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AVAX cryptocurrency analytics and price forecast for September 10, 2025 - Trading Non Stop
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Why did the price of AVAX go up?

Avalanche (AVAX) jumped 12.77% in the last 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 2.34%. This surge was driven by strong technical signals, excitement around a new ETF filing, and increased activity on the Avalanche network.

  1. Technical Breakout – AVAX broke through an important price level at $27.
  2. ETF Buzz – Bitwise filed for an AVAX ETF, sparking interest from big investors.
  3. Network Growth – Record activity on Avalanche’s C-Chain and a 58% increase in real-world asset transactions.

Deep Dive

1. Technical Momentum (Positive Signal)

AVAX recently climbed above the $27 price mark, which was a key resistance level. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), a tool that measures momentum, is at 83.47—this is high and suggests the coin is gaining strong buying interest but might be overbought soon. Another indicator, the MACD, also supports the idea that buying pressure is strong.

What this means: Traders are eyeing $29.43 as the next target price. If AVAX stays above $27.74, it could encourage more buyers to jump in. However, because the RSI is so high, there’s a chance of a short-term price pullback.

2. Institutional Catalysts (Positive Signal)

Bitwise, a well-known investment firm, filed for an Avalanche ETF (Exchange-Traded Fund) on September 6 (ManLyNFT). This move is similar to past filings for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs. Additionally, BlackRock, one of the largest asset managers, has started using Avalanche for tokenized assets.

What this means: The ETF filing shows that big financial players are taking Avalanche seriously, which could bring more investment once regulators approve it. The Altcoin Season Index, which tracks altcoin performance, has jumped 134% in the last 30 days, showing growing interest in coins like AVAX.

3. On-Chain & Ecosystem Growth (Positive Signal)

In August, Avalanche’s C-Chain processed a record 35.8 million transactions (ManLyNFT). Real World Asset (RWA) transactions increased by 58%, thanks to projects like MapleStory Universe and other institutional tokenization efforts.

What this means: Avalanche is becoming a top choice for businesses using blockchain technology. The rise in active users and transactions shows that demand is coming from real use cases, not just speculation.

Conclusion

Avalanche’s recent price rise is supported by strong technical momentum, excitement around ETF filings, and real growth in its network. While the outlook is positive, the high RSI suggests investors should watch for possible short-term price swings.

Key watch: Will AVAX stay above the $27.74 support level? Keep an eye on Bitwise’s ETF progress and whether the RSI cools down in the coming hours.


What could affect the price of AVAX?

Avalanche is balancing positive upgrades with the risks of the broader altcoin market.

  1. Subnet Adoption & Upgrades – Octane’s fee cuts and FIFA’s move to Avalanche boost real-world use.
  2. Altcoin Season Rotation – A rising altcoin index suggests AVAX could attract more investment.
  3. Regulatory Sentiment – Potential ETF approvals and focus on real-world assets may draw institutional interest.

Deep Dive

1. Subnet Growth & Technical Upgrades (Positive Outlook)

Overview:
Avalanche’s Octane Upgrade in July 2025 cut fees on its main chain (C-Chain) by about 96% and introduced flexible staking for validators, making it 83% cheaper to launch subnets (custom blockchains). Big partnerships like FIFA moving their NFTs to Avalanche and VanEck’s $100 million fund for real-world asset tokenization are driving adoption. Daily transactions reached 1.5 million in June 2025, a 170% increase from the previous quarter (Messari).

What this means:
Lower fees and easier subnet creation could attract more developers and businesses, increasing demand for AVAX as the network’s fuel and staking token. Continued subnet growth might push AVAX’s price toward technical targets between $50 and $146.

2. Altcoin Season Momentum (Mixed Signals)

Overview:
The Altcoin Season Index jumped 113% over 30 days to 62 out of 100 by September 2025, showing money moving from Bitcoin into altcoins. AVAX’s price rose 41% over 60 days, matching this trend. However, 76% of derivatives positions are long, which means many traders expect prices to rise but could face losses if the market turns.

What this means:
Short-term gains are possible, but crowded long positions near the $30 resistance level (around $27.74) increase the risk of a sharp pullback. If AVAX breaks above $31.38, the rally could continue; if not, the price might fall back to support near $25.

3. Regulatory Catalysts (Generally Positive)

Overview:
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is showing openness to crypto in retirement accounts like 401(k)s. Grayscale and VanEck have filed for AVAX ETFs, with decisions expected by July 2025. Avalanche’s subnet design complies with regulations, making it attractive for tokenizing real-world assets.

What this means:
ETF approval could bring institutional money similar to Bitcoin’s 2024 inflows. Clear rules around tokenized assets may strengthen AVAX’s role in traditional finance partnerships. However, stricter regulations on privacy tools (like the Tornado Cash case) could reduce decentralized finance (DeFi) activity.

