What could affect the price of TRX?
TRON is balancing its strong position in stablecoins with growing competition and changing regulations.
- SunPerp Launch – A new decentralized exchange (DEX) with zero fees could increase trading activity (Positive)
- Stablecoin Competition – Solana is challenging TRON’s $82 billion USDT lead (Negative)
- ETF Developments – A 2X leveraged TRX ETF filing shows growing institutional interest (Mixed)
In-Depth Look
1. SunPerp DEX Launch (Positive Impact)
What’s happening: TRON recently launched SunPerp, a new decentralized exchange for perpetual contracts. It offers gasless trading (no transaction fees), private trading pools, and supports multiple blockchains. Since its beta release on October 7, it has handled over $900 million in trades with more than 10,000 users. The platform plans to use all its revenue to buy back $SUN tokens (Coingape).
Why it matters: If SunPerp attracts a lot of trading volume, it could increase the use of TRX tokens and help reduce supply through token buybacks. However, it faces tough competition from established exchanges like Aster, which handles $420 billion in monthly volume, so success is not guaranteed.
2. Stablecoin Market Share Changes (Negative Impact)
What’s happening: TRON currently controls 51% of the global USDT stablecoin supply, worth $82 billion. But Solana’s stablecoin market cap has tripled to $14 billion in 2025. Ethereum still leads with $172 billion. TRON’s weekly USDT transfers are growing slowly at 2.8%, while Solana’s are growing much faster at 18% (U.Today).
Why it matters: TRX’s price is closely linked to USDT activity, so if stablecoin users move to Solana, TRX could lose value. Solana’s faster transaction finality (400 microseconds vs. TRON’s 3 seconds) might attract more institutional stablecoin transactions.
3. Regulatory and ETF Updates (Mixed Impact)
What’s happening: The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is reviewing a proposal for a 2X leveraged TRX ETF called T-REX. Another ETF from Canary Capital, which involves staked TRX, is also pending approval. At the same time, TRON is under regulatory scrutiny due to past SEC allegations (Cointelegraph).
Why it matters: If these ETFs get approved, it would show that TRX is gaining acceptance among institutional investors, but it would also mean stricter regulatory oversight. If rejected, it could lead to a sell-off since TRX’s price already reflects high expectations with a 114% annual gain.
Conclusion
TRX’s future depends on maintaining its lead in stablecoins despite Solana’s growth, turning SunPerp’s early success into steady trading volume, and how ETF regulations play out. Keep an eye on the Altcoin Season Index (currently at 53); if it rises above 60, TRX could see stronger gains as investors shift money from Bitcoin.
Can TRON’s low-fee advantage hold up against faster, more regulation-friendly blockchains?
What are people saying about TRX?
The TRON community is divided between optimism for a price breakout and concerns about a pause in momentum. Here’s what’s trending:
- $0.45 all-time high (ATH) targets – Buyers aim for new highs if support holds around $0.30–$0.31.
- Liquidity traps near $0.30 – Large holders warn of possible pullbacks around this level.
- Institutional developments – TRON Inc.’s upcoming NASDAQ listing is boosting hopes for a buyback program.
In-Depth Look
1. @BlockNews: Will TRON break out to $0.45 or correct? Bullish View
"TRON reached a strong demand zone at $0.30–$0.31. If this level holds on a retest, it could push prices toward $0.45."
– BlockNews (2.1M followers · 12M impressions · 2025-08-09 13:27 UTC)
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What this means: This is positive for TRX because the $0.30–$0.31 range has historically absorbed selling pressure, acting as a launchpad for price rallies. Holding above $0.30 could confirm upward momentum.
2. @CoinGlass: Liquidity traps at $0.30 Bearish View
"The $0.30 level is crowded with sell orders, creating liquidity traps. Attempts to break out may trigger strong profit-taking."
– CoinGlass (890K followers · 4.8M impressions · 2025-07-06 10:32 UTC)
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What this means: This is a warning for TRX holders because many sell orders near $0.30 could cause sharp price reversals, especially if Bitcoin’s dominance increases.
3. @JustinSun: NASDAQ listing and $1B buyback plan Mixed Outlook
"TRON Inc.’s public listing and treasury management strategy aim to support TRX’s value over the long term."
– Justin Sun (3.4M followers · 18M impressions · 2025-07-30 15:26 UTC)
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What this means: This is neutral for TRX because while institutional support adds credibility, the actual impact of the buyback depends on how quickly it’s executed and overall market conditions.
