What is expected in the development of TIA?

Celestia’s roadmap is focused on improving its infrastructure, making it easier to move assets across different blockchains, and upgrading its token system. Key upcoming milestones include:

1. Scaling to 1GB Blocks (Q1 2026) – Increasing data capacity to support much higher transaction volumes.
2. Lazy Bridging (2026) – Simplifying asset transfers between different rollups (layer-2 blockchains).
3. Proof of Governance (Q4 2025) – Lowering node operation costs and introducing token burns to reduce supply.

Deep Dive

1. Scaling to 1GB Blocks (Q1 2026)

Overview:
Celestia plans to increase its block size from 8MB to 1GB by implementing upgrades like optimized consensus and improved data availability sampling. This change would allow about 1,000 times more data per block, aiming to handle transaction volumes similar to Visa (over 24,000 transactions per second).

What this means:

• Positive: This huge boost in capacity could attract applications that need fast, high-volume processing, such as online gaming or payment systems.
• Risk: The upgrade depends on smooth coordination among light nodes (simplified network participants). If data sampling isn’t efficient, delays could happen.

2. Lazy Bridging (2026)

Overview:
This is a new protocol designed to make transferring assets between different rollups easier and cheaper. Unlike traditional bridges, it uses “optimistic” proofs, which reduce costs and complexity.

What this means:

• Positive: It lowers the barriers for users who want to interact with multiple rollups, increasing Celestia’s usefulness as a modular blockchain hub.
• Neutral: The success of this depends on how quickly the rollup ecosystem grows, which is still in early stages.

3. Proof of Governance (Q4 2025)

Overview:
This upgrade changes how staking rewards are distributed by rewarding governance participation. It also introduces a mechanism to burn (destroy) TIA tokens used in running nodes, as explained in this source.

What this means:

• Positive: This could reduce the annual inflation rate of TIA from about 8% today to 1.5% by 2030, making the token scarcer and potentially more valuable.
• Risk: The effectiveness of token burning depends on network activity—if adoption is low, the deflationary effect will be limited.

Conclusion

Celestia is investing heavily in building a scalable and interoperable blockchain infrastructure designed for a future with many interconnected chains. While there are technical challenges ahead, successfully delivering on these milestones could establish TIA as a key modular blockchain asset. The big question remains: Will rollup adoption grow fast enough to keep pace with Celestia’s scaling plans?

What updates are there in the TIA code base?

Celestia’s latest updates focus on making it easier for different blockchains to work together, improving how nodes run, and reducing the total supply of tokens over time.

1. Hyperlane Integration (July 2025) – Made it possible to transfer Celestia’s TIA tokens across Ethereum, Solana, and other blockchains using a new software module.
2. Proof of Governance Model (October 2025) – Proposed a new system to lower token inflation by linking rewards to active participation in governance.
3. Solaxy Node Upgrades (October 2025) – Improved node stability and error handling to make the network more reliable.

Deep Dive

1. Hyperlane Integration (July 2025)

What happened: Celestia added Hyperlane as its built-in tool for cross-chain communication. This means TIA tokens can now move smoothly between Ethereum, Solana, and other blockchains without relying on third-party bridges.

Why it matters: This upgrade expands where TIA can be used, making it more valuable as it connects to more blockchain networks. Developers can create apps that work across multiple blockchains more easily. (Source)

2. Proof of Governance Model (October 2025)

What happened: Celestia proposed switching from the usual staking system to a Proof-of-Governance (PoG) model. Instead of earning rewards just for holding tokens, node operators would earn based on how much they participate in network decisions. This change would reduce new token creation from 5% per year to just 0.25%.

Why it matters: Lower inflation means fewer new tokens flooding the market, which could make TIA more scarce and valuable. However, the success depends on whether enough validators actively engage in governance. (Source)

3. Solaxy Node Upgrades (October 2025)

What happened: Solaxy improved its Celestia node software by adding support for newer transaction types and compatibility with Solana’s latest version on the test network. They also enhanced error handling and infrastructure to reduce downtime during busy periods.

Why it matters: More reliable nodes mean a smoother experience for developers and users, encouraging more projects to build on Celestia. (Source)

Conclusion

Celestia is focusing on making its network more connected, sustainable, and developer-friendly. The Hyperlane integration already broadens TIA’s reach, while the Proof-of-Governance model and node improvements aim to strengthen the network’s future. The big question remains: will more blockchains adopt modular designs like Celestia’s to make these upgrades pay off?

Why did the price of TIA fall?

Celestia (TIA) dropped 3.7% in the last 24 hours, even though it gained 18% over the past week. Here’s why:

1. Profit-taking after a 19% jump earlier in the week
2. Technical signs of weakness below important Fibonacci price levels
3. Market-wide caution as Bitcoin’s dominance increases

1. Profit-Taking After the Rally (Negative Impact)

What happened:
On November 9, TIA jumped 19% to reach $1, helped by a big increase in trading on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), with daily volume hitting $301 million (AMBCrypto). But the price hit resistance around $1.50–$1.60, causing short-term investors to sell and lock in profits.