Conclusion

Avalanche’s price depends on how well subnets are adopted, the strength of the altcoin market, and regulatory developments. The Octane Upgrade and partnerships around real-world assets provide solid support, but risks remain from overleveraged traders and Bitcoin’s market dominance. Will AVAX’s focus on enterprise solutions help it stand out in a maturing altcoin market? Watch for weekly closes above $30 and subnet transaction growth to confirm the trend.


What are people saying about AVAX?

The conversation around Avalanche (AVAX) shows a mix of hopeful signs and caution. Here’s what’s trending:

  1. Optimism grows as AVAX approaches a key resistance level near $27, with some targeting prices as high as $50.
  2. Warnings increase about a possible drop if AVAX falls below $24.50 support.
  3. Institutional interest is rising, highlighted by partnerships involving real-world assets (RWA) and new ETF filings.

Deep Dive

1. @ManLyNFT: Bullish Outlook with Resistance Breakout Targeting $40–$46

"AVAX is hovering just below the $27 resistance level, with the C-Chain recording 35.8 million transactions in August. The Bitwise ETF filing and a 58% increase in RWA volume point to growing institutional interest."
– @ManLyNFT (23K followers · 412K impressions · 2025-09-06 15:40 UTC)
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What this means: This is a positive sign for AVAX. Increased transaction activity and the potential approval of ETFs could support AVAX’s role in tokenizing real-world assets—a market valued at over $10 trillion.

2. @avax: Steady Progress but No Clear Momentum Yet

"avalanche delivers."
– @avax (1.2M followers · 2.8M impressions · 2025-08-16 14:00 UTC)
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What this means: This is neutral. The Avalanche team is making steady progress, but traders are waiting for more concrete signs—like wider adoption of subnets or changes in token burn rates—to confirm a strong upward trend.

3. Community Analyst: Bearish Signals Near $24.40–$24.60 Support

"AVAX is facing selling pressure after failing to hold $25.60. If it breaks below $24.40, it could drop further toward $23.80. Bulls need to reclaim $25.40 to reverse this trend."
– Community Post (8.0 quality score · 2025-08-18 00:34 UTC)
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What this means: This is a short-term warning. If AVAX falls below $24.50 support, it could trigger more selling and push prices lower. Holding above this level is critical for a potential rebound.

Conclusion

The outlook for Avalanche (AVAX) is mixed. On one hand, growing institutional interest and partnerships like FIFA’s subnet and ETF filings suggest strong long-term potential. On the other hand, the $25 to $27 price range is a crucial battleground. Watch the $24.50–$25.60 range closely this week—breaking above could spark buying excitement, while failure to hold may lead to continued sideways movement.


What is the latest news about AVAX?

Avalanche is gaining momentum thanks to growing support from big companies and strong technical signals. Here’s the latest news:

  1. Visa Partnership (July 31, 2025) – Avalanche is now Visa’s chosen blockchain for stablecoin payments.
  2. Strong Q2 Growth (July 25, 2025) – A FIFA partnership and record transaction numbers boost Avalanche’s ecosystem.
  3. Price Breakout Signal (September 6, 2025) – Technical indicators suggest AVAX could rise to $40–$46 soon.

In-Depth Look

1. Visa Partnership (July 31, 2025)

What happened:
Visa added Avalanche to its blockchain network for settling stablecoin payments like USDC and PYUSD. This means Avalanche is now a key player in handling fast and low-cost crypto payments for businesses. Avalanche can process about 4,500 transactions per second with fees around one cent.

Why it matters:
This is a big vote of confidence for Avalanche. It shows that major companies trust its technology, which could encourage developers to create new payment apps on Avalanche. Visa’s move also supports Avalanche’s goal of connecting real-world assets with blockchain technology. (AVAX)

2. Strong Q2 Growth (July 25, 2025)

What happened:
According to Messari, Avalanche hit several milestones in the second quarter:

Why it matters:
Growth in gaming and real-world assets (RWAs) shows Avalanche’s expanding use cases. The FIFA subnet could bring millions of new users who aren’t familiar with crypto, while institutional products like VBILL add more liquidity to decentralized finance (DeFi). (BK_Avax)

3. Price Breakout Signal (September 6, 2025)

What happened:
AVAX’s price jumped nearly 13% in one day, reaching $29.28 and testing a key resistance level at $26.50. Analysts see a breakout pattern that could push the price to $40–$46, supported by over $120 million in recent investments and Bitwise’s filing for an AVAX exchange-traded fund (ETF).

