase selling pressure and dilute value.

Conclusion

The outlook on Celestia is mixed. People are optimistic about its modular blockchain concept but concerned about token economics and how quickly it will be adopted. Ethereum’s scaling challenges highlight Celestia’s potential, but ongoing token sell-offs and a 92% price drop from its peak ($20.91 down to $1.01) are significant hurdles. Keep an eye on the blobspace utilization metric—if demand for Celestia’s data availability from rollups grows, it could prove the project’s value despite current negative trends.

What is the latest news about TIA?

Celestia (TIA) is gaining attention thanks to a technical breakout and growing interest in modular blockchains, but some questions about its long-term strength remain. Here’s the latest update:

1. Price Breaks Above $1 (November 9, 2025) – TIA jumped 19%, driven by increased activity on decentralized exchanges (DEXs) and positive technical signals.
2. Spotlight During Altcoin Season (November 8, 2025) – Named a top altcoin pick as excitement builds around blockchain infrastructure projects.
3. Expanded Roadmap Announced (October 19, 2025) – Plans include scaling capacity, improving cross-chain liquidity, and reducing token inflation.

In-Depth Look

1. Price Breaks Above $1 (November 9, 2025)

What happened:
TIA’s price rose 19% to just over $1, with daily trading volume on decentralized exchanges soaring 344% to $244 billion. The number of transactions hit 48,424—the highest since August—showing renewed network activity. Technical indicators like the MACD and Relative Vigor Index (RVI) above 75 suggest strong buying momentum.

Why it matters:
This short-term price jump is a positive sign, indicating potential to reach $1.50 to $1.60. However, investors should be cautious since TIA’s price has dropped nearly 30% over the past month. Holding above $1 is important to avoid falling back to support around $0.90.
(Source: AMBCrypto)

2. Spotlight During Altcoin Season (November 8, 2025)

What happened:
Market analysts named TIA a top altcoin to watch, highlighting its modular blockchain design that helps scale Layer 2 solutions and rollups. This fits with a broader market trend favoring infrastructure-focused projects.

Why it matters:
This recognition is somewhat positive but hasn’t yet translated into price gains—TIA is still down over 80% compared to last year. The project’s success depends on demand from rollups using Celestia’s data availability layer, which currently handles about 40% of Ethereum’s data throughput.
(Source: CryptoNewsLand)

3. Expanded Roadmap Announced (October 19, 2025)

What happened:
Celestia revealed a roadmap through 2030 focusing on increasing data capacity (“blobspace”), enabling easier cross-rollup liquidity with “lazy bridging,” and introducing Proof-of-Governance to lower node operation costs and reduce TIA token inflation to about 1.5% per year.

Why it matters:
These plans are promising because lower inflation could reduce selling pressure on TIA (currently, 836 million tokens are circulating). However, the project still faces challenges since modular blockchain adoption is early—only about 30 rollups are live on Celestia so far.
(Source: @checkmatexxxxxx)

Conclusion

Celestia’s recent price gains and focus on infrastructure make it a high-risk, high-reward opportunity in the modular blockchain space. Key questions remain: Can TIA keep up momentum if other altcoins rally? Will its data availability layer attract enough rollup projects as Ethereum’s EigenDA grows? Watch the $1 price level closely this week.

What is expected in the development of TIA?

Celestia’s roadmap is centered on improving scalability, enabling easier communication between blockchains, and creating a token system that reduces inflation over time.

1. Scaling Blobspace (2025–2026) – Increase data storage capacity to meet growing demand from rollups (Layer 2 solutions).
2. Lazy Bridging (2026–2027) – Make it easier to transfer assets smoothly between different rollups.
3. Proof of Governance (2027–2030) – Lower costs for network operators and introduce token burning to reduce inflation.

Deep Dive

1. Scaling Blobspace (2025–2026)

Overview: Celestia plans to expand its ability to store and share data, which is crucial for rollups—these are systems built on top of blockchains that help process transactions faster and cheaper. This upgrade prepares Celestia for a potential surge in users, similar to a “ChatGPT moment” where technology suddenly becomes widely popular (@checkmatexxxxxx).

What this means: This is good news for Celestia’s token, TIA, because more data storage means more demand for TIA. However, there is competition from Ethereum, which is also upgrading its data handling capabilities.

2. Lazy Bridging (2026–2027)

Overview: This feature will simplify how different rollups communicate and transfer assets. Imagine it as a lightweight bridge that lets millions of users move their tokens between rollups without complicated steps or trust issues (@checkmatexxxxxx).

What this means: This could increase Celestia’s usefulness, but its success depends on whether major rollups like Eclipse or Manta decide to use it.

3. Proof of Governance (2027–2030)

Overview: Celestia plans to change how network operators are rewarded. Instead of earning new tokens through inflation, they would earn fees from users, and some TIA tokens would be burned (destroyed) to reduce the total supply. This could help make TIA a deflationary token (@checkmatexxxxxx).

