Why did the price of XRP go up?

XRP increased by 7.47% to $2.55 in the last 24 hours, outperforming the overall crypto market, which rose by 4.57%. The main reasons for this rise include:

1. Market-wide recovery – Crypto prices jumped after easing tensions between the U.S. and China, boosting investor confidence.
2. Technical breakout – XRP broke through a key resistance level at $2.50, sparking upward momentum.
3. Whale buying – Large investors bought XRP during price dips, with increased activity on the blockchain after a recent crash.

Deep Dive

1. Macro Relief Rally (Positive Impact)

Overview:
Cryptocurrency prices bounced back strongly after former President Donald Trump softened his approach to proposed 100% tariffs on China (Coingape). The chance of these tariffs being put in place dropped to 17%, according to Polymarket, easing worries about a global trade war.

What this means:
With less uncertainty about global trade, riskier assets like cryptocurrencies saw a quick “V-shaped” recovery. XRP, known for its high trading volume, saw its 24-hour volume reach $9.7 billion, a 6% increase from the previous day. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index moved from 27 (“Fear”) to 40 (“Neutral”), showing growing optimism among investors.

Key watch: Keep an eye on U.S.-China trade talks as the November 1 tariff deadline approaches.

2. Technical Breakout (Positive Impact)

Overview:
XRP climbed back above the $2.50 mark, breaking a downward trend that had limited its price since early October. The $2.55 level, which corresponds to a key Fibonacci retracement, is now acting as a support level.

What this means:

• The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for 14 days rose to 53 from 34 last week, moving out of oversold territory.
• The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on an hourly chart turned bullish, indicating short-term upward momentum.
  Traders are now eyeing $2.66 as the next resistance level, with a close above $2.60 possibly speeding up gains.

Key watch: Watch for XRP to stay above the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2.58.

3. Post-Crash Whale Activity (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Following a $30 billion liquidation event on Friday, large investors (whales) bought XRP between $2.20 and $2.40. However, data from Whale Alert shows that top exchanges saw a net outflow of $50 million in XRP.

What this means:
Whales seem split—some are taking profits near yearly highs, while others are buying at support levels. The amount of XRP held on exchanges dropped to 12.3% from 13.8% last week, which could reduce immediate selling pressure.

Conclusion

XRP’s recent rise is driven by a mix of positive market conditions, technical signals, and strategic moves by large investors. While the outlook is generally bullish, traders should watch if XRP can stay above $2.50. If it falls below, it might test support at $2.40 again.

Key watch: Will XRP continue to outperform if Bitcoin dominance climbs back above 59%?

What could affect the price of XRP?

XRP’s future depends on clear regulations, new technology upgrades, and how big investors behave in the market.

1. Regulatory clarity – The outcome of the SEC lawsuit could open the door for big investors.
2. XRPL improvements – New privacy features and tokenization could increase XRP’s usefulness.
3. Whale activity – Large holders are buying more XRP, showing confidence but also adding risk of price swings.

Deep Dive

1. Regulatory Resolution (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is suing Ripple over whether XRP is a security. This lawsuit has been a major obstacle for XRP. Recently, both sides seem to be discussing a settlement, which could end the legal uncertainty that has lasted for five years. If resolved, it could make it easier for U.S. institutions to invest in XRP and for XRP-based ETFs to get approved.

What this means:
If the lawsuit ends favorably for Ripple, XRP’s price could jump like it did in July 2023, when it rose 70% after a court ruling (CoinDesk). On the other hand, if the case drags on or ends badly, XRP’s price might stay low or drop.

2. XRPL Tech Upgrades (Bullish Impact)

Overview:
The XRP Ledger (XRPL) has a plan for 2025 that includes adding privacy features using zero-knowledge proofs and creating Multi-Purpose Tokens aimed at institutional decentralized finance (DeFi). Already, over $118 million worth of real-world assets (RWAs) have been tokenized on XRPL, a huge increase of 2,260% in just six months (CryptoBriefing).

