What could affect the price of BCH?
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) is navigating between technical improvements and challenges in adoption.
- Network Upgrades – New smart contract features could encourage more decentralized finance (DeFi) use.
- Whale Activity – Big holders buying more BCH shows confidence but could cause price swings.
- Regulatory Changes – India’s upcoming 2027 crypto reporting rules may create compliance challenges.
Deep Dive
1. Network Upgrades (Positive Outlook)
Overview: In May 2025, Bitcoin Cash underwent the Velma hard fork, which introduced new features like VM Limits and BigInt CHIPs. These upgrades allow more complex DeFi applications and better interaction with other blockchains. After the upgrade, daily transactions increased by 40% (Levex). Plans for 2026-2027 include further improvements such as OP_EVAL and Pay-to-Script, aimed at expanding BCH’s capabilities.
What this means: These enhancements make Bitcoin Cash more attractive for payment-focused DeFi projects, potentially increasing demand. For example, after the 2023 CashTokens upgrade, BCH’s price rose 18% within two weeks.
2. Whale Dynamics (Mixed Impact)
Overview: Large transactions over $100,000 jumped 122% to $482 million on July 4 (Yahoo Finance), but the number of active BCH addresses dropped to a six-year low. Recent transfers of 10,000 BCH (about $5.7 million) suggest big holders are accumulating coins, though this raises concerns about possible market manipulation.
What this means: While concentrated buying by whales can drive short-term price increases—like the 75% surge in Q3 2025—it also increases the risk of sharp declines if these holders decide to sell. The price support zone between $460 and $508 is crucial to watch.
3. Regulatory Headwinds (Potential Challenges)
Overview: India plans to implement a Crypto-Asset Reporting Framework in 2027 (OECD CARF) that requires detailed transaction disclosures. This could limit BCH’s privacy features. Additionally, Tether stopped supporting BCH’s Simple Ledger Protocol (SLP) on September 1, reducing stablecoin liquidity on the network.
What this means: Increased compliance requirements may discourage users who value privacy. The loss of Tether support could also weaken BCH’s use as a payment method, which is a key part of its value.
Conclusion
Bitcoin Cash’s future price depends on how well it balances its technical upgrades with regulatory pressures and market volatility driven by large holders. While the 2025 protocol improvements open new DeFi opportunities, BCH’s 52% drop from its August 2025 peak of $650 shows it remains sensitive to broader crypto market trends. The key question is whether BCH can hold the $572 resistance level to challenge the $664 Fibonacci extension, or if declining network activity will lead to a deeper price correction.
What are people saying about BCH?
The conversation around Bitcoin Cash (BCH) focuses on key technical levels and growing confidence in its potential as an underdog. Here’s the quick summary:
- $572 resistance – a crucial level for buyers to break through
- Beating Bitcoin? Analysts see promising signs in BCH compared to BTC
- Whale activity – mixed signals between big investors buying and selling
Deep Dive
1. @ColinTCrypto: BCH/BTC Bottom In – Bullish
"BCH/BTC bottom is in...primed to rip soon"
– ColinTCrypto (19.2K followers · 124K impressions · 2025-06-28 00:11 UTC)
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What this means: This analysis compares BCH directly to Bitcoin (BTC) and suggests BCH may start moving independently, attracting more investment into Bitcoin Cash.
2. Technical Analyst: $572 Ascending Channel – Bullish
"Break above $572 targets $607-$664 via Fibonacci extensions"
– CMC Community Post (2025-08-07 15:12 UTC · 8.0 quality score)
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What this means: The price area around $571-$572 is very important. If BCH can stay above this level, it could reach higher price targets between $607 and $664 in the medium term.
3. On-Chain Data: Retail Selling vs Institutional Longs – Mixed
"$2.52M exchange inflows signal profit-taking, but $11.47M longs dominate derivatives"
– CryptoNewsLand (2025-06-20 05:20 UTC)
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What this means: Smaller investors are selling some BCH to take profits, but large institutional traders are placing bigger bets expecting prices to rise. This mix could lead to a price squeeze if BCH moves higher.
Conclusion
Overall, the outlook for Bitcoin Cash is cautiously optimistic. Traders are watching for a clear move above $572 and strength compared to Bitcoin. However, some concerns remain due to weak adoption signals on the blockchain itself. Keep an eye on the $520 support level—if BCH falls below this, it could break the current upward trend and cause sell-offs.
What is the latest news about BCH?
Bitcoin Cash is navigating growing interest from big investors and important technical changes. Here’s the latest update:
- Apollo Tokenized Credit Fund Launch (September 18, 2025) – Bitcoin Cash is now part of a $50 million blockchain-based credit fund.
- Grayscale Files for Bitcoin Cash ETF (September 10, 2025) – Grayscale is seeking approval for a Bitcoin Cash exchange-traded fund (ETF), which could open doors for institutional investors despite regulatory uncertainty.