What this means: This is positive for TIA’s long-term value because it lowers inflation from 5% to 0.25%. However, there is a risk that network operators might resist changes that reduce their rewards.

Conclusion

Celestia is focusing on building a modular blockchain infrastructure that aims to be more scalable and interoperable than traditional blockchains. Its roadmap targets key areas: expanding data capacity, improving cross-chain communication, and creating sustainable token economics. While the technology looks promising, the success of TIA depends on whether developers and users choose Celestia’s data layer over other options.

Will Celestia’s “build it and they will come” approach succeed as rollup activity increases?

What updates are there in the TIA code base?

Celestia’s recent updates focus on improving its infrastructure and enabling better communication between different blockchains.

1. Node Infrastructure Upgrades (October 30, 2025) – Improved transaction processing and integration with Solana’s latest test network.
2. Hyperlane Integration via Lotus (May 24, 2025) – Allows Celestia’s TIA token to move seamlessly across Ethereum, Solana, and other blockchains.

Deep Dive

1. Node Infrastructure Upgrades (October 30, 2025)

Overview: Solaxy’s move to Celestia’s Data Availability layer brought new features like versioned transactions and better error handling. It also upgraded to Solana’s 3.x developer test network (devnet). These improvements aim to make node operations more stable and ready for more rollups (a way to bundle transactions).

The focus is on making nodes more reliable, especially when simulating transactions and handling block rewards. By matching Solana’s latest standards, Celestia ensures it works well with fast and busy blockchain networks.

What this means: In the short term, this won’t have a big impact on TIA. But over time, smoother node performance could attract more rollups, which would increase demand for TIA as a transaction fee token. (Source)

2. Hyperlane Integration via Lotus (May 24, 2025)

Overview: The Lotus upgrade added Hyperlane’s interoperability protocol, allowing TIA to move natively across Ethereum, Base, Arbitrum, and Solana. This is done through a Cosmos SDK module, which helps different blockchains communicate without needing custom bridges.

This makes it easier for Celestia rollups to interact with other blockchains, reducing complexity for developers. It’s similar to how Cosmos IBC (Inter-Blockchain Communication) works and supports the growth of modular blockchains.

What this means: This is positive for TIA because the ability to work across multiple blockchains could increase its use and demand. However, the real impact depends on how many developers start using these new cross-chain features. (Source)

Conclusion

Celestia’s updates highlight a focus on building strong infrastructure and enabling cross-chain functionality. This positions TIA as a key player in modular blockchain ecosystems. While the technical progress is promising, the next step is seeing if developers adopt these new capabilities.

Why did the price of TIA fall?

Celestia (TIA) dropped 3.18% in the last 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell by about 0.8%. This decline follows profit-taking after a recent price jump and ongoing bearish technical signals.

1. Profit-taking after a recent surge – TIA climbed 19% earlier this week but couldn’t maintain gains above $1.
2. Technical resistance – Negative momentum confirmed as the price fell below important moving averages.
3. Market caution – The Crypto Fear & Greed Index stands at 24/100 (“Fear”), reducing demand for altcoins like TIA.

Deep Dive

1. Profit-Taking After Rally (Bearish Impact)

Earlier this week, TIA jumped 19%, pushing back above the $1 mark amid increased network activity (AMBCrypto). However, the rally lost steam near $1.60, leading traders to take profits. Daily trading volume on decentralized exchanges (DEX) peaked at $301 million but has since dropped 37% in 24 hours, showing less buying interest.

What this means: Short-term traders likely sold near recent highs, adding downward pressure. The lack of strong buying after the breakout suggests weak bullish momentum.

2. Technical Breakdown (Bearish Impact)

Key technical indicators have turned negative:

• Price below EMAs: Trading below the 30-day EMA ($0.988) and the 200-day EMA ($1.81).
• RSI trend: The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 51 (neutral) but moving down from overbought levels.
• Support failure: Price failed to hold the $1.03 support level, with the next important support at $0.759 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement).

What to watch: If the price falls below $0.90 and stays there, selling could accelerate toward the 2025 low of $0.27.

3. Market Sentiment Drag (Mixed Impact)

The overall crypto market remains cautious:

• Altcoin Season Index: At 31/100, showing investors are moving capital away from altcoins like TIA.
• Derivatives activity: Open interest dropped 10.9% in 24 hours as traders reduce leveraged bets.

What this means: Despite Celestia’s promising modular blockchain technology, short-term investor caution and a focus on liquidity amid economic uncertainty are weighing on TIA’s price.

Conclusion

TIA’s recent price drop is driven by a mix of profit-taking, technical setbacks, and cautious market sentiment. While the long-term outlook for its modular data layer remains positive, short-term price action depends on whether buyers can defend the $0.90–$0.95 support zone.

Key watch: Can daily transactions (48,424 on Nov 9) stay above 40,000 to indicate renewed network demand?