What this means:
These upgrades could make XRP more attractive as a bridge for central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and bring in more institutional users. For example, XRP’s price went up 58% after a similar upgrade in June (XRPL.org).

3. Whale Accumulation (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
“Whales” are investors holding 1 million or more XRP. The number of such wallets has reached a record 2,743, holding a total of 47 billion XRP. However, exchanges are seeing 260 million XRP flowing in each month, which could mean some whales are selling to take profits (Santiment).

What this means:
When a few large holders control a lot of XRP, it can cause big price swings. But when whales keep buying (like 900 million XRP in 48 hours recently), it often signals a price rally ahead. Similar whale activity happened before XRP’s 26% price increase in the second quarter (CoinMarketCap).

Conclusion

XRP’s price will be shaped by how the SEC lawsuit ends, how well the XRPL upgrades attract big players, and what whales do next. Technical indicators show XRP is currently oversold (RSI 27), but broader market risks like Bitcoin’s dominance at 58.8% remain. The key question is: Will XRP’s growth in tokenizing real-world assets be strong enough to overcome these challenges? Keep an eye on updates about the SEC case and how XRPL’s RLUSD stablecoin is adopted.

What are people saying about XRP?

Talk around XRP (XRP) is swinging between hopes for a big price jump and worries about a pullback. Here’s what’s trending right now:

1. Bullish outlook: Some analysts expect XRP to reach $12.80 if it breaks above the $3.30 resistance level
2. Bearish signals: Weekly charts warn of possible deeper price drops
3. Community debate: Traders are split on whether XRP is consolidating or accumulating

Deep Dive

1. @ZachRector7: Inverse Head and Shoulders Pattern (Bullish)

"XRP is forming an inverse head and shoulders pattern. A breakout is near."
– @ZachRector7 (Sept 9, 2025 · 4:02 PM UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a bullish chart pattern that suggests buyers are gaining confidence around $2.70. If XRP breaks above $3.05, it could trigger a faster price increase.

2. @cryptoWZRD_: Bearish Weekly Close (Bearish)

"XRP closed below support at $2.80. Focus on short-term trades until the trend is clear."
– @cryptoWZRD (Aug 30, 2025 · 1:24 AM UTC)
[View original post](https://x.com/cryptoWZRD/status/1961600843561525351)
What this means: XRP failing to hold above $3.00 shows weakening momentum. Traders are waiting for Bitcoin’s next move before making big bets on XRP’s direction.

3. CoinMarketCap Analysis: Bearish Divergence Confirmed (Mixed)

"XRP’s weekly chart shows bearish divergence, similar to patterns before a 60% drop in 2021."
– CoinMarketCap (Aug 5, 2025 · 2:25 AM UTC)
View original post
What this means: While short-term price gains are possible, the chart pattern resembles past corrections, so traders should watch for a drop below $2.75.

Conclusion

The outlook for XRP is mixed. On one hand, bullish patterns like the inverse head and shoulders suggest potential gains. On the other, weekly bearish signals and Bitcoin’s strong market dominance (58.84%) limit how far altcoins like XRP can rally. Keep an eye on the $3.30 resistance level for signs of a breakout or the $2.75 support level for a possible breakdown. The first level that breaks will likely shape XRP’s price trend in the coming months.

What is the latest news about XRP?

XRP is working through the aftermath of a major market crash, showing signs of a technical bounce and changing market conditions. Here’s the latest update:

1. Flash Crash Impact (October 11, 2025) – A $19 billion liquidation event raises concerns about exchange practices.
2. BNB Surpasses XRP in Market Ranking (October 12, 2025) – BNB’s rise highlights the volatility among alternative cryptocurrencies.
3. Oversold Conditions Suggest Potential Recovery (October 13, 2025) – On-chain activity and technical indicators hint at a possible rebound.