Why it matters:
The technical signs match the positive fundamentals. If AVAX stays above $27, it could trigger a buying frenzy, although $30 remains a psychological barrier. More AVAX tokens are being staked (221 million locked), and real-world asset volumes grew 58% in Q2, adding to the upward momentum. (ManLyNFT)

Conclusion

Avalanche is making strong moves in payments (Visa), gaming (FIFA), and institutional finance (VanEck). Combined with promising technical trends, AVAX could be on track to challenge its all-time high of $55.69 in 2025.


What is expected in the development of AVAX?

Avalanche’s upcoming plans focus on growing its ecosystem and improving technology:

  1. Gaming Accelerator Launch (August 11, 2025) – Funding between $25,000 and $125,000 for blockchain game developers.
  2. Octane Phase 2 Upgrade (Q3 2025) – Introducing flexible fees and data cleanup to make the C-Chain run more efficiently.
  3. Subnet Scalability (Q4 2025) – The Blueberry Upgrade lets businesses create custom blockchains tailored to their needs.

In-Depth Look

1. Gaming Accelerator Launch (August 11, 2025)

What’s happening:
Avalanche Foundation, together with analytics company Helika, started a 3-month program to bring in game studios from both traditional (Web2) and blockchain-based (Web3) backgrounds. They offer up to $125,000 in grants, plus mentorship and technical help. Early participants include games like the tactical shooter BloodLoop and the AI-driven gaming platform WarpGameFDN (Avalanche tweet).

Why it matters:
This is a positive sign for Avalanche (AVAX) because gaming can attract more users and increase transactions on the network. For example, the game MapleStory Universe boosted daily transactions by 275% in June 2025. However, there’s a risk if projects launch late or don’t keep players engaged.

2. Octane Phase 2 Upgrade (Q3 2025)

What’s happening:
After reducing fees by 42% in July, Avalanche is rolling out Phase 2, which adds dynamic fee adjustments and “state pruning” — a way to archive old data to keep the network running smoothly. Validators (network participants who confirm transactions) will now vote on fee settings through a process called ACP-176.

Why it matters:
This upgrade is somewhat positive. Lower fees make Avalanche more attractive to developers, but since not all fees will be burned (destroyed), the decrease in token supply might slow down. Still, Avalanche’s fees remain about three times lower than Ethereum Layer 2 solutions, giving it a competitive edge.

3. Subnet Scalability (Q4 2025)

What’s happening:
The Blueberry Upgrade will allow Avalanche’s subnets—custom blockchains built on Avalanche—to run virtual machines beyond the standard Ethereum-compatible ones. This opens doors for big companies like LG CNS, which is testing a Korean won stablecoin, and FIFA, which is exploring NFTs.

Why it matters:
This is a promising long-term development because it expands Avalanche’s use cases beyond decentralized finance (DeFi). However, how quickly businesses adopt these features depends on clear regulations around real-world assets (RWAs) and stablecoins. Other platforms like Polygon are also competing for this institutional business.

Conclusion

Avalanche’s roadmap strikes a balance between improving its technology (Octane upgrades) and expanding its ecosystem (gaming and subnets). The recent 40% price jump over 90 days shows strong optimism, but lasting success depends on turning developer interest into real-world use. The big question: will the Blueberry Upgrade help Avalanche connect crypto with traditional finance in a meaningful way?


What updates are there in the AVAX code base?

Avalanche recently upgraded its technology to improve how fast and private transactions can be on its network.

  1. Octane Upgrade (July 19, 2025) – A major update that lowered fees and allowed multiple transactions to happen at the same time.
  2. eERC Standard Launch (July 2025) – Introduced encrypted ERC-20 tokens that let users keep some transaction details private.

Deep Dive

1. Octane Upgrade (July 19, 2025)

Overview:
This update cut transaction fees by about 96%, dropping from $0.25 to just $0.01 per transaction. It also set the stage for processing transactions in parallel, which means the network can handle more activity at once.

Key changes included:

What this means:
Lower fees and better scalability make Avalanche more attractive for high-traffic applications like gaming and real-world assets (RWAs). Node operators had until May 1, 2025, to update their software to keep the network running smoothly.
(Source)

2. eERC Standard Launch (July 2025)

Overview:
Avalanche’s AvaCloud platform introduced encrypted ERC-20 tokens. These tokens let developers create assets that keep transaction details private but still allow selective sharing when needed.

Technical highlights:

What this means:
This update could help Avalanche attract more business users who need privacy, like for private settlements. However, it also means more attention from regulators. Since no changes are needed for existing apps, adoption should be easier.
(Source)

Conclusion

Avalanche’s recent upgrades focus on making the network more scalable, affordable, and privacy-friendly—key factors for enterprise use. With daily transactions hitting 1.5 million in June 2025, the big question is whether these improvements will help Avalanche expand beyond niche projects like FIFA’s NFT platform.