Why did the price of RENDER fall?

Render (RENDER) dropped 4.92% in the past 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell 1.68%. The main reasons include a technical breakdown, weakness across altcoins, and less excitement around AI-related tokens.

1. Technical Support Lost – Price fell below $2.70, triggering more selling pressure.
2. Altcoin Market Weakness – Bitcoin’s dominance rose to 59.3%, pulling money away from altcoins like Render.
3. Cooling AI Hype – Interest in AI and GPU-focused tokens has slowed, despite Render’s strong connection to these areas.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Breakdown (Negative Impact)

What happened: On October 22, Render’s price dropped below a key support level at $2.70, which had held steady since mid-October 2025. Now, the price is below important moving averages (7-day average at $2.53, 30-day average at $3.12). The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 36.55, showing the coin is oversold but not yet signaling a rebound.

Why it matters: Falling below $2.70 triggered stop-loss orders and automated selling, pushing the price down further. The next support level is $2.34, based on a common technical tool called Fibonacci retracement. Indicators like the MACD histogram are still negative, suggesting downward momentum continues.

What to watch: If Render closes above $2.53 (the 7-day moving average), it might see a short-term bounce. But if it falls below $2.34, it could drop further toward $1.96.

2. Altcoin Market Weakness (Negative Impact)

What happened: Bitcoin’s market share increased to 59.3%, up 0.3% in the last day. This shows investors are moving money out of altcoins and into Bitcoin. The Altcoin Season Index, which measures how well altcoins are doing compared to Bitcoin, dropped to 26—near its lowest point this year.

Why it matters: As a mid-sized altcoin, Render is feeling the pressure from this shift. Its trading volume relative to market size is only 4%, indicating low liquidity. This means price swings can be more extreme.

3. Cooling AI Token Interest (Mixed Impact)

What happened: Render’s decentralized GPU network fits well with AI and computing trends. However, the market’s attention has shifted toward Bitcoin ETFs and broader economic concerns, like a recent 8% drop in gold prices. There hasn’t been any major news to boost Render specifically.

Why it matters: The AI token sector overall has weakened. Render’s price has fallen 35.18% over the past 30 days, similar to other AI-related tokens like TAO, which dropped 28.5%. Investors seem to be taking profits after the strong AI hype in Q3.

Conclusion

Render’s recent price drop is due to a combination of technical selling, a broader pullback in altcoins, and fading excitement around AI tokens. The project’s long-term value in decentralized computing remains strong, but short-term price moves will depend on Bitcoin’s direction and whether the $2.34 support level holds.

Key to watch: Will Render hold above $2.34? And can upcoming AI-related events, like NVIDIA’s earnings or updates on computing demand, spark renewed buying interest?

What could affect the price of RENDER?

Render’s price is caught between growing demand driven by AI and broader economic challenges.

1. AI Compute Trial Expansion – Adding U.S. nodes for AI tasks is a positive sign.
2. Token Burn vs. Inflation – The Burn-and-Mint Equilibrium (BME) model balances token burns with 3.06 million new tokens minted monthly, leading to mixed effects.
3. Market Sentiment – Crypto fear is high, and altcoin liquidity is tightening, putting downward pressure on prices.

Deep Dive

1. Growth of the AI Compute Network (Positive Outlook)

Overview:
Render launched a trial in July 2025 to expand its U.S.-based Compute Network, focusing on AI inference and edge machine learning tasks. Over 5,600 nodes are active, many equipped with powerful NVIDIA RTX 5090 GPUs. These nodes earn RENDER tokens by staying available and completing jobs. In July alone, the network processed 1.49 million frames and burned 207,900 USDC (Render Network).

What this means:
If AI adoption continues to grow, demand for RENDER as a payment token could increase, leading to more tokens being burned (so far, 795,000 RENDER burned this year). The rising number of nodes also shows the network is healthy. However, challenges like scaling the network or competition from big centralized cloud providers could slow growth.

2. Tokenomics: Balancing Token Burns and Minting (Mixed Outlook)

Overview:
Render uses a Burn-and-Mint Equilibrium (BME) model. Artists burn RENDER tokens to buy credits, while the network mints 3.06 million new tokens each month to reward node operators, fund grants, and cover operations. Currently, 518.58 million tokens are in circulation, which is about 83% of the maximum supply of 644.17 million (Render Dashboard).

What this means:
If demand from creative studios (like Warner Bros’ augmented reality projects) grows faster than new tokens are minted, it could create deflationary pressure, which is good for price. But if token emissions outpace demand, it could dilute value. In Q3 2025, the supply still grew by 4.8% despite token burns.

3. Market Sentiment and Liquidity (Negative Outlook)

Overview:
The overall crypto market is cautious. The Fear & Greed Index was at 29 in October 2025, indicating fear, and the altcoin season index dropped 57% month-over-month. Render’s 30-day trading volume decreased by 11.6% to $49.5 million, while Bitcoin’s market dominance rose to 59.3% (CMC Global Metrics).

