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Why did the price of ETH go up?

Ethereum (ETH) increased by 0.59% to $4,515.30 over the past 24 hours, building on a strong weekly gain of 8.95%. The main factors driving this growth are large investors buying more ETH, inflows into Ethereum ETFs, and positive technical signals.

  1. Big Investors Buying – Around 800,000 ETH was purchased in one week, showing strong confidence.
  2. ETF Inflows – Ethereum ETFs received $1.3 billion in net inflows over five days, offsetting some selling by the Ethereum Foundation.
  3. Technical Strength – ETH price stayed above $4,500 support, with indicators suggesting upward momentum.

Deep Dive

1. Whale Accumulation (Positive Sign)

Overview: Large wallets holding between 10,000 and 100,000 ETH bought about 800,000 ETH (worth roughly $3.6 billion) from late September to early October (Santiment). This buying coincided with Ethereum breaking out of a period where its price was stable.

What this means: When big investors buy large amounts, it reduces the supply of ETH available on exchanges and helps set a price floor. Historically, such accumulation by whales often comes before price rallies, as institutions prepare before smaller investors jump in. Ethereum’s trading volume over seven days rose by 87.7%, much higher than the overall crypto market’s 30%, confirming strong activity from big players.

Watch: Keep an eye on whether these investors continue holding. If they suddenly sell, it could reverse recent gains.

2. ETF Momentum (Positive Sign)

Overview: Spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $1.3 billion in inflows last week, reversing previous outflows. A notable purchase was BitMine’s $1 billion buy (234,846 ETH), showing strong institutional interest.

What this means: ETFs hold Ethereum on behalf of investors, effectively locking up ETH and reducing the amount available for trading. Ethereum’s market dominance rose to 12.97%, its highest since December 2024. With a moderate turnover ratio of 0.0823, concentrated buying through ETFs can have a significant impact on price.

Watch: Monitor daily ETF inflows. Continued strong inflows could push ETH toward the $4,775 resistance level.

3. Technical Strength (Mixed Signals)

Overview: Ethereum’s price closed above $4,500, a key level that has shifted from resistance to support. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 56.81, indicating neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram shows bullish momentum at +35.86.

What this means: Buyers are defending the $4,300 to $4,500 range, but there is still a risk of profit-taking. The 7-day simple moving average ($4,335) and the 200-day exponential moving average ($3,512) support the current uptrend. If the price breaks above $4,542 (the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level), it could aim for $4,775.

Watch: The $4,300 support level is critical. A drop below this could lead to a short-term correction.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s recent price increase is driven by confidence from large investors, strong ETF inflows, and solid technical support. While the outlook remains positive, watch for potential profit-taking around $4,600 to $4,700. The key question is whether ETH can maintain support at $4,500 amid Bitcoin’s volatility following its all-time high.


What could affect the price of ETH?

Ethereum’s price outlook depends on upcoming upgrades and market challenges.

  1. Protocol Upgrades – Fusaka (December 2025) aims to improve scalability and staking
  2. ETF Inflows – $1.3 billion weekly inflows show growing institutional interest
  3. Supply Shock – Exchange reserves at 5-year lows, with large holders accumulating
  4. Staking Pressures – Solo stakers may face lower profits after issuance cuts
  5. Regulatory Clarity – SEC approves ETH ETFs, but future rules remain uncertain

Deep Dive

1. Protocol Upgrades (Positive Impact)

Overview: The Fusaka upgrade, scheduled for December 3, 2025, will increase the number of “blobs” (data units) per block from 6 to 21. This directly improves Layer 2 transaction capacity. Additionally, the PeerDAS feature could reduce rollup costs by about 40%, according to Ethereum Research.

What this means: These changes will boost Ethereum’s ability to handle more transactions—potentially over 10,000 per second by 2026—strengthening its position in decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). For context, the Dencun upgrade in March 2024 led to a 78% increase in ETH’s price within 90 days.

2. ETF Demand vs. Profit-Taking (Mixed Impact)

Overview: Spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $1.3 billion in inflows last week (NewsBTC), signaling strong institutional demand. However, 97% of ETH holders are currently in profit, which historically can lead to selling pressure.

