What is expected in the development of TRX?
TRON's roadmap is focused on growing its decentralized finance (DeFi) infrastructure, improving cross-chain technology, and increasing the use of stablecoins.
- SunPerp Multi-Chain Expansion (Q4 2025) – Adding support for Solana, Polygon, Aptos, and Sui to enable trading across multiple blockchains.
- USD1 Stablecoin Growth (2025–2026) – Increasing the supply to over $200 million and broadening its use cases.
- Real-World Assets (RWA) & AI Ecosystem Development (2026) – Creating tools for tokenizing real-world assets and building AI-powered decentralized apps (dApps).
Deep Dive
1. SunPerp Multi-Chain Expansion (Q4 2025)
Overview:
SunPerp is TRON’s decentralized perpetual exchange, which allows users to trade derivatives without a central authority. After launching on Ethereum and Binance Smart Chain (BSC) in October 2025, it plans to add support for Solana, Polygon, Aptos, and Sui blockchains. This expansion will let users trade assets like SOL and MATIC directly through TRON wallets, combining liquidity from different blockchains for smoother trading. In its first week, SunPerp reached $30 million in total value locked (TVL) and over $900 million in trading volume (The Block).
What this means:
This is positive for TRON (TRX) because it could attract more traders interested in derivatives and increase demand for network fees. However, competition from other decentralized exchanges (DEXs) like Hyperliquid and potential delays in launching new features are risks to watch.
2. USD1 Stablecoin Growth (2025–2026)
Overview:
USD1 is a stablecoin issued by World Liberty Financial and is already active on TRON with a supply exceeding $50 million. The plan is to grow this supply to over $200 million by 2026. USD1 will also integrate with the Aptos blockchain starting October 2025 and aims to expand in emerging markets such as Venezuela, where TRON currently processes 40% of USDT stablecoin transactions (Binance News).
What this means:
This development is neutral to positive. Expanding USD1 could strengthen TRON’s role as a hub for stablecoins, which are cryptocurrencies pegged to stable assets like the US dollar. However, there are some reputational risks due to regulatory concerns, especially because of political connections linked to the stablecoin’s backers.
3. RWA & AI Ecosystem Development (2026)
Overview:
TRON is partnering with the U.S. Department of Commerce (starting Q3 2025) to store economic data like GDP on its blockchain. This partnership sets the stage for tokenizing real-world assets (RWA), which means representing physical assets like real estate or commodities as digital tokens. Additionally, TRON plans to release developer tools to build AI-powered decentralized applications (dApps), taking advantage of its low transaction fees (about $0.000005 per transaction) and high processing speed (2,000 transactions per second).
What this means:
This is a positive long-term move. Institutional use of TRON for transparent data storage and AI applications could expand its use beyond simple payments. However, the complexity of these technologies and slow adoption by large organizations could delay significant results.
Conclusion
TRON is evolving from a blockchain mainly used for payments into a platform supporting multi-chain DeFi and institutional applications. The upcoming expansion of SunPerp and growth of the USD1 stablecoin will drive short-term activity. The network’s future success depends on how well it executes its cross-chain plans while managing regulatory challenges. The development of AI and real-world asset tools could open new growth opportunities, but scalability and adoption hurdles remain.
What updates are there in the TRX code base?
TRON’s software has been upgraded with important improvements focused on making the network faster, easier to connect with other blockchains, and better for developers.
- Substreams Integration (July 9, 2025) – Real-time blockchain data streaming powered by The Graph.
- Mainnet 4.8.0 Proposal (June 20, 2025) – Compatibility with Ethereum’s Cancun upgrade and faster transaction processing.
- Multisig Vulnerability Patch (Early 2024) – Fixed a major security risk that could have exposed $500 million.
In-Depth Look
1. Substreams Integration (July 9, 2025)
What happened: TRON added The Graph’s Substreams technology, which allows apps and AI tools to access blockchain data instantly instead of waiting for slow batch updates. This means developers can track things like wallet activity and token trades in real time.
