Why did the price of TIA go up?

Celestia (TIA) saw a small 1.00% increase over the past 24 hours, reaching $0.458. This slight rebound comes amid a strong downward trend, with the price dropping 20.49% over the last week and 57.41% over the past three months. The recent uptick seems to be driven by a minor technical bounce, some excitement about upcoming network upgrades, and low trading activity that makes small price changes more noticeable.

Here are the main points:

1. Technical Bounce (Mixed Impact) – A brief recovery from oversold conditions, but the price is still below important moving averages, confirming the ongoing downtrend.
2. Network Upgrade Sentiment (Bullish Impact) – Social media buzz about upcoming "Matcha" and "Proof of Governance" upgrades is sparking speculative interest, though actual usage remains low.
3. Low Liquidity Environment (Mixed Impact) – Trading volume dropped nearly 52% to $19.9 million in 24 hours, suggesting the price move isn’t strongly supported and could reverse quickly.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Bounce (Mixed Impact)

Overview: After a long decline, TIA’s price is trying to bounce back slightly. Its 7-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 36.76, meaning it’s not deeply oversold yet. However, the price is still well below its 30-day average ($0.52) and 200-day average ($1.18), confirming the overall bearish trend.

What this means: This small gain is likely a short-term reaction after heavy selling, often called a "dead cat bounce," rather than a real trend reversal. The price remains weak, with indicators showing continued selling pressure. This situation favors short-term trades rather than long-term buying.

What to watch: A sustained move above the 30-day average near $0.52 could signal a potential short-term change in trend.

2. Network Upgrade Sentiment (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Social media and news outlets are highlighting upcoming Celestia upgrades like "Matcha" and the proposed "Proof of Governance" model. These upgrades aim to reduce token inflation and improve how the network functions.

What this means: Speculators are excited about the potential for better token economics and the idea of a modular blockchain. For example, a tweet from Artualist calls TIA "underrated" and praises its technology. However, this optimism contrasts with current weak on-chain activity, making it a risky bet.

What to watch: Confirmation of upgrade launch dates and increased on-chain activity will be key to seeing if this excitement turns into real network growth.

3. Low Liquidity Environment (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Trading volume for TIA dropped by nearly 52% in the last day, showing a lack of strong buyer interest. The turnover ratio of 0.05 indicates a thin market where small trades can cause big price swings.

What this means: The small 1% price increase happened in a low-liquidity setting, making it vulnerable to quick reversals. This low volume suggests that neither big investors nor many retail traders are actively buying, so the move is likely driven by short-term speculation rather than solid demand.

What to watch: A meaningful rise in trading volume alongside price gains would be needed to confirm a more lasting upward trend.

Conclusion

The recent 24-hour gain looks like a minor technical bounce within a strong downtrend, amplified by low liquidity and fueled by speculative talk about future upgrades. For current holders, this highlights how fragile TIA’s price action is right now, driven more by sentiment than by real growth in adoption or demand.

Key watch: Can TIA break above and hold the $0.505–$0.527 resistance zone? And will this be supported by a significant increase in trading volume?

What could affect the price of TIA?

Celestia’s future price depends on whether its technology can outpace strong competition and turn into real-world use.

1. Tech Upgrades – The new Fibre protocol aims to handle massive data speeds, which could increase demand if developers and users adopt it.
2. Ethereum Competition – Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade improves its own data handling, challenging Celestia’s main advantage.
3. Tokenomics & Sentiment – Upcoming governance changes and lower inflation may reduce token supply, but low network activity and ongoing selling by early investors remain challenges.

Deep Dive

1. Fibre Protocol & Scaling Roadmap (Positive Outlook)

Overview: Celestia recently introduced the Fibre Blockspace protocol, targeting a data throughput of 1 terabit per second. This is a huge increase in capacity designed to support new high-volume applications like real-time ad auctions and on-chain data markets (CoinMarketCap). Along with plans for scaling and “lazy bridging,” this upgrade aims to strengthen Celestia’s position in modular blockchain infrastructure.

What this means: If Fibre is successfully launched and widely adopted, it could drive strong demand for TIA tokens to pay for data space (“blobspace”). Historically, big tech upgrades that offer unique benefits can spark price increases, but this depends on actual developer and user adoption.

2. Growing Competition from Ethereum (Negative Outlook)

Overview: Ethereum’s Fusaka upgrade includes PeerDAS, which boosts Ethereum’s own data availability capacity. This directly competes with external data layers like Celestia (Bitget). Ethereum already supports over 55 rollups and processes many more daily data blobs, so Celestia must prove it offers better cost or performance to attract users.