What this means:
RENDER’s price tends to move with other AI-related tokens like FET and RNDR, making it vulnerable to selloffs in the sector. If Bitcoin’s price climbs above $112,000, it could pull liquidity away from altcoins like RENDER. However, supportive Federal Reserve policies aimed at crypto infrastructure, such as payment accounts, might help balance this out.

Conclusion

Render’s price will depend on how well AI adoption grows compared to ongoing economic uncertainties. Keep an eye on the number of active nodes (currently 5,600) and how many tokens are burned each quarter. If the network can process over 2 million frames monthly while keeping token emissions steady, $3.00 could become a strong support level. For traders, the key question is whether the BME model can withstand the current cautious market sentiment.

What are people saying about RENDER?

The Render (RENDER) community is split between excitement about AI-driven growth and caution over technical challenges. Here’s the latest:

1. Traders are closely watching the $4.00 price level as a critical support point.
2. Growth in Render’s ecosystem is fueling positive outlooks.
3. Coinbase’s decision to delist Render has caused some uncertainty and bearish sentiment.

In-Depth Look

1. @AssetSwapAI: Render’s fundamentals vs. mid-cap limits – Mixed

“Tokenomics score 8.5/10 (limited supply, token burns), but a $2.8 billion market cap limits explosive growth. Hollywood adoption and 20% month-over-month user growth help offset competition risks.”
– @AssetSwapAI (12K followers · 45K impressions · 2025-06-15 05:58 UTC)
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What this means: Opinions are mixed because Render shows strong real-world use, with 400% year-over-year revenue growth, but its valuation feels high. The $15 million annual revenue from GPU services adds credibility, yet the market cap compared to revenue suggests caution.

2. @rendernetwork: AI tool development accelerates – Bullish

“We’re building Once Upon (an AI storytelling tool) and Rendirector on Render Network. Only 6 days left for Render Royale’s retro sci-fi contest with $RENDER prizes.”
– @rendernetwork (298K followers · 1.2M impressions · 2025-08-19 18:07 UTC)
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What this means: This is a positive sign for adoption. Render is expanding beyond just rendering graphics into AI content creation, which could attract new developers and open up fresh use cases.

3. CoinMarketCap Trader: $4.00 support under pressure – Bearish

“SELLERS ARE TESTING THE $4.00 SUPPORT LEVEL. A drop below $3.97 looks likely; to turn bullish again, price needs to reclaim $4.04.”
– CoinMarketCap Community Post (8.5K likes · 2025-08-10 05:22 UTC)
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What this means: Traders are showing a bearish outlook, with $4.00 acting as a key psychological support. After Coinbase delisted Render in May 2025, trading volume dropped 18%, raising concerns about liquidity.

Conclusion

The overall view on Render is mixed. Strong fundamentals driven by AI and GPU adoption are balanced by technical weaknesses and challenges from exchange delistings. Partnerships with Hollywood and over 500,000 users indicate product-market fit, but the failed attempt to break $4.20 in October 2025 and a 35% price drop over 30 days highlight market doubts. Keep an eye on the $3.37–$3.59 price range—breaking above this zone could support Coincodex’s $4.35 target for October, while failing to hold may lead to further declines toward yearly lows.

What is the latest news about RENDER?

Render is pushing forward with AI growth and community engagement despite tough market conditions. Here’s what’s new:

1. US Compute Trial Launch (August 7, 2025) – Expanding decentralized AI computing using NVIDIA GPUs
2. Bounty Platform Launch (July 24, 2025) – Rewarding community contributions with RENDER tokens
3. Hollywood Partnership (June 20, 2025) – Collaboration with producer Andrey Lebrov sparks a 30% price jump

In-Depth Look

1. US Compute Trial Launch (August 7, 2025)

What’s happening:
Render started onboarding US-based node operators for a trial of its AI-focused computing network in July 2025. Early users mainly run NVIDIA RTX 5090 GPUs. Participants earn rewards in RENDER tokens based on availability and completed tasks. The network is designed to handle AI tasks like machine learning and edge computing.

Why it matters:
This trial marks Render’s shift from just 3D rendering to supporting AI infrastructure—a market expected to grow about 38% annually through 2030 (Render Network). If successful, RENDER could serve both creative industries and AI computing needs.

2. Bounty Platform Launch (July 24, 2025)

What’s happening:
Render launched a decentralized marketplace where community members can earn RENDER tokens by helping improve the network, developing tools, or supporting community projects. Early tasks focus on optimizing the network and improving developer guides.

Why it matters:
This platform encourages more people to contribute to Render’s growth while potentially lowering development costs. However, since RENDER’s price has dropped 41% year-to-date, keeping contributors motivated during a weak market will be a challenge (Render Network).

3. Hollywood Partnership (June 20, 2025)

What’s happening:
Render teamed up with film producer Andrey Lebrov to enhance GPU workflows for big film and TV projects. This partnership helped push RENDER’s price up by 30%, although some gains were lost as the broader crypto market declined.

Why it matters:
Partnering with a well-known media figure shows Render’s potential in enterprise settings. Still, the price volatility highlights risks—RENDER is still 54% below its 2024 high despite this boost (Kanalcoin).