In-Depth Look

1. Flash Crash Impact (October 11, 2025)

Summary: On October 11, a sudden market crash caused $19 billion in forced sell-offs, with XRP’s price dropping nearly 37% during the day before partially recovering. Kris Marszalek, CEO of Crypto.com, called on regulators to investigate exchanges like Hyperliquid and Binance, which saw the largest liquidations ($19.35 billion and $10.31 billion respectively). Users reported issues such as frozen accounts and problems with stablecoin pegs on Binance, which later promised $283 million in compensation.
What this means: This event highlights risks tied to leveraged trading and questions about exchange reliability. While this is a negative sign in the short term, it could lead to stronger regulations and a more stable market in the future. (Cryptoslate)

2. BNB Surpasses XRP in Market Ranking (October 12, 2025)

Summary: Binance Coin (BNB) jumped 26% over the week, reaching a market cap of $178.3 billion and overtaking XRP, which sits at $178.2 billion, to become the third-largest cryptocurrency. This change reflects BNB’s growing ecosystem compared to XRP’s slower recovery after the crash.
What this means: XRP losing its top-three spot shows how sensitive it is to market trends and competition from coins with strong utility. However, given the history of crypto markets, this ranking could change again if positive developments occur. (U.Today)

3. Oversold Conditions Suggest Potential Recovery (October 13, 2025)

Summary: XRP’s Relative Strength Index (RSI), a common measure of whether an asset is overbought or oversold, dropped to 27, indicating it’s oversold. At the same time, on-chain transactions surged to 824 million XRP within 24 hours. Analysts observe a “flush and reclaim” pattern near the 200-day moving average price of $2.06, which has historically preceded price rallies of 30–50%.
What this means: When price drops but network activity increases, it often signals that investors are accumulating the asset. A move above $2.60 could confirm a rebound, but challenges like low trading volume and broader economic concerns, such as U.S.-China trade tensions, could slow progress. (TokenPost)

Conclusion

XRP is currently under pressure from exchange issues and competition but shows early signs of recovery based on technical indicators and increased network activity. The key question is whether regulatory investigations and these technical signals will come together to spark a new upward trend, or if broader economic challenges will keep XRP in a holding pattern for now.

What is expected in the development of XRP?

XRP’s roadmap centers on growing institutional use, meeting regulatory goals, and expanding its network.

1. Spot ETF Decisions (October 2025) – The SEC will decide on XRP spot ETF applications from Grayscale, 21Shares, and others.
2. Ripple Swell Conference (November 2025) – Updates on partnerships and technology will be shared.
3. RLUSD Launch in Japan (Q1 2026) – Ripple’s USD stablecoin will roll out in Japan with SBI Holdings.
4. Axelar EVM Sidechain Upgrades (2025–2026) – Improvements to connect XRP Ledger with Ethereum and Cosmos blockchains.
5. XRPL Fund for Japan & Korea – 1 billion XRP set aside to boost growth in Asia-Pacific.

In-Depth Look

1. Spot ETF Decisions (October 2025)

What’s Happening?
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will review applications for XRP spot ETFs from companies like Grayscale and 21Shares in October 2025. These ETFs would allow investors to buy XRP through traditional stock markets, similar to existing Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs (CoinMarketCap).

Why It Matters
If approved, these ETFs could bring more institutional investors into XRP, increasing its market liquidity and stability. If delayed or denied, XRP might experience short-term price swings.

2. Ripple Swell Conference (November 2025)

What’s Happening?
Ripple’s annual Swell event will showcase new developments, including partnerships with central banks for digital currencies, updates to RippleNet (Ripple’s payment network), and new technology like the Multi-Purpose Token (MPT) standard for creating digital assets (XRPL Apex 2024).

Why It Matters
These updates could open new ways for institutions to use XRP, such as tokenized bonds, and provide clearer regulatory guidance following ongoing legal matters.

3. RLUSD Launch in Japan (Q1 2026)

What’s Happening?
Ripple’s stablecoin, RLUSD, which is pegged to the U.S. dollar and backed by U.S. Treasury securities, will be introduced in Japan through a partnership with SBI Holdings (X post).

Why It Matters
This move supports XRP Ledger’s role in cross-border payments and decentralized finance (DeFi), offering a compliant alternative to traditional banking systems.