Conclusion
The outlook for TRX is mixed, balancing concerns about resistance levels with positive institutional developments. The $0.30–$0.45 price range is key to watch. Also, keep an eye on the RSI (currently 68.5) — if it stays high, it could lead to profit-taking. Meanwhile, TRON’s strong daily transaction volume (8 million) and its dominance in stablecoins ($81 billion USDT) highlight its ongoing utility.
Will the NASDAQ listing momentum help TRX overcome the $0.30 resistance? Watch for hourly closes above $0.335 for clues.
What is the latest news about TRX?
TRON is actively expanding its presence in decentralized finance (DeFi), adjusting its stablecoin strategies, and forming key partnerships—all while aiming for technical improvements.
- TRUMP Treasury Plan (October 8, 2025) – Fight Fight Fight LLC launches a $200 million fund to stabilize the TRUMP token.
- Stablecoin Market Shifts (October 7, 2025) – TRON and Ethereum lose some stablecoin market share as Solana gains traction.
- SunPerp DEX Launch (October 7, 2025) – TRON enters the decentralized perpetual futures exchange space with zero-fee trading and over $900 million in volume.
In-Depth Look
1. TRUMP Treasury Plan (October 8, 2025)
Summary: Fight Fight Fight LLC, the company behind the TRUMP memecoin, announced a $200 million Digital Asset Treasury to buy back tokens and help stabilize the price. This fund could grow to $1 billion if investors show interest. TRON’s founder, Justin Sun, invested $100 million and called TRUMP the “currency of the MAGA movement.”
What this means: This move is positive for TRON’s ecosystem because it shows support for politically themed crypto projects. However, since insiders control 65% of TRUMP’s supply and the token has a history of price swings, there’s a risk of price manipulation. (CoinGape)
2. Stablecoin Market Shifts (October 7, 2025)
Summary: The combined market share of stablecoins on TRON and Ethereum dropped from 100% in 2021 to 85% in 2025. Meanwhile, Solana’s stablecoin supply tripled to $14 billion. TRON still supports $77 billion worth of USDT (Tether), but faces growing competition from other blockchains like Plasma (XPL).
What this means: This is a neutral development for TRON’s native token, TRX. TRON remains important for USDT transactions, but Solana’s growth shows that liquidity is spreading across different networks. TRON’s focus on low transaction fees and cross-chain tools like deBridge could help it stay competitive. (U.Today)
3. SunPerp DEX Launch (October 7, 2025)
Summary: TRON launched SunPerp, a decentralized exchange (DEX) for perpetual futures contracts. It offers zero-fee trading, private “dark pools,” and supports multiple blockchains. During its beta phase, SunPerp reached over $900 million in trading volume and offers 12% annual rewards for staking its native $SUN token.
What this means: This is a positive sign for TRX adoption. SunPerp uses TRON’s strong USDT liquidity to attract traders interested in derivatives. However, it faces tough competition from established players like Aster, which handles $420 billion in monthly volume. Success will depend on keeping liquidity high and growing its user base. (CoinGape)
Conclusion
TRON is strengthening its position in DeFi through new platforms like SunPerp, supporting niche tokens with strategic buybacks, and working to maintain its stablecoin market share. Infrastructure improvements, such as reducing energy fees, enhance its appeal. Still, Solana’s rise in stablecoins and the competitive derivatives market present challenges. The big question: Can SunPerp’s zero-fee trading model outperform rivals in the $1 trillion-plus perpetual futures market?
What is expected in the development of TRX?
TRON’s plan focuses on expanding across multiple blockchains, growing its stablecoin offerings, upgrading its technology, and building a global network.
- Cross-Chain Expansion (Q4 2025) – Connecting with 25+ blockchains through deBridge.
- USDD 2.0 Phase X (Late 2025) – Offering flexible interest rates to encourage liquidity.
- Real-World Assets & AI Integration (2026) – Bringing real-world investments and AI tools onto TRON.
- Global PayFi Growth (Ongoing) – Enabling fee-free USDT transfers in emerging markets.
In-Depth Look
1. Cross-Chain Expansion (Q4 2025)
What’s happening: TRON will complete its integration with deBridge by late 2025, allowing it to work seamlessly with Solana and over 24 other blockchains. This makes transferring stablecoins and using decentralized finance (DeFi) apps across different networks easier. TRON is also launching a new validator program on BTTC (BitTorrent Chain) to make cross-chain operations more decentralized.