What this means: This creates a big risk for Celestia’s adoption. If Ethereum’s upgrades meet developer needs, Celestia’s market could shrink, limiting the potential price growth of TIA. This is a structural challenge based on how the competition evolves.

3. Tokenomics & Investor Sentiment (Mixed Outlook)

Overview: Celestia’s upcoming “Matcha” upgrade will introduce Proof of Governance, which could make TIA deflationary by rewarding active voters (BlackcryptoSoprano). Also, major early investor token unlocks have ended, reducing selling pressure (AMBCrypto).

What this means: These changes are positive for reducing token supply, but their impact is limited by weak current fundamentals—daily fees are low and decentralized finance (DeFi) activity has dropped. For prices to rise, these tokenomics improvements need to happen alongside increased network use and fee generation.

Conclusion

Celestia’s price outlook is a balance between its ambitious technology plans and tough competition. In the short term, market sentiment may stay cautious, but if Fibre and governance upgrades succeed, they could set the stage for a recovery driven by real utility. The key question for investors: Will growth in active rollups and data volume pick up enough to prove the value of Celestia’s modular blockchain approach?

What are people saying about TIA?

The Celestia (TIA) community is cautiously optimistic right now. They’re noticing some positive technical signs while discussing the future of its modular blockchain technology. Here’s what’s trending:

1. A trader points out a bullish divergence, suggesting that rising trading volume might lead to a price increase.
2. Analysts have identified an inverted head and shoulders pattern, which could signal a breakout to around $0.78.
3. Supporters highlight Celestia’s “fiber optic” blockspace as a strong foundation for future blockchain applications.

Deep Dive

1. @TradiSigCrypto: Bullish divergence hints at possible price rise bullish

"🟢 Bullish Divergence: $TIA • Price: +1.0% (24h) • Volume: +22% (6h) Rising activity without price expansion often precedes upside volatility."
– @TradiSigCrypto (716 followers · Jan 4, 2026, 16:21 UTC)
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What this means: This is a positive sign for TIA. When trading volume increases but the price doesn’t move much, it often means investors are accumulating the coin. This buildup can lead to a sharp price increase if buying continues.

2. @TronWeekly: Inverted head & shoulders pattern signals potential reversal bullish

"Celestia ($TIA) shows signs of a potential reversal with an inverted head & shoulders forming 🔹 Currently at $0.5721... breakout could target $0.73–$0.78."
– @TronWeekly (32,668 followers · Jan 19, 2026, 12:00 UTC)
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What this means: This is another positive technical indicator. The inverted head and shoulders is a well-known chart pattern that often signals a trend reversal. If the price breaks above a key level (called the neckline), it could confirm a shift upward, attracting more buyers aiming for the $0.73 to $0.78 range.

3. @crickhitchens: Highlights Celestia’s fast blockspace as a unique advantage bullish

"1Tb/s of blockspace!! @celestia $TIA is the ONLY L1 providing fiber optic performance for millisecond markets... one of the easiest and best asymmetric bets in all of crypto."
– @crickhitchens (939 followers · Jan 13, 2026, 23:16 UTC)
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What this means: This points to Celestia’s technical strength. It offers extremely fast data processing (“fiber optic” speed), which could make it a key player in the future of blockchain technology. If modular blockchains become more popular, Celestia’s infrastructure could deliver outsized returns for investors.

Conclusion

Overall, the outlook for Celestia (TIA) is cautiously bullish. Traders are watching for chart patterns that suggest a price bounce, while supporters believe in the long-term potential of its modular blockchain technology. A daily close above $0.63 would be an important sign that these positive technical signals are turning into real momentum.

What is the latest news about TIA?

Recent news about Celestia (TIA) shows the project is facing some short-term selling pressure but still holds a strong long-term potential. Here’s a quick summary of the latest updates:

1. TIA Drops 13% (January 20, 2026) – The price fell sharply, breaking important support levels, signaling continued downward momentum.
2. Outlook Through 2030 (January 23, 2026) – Experts predict TIA could become a key player in modular blockchain technology, especially for rollups.
3. Recommended for Long-Term Hold (January 20, 2026) – Seen as a high-risk, high-reward investment for those willing to bet on blockchain infrastructure growth.

