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Why did the price of SUI fall?

Sui (SUI) dropped 2.6% in the past 24 hours, underperforming the overall crypto market, which fell 1.1%. The main reasons include profit-taking after hitting key TVL milestones, investors shifting away from altcoins, and mixed technical signals.

  1. Profit-taking after TVL growth – Sui’s Total Value Locked (TVL) reached a record $2.6 billion, prompting some traders to cash out profits.
  2. Shift away from altcoins – Investors moved funds to Bitcoin as the Altcoin Season Index dropped 30% over the week.
  3. Technical resistance – SUI’s price struggled to break above $3.75 and remains below important moving averages.

Deep Dive

1. Profit-Taking After Ecosystem Growth (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
On October 9, Sui’s TVL hit an all-time high of $2.6 billion (The Defiant), with decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume surpassing $156 billion. Despite these strong fundamentals, the 80% price increase over the past year encouraged some traders to lock in gains.

What this means:

2. Altcoin Capital Rotation (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Bitcoin’s market dominance rose to 58.58%, up 0.32% daily, while the Altcoin Season Index dropped 30% over the week. This suggests investors are moving money from mid-sized altcoins like SUI into Bitcoin, which is seen as a safer asset.

What this means:

3. Technical Resistance Cluster (Bearish Impact)

Overview:
SUI faces multiple resistance levels:

What this means:

Conclusion

SUI’s recent price drop is a natural result of profit-taking after hitting key ecosystem milestones, combined with weakness in the altcoin market and technical resistance. The network’s impressive 160% annual TVL growth and growing interest from institutional investors (like Grayscale and 21Shares ETFs) suggest this is a temporary consolidation, not a long-term decline.

Key watch: Can SUI hold the $3.40 support level (23.6% Fibonacci retracement) to avoid retesting September’s low of $3.10? Keep an eye on Friday’s U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report — a dovish reading could boost demand for altcoins.


What could affect the price of SUI?

Sui’s price is balancing between strong growth in decentralized finance (DeFi) and concerns about security risks.

  1. DeFi Growth Surge – Total Value Locked (TVL) hits $2.64 billion, showing increased use of the network.
  2. Gaming Adoption – The move of EVE Frontier to Sui could bring more users.
  3. Regulatory Changes – The SEC’s planned crypto exemption by 2026 might make it easier for big investors to join.

Deep Dive

1. DeFi & Ecosystem Momentum (Positive Impact)

Overview:
Sui’s Total Value Locked (TVL) reached a new high of $2.64 billion on October 9, 2025, growing 12.8% in one week (Binance News). The stablecoin market on Sui doubled to $925 million since September, while decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volumes stayed steady at $13 billion per month. Upcoming events like the launch of SuiDEX’s mainnet in late 2025 and the integration of the SuiPlay 0X1 gaming console are expected to boost activity further.

What this means:
A higher TVL shows that developers and users are actively building and using the network, which often leads to price increases. For example, when Sui’s TVL passed $2 billion, its price jumped 70% in July 2025.

2. Security & Centralization Risks (Negative Impact)

Overview:
In May 2025, the Cetus Protocol on Sui was hacked for $260 million. Although 90% of the stolen funds were frozen thanks to validator intervention, this event raised concerns about how centralized Sui’s network is. Validators on Sui can stop transactions, which is less common on other Layer 1 blockchains like Solana.

What this means:
This kind of centralized control might discourage users who prioritize privacy and decentralization. Repeated security issues could also damage trust. After the hack, SUI’s price fell 8%, underperforming competitors like APT, which dropped 5% that week.

3. Regulatory Tailwinds (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) plans to finalize a crypto innovation exemption by early 2026, which could make it easier for projects like Sui to comply with regulations. However, the SEC delayed its decision on a spot SUI ETF in June 2025, creating uncertainty.

What this means:
Clearer regulations could attract institutional investors—Grayscale’s SUI Trust currently holds $163 million in assets. But ongoing delays risk missing out on potential investment.

Conclusion

Sui’s price depends on how well it can grow its DeFi ecosystem while addressing security and centralization concerns. Watch the $3.40 support level (200-day simple moving average): holding above this could lead to a test of $4.20 resistance, while falling below might push the price toward $3.10. Will Sui’s push into gaming be enough to ease worries about centralization?


What are people saying about SUI?