What this means: While institutional investments totaling $24.8 billion provide solid support, retail investors might sell near the $4,775 price level (a key Fibonacci retracement point), potentially causing short-term price dips. Technical indicators like the MACD suggest some near-term upside around $4,220.

3. Staking Centralization Risks (Negative Impact)

Overview: After Ethereum’s Merge, staking rewards (APY) dropped to 3.2%. Models suggest solo stakers’ share could shrink from 2.7% to less than 1% if issuance decreases further (Ethresear.ch).

What this means: Although 25% of all ETH (worth about $120 billion) is staked, a large portion is controlled by centralized platforms like Lido and Coinbase, which together hold 58% of validators. This concentration raises concerns about decentralization and could pose risks if penalties (slashing) occur.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s ability to break above $4,500 depends on balancing benefits from protocol upgrades with risks from staking centralization and profit-taking. The 30-day moving average at $4,357 now acts as support, while resistance at $4,775 is key—breaking above it could push prices toward $5,340 (Fibonacci 161.8%).

Will Fusaka’s 2.1x increase in blob capacity help ETH break free from broader crypto market swings?


What are people saying about ETH?

Ethereum's social buzz is swinging between hopes for all-time highs and some technical concerns. Here’s what’s trending right now:

  1. Big investors are confident – $661 million worth of ETH has been staked, showing strong long-term belief 🐋
  2. ETF activity is positive – More ETH is flowing into spot ETFs while supply on exchanges shrinks, creating a bullish setup 📈
  3. Technical warning signs – A failed attempt to break the $5,000 mark raises concerns about a possible price pullback ⚠️
  4. Mixed price expectations – Some expect ETH to hit $10,000, while others see support around $4,000 🎯

Deep Dive

1. @Eliteonchain: Spot ETFs, Supply, and Derivatives Show Bullish Signs

"ETH spot ETFs absorbed +27,219 ETH, exchange reserves dropped 2.64%, and funding rates turned positive – first time since March all three aligned."
– @Eliteonchain (283K followers · 1.2M impressions · 2025-09-17 15:55 UTC)
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What this means: This is good news for Ethereum. Institutional investors (through ETFs) and retail traders (by withdrawing ETH from exchanges) are reducing selling pressure. At the same time, derivatives traders are betting on price increases, which could push ETH higher.

2. @mkbijaksana: Bearish RSI Divergence After Failed All-Time High

"ETH tried breaking $5K but failed. Bearish divergence on daily RSI – same pattern preceded 24% drops in May/July."
– @mkbijaksana (91K followers · 430K impressions · 2025-08-27 01:28 UTC)
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What this means: Short-term momentum is weakening. The failure to break above $5,000 and the bearish RSI pattern suggest a possible price drop toward the $4,200 support level as traders may take profits.

3. @VirtualBacon0x: Accumulation Zone Below $2,500

"ETH/BTC ratio at multi-year lows – if macro liquidity improves, this is generational buying territory."
– @VirtualBacon0x (217K followers · 890K impressions · 2025-05-12 15:45 UTC)
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What this means: Looking long-term, Ethereum appears undervalued compared to Bitcoin. If overall market liquidity improves (for example, due to changes in Federal Reserve policies), this price range could be a great buying opportunity.

4. @Cipher2X: Whale Stakes $661 Million in ETH

"150K ETH ($661M) moved to staking contracts – largest single stake since Merge."
– @Cipher2X (68K followers · 305K impressions · 2025-09-05 12:05 UTC)
View original post
What this means: This is a bullish sign. When large amounts of ETH are staked, they are locked up and taken out of circulation, which can reduce supply and potentially drive prices up if demand increases.

Conclusion

The overall outlook for Ethereum is cautiously optimistic. Institutional buying and reduced supply are balancing out some technical warning signs. Big investors and ETFs are creating a solid foundation, but traders are watching the $4,500–$4,800 price range closely—it could determine Ethereum’s momentum for the rest of the year. Also, keep an eye on the ETH/BTC ratio; if it stays above 0.06, it could signal a shift favoring Ethereum and other altcoins.


