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Why did the price of POL go up?

Polygon (POL) increased by 2.75% in the last 24 hours, slightly outperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 2.03%. This comes after a volatile month where POL dropped 7.87%, but recent positive technical signals and ecosystem developments support a bullish outlook.

  1. Vitalik’s Endorsement – Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin praised Polygon’s zero-knowledge (ZK) technology and humanitarian efforts, boosting confidence in the project.
  2. Technical Rebound – Indicators like the MACD and RSI suggest short-term upward momentum.
  3. Migration Progress – Nearly 98% of the old MATIC tokens have been swapped to the new POL tokens, reducing uncertainty around the legacy token.

Deep Dive

1. Vitalik’s Validation (Positive Impact)

Overview: Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum, publicly recognized Polygon’s work on zero-knowledge Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) technology and its support for applications such as Polymarket (Oct 21, CoinJournal). He also praised Polygon co-founder Sandeep Nailwal for his humanitarian efforts through CryptoRelief.

What this means: Buterin’s support helps ease concerns about potential divisions within the Ethereum ecosystem and strengthens Polygon’s technical credibility. This endorsement aligns Polygon with Ethereum’s Layer 2 scaling plans, which may attract more developers and investors.

What to watch: The upcoming release of Polygon’s AggLayer v0.3 (now expected in Q4) and Ethereum Foundation’s position on alternative Layer 2 solutions.

2. Technical Momentum (Mixed Signals)

Overview: Polygon’s MACD indicator recently turned positive for the first time since September 2025, and the RSI moved up to 42.18, indicating the token is recovering from oversold conditions. The price ($0.20) has moved above the 7-day moving average ($0.1947) but remains below the 30-day average ($0.2129).

What this means: Traders are responding to technical support levels, including a key Fibonacci retracement level at $0.1899. However, trading volume is relatively low ($98 million in 24 hours, down 37% from the 30-day average), suggesting cautious market participation. The resistance at $0.2048 (38.2% Fibonacci level) is important for maintaining upward momentum.

3. Token Migration Near Completion (Neutral Impact)

Overview: As of October 26, 97.83% of holders have swapped their old MATIC tokens for the new POL tokens (Polygon Portal). Coinbase completed automatic swaps on October 14.

What this means: With most MATIC tokens migrated, selling pressure from legacy tokens is reduced, which is positive. However, the total supply of POL remains fully diluted at 10.5 billion tokens. Improvements in staking, such as through the Rio upgrade, could increase demand, but concerns about token inflation remain due to a 2% annual emission rate.

Conclusion

Polygon’s recent price increase reflects a combination of technical recovery, reduced migration risks, and strong endorsement from Ethereum leadership. While the short-term outlook is positive, long-term growth depends on the adoption of AggLayer and Polygon’s ability to leverage its focus on payments.

Key point to watch: Can POL maintain a price above $0.2048 (38.2% Fibonacci level) to aim for $0.2233 (23.6% level)? Keep an eye on Polygon’s Q4 ecosystem updates for signs of institutional adoption.

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What could affect the price of POL?

Polygon’s price depends on how widely its network is used, changes to its token system, and overall trends in the crypto market.

  1. AggLayer Adoption – Connecting different blockchains could boost demand, but delays might slow growth.
  2. Tokenomics Overhaul – Cutting inflation could reduce selling pressure if the community agrees.
  3. Institutional Staking – Regulated staking options attract big investors, though long-term sustainability is uncertain.

Deep Dive

1. AggLayer Adoption (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Polygon’s AggLayer v0.3 is designed to link liquidity across multiple blockchains using advanced cryptography called zero-knowledge proofs. The goal is to handle 5,000 transactions per second by October 2025. However, delays in connecting Polygon’s Proof-of-Stake (PoS) chain to AggLayer, along with competition from Ethereum-focused Layer 2 solutions like Base, could slow adoption.