- Tether Ends Bitcoin Cash SLP Support (September 1, 2025) – Tether stopped allowing USDT redemptions on the Bitcoin Cash SLP network, testing how well Bitcoin Cash can maintain its usefulness.
Deep Dive
1. Apollo Tokenized Credit Fund Launch (September 18, 2025)
Overview:
Three blockchain companies—Grove, Plume, and Centrifuge—teamed up with Apollo Global Management to launch the Anemoy Tokenized Apollo Diversified Credit Fund (ACRDX). This $50 million fund uses Bitcoin Cash and other blockchains to create digital tokens representing parts of Apollo’s private credit investments, like corporate loans and asset-backed financing.
What this means:
This is a positive development for Bitcoin Cash because it shows the coin being used for more than just payments. By tokenizing a large $600 billion asset portfolio, Bitcoin Cash could attract more investment and prove it can handle complex financial products. However, the fund’s success depends on getting regulatory approval and being accepted by decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms.
(weex.com)
2. Grayscale Files for Bitcoin Cash ETF (September 10, 2025)
Overview:
Grayscale Investments has applied to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to launch ETFs for Bitcoin Cash, Litecoin, and Hedera. This follows their previous success with a Bitcoin ETF and responds to growing interest in alternative cryptocurrencies.
What this means:
This is cautiously hopeful news. If approved, it could bring more institutional money into Bitcoin Cash and improve its market liquidity. However, the SEC has been slow to approve ETFs for cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin, so this process might take time. The market’s neutral reaction reflects this uncertainty.
(@BTCHabercom)
3. Tether Ends Bitcoin Cash SLP Support (September 1, 2025)
Overview:
Tether, the company behind the popular stablecoin USDT, has stopped allowing redemptions on the Bitcoin Cash SLP network as part of its plan to phase out older blockchain networks. While existing tokens can still be transferred, no new tokens can be issued or redeemed on this network.
What this means:
This is a short-term negative for Bitcoin Cash because it reduces its use in cross-chain liquidity and stablecoin transactions. However, Bitcoin Cash developers are promoting alternatives like CashTokens for issuing stablecoins. The overall impact will depend on whether projects move to these new solutions on Bitcoin Cash or switch to other blockchains.
(CoinMarketCap)
Conclusion
Bitcoin Cash is balancing growing interest from big players like Apollo and Grayscale with challenges like Tether’s exit from its network. The key question is whether Bitcoin Cash can leverage new DeFi partnerships to make up for the loss of stablecoin support. Keep an eye on how the ACRDX fund performs and any updates from the SEC on ETF approvals in the coming months.
What is expected in the development of BCH?
Bitcoin Cash is moving forward with key updates:
- VM Limits & BigInt Activation (May 15, 2025) – These upgrades improve smart contract capabilities and make computations more efficient.
- OP_EVAL & Pay-to-Script Upgrades (2026–2027) – These changes will expand scripting features, helping support decentralized finance (DeFi) applications.
Deep Dive
1. VM Limits & BigInt Activation (May 15, 2025)
Overview:
In May 2025, Bitcoin Cash introduced two important protocol upgrades:
- VM Limits (CHIP-2021-05): This removed limits on transaction operations, increased the allowed stack size by 18 times (up to 10,000 bytes), and added a system to better manage computing resources for nodes (the computers running the network).
- BigInt (CHIP-2024-07): This upgrade allows handling much larger numbers—up to 10,000 bytes instead of just 8 bytes before. This makes it possible to create more complex financial contracts and advanced cryptographic features like zero-knowledge proofs. For more details, see Levex.
What this means:
These improvements are positive for Bitcoin Cash because they give developers more flexibility to build DeFi and cross-chain applications, all while keeping transaction fees very low. However, the benefits depend on how quickly projects start using these new features.
2. OP_EVAL & Pay-to-Script Upgrades (2026–2027)
Overview:
Looking ahead, Bitcoin Cash plans to bring back OP_EVAL, a tool that allows for more dynamic smart contracts, and improve Pay-to-Script functions. These upgrades will enable more complex conditional transactions and decentralized apps. More information is available at Levex.
What this means:
This is cautiously optimistic for the long term. Better scripting could attract developers from platforms like Ethereum who want lower fees. But there’s a risk that other blockchains, such as Solana or Ethereum Layer 2 solutions, might become the go-to platforms for programmable payments before Bitcoin Cash completes these upgrades.
Conclusion
Bitcoin Cash is focusing on making smart contracts more scalable in 2025, followed by adding advanced scripting tools in 2026–2027 to compete in the DeFi space. The big question is whether developer interest and new decentralized apps will grow enough to support its $11.8 billion market value amid ongoing market ups and downs.
What updates are there in the BCH code base?
