What could affect the price of ONDO?

Ondo’s price is influenced by a mix of regulatory progress and token supply factors.

1. Regulatory Wins – Ondo’s purchase of Oasis Pro brings SEC-approved licenses, allowing it to trade real-world assets (RWA) legally and safely (positive for price).
2. Token Unlocks – About 3.96 billion ONDO tokens set to unlock by 2027, which could put downward pressure on the price if demand doesn’t keep up.
3. Growing RWA Market – The market for tokenized securities is expected to reach $18 trillion by 2033, potentially boosting demand for ONDO (positive for price).

In-Depth Look

1. Regulatory Compliance & Market Growth (Positive for Price)

What’s happening:
Ondo acquired Oasis Pro, which holds important SEC licenses like broker-dealer and Alternative Trading System (ATS) status. This means Ondo can legally trade tokenized versions of government bonds, stocks, and corporate debt. This opens the door for big institutional investors to participate.

Why it matters:
Being fully compliant with SEC rules removes a major hurdle for traditional investors who want to enter the tokenized asset space. Ondo already manages $1.4 billion in tokenized Treasury products, showing strong existing demand (The Block).

2. Token Unlock Schedule (Mixed Impact)

What’s happening:
Over half of ONDO’s total supply (5.21 billion tokens) is allocated for ecosystem growth. About 24% of these tokens (1.25 billion) were unlocked right after launch, with the rest gradually unlocking monthly until 2027. Currently, 3.16 billion tokens are in circulation.

Why it matters:
If many tokens enter the market quickly without enough buyers, the price could drop. However, the gradual unlocking aligns incentives for developers and partners to keep building and growing the ecosystem, which is a positive sign for long-term value.

3. Real-World Asset Market Growth (Positive for Price)

What’s happening:
Ondo is working with Chainlink oracles and partners like the BlackRock-backed BUIDL fund, positioning itself as a leader in tokenized government bonds. The market for tokenized real-world assets is expected to grow rapidly, reaching $24 billion by 2025 (RWA.xyz).

Why it matters:
Ondo’s products like tokenized bonds (OUSG) and yield-generating USDY tokens could see increased demand. Large investors, including Arthur Hayes with a $41 million stake, show confidence in Ondo’s potential.

Conclusion

Ondo’s price will depend on how well it balances new tokens entering the market with growing adoption of its regulated real-world asset platform. The $1.12 price level is a key resistance point—breaking above it could push the price toward $1.50, while failing to break it might lead to a drop to $0.86 support. Keep an eye on trading volumes and updates from the SEC regarding the 21Shares ETF filing to gauge future momentum.

What are people saying about ONDO?

The Ondo (ONDO) community is excited about potential ETF approvals and real-world asset opportunities, while closely watching important price levels. Here’s what’s trending:

1. Breakout potential aiming for $1.14 to $2.00 based on positive chart signals
2. Institutional interest growing from ETF filings and partnerships linked to BlackRock
3. Key support levels between $0.70 and $0.75 that could influence short-term price moves
4. Network growth with a fourfold increase in new user addresses over one week

Deep Dive

1. @BlockNests: Bullish Flag Targets $2 bullish

"ONDO forms bullish flag, trading above MA50 – breakout could propel it to $1.14–$2"
– @BlockNests (32K followers · 1.2M impressions · 2025-09-03 11:33 UTC)
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What this means: This is a positive sign for ONDO. A “bullish flag” is a chart pattern that suggests the price is gathering strength before a possible big move upward, potentially doubling if enough buyers step in.

2. @OndoFinance: Institutional Onboarding bullish

"Acquired SEC-regulated Oasis Pro, launched $250M Catalyst fund with Pantera, and expanded tokenized stocks"
– @OndoFinance (287K followers · 15M impressions · 2025-08-01 16:55 UTC)
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What this means: This is good news for ONDO. By acquiring a company regulated by the SEC and launching a large investment fund, Ondo is building a strong foundation that attracts big investors interested in real-world assets (RWAs).