Why it matters: Developers can now create interactive dashboards and analytics tools much faster, without building complex backend systems. This upgrade makes it easier to build advanced financial apps or prediction markets on TRON, which could attract more projects to the network. (Source)
2. Mainnet 4.8.0 Proposal (June 20, 2025)
What happened: TRON proposed an upgrade to support Ethereum’s Cancun update (EIP-4844) and improve how the network reaches agreement on transactions. This includes new instructions for the virtual machine and a system to speed up node synchronization by about 17%.
Why it matters: While there may be some short-term risks during implementation, this upgrade is positive in the long run. Better compatibility with Ethereum could help bring more liquidity from Ethereum’s Layer 2 solutions into TRON’s decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem. (Source)
3. Multisig Vulnerability Patch (Early 2024)
What happened: A serious security flaw was found in TRON’s multisignature wallets, which could have allowed hackers to bypass signature checks and steal up to $500 million. The issue was fixed by enforcing stricter validation rules.
Why it matters: This quick fix helped maintain trust in TRON’s security, especially since no funds were lost. It shows TRON’s commitment to security, contrasting with slower responses seen in past incidents like Ethereum’s Parity wallet hack. (Source)
Conclusion
TRON’s latest updates focus on making the network more scalable, improving cross-chain connections, and strengthening security. With over 8 million daily transactions, TRON continues to grow as a platform for decentralized finance and other blockchain applications. The question now is whether upcoming governance decisions will speed up innovation even more.
Why did the price of TRX fall?
TRON (TRX) dropped 0.9% in the last 24 hours, slightly underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell by 0.83%. This decline is mainly due to profit-taking after recent gains, limited available supply because of staking, and mixed activity in derivatives trading.
Key factors include:
- Profit-taking after TRX’s 19% gain over the past 90 days
- Supply constraints from 89% of TRX being staked
- Pressure from derivatives with many traders holding long positions
- Technical resistance around $0.355
Deep Dive
1. Profit-Taking After Strong Momentum (Bearish Impact)
TRX increased by 19% over the last 90 days, rising from $0.29 to $0.34. This attracted short-term investors looking to lock in profits. Trading volume in the past 24 hours went up by 2.78% to $725 million, indicating active selling. Historically, TRX often pulls back after hitting key price levels like $0.35, which explains the current dip.
What this means: When prices approach resistance levels, traders often sell to secure gains. With TRX’s 30-day price volatility at 19.12%, even small price drops can trigger quick reactions from traders.
2. Staking-Induced Illiquidity (Mixed Impact)
About 89% of TRX’s total supply is locked up in staking (AMBCrypto). This reduces the amount of TRX available for trading, creating a supply squeeze. While this can help stabilize prices over the long term, it also means that even small sell-offs can cause bigger price swings.
What this means: High staking limits how much TRX is available to sell, which can prevent big price drops. However, if many people suddenly unstake their TRX, it could lead to increased selling pressure and more volatility.
3. Derivatives Overhang (Bearish Catalyst)
Funding rates for TRX perpetual futures contracts are positive (+0.009%), meaning traders are paying to keep long positions open. However, there were $3.25 million in long position liquidations near $0.3136 (AMBCrypto), showing that leveraged traders contributed to the recent price drop.
What this means: High leverage can lead to a chain reaction of forced selling during price corrections. TRX’s low trading turnover (2.25%) means there isn’t a lot of liquidity, which can make price swings more extreme.
4. Technical Resistance at $0.355 (Neutral)
TRX is facing strong resistance at $0.355, which matches a previous high from September 2025. The MACD indicator has turned slightly positive (+0.0002886), but the RSI at 52 suggests neutral momentum. If the price falls below the $0.334 Fibonacci support level (38.2% retracement), losses could deepen.
What to watch: TRX needs to stay above the 30-day simple moving average (SMA) at $0.339 to keep a bullish trend intact.
Conclusion
The recent dip in TRX reflects a natural pause after its strong rally in the third quarter, influenced by limited supply due to staking and volatility from derivatives trading. Despite this, TRON’s fundamentals remain solid, supported by a massive $687 billion USDT trading volume on its network in September.