What this means: If integration succeeds, it could attract decentralized apps (dApps) that need to work across different blockchains, increasing the use of POL tokens for transaction fees and staking. On the other hand, delays or dominance by Ethereum-based Layer 2s (see Vitalik Buterin’s support for Base here) might pull developers away, putting pressure on POL’s price support around $0.20.

2. Tokenomics Proposal (Bullish Impact)

Overview: A governance proposal aims to stop POL’s 2% yearly inflation, which currently adds about 200 million new tokens each year. Instead, the plan is to use Polygon Foundation’s reserves to buy back tokens.

What this means: Ending inflation could help stabilize or increase POL’s price, similar to what Binance Coin (BNB) experienced after its token burns. However, inflation currently funds rewards for network validators who keep the blockchain secure. Switching to treasury-funded rewards must be done carefully to avoid compromising security.

3. Institutional Staking (Bullish Impact)

Overview: Swiss-regulated AMINA Bank now offers POL staking to institutional investors, with yields up to 15% (4–5% base rate plus bonuses from the Polygon Foundation).

What this means: Institutional staking locks up a significant amount of POL tokens (out of 10.5 billion circulating), which can reduce selling pressure and support price. It also signals Polygon’s growing role in tokenizing real-world assets. However, since rewards rely on Polygon’s grants, if these subsidies decrease, investors seeking high yields might sell, increasing downward pressure.

Conclusion

POL’s future depends on balancing promising technology upgrades with the cautious mood in the crypto market (Fear & Greed Index: 36). In the short term, watch for progress on AggLayer and the tokenomics vote—success could push POL toward $0.24, a 20% gain. Over the long term, Polygon’s focus on institutional real-world asset infrastructure might protect it from the ups and downs driven by retail investors.

Will staking demand offset inflation, or will Ethereum’s Layer 2 competition leave POL behind?

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What are people saying about POL?

Polygon’s community is divided between excitement over upgrades and concerns about price movements. Here’s what’s happening:

  1. 97.8% of MATIC tokens have been migrated to POL, boosting confidence in the ecosystem
  2. Traders are watching key price levels: $0.20 as support and $0.28 as a breakout target
  3. There are mixed reactions to the upcoming zkEVM sunset and changes in leadership

Deep Dive

1. @0xPolygon: MATIC→POL Migration Almost Complete 🟢

"97.83% of the MATIC→POL upgrade is complete"
– @0xPolygon (10M followers · 12.3K impressions · August 20, 2025, 04:29 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is good news for POL holders. Nearly finishing the migration means there’s less uncertainty about how many tokens are in circulation, which supports Polygon’s technical plans. The remaining 2.17% (about 228 million MATIC tokens) still to convert means less selling pressure going forward.

2. @Tokocrypto: Indonesian Traders Expect Potential 2X Rally 🟢

"Analis prediksi potensi reli hingga 2x lipat dalam waktu dekat" (Analysts predict potential 2x rally soon)
– @Tokocrypto (2.1M followers · 8.7K impressions · September 1, 2025, 13:23 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This shows growing interest from retail traders in the Asia-Pacific region. However, this prediction isn’t based on strong fundamentals. For this rally to happen, POL would need to climb back to its July high of $0.393 — nearly double the current price of $0.20.

3. @SuzzyDeFi: Yield Investors Are Moving Into POL 🟢

"POL parked in single-sided LPs... Yearn’s highest yielding vaults"
– @SuzzyDeFi (184K followers · 3.2K impressions · September 1, 2025, 14:53 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is somewhat positive. It shows that experienced investors are putting money into Polygon through yield farming strategies. However, the impact on price is limited because Yearn’s Polygon vaults hold only $47 million compared to the network’s total value locked (TVL) of $1.23 billion.

Conclusion

Overall, the outlook for POL is cautiously hopeful. The migration progress at 97.8% is a strong positive, but technical indicators show the price is down 64% from its 2024 highs. Keep an eye on the $0.195 to $0.204 support zone — if the price falls below this range for a sustained period, it could challenge hopes for a recovery. Staying above this zone supports the idea that investors are still accumulating. Upcoming events like the Heimdall v2 hard fork scheduled for July 10, 2025, and the planned end of zkEVM support are likely to cause price swings and should be watched closely.