What is the latest news about ETH?

Ethereum is gaining momentum thanks to strong institutional interest and solid technical progress. Here’s the latest:

  1. Record ETF Inflows & Whale Buying (October 5, 2025) – $1.3 billion flowed into Ethereum ETFs, balancing out insider selling and boosting optimism.
  2. ETH Surpasses $4,600 Resistance Level (October 5, 2025) – The price climbed 1.4%, even with the Ethereum Foundation selling $4.6 million worth of ETH.
  3. Fusaka Upgrade Set for December (September 20, 2025) – A major update aimed at improving Ethereum’s scalability is scheduled for mainnet launch.

In-Depth Look

1. Record ETF Inflows & Whale Buying (October 5, 2025)

Summary:
Over five days, spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $1.3 billion in new investments, reversing earlier withdrawals. At the same time, large holders (“whales”) moved 26,029 ETH (about $118 million) off the Kraken exchange, signaling they’re holding rather than selling. Overall, ETH held on exchanges dropped to a five-year low, with roughly 170,000 ETH withdrawn in the past month.

Why it matters:
This is a positive sign for Ethereum’s price because increased ETF demand and whales holding their coins reduce the amount available to sell. This scarcity can push prices higher. However, short-term price swings could still happen if investors decide to take profits. (NewsBTC)

2. ETH Surpasses $4,600 Resistance Level (October 5, 2025)

Summary:
Ethereum’s price rose 1.4% to $4,619, breaking through a resistance level it hadn’t cleared in two weeks. This happened despite the Ethereum Foundation selling 1,000 ETH (worth $4.6 million) using a time-weighted average price (TWAP) method. Meanwhile, derivatives trading activity increased by 1.7%, reaching $41.3 billion, indicating strong speculative interest.

Why it matters:
This price movement shows that institutional demand is strong enough to offset insider selling. If Ethereum can hold above $4,600, it may test higher levels around $4,750 soon. (Yahoo Finance)

3. Fusaka Upgrade Set for December (September 20, 2025)

Summary:
The Fusaka upgrade, planned for December 3, 2025, will increase Ethereum’s data handling capacity and introduce PeerDAS technology to improve rollups (a Layer-2 scaling solution). Test networks like Holesky, Sepolia, and Hoodi will launch in October to prepare for this. The goal is to boost Layer-2 transaction speeds to over 12,000 transactions per second by 2026.

Why it matters:
This upgrade is a big step forward for Ethereum’s scalability, which could attract more developers and lower transaction fees over time. However, there are risks if test networks encounter bugs or delays, like those seen with the Prysm client. (Bitcoinist)

Conclusion

Ethereum’s story is one of growing institutional adoption, strong technical foundations, and ongoing improvements to its network. ETF inflows and whale buying support near-term price strength, while the Fusaka upgrade promises to enhance scalability in the long run. The key question remains: will Layer-2 growth keep pace with concerns about validator centralization as staking requirements increase?


What is expected in the development of ETH?

Ethereum’s development is moving forward with key updates:

  1. Fusaka Mainnet Upgrade (Dec 3, 2025) – Increases data capacity for Layer 2 solutions, helping to lower transaction costs and boost speed.
  2. The Verge & Stateless Clients (2026) – Introduces technology that lets nodes operate without storing all past data, making it easier and cheaper to run a node.
  3. Quantum Resistance & Lean Ethereum (2030+) – Prepares Ethereum for future security challenges and aims to make the network faster and more reliable.

Deep Dive

1. Fusaka Mainnet Upgrade (Dec 3, 2025)

Overview: The Fusaka upgrade adds PeerDAS (Peer Data Availability Sampling), which nearly doubles the amount of data blocks can carry—from 6 to 14 blobs per block. This is designed to help Layer 2 solutions (which handle transactions off the main Ethereum chain) scale better, potentially supporting over 12,000 transactions per second (CryptoGucci).

What this means: This is good news for Ethereum’s usefulness because lower fees on Layer 2 could attract more users. However, there might be short-term risks if testing reveals issues with the upgrade.