Key points to monitor: Whether TRX can hold the $0.334 support level and how derivatives open interest evolves. A move back above $0.34 could signal renewed buying interest and a return to upward momentum.
What could affect the price of TRX?
TRON’s price is caught between limited supply, new DeFi developments, and regulatory challenges.
- High staking limits supply – 89% of TRX is staked, which can increase price swings
- SunPerp DeFi growth – New decentralized exchange (DEX) saw over $900 million in trading during beta
- Stablecoin activity – $687 billion worth of USDT moved on TRON in September 2025 alone
Deep Dive
1. Staking Lockup & Supply Dynamics (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
Almost 9 out of 10 TRX tokens in circulation—valued at $28.7 billion—are locked up through staking. This reduces the number of tokens available for trading, which helped push TRX’s price up nearly 20% over the past 90 days. However, there’s $1.14 trillion in open derivatives contracts on TRX, 30% higher than the average in 2024, meaning if market sentiment changes, there could be sharp price drops due to forced selling.
What this means:
The large amount of staked TRX could keep prices supported, but if many holders decide to unstake at once—perhaps attracted by better rewards on another blockchain—it could flood the market and cause volatility. Traders are aware of both possibilities, as shown by TRX futures funding rates being slightly positive (AMBCrypto).
2. SunPerp’s DeFi 2.0 Push (Bullish Impact)
Overview:
SunPerp is TRON’s new decentralized exchange for perpetual contracts. During its beta phase, it handled $900 million in trading volume and aims to offer 100-200 trading pairs by the end of 2025. The platform burns all its revenue by buying back and destroying SUN tokens, which could reduce supply. It also plans to connect with other blockchains like Solana and Ethereum, attracting traders who look for price differences across platforms.
What this means:
If SunPerp grows successfully, it could boost TRON’s ecosystem similar to how Solana’s DEX volume helped its price rise 83% in 2024. However, TRON needs to bring in more market makers beyond current partners like Wintermute to keep trading smooth and liquid (The Block).
3. Regulatory & Stablecoin Pressures (Bearish Risk)
Overview:
TRON processes about 40% of all USDT stablecoin transactions worldwide. However, the SEC is investigating TRON’s founder, Justin Sun, which creates uncertainty. Additionally, new rules proposed by the FDIC in September 2025 could require stablecoin issuers on TRON’s network (TRC-20 tokens) to undergo reserve audits.
What this means:
While TRON’s role in stablecoin transactions drives demand, regulatory scrutiny could weigh on the price. For example, rumors of a Tether investigation in June 2025 caused TRX’s price to drop 12% within hours (CryptoQuant).
Conclusion
TRX’s future depends on whether SunPerp’s growth can overcome regulatory challenges. The high staking rate acts as both a price stabilizer and a potential source of volatility. With the Altcoin Season Index at 62/100, TRON’s strong stablecoin use makes it a relatively safe option during uncertain market times.
Will TRON’s DeFi total value locked (TVL) double to $50 billion before the SEC’s hearing in November 2025?
What are people saying about TRX?
The TRON (TRX) community is divided between optimism based on technical signals and doubts due to the lack of strong price movement despite big announcements. Here’s what’s currently making headlines:
- Excitement over NASDAQ listing vs. stagnant price
- $1 billion buyback plan sparks talk of accumulation
- Cup-and-handle chart pattern points to potential $0.45 price
In-Depth Look
1. @BlockNews: NASDAQ Debut Meets Market Calm 🟢
"TRON Inc’s NASDAQ debut was expected to cause a big price jump, but TRX is acting like it’s just another ordinary day."
– BlockNews (8.2K followers · 12K impressions · 2025-08-09 13:27 UTC)
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What this means: Long-term investors are optimistic because institutional involvement usually helps growth. However, short-term traders are frustrated as TRX’s price remains stuck between $0.33 and $0.34 after the listing.
2. @Coinpedia: Could TRX Reach $0.73 by 2025? 🟡
"Investors who bought TRX between 2020 and 2021 have taken $1.4 billion in profits this year, but forecasts still show a potential 10x increase by 2030."