The Sui (SUI) community is divided between hopes for a price breakout and concerns about a market correction. Innovations in decentralized finance (DeFi) and excitement around exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are balancing worries about upcoming token unlocks. Here’s what’s trending:

  1. Bullish signals aim for $5 as technical charts show potential breakout patterns
  2. Growth in Bitcoin-focused DeFi (BTCfi) fuels optimism – 10% of total value locked (TVL) now linked to Bitcoin
  3. ETF filings generate institutional interest (notably from 21Shares and Canary Capital)

Deep Dive

1. @CarbzXBT: "SUI = next SOL?" Bullish

"SUI’s 36x growth since launch is similar to early Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) — its object-based design supports real scalability."
– @CarbzXBT (89K followers · 2.1M impressions · 2025-10-06 17:26 UTC)
View original post

What this means: Comparing SUI to major Layer 1 blockchains like ETH and SOL shows strong long-term confidence in SUI’s technology. However, its current price of $3.41 is still 31% below its all-time high of $5.35.

2. @BanklessHQ: BTCfi dominance Neutral

"Bitcoin-based protocols now make up 10% of Sui’s $2.33 billion total value locked. Cross-chain projects like Babylon are speeding up adoption."
– @BanklessHQ (1.2M followers · 18M impressions · 2025-05-20 14:48 UTC)
View original post

What this means: Sui’s move into Bitcoin-focused DeFi could attract Bitcoin liquidity, but it faces competition from other Bitcoin Layer 2 solutions designed specifically for BTC.

3. CoinMarketCap Post: Unlock fears Bearish

"58 million SUI tokens (worth $197 million) will unlock on June 2, risking selling pressure. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 70.26 indicates the market is overbought and may need a correction."
– CMC Community (2.3M users · 2025-07-18 21:40 UTC)

What this means: With only 36% of the total supply currently circulating, ongoing token unlocks could limit price gains despite growth in the Sui ecosystem.

Conclusion

Opinions on SUI are mixed. Developers are excited about its modular design and progress in Bitcoin DeFi, while traders are cautious, watching the $3.40 support level (200-day simple moving average) amid risks from token unlocks. Keep an eye on the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision expected in January 2026 regarding 21Shares’ ETF filing, which could trigger market volatility.


What is the latest news about SUI?

Sui is growing its ecosystem carefully while keeping an eye on the market. Here are the latest updates:

  1. EVE Frontier Moves to Sui (October 9, 2025) – A major gaming title is now using Sui’s unique technology.
  2. DeFi TVL Reaches $2.64 Billion (October 9, 2025) – More activity on the network even though prices are steady.
  3. Grayscale Adds SUI to Smart Contract Fund (October 8, 2025) – Big investors are starting to include SUI in their portfolios.

In Detail

1. EVE Frontier Moves to Sui (October 9, 2025)

What happened:
The popular space MMO game EVE Frontier is now running on the Sui blockchain. The game’s developer, CCP Games, chose Sui because it can handle billions of player-created objects smoothly. In early tests last month, over 11,000 characters were created.

Why it matters:
This is a big win for Sui’s gaming side, showing it can support complex Web3 games. Features like zkLogin (which simplifies logging in) and sponsored gas fees (which reduce transaction costs) could help attract more players. However, combining blockchain with a massive MMO game is new territory, so there are still risks ahead. (CCN.com)

2. DeFi TVL Reaches $2.64 Billion (October 9, 2025)

What happened:
The total value locked (TVL) in Sui’s decentralized finance (DeFi) apps jumped 12.8% in one week to $2.64 billion. This growth is mainly due to a big increase in stablecoins (up 92% since September) and steady trading on decentralized exchanges (about $13 billion per month). Cetus Protocol controls over half of the DEX market on Sui.

Why it matters:
This shows that more people are using Sui for DeFi, even though the price of SUI tokens is down 34% from its highest point. Traders seem to be holding their positions rather than selling off, which suggests cautious optimism about the future. (Binance News)

3. Grayscale Adds SUI to Smart Contract Fund (October 8, 2025)

What happened:
Grayscale, a major investment firm, updated its Smart Contract Fund to include 7.35% SUI, alongside Ethereum (30.97%) and Cardano (7.57%). This follows a SUI ETF filing by Nasdaq/21Shares earlier this year.