4. Axelar EVM Sidechain Upgrades (2025–2026)

What’s Happening?
The Axelar sidechain, compatible with Ethereum’s technology, launched in mid-2025 to link XRP Ledger with Ethereum and Cosmos blockchains. Upcoming upgrades will enable features like atomic swaps (direct token exchanges) and deeper DeFi integration (XRPL Apex 2024).

Why It Matters
Better interoperability could attract developers from other blockchain communities, increasing XRP Ledger’s usefulness. The total value locked (TVL) on this sidechain, currently around $105 million, is a key indicator to watch.

5. XRPL Fund for Japan & Korea

What’s Happening?
Ripple has set aside 1 billion XRP (about $2.5 billion) to support innovation in Japan and Korea through hackathons, partnerships, and events. Early projects benefiting include VWBL Protocol (focused on NFTs) and Moia Finance (a DeFi platform).

Why It Matters
This targeted investment aims to grow XRP’s ecosystem in regions with high adoption potential, which could increase transaction volume. However, regulatory challenges could impact progress.

Conclusion

XRP’s roadmap is a balanced mix of regulatory progress (ETF approvals), technical improvements (EVM sidechain), and regional growth (Japan and Korea). The upcoming Swell Conference and SEC decisions in late 2025 are important near-term events. Long-term success depends on how well RLUSD gains traction and how institutions adopt XRP for decentralized finance.

Will XRP’s focus on compliance and connectivity make it a key player in the future of global finance?

What updates are there in the XRP code base?

The latest updates to the XRP Ledger’s software focus on making decentralized finance (DeFi) more scalable, secure, and compliant with regulations.

1. Batch Transactions & Token Escrow (June 2025) – Allows multiple transactions to be combined into one and expands escrow features to cover tokenized assets.
2. Permissioned DEX Controls (June 2025) – Enables decentralized exchanges to restrict trading to verified users, helping meet regulatory requirements.
3. Security Rollback to v2.5.1 (August 2025) – Rolled back a recent update due to technical issues, prioritizing network stability.

Deep Dive

1. Batch Transactions & Token Escrow (June 2025)

What it is: This update lets users bundle up to 8 transactions into a single, all-or-nothing operation. It also extends escrow services—where assets are locked until certain conditions are met—to tokens beyond XRP, like RLUSD.

• Batch transactions help reduce fees and simplify complex processes such as swapping assets across different blockchains.
• Token escrow supports scheduled releases of tokens, useful for businesses managing employee payments or locked investments.
  Why it matters: This makes the XRP Ledger more useful for businesses and financial applications by streamlining operations and supporting regulated asset management. (Source)

2. Permissioned DEX Controls (June 2025)

What it is: Decentralized exchanges (DEXs) on the XRP Ledger can now limit trading to users who have passed identity checks (KYC/AML).

• This helps companies comply with regulations by allowing only approved participants to trade certain assets.
• The system integrates with monitoring tools like Chainalysis KYT to track suspicious activity in real time.
  Why it matters: This update positions the XRP Ledger as a platform suitable for regulated financial institutions, though it may reduce the ease of trading compared to fully open DEXs. (Source)

3. Security Rollback to v2.5.1 (August 2025)

What happened: The latest software version (2.6.0) was pulled back due to memory leaks and conflicts with a key software library, which could cause network instability. Only one important fix related to consensus was kept.

• Validators (the network’s participants who confirm transactions) were advised to revert to the previous stable version.
• This shows the XRP Ledger’s team is quick to respond to issues but also highlights the risks of pushing updates too fast.
  Why it matters: In the short term, this is a setback that may cause some operational challenges. However, it doesn’t affect the network’s long-term security or functionality. (Source)

Conclusion

The XRP Ledger is evolving to support more advanced and regulated financial services with features like batch transactions and permissioned decentralized exchanges. However, recent technical hiccups remind us that maintaining network stability is crucial as more institutions start using the platform. The key question going forward is how the XRP Ledger will balance innovation with reliability to meet growing enterprise demands.