What is the latest news about POL?

Polygon is navigating challenges within its ecosystem and making technical progress as the POL token stabilizes after its migration. Here are the key updates:

  1. Ethereum Layer 2 Loyalty Debate (Oct 22, 2025) – Delays with Polygon’s AggLayer and Vitalik Buterin’s praise for Coinbase’s Base spark questions about Ethereum’s support for external Layer 2 solutions.
  2. Leadership Criticizes Ethereum Foundation (Oct 21, 2025) – Polygon co-founder Sandeep Nailwal joins Andre Cronje in criticizing the Ethereum Foundation for lack of developer support.
  3. Coinbase Completes MATIC-to-POL Swap (Oct 14, 2025) – Coinbase finishes converting MATIC tokens to POL, with 99% of users migrated despite a 40% drop in POL’s price since 2024.

Deep Dive

1. Ethereum Layer 2 Loyalty Debate (October 22, 2025)

Overview:
Polygon’s AggLayer v0.3, designed to enable interoperability across different blockchains, missed its Q3 deadline to integrate with Polygon’s Proof-of-Stake (PoS) chain. This delay has sparked discussions about Ethereum’s commitment to supporting external Layer 2 (L2) networks. Vitalik Buterin, Ethereum’s co-founder, publicly praised Coinbase’s Base network in September, which has been leading in sequencer profits according to L2BEAT data. Vitalik’s 2025 roadmap focuses on strengthening Ethereum’s Layer 1 (L1) security, raising questions about Polygon’s role as a cooperative L2 partner.

What this means:
This situation is neutral for POL. Ethereum’s changing approach creates both competition, through Base, and opportunities for collaboration. If AggLayer succeeds, Polygon could become a key cross-chain platform. However, delays risk losing ground to competitors. (CryptoSlate)

2. Leadership Criticizes Ethereum Foundation (October 21, 2025)

Overview:
Andre Cronje and Polygon’s Sandeep Nailwal publicly criticized the Ethereum Foundation (EF) for not providing enough support to developers. Nailwal emphasized Polygon’s role in scaling Ethereum but pointed out that EF has not officially recognized Polygon as a Layer 2 solution. Vitalik responded by praising Polygon’s work on zero-knowledge Ethereum Virtual Machine (ZK-EVM) technology and their CryptoRelief efforts but encouraged the adoption of standardized zero-knowledge technology.

What this means:
This news is bearish in the short term, reflecting some division within the Ethereum ecosystem. However, it could be positive long term if Polygon’s independence helps it strengthen its technical capabilities. POL’s price dropped about 5% after the news, in line with a broader decline in alternative cryptocurrencies. (CoinSpeaker)

3. Coinbase Completes MATIC-to-POL Swap (October 14, 2025)

Overview:
Coinbase completed the removal of MATIC from its platform, automatically converting remaining MATIC balances to POL tokens. The migration is now 99% complete. Despite this, POL’s price has fallen 40.5% since September 2024. On the technical side, Polygon’s Rio hardfork improved transaction finality to under 5 seconds and set the stage for scaling to 5,000 transactions per second (TPS).

What this means:
This is a neutral to slightly positive development. Removing the old MATIC token clears up confusion and token supply issues, but the price drop shows weak market sentiment. The technical upgrades position POL well for growth in real-world assets (RWA), with over $1 billion already tokenized on Polygon’s network. (U.Today)

Conclusion

Polygon is at a crossroads regarding its relationship with Ethereum but continues to build important infrastructure for payments and institutional use. While leadership disagreements and token migration challenges have affected market sentiment, Polygon’s AggLayer project and leadership in tokenizing real-world assets offer strong reasons for optimism. Will Ethereum’s roadmap push external Layer 2s like Polygon to the sidelines, or can Polygon find a cooperative role that benefits both?


What is expected in the development of POL?