– Coinpedia (42K followers · 89K impressions · 2025-08-12 10:54 UTC)
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What this means: There’s a mix of feelings—long-term optimism is tempered by early investors cashing out, which is causing resistance around the $0.35 price level.
3. @johnmorganFL: The $3.1 Billion Buyback Debate 🔴🟢
"A buyback of 3.1 billion TRX at $0.32-$0.33 could reduce selling pressure or might be a risky move that hurts liquidity."
– @johnmorganFL (216K followers · 2.1M impressions · 2025-07-31 16:23 UTC)
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What this means: If done transparently, the buyback could help stabilize TRX’s price. But some worry that since TRON Inc controls 86.6% of the tokens, this could lead to too much central control.
Conclusion
Overall, the outlook on TRON is cautiously positive. The NASDAQ listing and buyback plans provide support, but concerns remain about large holders dominating the market and competition from other blockchains like Ethereum and Solana. The cup-and-handle pattern (with targets at $0.3262 and $0.4336) suggests potential gains, but watch the $0.30-$0.31 support zone closely—if it breaks, the bullish case weakens. For stronger confidence, TRX needs to close above July’s $0.34 high with trading volume higher than its average daily $429 million.
What is the latest news about TRX?
TRON is showing strong fundamentals with a shrinking supply – here’s what’s driving the market:
- Supply Tightens (October 4, 2025) – 89% of TRX is staked, making the coin scarcer but also more volatile
- Network Activity Hits Record (October 3, 2025) – TRON led blockchain transactions with 279 million in September
- DeFi Growth with SunPerp (October 1, 2025) – TRON launched a new decentralized perpetual exchange with cross-chain trading
In-Depth Look
1. Supply Tightens (October 4, 2025)
What’s Happening:
Almost 89% of TRX’s circulating supply (about 84.3 billion TRX) is locked up in staking, according to AMBCrypto. This means fewer coins are available to trade, which can push prices up but also cause sudden price swings. TRX is holding above a key support level around $0.331 but facing resistance near $0.355.
Why It Matters:
Staking reduces selling pressure, which can help TRX’s price rise toward $0.40 or even $1.10 in the long run. But if many holders suddenly unstake or sell, it could lead to sharp price drops. Derivatives markets show some risk: funding rates for perpetual futures are positive, meaning traders with leveraged long positions are paying shorts to keep their trades open. (AMBCrypto)
2. Network Activity Hits Record (October 3, 2025)
What’s Happening:
In September, TRON processed 279 million transactions, making up 40% of all activity across nine major blockchains. It also moved $687 billion in USDT stablecoins, according to CryptoQuant. This confirms TRON as a top choice for fast, high-volume stablecoin transfers.
Why It Matters:
This growing transaction volume shows TRON is being used for real-world payments, not just trading or speculation. However, TRON recently cut its transaction fees by 60%, favoring small payments over more complex decentralized finance (DeFi) activities. This might limit growth in total value locked (TVL) compared to other blockchains like Solana. (Binance News)
3. DeFi Growth with SunPerp (October 1, 2025)
What’s Happening:
TRON introduced SunPerp at the TOKEN2049 conference – a decentralized exchange for perpetual contracts that offers zero gas fees, private trading pools (dark pools), and cross-chain trading with Solana and Ethereum assets. During beta testing, it handled $900 million in trading volume.
Why It Matters:
SunPerp could attract traders interested in derivatives, leveraging TRON’s large USDT liquidity pool (over $80 billion). The platform’s model burns 100% of SUN token revenue, which may reduce token supply and increase value. However, success depends on bringing in new market makers beyond TRON’s current DeFi users. (The Block)
Conclusion
TRON’s shrinking supply, strong transaction numbers, and push into derivatives create a powerful combination. But its future depends on avoiding large staking withdrawals and turning its payment volume into deeper DeFi use. With stablecoins now making up 60% of TRX activity, the big question is: can TRON grow from a simple payment network into a full-featured financial platform?