What this means:
Trading volume in the last 24 hours fell 30% to $82 million, showing less buying interest. Historically, TIA has trouble keeping momentum above $1 without new positive news, leading to a “sell the news” effect after quick price jumps.

2. Technical Resistance at Key Levels (Mixed Impact)

What happened:
TIA is facing resistance at the 50% Fibonacci retracement level ($0.97) and is trading below its 30-day simple moving average (SMA) of $1.03. The MACD indicator shows a slight positive shift (+0.026), but the Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 45.5 suggests weakening momentum.

What this means:
Traders using technical analysis see the failure to break above $1 as a bearish sign. The price is now testing support near the 61.8% Fibonacci level ($0.915). If it falls below this, selling could speed up.

Key level to watch:
The $0.91–$0.92 range, which was a low point in July 2025. If TIA drops below this, it might retest the yearly low of $0.73.

3. Altcoin Weakness as Bitcoin Gains Strength (Negative Impact)

What happened:
Bitcoin’s market dominance rose to 59.3%, signaling a shift to safer assets. The Altcoin Season Index dropped 25% over the month, showing investors moving away from riskier coins like TIA.

What this means:
TIA’s price moves are linked to Ethereum (-1.6% daily) and Solana (-1.5%), showing pressure across the altcoin market. With the crypto fear/greed index at 26 (“Extreme Fear”), traders prefer holding liquid assets like Bitcoin instead of riskier altcoins.

Conclusion

TIA’s recent drop is a natural pullback after a strong rally, made worse by technical resistance and a cautious market favoring Bitcoin. While Celestia’s modular blockchain concept remains promising, short-term price action depends on holding support at $0.91.

What to watch:
Will TIA hold above $0.91 and benefit from improving altcoin sentiment? Or will Bitcoin’s dominance keep the pressure on? A move back above $1.03 (the 30-day SMA) would be a positive sign for a potential rebound.

What could affect the price of TIA?

Celestia’s price is caught between growing interest in modular blockchains and ongoing selling pressure from early investors.

1. Matcha Upgrade (Positive Impact) – Cuts inflation in half, boosts transaction capacity, and improves cross-chain asset movement.
2. Competition in Modular Blockchains (Mixed Impact) – Celestia leads in data availability but faces rising rivals like EigenDA.
3. Investor Sell-Off Risks (Negative Impact) – Early backers such as Polychain have sold over $242 million worth of TIA tokens since 2024.

Deep Dive

1. Matcha Upgrade Highlights (Positive Impact)

What’s happening:
The Matcha upgrade reduces Celestia’s token inflation from 5% to 2.5% annually (CIP-41), making the token scarcer and potentially more valuable. It also increases block size from 8MB to 128MB, allowing the network to handle much higher transaction volumes—up to 1GB per second. This is important for attracting large-scale applications called rollups. Additionally, new features improve how TIA tokens can move across different blockchain networks through integrations like Hyperlane and IBC.

Why it matters:
Lower inflation means fewer new tokens flooding the market, which can support price stability or growth. Higher transaction capacity could lead to more network fees, increasing demand for TIA. Similar upgrades on Ethereum have helped boost prices, but Celestia’s success depends on how much the network is actually used after the upgrade.

2. Competition in Modular Blockchains (Mixed Impact)

What’s happening:
Celestia currently controls over half of the modular data availability market (Messari), but competitors like EigenDA and Avail are gaining ground. Ethereum’s recent Dencun upgrade has drastically lowered data availability costs for Layer 2 solutions, putting pressure on Celestia to prove it can scale better and offer more value.

Why it matters:
Being first to market helps, but Celestia needs ongoing adoption by rollups to justify its $805 million market value. The modular blockchain space is still new, and if Ethereum or others develop better solutions, Celestia’s lead could shrink, impacting TIA’s price.

3. Investor Sell-Off and Token Unlocks (Negative Impact)

What’s happening:
Early investors have sold more than $242 million worth of TIA tokens since the project started (CoinMarketCap). Polychain, a major backer, sold its last $62.5 million stake in July 2025. Currently, about 72.7% of TIA’s total 1 billion tokens are in circulation, with roughly 273 million tokens still locked and set to unlock through 2027.

Why it matters:
Ongoing selling from early investors can create downward pressure on the token price. Similar token unlock events have caused sharp price drops in other projects, like APT’s 48% decline after unlocks in 2023. However, Celestia’s team is strategically reallocating tokens to investors who support the project long-term, which may help reduce sudden supply shocks.

Conclusion

TIA’s future depends on whether the benefits from the Matcha upgrade can outweigh selling pressure from token unlocks. The growing interest in modular blockchains offers long-term growth potential, but expect price swings in the near term as TIA tests resistance levels around $1.50 to $1.60. The key question is: Can Celestia attract enough rollups to increase network use and offset inflation before competitors take market share?

What are people saying about TIA?