Polygon’s roadmap is focused on improving scalability, enabling cross-chain connections, and increasing the use of its token, POL.

  1. AggLayer Integration (2025) – Linking Polygon PoS with AggLayer to unify liquidity across different blockchains.
  2. 5,000 TPS Goal (Sept/Oct 2025) – Upgrading Polygon PoS to handle 5,000 transactions per second, supporting real-world assets and stablecoin payments.
  3. Gigagas Roadmap (2026) – Expanding capacity to 100,000 transactions per second for a global payment system.

Deep Dive

1. AggLayer Integration (2025)

Overview: Polygon PoS plans to connect with AggLayer, a protocol that allows different blockchains to work together securely without needing a trusted middleman. This connection will help POL tokens support multiple blockchains within the Polygon network (Polygon Blog).

What this means:

2. 5,000 TPS Goal (September/October 2025)

Overview: After the Heimdall v2 upgrade planned for July 2025, Polygon aims to increase its Polygon PoS network’s speed to 5,000 transactions per second. This upgrade targets better support for real-world assets (RWAs) and stablecoin transactions (Coinspeaker).

What this means:

3. Gigagas Roadmap (2026)

Overview: The “Gigagas” plan aims to scale Polygon to 100,000 transactions per second by 2026 through several upgrades. It starts with the Bhilai testnet, which targets 1,000 TPS with very low fees (under $0.001). Partnerships with companies like Stripe and BlackRock are intended to connect traditional finance liquidity with Polygon (CoinMarketCap).

What this means:

Conclusion

Polygon’s roadmap combines technical improvements like higher transaction speeds and cross-chain integration with long-term growth plans. Success depends on hitting these ambitious performance goals and keeping developer interest strong. The big question remains: will Polygon’s support for real-world assets attract more institutional users than competing Layer 2 solutions?


What updates are there in the POL code base?

Polygon has recently updated its technology to switch from MATIC to POL and improve its network features.

  1. MATIC to POL Migration (September 2024) – Polygon PoS users automatically upgraded to POL, which is now the main token for fees and staking.
  2. Heimdall v2 Mainnet Upgrade (July 2025) – Network upgrades made transactions faster and safer, with better consensus mechanisms.
  3. AggLayer Integration Roadmap (2025) – POL will play a bigger role in connecting different blockchains through Polygon’s new interoperability system.

Deep Dive

1. MATIC to POL Migration (September 2024)

Overview: Polygon PoS users had their MATIC tokens automatically switched to POL, which is now the primary token used for paying transaction fees and staking to secure the network. Ethereum users had to manually switch their tokens through the Polygon Portal.
What this means: This change is positive for POL because it simplifies how the network is secured and supports Polygon’s goal of creating a unified blockchain ecosystem. Making it easier for users and validators to participate helps encourage long-term growth. (Source)

2. Heimdall v2 Mainnet Upgrade (July 2025)

Overview: Polygon upgraded its consensus layer software from Tendermint/Cosmos-SDK v0.37 to CometBFT/Cosmos-SDK v0.50. This reduced the time it takes to finalize transactions to about 5 seconds and improved how efficiently validators operate.
What this means: This upgrade is generally positive for POL because it boosts the network’s speed and reliability, which is important for high-volume uses like payments. However, node operators experienced a short downtime of about 3 hours during the update. (Source)

3. AggLayer Integration Roadmap (2025)

Overview: POL is set to become a key token in AggLayer, Polygon’s solution for enabling communication and interaction between different blockchains, pending approval from the community.
What this means: This is good news for POL because it could lead to new opportunities like earning rewards across multiple blockchains and having a bigger role in network governance, helping Polygon grow into a multi-chain platform.

Conclusion

Polygon’s recent updates focus on making the transition to POL smooth, speeding up transactions, and expanding POL’s use across different blockchains. With nearly all MATIC tokens already upgraded and AggLayer integration coming soon, POL’s importance in securing and linking blockchains is growing. It will be interesting to see how developers respond to these improvements.