Bitcoin Cash’s software received major updates in mid-2025, improving smart contract features and making the network more efficient.
- VM Limits & BigInt Activation (May 2025) – Enhanced smart contract power and computing efficiency.
- Knuth Node Upgrade (July 2025) – Better management of transaction data for quicker processing.
Deep Dive
1. VM Limits & BigInt Activation (May 2025)
Overview:
This update introduced VM Limits (CHIP-2021-05) and BigInt (CHIP-2024-07), allowing Bitcoin Cash to support more advanced smart contracts while keeping transaction costs very low.
VM Limits removed the previous cap on operations and increased the size of data elements to 10,000 bytes. This means the network can now handle 100 times more computing power, enabling complex applications like decentralized finance (DeFi). BigInt added support for very large numbers, which helps with secure cryptographic functions and calculations needed for connecting different blockchains.
What this means:
This is a positive development for Bitcoin Cash because it opens the door to new applications such as decentralized stablecoins, automated trading, and privacy-focused tools—all while keeping fees under one cent. Developers can now create apps similar to those on Ethereum but benefit from Bitcoin Cash’s speed and low costs.
(Source)
2. Knuth Node Upgrade (July 2025)
Overview:
The Bitcoin Cash Foundation released Knuth v0.68.0, which improves how nodes handle transaction data (called UTXOs). This update cuts the resources needed by about half.
The upgrade streamlines the way nodes track transaction outputs, helping the network scale better for high-volume payments. It also adds stricter rules to prevent spam attacks that could slow down the network.
What this means:
This update mainly benefits those running Bitcoin Cash nodes and supports the network’s long-term health. However, faster transaction confirmation and lower hardware needs could encourage more businesses to use Bitcoin Cash for payments.
(Source)
Conclusion
Bitcoin Cash’s 2025 upgrades show a clear effort to compete with other smart contract platforms while keeping its main strengths: fast and affordable transactions. By improving developer tools and network efficiency, Bitcoin Cash is positioning itself for broader use in decentralized finance and enterprise payment solutions. The question now is whether these improvements will speed up BCH’s adoption in these growing markets.
Why did the price of BCH fall?
Bitcoin Cash (BCH) dropped 4.67% in the last 24 hours, performing worse than the overall crypto market, which fell 4.04%. This continues a 7-day decline of 4.35%, though BCH is still up 23.33% over the past 90 days. The main reasons behind this movement are:
- Market-wide correction – The crypto fear/greed index is at a neutral level (47)
- Technical resistance – BCH failed to break above the $572–$600 price range
- Tether withdrawal – USDT support for BCH’s network ends on September 1
Deep Dive
1. Market Downturn (Negative Impact)
The total value of all cryptocurrencies dropped 4.04%, from $3.87 trillion to $3.71 trillion. During this time, Bitcoin’s share of the market increased to 57.81% as investors moved toward safer assets. BCH’s price movement closely follows Bitcoin’s (with a strong 30-day correlation), which made BCH more vulnerable to the market drop. Additionally, over $920 billion worth of crypto futures contracts were liquidated recently, causing more selling pressure.
What this means: Because BCH is a mid-sized cryptocurrency, it’s more sensitive to changes in market liquidity during times when investors avoid risk. The decline in the altcoin season index (-10.14% in 24 hours) shows money is moving away from riskier coins like BCH.
2. Technical Resistance (Mixed Impact)
BCH ran into strong selling pressure between $572 and $600, a price range it struggled to break through since August 2025. Technical indicators like the MACD histogram turned negative, showing weakening buying momentum. The 7-day simple moving average (SMA) at $603.47, which previously acted as support, is now acting as resistance.
Important price levels to watch:
- Immediate support at $552 (based on Fibonacci retracement)
- Risk of dropping to $520, which was a low point in July 2025
Traders also noticed a bearish signal on the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI), where prices made lower highs but the RSI stayed flat. This often indicates the current upward trend is losing strength.
3. Tether’s Network Withdrawal (Negative Impact)
Tether announced it will stop issuing and redeeming USDT tokens on Bitcoin Cash’s SLP network after September 1, 2025. While existing USDT tokens on BCH can still be transferred, this change removes an important liquidity source for BCH-based decentralized finance (DeFi) projects.
Why this matters:
- USDT makes up 68% of stablecoin transactions on the BCH network
- Developers will need to focus on other stablecoins like USDC and DAI to maintain liquidity
Conclusion
The recent drop in BCH price is due to a combination of broader market risk aversion, technical challenges, and specific changes in the BCH ecosystem. The price range between $520 and $550 is crucial—holding above this could mean buyers are stepping in, while falling below might trigger automated sell-offs.
What to watch next: Can BCH stay above its 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $495.56? This will be important to monitor, especially after the Federal Reserve’s meeting on September 17, which could influence overall market sentiment.