In-Depth Analysis

1. TIA’s 13% Price Drop (January 20, 2026)

What happened: Celestia’s price fell by 13.55% in one day, underperforming the overall crypto market. This wasn’t caused by a single event but by ongoing selling pressure. The price dropped below important technical levels, including the 30-day moving average around $0.518 and the 50% Fibonacci retracement at $0.527. Trading volume jumped 132%, confirming strong selling activity.

What it means: This is a bearish sign in the short term. It shows that investors holding TIA for a short time are selling off, and momentum is weak. For the price to recover, buyers need to push it back above the $0.505 to $0.527 range. Until then, the price is likely to test lower support levels near $0.473 and $0.45.
(Source: AMBCrypto)

2. Long-Term Outlook Through 2030 (January 23, 2026)

What happened: Analysts see Celestia as a crucial part of the growing modular blockchain ecosystem. TIA’s value depends on how widely it’s adopted, especially since it’s used to pay for “blobspace” — the data storage layer for rollups. The bullish scenario expects TIA to become the go-to data layer for Layer 2 solutions, driven by a rollup market worth trillions by 2030.

What it means: This is a cautiously optimistic view for the long term. TIA’s demand is tied to real usage and ecosystem growth, not just speculation. Investors should watch adoption indicators like the number of active rollups and daily data volume instead of focusing only on short-term price changes.
(Source: BitcoinWorld)

3. Included in Buy & Hold Strategy (January 20, 2026)

What happened: Celestia was one of five altcoins recommended for a buy-and-hold approach. It was praised for its innovative modular design, which separates transaction execution from data availability. However, it was also noted as a high-risk investment because it’s still early in its development.

What it means: This is a balanced view recognizing Celestia’s potential but also the risks involved. It’s seen as a strategic, higher-risk bet on the success of modular blockchain technology, suitable for investors with a long-term outlook and tolerance for volatility.
(Source: CoinMarketCap)

Conclusion

Celestia’s story is a mix of short-term price challenges and a promising long-term vision as blockchain infrastructure evolves. The key question in the months ahead is whether increasing use of rollups will create enough demand for TIA to overcome ongoing selling pressure.

What is expected in the development of TIA?

Celestia (TIA) is making steady progress with these key updates:

1. Matcha Upgrade: Bigger Blocks & Lower Inflation (Coming Soon) – This update increases block size from 8MB to 128MB and cuts TIA’s yearly token issuance from 5% to 2.5%.
2. Scaling to 1 Gigabyte Blocks (2025–2030 Plan) – A long-term goal to handle much more data, enabling new types of blockchain applications.
3. Proof of Governance Launch (Expected February 2026) – A proposed change to reward active validators and potentially reduce token issuance to just 0.25% per year.

In-Depth Look

1. Matcha Upgrade: Bigger Blocks & Lower Inflation (Coming Soon)

What’s happening?
The Matcha upgrade is Celestia’s biggest update so far. It’s currently live on the Arabica testnet and will soon launch on the main network. The key technical change is a new way to share blocks across the network, allowing block sizes to grow from 8MB to 128MB. This is a big step toward the goal of 1GB blocks.

Alongside this, the upgrade cuts the annual inflation rate from 5% to 2.5%, meaning fewer new TIA tokens will be created each year. It also raises the minimum commission that validators can charge to 10%, and removes some restrictions on token transfers between blockchains, making Celestia better at connecting different networks. You can find the full technical details in CIP-36 through CIP-41.

Why it matters:
Lower inflation makes TIA tokens scarcer, which can increase their value and make them more attractive for decentralized finance (DeFi) uses. The bigger blocks mean the network can handle more data, which is important for rollups—secondary layers that help scale blockchains. However, the market will need time to adjust, and the upgrade’s success depends on whether there’s enough demand for the extra block space.

2. Scaling to 1 Gigabyte Blocks (2025–2030 Plan)

What’s happening?
Celestia’s big-picture goal is to support block sizes up to 1 gigabyte—about 1,000 times bigger than current blocks. This would allow the network to process huge amounts of data, similar to running many Visa payment networks at once.

To get there, the team is working on two main areas: improving how the network reaches agreement on data (Consensus) and making it easier to check and rebuild large blocks (Data Availability). The Matcha upgrade’s 128MB blocks are an important step along this path.

Why it matters:
If successful, this would make Celestia a key data layer for many blockchain applications, especially those that need to process lots of information quickly, like on-chain games or high-speed DeFi platforms. This would increase demand for TIA tokens as more data flows through the network. The challenge is that this is a long-term plan with tough technical hurdles and competition from other blockchains like Ethereum.