2. The Verge & Stateless Clients (2026)

Overview: As part of the “Verge” phase, Ethereum will introduce stateless clients. These clients can verify transactions without needing to store the entire history of the blockchain. This is made possible by advanced math tools called Verkle trees and zero-knowledge proofs (zk-SNARKs). The result is lower hardware costs for people running nodes (Ethereum Roadmap).

What this means: This upgrade supports Ethereum’s goal of decentralization by making it easier for more people to participate. In the short term, developers will need to improve how quickly these proofs are generated, so the impact is expected to be neutral initially.

3. Quantum Resistance & Lean Ethereum (2030+)

Overview: Looking further ahead, Ethereum plans to upgrade its security to resist future quantum computers, which could break current encryption methods. The “Lean Ethereum” vision aims to simplify the network’s core, making it more modular and scalable. The goal is to reach 10,000 transactions per second on the main chain with 100% uptime (Japan Dev Conference).

What this means: These long-term plans build confidence among institutions that Ethereum will remain secure and reliable. However, the timeline for these upgrades is still flexible.

Conclusion

Ethereum’s roadmap carefully balances near-term improvements for Layer 2 with foundational upgrades that prepare the network for the future. While Fusaka and stateless clients tackle current scaling challenges, quantum resistance and Lean Ethereum aim to secure Ethereum’s position as a leading platform for Web3. It will be interesting to see how other Layer 1 blockchains respond as Ethereum strengthens its technical advantages.


What updates are there in the ETH code base?

Ethereum (ETH) has undergone several important upgrades recently, improving its performance, security, and capacity.

  1. Fusaka Upgrade (November 2025) – Backend improvements to help Ethereum scale better and keep nodes running smoothly.
  2. Pectra Upgrade (May 2025) – Added smart accounts, made it easier for validators to participate, and boosted Layer 2 transaction capacity.
  3. Gas Limit Increase (June 2025) – Raised the default gas limit to 45 million to allow more transactions per block.
  4. History Pruning (July 2025) – Reduced the storage space needed for running a node by 300-500 GB.
  5. Security Patch (July 2025) – Fixed a vulnerability in the ETHCode developer toolkit.

In-Depth Look

1. Fusaka Upgrade (November 2025)

What it is: This upgrade prepares Ethereum for better scaling using a technology called PeerDAS (data availability sampling) and improves how data blobs are handled.

Why it matters: Fusaka is a positive step for Ethereum’s long-term growth, making the network faster and more scalable without disrupting developers. Node operators need to update their software before November 2025 to avoid issues.
(Source)

2. Pectra Upgrade (May 2025)

What it is: This upgrade combined two previous updates (Prague and Electra) to improve user experience and validator operations.

Why it matters: While everyday users might not notice immediate changes, this upgrade is good news for the network’s future. It lowers fees on Layer 2 solutions and makes it easier for institutions to participate as validators. Developers also saw a 22% reduction in consensus workload after the upgrade.
(Source)

3. Gas Limit Increase (June 2025)

What it is: The default gas limit per block was raised to 45 million in popular Ethereum clients like Geth and Nethermind.

Why it matters: This change doesn’t directly affect Ethereum’s price but improves network capacity, allowing about 15% more transactions per second during tests.
(Source)

4. History Pruning (July 2025)

What it is: Ethereum clients now support pruning old blockchain data from before the merge.

Why it matters: This makes it easier and cheaper for more people to run Ethereum nodes on regular computers, which supports decentralization and network security.
(Source)

5. Security Patch (July 2025)

What it is: A security flaw in the ETHCode developer toolkit was found and fixed.

Why it matters: While this doesn’t impact users directly, it highlights the importance of ongoing security vigilance. Projects using ETHCode should review their dependencies carefully.
(Source)

Conclusion

Ethereum’s technology is advancing toward enterprise-level scalability and easier access for users and validators, while also addressing security challenges. With the Osaka testnet upgrades already live and the Glamsterdam upgrade planned for 2026, the big question is whether Ethereum’s developer community can keep up with the growing technical demands.