Conclusion

Render is making progress by expanding its AI computing trials, launching community rewards, and forming industry partnerships. These moves support its vision of decentralized GPU computing. However, with RENDER’s price down 35% over the past month, the project faces an uphill battle to gain widespread adoption before traditional cloud providers dominate this space. Can Render turn its Hollywood and AI momentum into lasting success?

What is expected in the development of RENDER?

Render’s roadmap is centered on growing its decentralized GPU network and integrating AI technologies.

1. Compute Network Expansion (Q4 2025) – Scaling AI and machine learning tasks worldwide.
2. Bounty Platform Growth (2026) – Rewarding community members for their contributions.
3. Governance Upgrades (2026) – Making decision-making processes smoother and more transparent.

In-Depth Look

1. Compute Network Expansion (Q4 2025)

Overview: Currently, Render’s Compute Network is being tested in the U.S., with plans to expand globally. This network supports AI tasks, machine learning at the edge, and advanced 3D rendering. People who run nodes (computers that provide processing power) earn RENDER tokens for keeping their systems available and completing jobs. Early users mostly use NVIDIA RTX 5090 GPUs (Render Network).
What this means: This is a positive sign for RENDER as demand for decentralized GPU power grows, especially for AI and machine learning. However, challenges include competition from big cloud providers and technical hurdles in scaling the network.

2. Bounty Platform Growth (2026)

Overview: Launched in July 2025, the Bounty Platform rewards developers and artists who contribute to the Render ecosystem, such as by creating tools or tutorials. By August 2025, the platform had processed 1.49 million frames and burned 207,900 USDC, showing active use (Render Network).
What this means: This is somewhat positive, depending on continued community involvement. If bounty activity slows down, it could indicate less interest from developers.

3. Governance Upgrades (2026)

Overview: Render Network Proposals (RNPs) guide changes to the protocol, like adjusting token emissions (RNP-018) and other economic factors. Future improvements aim to make voting easier and increase transparency (Render Foundation).
What this means: Easier governance is a good sign, but delays or disagreements could slow progress.

Conclusion

Render’s future depends on successfully expanding its decentralized GPU network for AI and machine learning, while also empowering its community through better governance. Although there are technical risks, growth could strengthen Render’s position in decentralized infrastructure. The key question remains: how will rising AI demand affect RENDER’s token value and incentives for node operators?

What updates are there in the RENDER code base?

Render’s development is focusing on integrating AI tools, supporting multiple rendering engines, and expanding decentralized computing power.

1. AI Workflow Integration (August 2025) – New AI tools like Once Upon and Rendirector have been added to the Render Network.
2. Render Compute Network Launch (July 2025) – U.S.-based node operators were onboarded to handle AI and machine learning workloads.
3. Legacy Contract Deprecation (July 2025) – The older Polygon-based RNDR tokens were phased out after a security review.

Deep Dive

1. AI Workflow Integration (August 2025)

Overview: The Render Network now supports AI-powered tools such as Once Upon, which helps with storyboarding, and Rendirector, which optimizes scenes using AI. These tools were developed by RenderLabs, a partner in the Render ecosystem. They simplify 3D creative workflows by combining AI with traditional rendering.

Artists can now use AI-generated assets directly within OctaneRender pipelines. The rendering jobs are distributed across Render’s decentralized GPU network, which connects AI-generated content with classic rendering processes. This reduces manual work and speeds up creative projects.

What this means: This is positive news for RENDER because it expands the network’s use beyond just 3D rendering. It attracts AI developers and digital artists, potentially increasing network activity and token usage.
(Source)

2. Render Compute Network Launch (July 2025)

Overview: Render started testing its new Render Compute Network, designed specifically for AI workloads. They brought in node operators based in the U.S. to handle tasks like machine learning inference and edge computing.

This new network supports AI and machine learning tasks such as real-time model training, complementing Render’s existing 3D rendering services. It uses a separate pricing system and a reputation model for nodes that focus on AI jobs.

What this means: This development is cautiously optimistic for RENDER. It opens new revenue opportunities but depends on attracting enough AI developers, especially since centralized cloud providers dominate this space.
(Source)

3. Legacy Contract Deprecation (July 2025)

Overview: Render has retired its old RNDR token contract on the Polygon blockchain due to security concerns. Token holders were encouraged to move their tokens to the newer Solana-based RENDER tokens through an upgrade portal.

This change follows the earlier migration to Solana in 2023 and focuses on improving security. Only wallets holding RNDR tokens on Polygon at a specific snapshot date can migrate. Ethereum and Solana tokens remain unaffected.

What this means: This is a neutral update for RENDER. It removes potential security risks but requires users to take action. It also highlights Render’s commitment to Solana’s fast and scalable blockchain infrastructure.
(Source)

Conclusion

Render is shifting its technology toward better AI and machine learning integration, along with a secure and scalable network setup. These updates position RENDER as a leader in decentralized AI infrastructure (DePIN). However, the true impact will depend on how widely AI workloads are adopted on the network. It will be interesting to see how Render balances token supply and demand as AI compute needs change.