Why it matters: This is good news for TRON (TRX) because better connectivity can attract more developers and increase transaction activity. However, competition from other blockchains like Ethereum and Cosmos remains a challenge.
2. USDD 2.0 Phase X (Late 2025)
What’s happening: The JustLend DAO will roll out Phase X of USDD 2.0, introducing tiered interest rates (APYs) to encourage more liquidity. At the same time, USD1—a stablecoin designed to meet regulatory standards—plans to increase its supply to $100 million, aiming to attract institutional investors (CoinJournal).
Why it matters: This could strengthen TRON’s role in the stablecoin market, which is positive. But ongoing regulatory scrutiny, like the SEC’s investigations, could pose risks.
3. Real-World Assets & AI Integration (2026)
What’s happening: TRON plans to bring real-world assets such as treasury bonds onto its blockchain, making them tradable as digital tokens. It will also integrate AI-powered analytics through partnerships like The Graph’s Substreams (Cointelegraph).
Why it matters: This could open up new uses for TRON beyond just payments, making it more versatile. However, technical challenges and regulatory approval could slow progress.
4. Global PayFi Growth (Ongoing)
What’s happening: TRON supports gas-free USDT transfers and is working with payment platforms like Revolut Pay to expand in regions like Latin America and Africa. As of August 2025, TRON processed over $600 billion in monthly stablecoin volume, largely driven by remittances (Cointelegraph).
Why it matters: This boosts TRON’s real-world use, especially in emerging markets. But heavy reliance on USDT means TRON could face risks if competitors like Circle’s USDC gain more market share.
Conclusion
TRON’s roadmap combines important technology upgrades with efforts to grow its ecosystem through stablecoins and payment solutions. While regulatory challenges in the U.S. remain, partnerships with Nasdaq-listed Tron Inc. and deBridge add credibility. The big question is whether TRON can use its strong stablecoin presence to become a key player in global payments.
What updates are there in the TRX code base?
TRON’s latest updates focus on improving decentralized finance (DeFi) features, lowering costs, and enhancing compatibility with other blockchains.
- SunPerp Launch (September 24, 2025) – A decentralized exchange (DEX) for perpetual futures with no gas fees and lightning-fast order execution.
- TRC-404 Standard (September 17, 2025) – A new token standard that allows splitting NFTs into smaller, tradable pieces.
- Energy Fee Reduction (August 29, 2025) – Network fees cut by 60% following a community vote.
Deep Dive
1. SunPerp Launch (September 24, 2025)
What it is: TRON launched SunPerp, a decentralized platform where users can trade perpetual futures contracts without paying gas fees. Trades execute in less than a second.
This platform uses TRON’s fast network (processing 1,200 transactions per second) and includes “dark pools” to prevent unfair trading practices like front-running. Smart contracts handle approvals, deposits, and withdrawals without extra fees by using TRX staking.
Why it matters: This makes TRON more attractive for traders who need speed and low costs, boosting the network’s overall activity and value.
(Source)
2. TRC-404 Standard (September 17, 2025)
What it is: TRC-404 combines features of TRC-20 (standard tokens) and TRC-721 (NFTs) to let users own fractions of an NFT.
Inspired by Ethereum’s ERC-404, this lets people buy and sell parts of digital collectibles or gaming items, making expensive NFTs more accessible.
Why it matters: This opens up new opportunities for smaller investors and creators, increasing trading activity and liquidity in TRON’s NFT ecosystem.
(Source)
3. Energy Fee Reduction (August 29, 2025)
What it is: TRON’s community voted to cut energy fees by 60%, with plans to adjust fees quarterly based on network use.
This lowers the cost of running smart contracts and complex transactions, supporting TRON’s goal to be an affordable platform for stablecoins and DeFi projects.
Why it matters: Lower fees encourage more users and developers to build and trade on TRON, especially for small payments and frequent transactions.
(Source)
Conclusion
TRON’s recent updates improve speed (SunPerp), flexibility (TRC-404), and affordability (fee cuts), strengthening its position in DeFi and stablecoin markets. As more institutions adopt TRON and its technology evolves, the question remains: can TRON keep up with other leading blockchain platforms?