Why it matters:
This move brings more institutional investors into the SUI ecosystem, helping to diversify who holds the token. While the fund’s total assets ($24.9 billion in crypto ETFs) are relatively small, this is a positive sign. It also fits with other developments like Fireblocks adding SUI custody and xPortal launching a SUI payment card. (Binance News)

Conclusion

Sui is making progress in gaming, DeFi, and attracting institutional investors, but its price hasn’t yet caught up with this growth. With the Altcoin Season Index at 48 (down 27% this week), the question is whether SUI’s momentum can push through the cautious market. Keep an eye on upcoming events like the SuiPlay 0X1 console launch and the SuiDEX mainnet rollout for potential boosts.


What is expected in the development of SUI?

Sui is making progress with two key updates:

  1. SuiNS .move Service (Late 2025) – A new on-chain service that lets users and developers link easy-to-remember names to complex digital addresses.
  2. AvA Markets Mainnet (Q1 2026) – Launch of a decentralized exchange built on Sui, designed to handle lots of trades quickly and efficiently.

Deep Dive

1. SuiNS .move Service (Late 2025)

Overview:
The Sui Name Service (SuiNS) .move service will make it easier to use the Sui network by allowing people to replace long, complicated digital addresses with simple, human-friendly names like wallet.move. This means less need to deal with confusing codes, making it simpler for wallets and apps to interact with the network.

What this means:
This is a positive development for SUI because it lowers the learning curve for new users and improves the overall experience, which could lead to more people using Sui-based apps. However, there’s a chance the rollout could be delayed or that other naming services might compete with it.

2. AvA Markets Mainnet (Q1 2026)

Overview:
AvA Markets is a decentralized exchange (DEX) that plans to launch on Sui in early 2026. It will take advantage of Sui’s fast and efficient technology to support a large number of trades and offer deep liquidity, meaning users can trade assets smoothly without big price changes.

What this means:
This update is neutral for SUI. While it could bring more decentralized finance (DeFi) activity to the network and showcase Sui’s technical strengths, its success depends on how well AvA Markets is adopted and overall market conditions.

Conclusion

Sui’s roadmap focuses on making the network easier to use (with SuiNS) and expanding its ecosystem (with AvA Markets). This aligns with Sui’s goal to be a developer-friendly Layer 1 blockchain. With developer activity growing by 16.1% year-over-year (Sui Forum), these updates could help Sui compete with other platforms like Solana and Aptos.


What updates are there in the SUI code base?

Sui’s latest software updates focus on making the network faster, more secure, and easier for developers to use.

  1. Mainnet v1.57.2 Upgrade (October 7, 2025) – Launches Mysticeti v2 for quicker transactions and improves APIs.
  2. Testnet Party Objects (July 5, 2025) – Introduces programmable transaction groups for more complex operations.
  3. Move 2024 Compiler (Q2 2025) – Adds new programming features to help developers write safer and more modular code.

Deep Dive

1. Mainnet v1.57.2 Upgrade (October 7, 2025)

Overview:
This update activates Mysticeti v2, a feature that speeds up how transactions are confirmed by allowing simple ones to skip some of the usual checks without sacrificing security.

Details:

What this means:
Faster transaction finality is great news for Sui because it can attract decentralized finance (DeFi) apps that need quick processing. The improved transparency also makes Sui more appealing to institutional users. (Source)

2. Testnet Party Objects (July 5, 2025)

Overview:
“Party” objects let developers bundle multiple actions—like swapping tokens and staking—into a single transaction on the testnet.

Details:

What this means:
While this feature is currently only on the testnet (a testing environment), it could enable more complex DeFi and gaming applications if it moves to the mainnet, improving how different operations work together. (Source)

3. Move 2024 Compiler (Q2 2025)

Overview:
The Move 2024 compiler update introduces new programming tools like enums and macros, helping developers write safer and more reusable smart contract code.

Details:

What this means:
Cleaner and safer code means fewer bugs and security risks. It also makes it easier for new developers to start building on Sui. (Source)

Conclusion

Sui’s recent updates focus on enterprise-level scalability (Mysticeti v2), secure transaction design (Party objects), and improved developer tools (Move 2024). With these improvements happening simultaneously on the mainnet and testnet, Sui is positioning itself as a strong platform for institutional DeFi projects and AI-powered decentralized applications.