3. Proof of Governance Launch (Expected February 2026)

What’s happening?
Proof of Governance (PoG) is a proposed new way to reward validators—those who help secure the network. Instead of just earning rewards for staking tokens, validators would also earn rewards for participating in on-chain governance, like voting on proposals.

A key part of this plan is to cut token issuance dramatically, from 5% down to as low as 0.25% per year. This aims to encourage more active governance and align incentives better for TIA holders.

Why it matters:
If adopted, this could make TIA tokens more valuable by reducing supply growth and encouraging network participation. It might also create pressure to buy and burn tokens if network fees increase. However, if adoption of these changes is slow, the benefits may not materialize. This proposal is still under community discussion and requires approval.

Conclusion

Celestia’s roadmap is a clear, multi-year plan focused on scaling quickly with the Matcha upgrade and aiming for a future where it serves as a neutral data layer for the internet. Success depends on delivering technical upgrades and attracting real-world use from rollups and other applications. The big question is whether Celestia can grow fast enough to compete with established blockchains and prove its modular approach works.

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What updates are there in the TIA code base?

Celestia (TIA) has recently made significant upgrades to improve its network capacity and token economics.

1. Fibre Blockspace Protocol (January 13, 2026) – Adds a new data layer that can handle terabit-scale speeds, opening the door for large-scale on-chain data markets.
2. Matcha Upgrade (Q4 2025) – Doubles the maximum block size to 128MB and cuts token issuance in half, boosting scalability and strengthening TIA’s economic model.
3. Lotus Upgrade (June 2025) – Introduces native interoperability with major blockchains and reduces network inflation by 33%.

Deep Dive

1. Fibre Blockspace Protocol (January 13, 2026)

What it is: Fibre is a new data availability protocol running alongside Celestia’s main blockchain. It’s designed to handle an extremely high data flow—up to 1 terabit per second—which is a huge leap from current speeds. This allows for continuous, high-volume data transactions, useful for things like real-time ad auctions or tiny automated payments.

Fibre requires data chunks (called blobs) to be between 256 KB and 128 MB, trading some flexibility for much higher speed. Its key innovation is a new encoding method called Zero-Knowledge Optimized Data Availability (ZODA), which is proven to be up to 881 times faster than similar technology used by Ethereum. Tests with nearly 500 network nodes showed it can sustain this high throughput.

Why it matters: This upgrade massively increases Celestia’s capacity, moving from megabytes to terabits per second. For developers and users, it means new possibilities for fast, data-heavy applications on the blockchain, positioning TIA as a key asset for future on-chain data markets.
(Source)

2. Matcha Upgrade (Q4 2025)

What it is: Matcha is Celestia’s biggest upgrade so far. It doubles the block size to 128MB and cuts the yearly token issuance rate from 5% to 2.5%. It also removes restrictions so any asset can be transferred across chains using IBC and Hyperlane.

Technically, it introduces a faster way to spread larger blocks safely across the network. It shortens the “trusting period” for light clients from 14 to 7 days and reduces the validator unbonding period to about 14 days, making the network more efficient. The upgrade also fixes important bugs related to rewards and cross-chain accounts.

Why it matters: This upgrade improves Celestia’s scalability and reduces token supply growth, which can increase TIA’s value over time. Users benefit from faster and cheaper data posting, and TIA becomes more attractive as collateral in decentralized finance (DeFi).
(Source)

3. Lotus Upgrade (June 2025)

What it is: Lotus added Hyperlane for native interoperability, allowing TIA tokens to move seamlessly between Celestia rollups and major blockchains like Ethereum, Base, and Arbitrum. It also implemented CIP-29, cutting inflation and disinflation rates by 33%. Additionally, it disabled automatic claiming of staking rewards, giving users more control, and locked rewards for tokens already under vesting.

Why it matters: This upgrade makes TIA more flexible and useful across different blockchain ecosystems. The reduced token supply supports long-term value, and the new reward claiming options offer stakers more control and potential tax benefits.
(Source)

Conclusion

Celestia is clearly focused on scaling its data capacity to terabit speeds while making TIA’s tokenomics more deflationary. The rollout of Lotus, Matcha, and Fibre shows a clear path from improving interoperability to achieving massive scalability. The big question now is whether demand for this new level of on-chain data capacity will grow as quickly as Celestia’s supply.