Celestia’s community is debating whether the $1 price point is a great deal or a warning sign. Here’s what’s trending:

1. Modular blockchain potential vs. cautious chart analysis – Supporters highlight TIA’s role in handling blockchain data, while technical analysts see risks of price drops.
2. Polychain’s $62.5 million stake sale – The Celestia Foundation bought out Polychain’s shares, raising questions about long-term commitment.
3. Deflationary token design – The way tokens are managed could reduce supply over time if more users adopt the platform.

Deep Dive

1. @MrMinNin: Modular blockchain quietly gaining strength bullish

“$TIA is trading near $0.98, down about 95% from its highest price. Many traders overlook that TIA has a deflationary aspect. Every rollup (a type of blockchain scaling solution) using Celestia’s data space must pay fees in $TIA.”
– @MrMinNin (3.36K followers · 455 likes · 2025-10-22 19:21 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is positive for TIA because as more rollups use Celestia’s data layer, demand for $TIA could grow naturally. Also, the annual inflation rate is dropping from 8% to 1.5%, which may reduce selling pressure over time.

2. @VipRoseTr: Price breakout could reach $4.20 bullish

“Celestia is breaking through resistance at $6.20. Price targets are $2.20 to $4.20. This breakout might surprise many.”
– @VipRoseTr (63.97K followers · 44.32K likes · 2025-09-10 15:19 UTC)
View original post
What this means: Technical traders see potential for a strong price increase, but since the current price is around $0.96, it would need to rise over 340% to reach $4.20.

3. CoinMarketCap: Polychain sells $62.5M stake bearish

“Polychain sold its remaining $TIA stake to the Celestia Foundation before changes to staking rewards. Early investors are continuing to exit.”
– CoinMarketCap Community (2025-07-24 18:51 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a negative sign in the short term, showing that big investors are cashing out. However, since the Foundation bought the stake, it might prevent a sudden price drop.

Conclusion

Opinions on Celestia are mixed. Its innovative modular blockchain design offers promise, but ongoing selling by early investors keeps pressure on the price. The deflationary token model and growing use by rollups could pay off for patient holders. Keep an eye on the 20-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.64—if the price stays above this level, it could indicate a positive shift in sentiment. If it fails to break above, bearish trends may continue.

What is the latest news about TIA?

Celestia (TIA) is showing strong momentum with a 19% price jump, growing interest in its modular blockchain technology, and important infrastructure improvements. Here’s the latest update:

1. Price Breakout to $1 (November 9, 2025) – TIA’s price climbed back to $1, supported by increased transaction activity and positive technical signals.
2. Top Altcoin for Infrastructure Growth (November 8, 2025) – Analysts highlight TIA as a promising altcoin as more projects adopt its modular blockchain technology.
3. Roadmap Focuses on Scalability (October 19, 2025) – Plans to expand data storage capacity and improve cross-chain liquidity to support future growth.

In-Depth Look

1. Price Breakout to $1 (November 9, 2025)

Summary:
TIA’s price surged 19% within a day, reaching $1 for the first time since July 2025. The number of daily transactions rose to 48,424, the highest since August, and decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume jumped to $244 billion. Technical indicators like the MACD and RVI suggest strong buying momentum, with the possibility of testing higher price levels between $1.50 and $1.60 if the $1 support holds.

What this means:
This price movement is a positive sign for TIA, showing renewed confidence driven by increased activity on the network. However, investors should be cautious as some early buyers might take profits, which could slow or reverse the price gains. (AMBCrypto)

2. Top Altcoin for Infrastructure Growth (November 8, 2025)

Summary:
Market analysts have identified TIA as one of the leading altcoins to watch ahead of a potential market rally. This is largely due to its role in modular blockchain infrastructure—a new approach that separates data availability from transaction execution. Projects like Eclipse, Manta, and Caldera are already using Celestia’s data availability layer, increasing demand for TIA since these projects pay fees in the token.

What this means:
This development is cautiously optimistic for TIA. While the modular blockchain ecosystem is still emerging, its growth could increase the token’s utility and value. However, the price depends heavily on continued adoption by rollup projects, which remains uncertain at this stage. (CryptoNewsLand)

3. Roadmap Focuses on Scalability (October 19, 2025)

Summary:
Celestia’s roadmap for 2025-2030 emphasizes expanding blobspace (its data storage capacity), implementing lazy bridging (to improve liquidity across different blockchains), and introducing Proof-of-Governance to lower the costs for network nodes. These upgrades aim to make Celestia the go-to data layer for rollups and other blockchain projects.

What this means:
This is a positive long-term outlook for TIA. Enhancing scalability and reducing fees could attract more developers and projects to the platform. Still, there are risks related to the execution of these plans—delays or technical challenges could slow down adoption. (@checkmatexxxxxx)

Conclusion

TIA’s recent price surge reflects a combination of strong technical momentum and growing excitement around modular blockchain technology. However, its future success depends on real-world adoption of its data availability layer. With infrastructure upgrades in progress and market interest building, the key question is whether Celestia can turn its vision of being the “AWS of blockchains” into lasting demand.