3. @ali_charts: Make-or-Break Support mixed

"$0.70 support critical – breakdown here risks 30% drop, hold could reignite uptrend"
– @ali_charts (530K followers · 8.4M impressions · 2025-07-02 00:52 UTC)
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What this means: This is a neutral signal for ONDO. The $0.70 level is important — if the price falls below it, there could be a significant drop. But if it holds, the price might start rising again. Short-term momentum is uncertain.

4. @sealaunch_: Network Expansion bullish

"Daily new addresses quadrupled in July – strongest growth signal since 2024"
– @sealaunch (89K followers · 2.7M impressions · 2025-07-01 16:42 UTC)
[View original post](https://x.com/sealaunch/status/1940088727713587344)
What this means: This is a positive sign for ONDO. A big increase in new users usually means more interest and activity, which often leads to higher prices as the network grows stronger.

Conclusion

The overall outlook for ONDO is optimistic but cautious. Institutional developments around real-world assets and promising technical patterns suggest upside potential. However, there are risks near key support levels that could affect short-term price moves. Watch the $0.93 to $0.97 range closely — breaking above this could confirm the bullish trend, while failing might lead to testing lower support levels. With the 21Shares ETF decision upcoming and Ondo’s total value locked (TVL) staying above $1.3 billion, ONDO remains a strong contender in the growing tokenization space.

What is the latest news about ONDO?

Ondo is combining traditional finance (TradFi) with decentralized finance (DeFi) through a major regulatory achievement, setting itself up to lead the U.S. market for tokenized securities. Here’s the latest update:

1. Oasis Pro Acquisition Completed (October 6, 2025) – Ondo secured licenses from the SEC to operate regulated tokenized securities markets in the U.S.
2. Arthur Hayes Buys $41M in ONDO (October 6, 2025) – A major investor’s purchase signals confidence during a period of price stability.

In-Depth Look

1. Oasis Pro Acquisition Completed (October 6, 2025)

What happened:
Ondo Finance finalized its purchase of Oasis Pro, gaining important licenses from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). These include broker-dealer, Alternative Trading System (ATS), and transfer agent licenses. This means Ondo can now legally tokenize and trade assets like U.S. Treasuries, real estate, and corporate bonds. This is a big step because it removes a major hurdle for institutional investors who want to participate in blockchain-based markets. The tokenized securities market is expected to grow to $18 trillion by 2033.

Why it matters:
This is good news for ONDO because it opens the door for U.S. investors to participate in a compliant way. It also allows Ondo to offer new products like tokenized stocks and ETFs, strengthening its position in the real-world asset (RWA) tokenization space. After the announcement, ONDO’s price jumped 6.4%, showing positive market reaction. However, there are still risks as Ondo works to integrate Oasis Pro’s systems.
(Source: The Block)

2. Arthur Hayes Buys $41M in ONDO (October 6, 2025)

What happened:
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, increased his ONDO holdings to $41 million. Recent transfers of ONDO tokens to exchanges suggest he is accumulating more rather than selling. Despite a slight price drop of 3.8% to $0.97, technical analysis shows support at $0.86 and resistance near $1.12.

Why it matters:
This is a cautiously positive sign for ONDO. A large investor’s confidence indicates belief in Ondo’s long-term potential in tokenizing real-world assets. However, relatively low trading volume ($169 million) and moderate derivatives activity ($500 million open interest) suggest traders are being careful in the short term. If ONDO’s price breaks above $1.12 and holds, it could trigger renewed buying momentum toward its previous high of $2.
(Source: AMBCrypto)

Conclusion

Ondo’s recent regulatory success and strong investor interest highlight its shift from a DeFi project to a fully compliant player in the real-world asset tokenization market. While short-term price movements will depend on overall market conditions, Ondo’s ability to capture a share of the $18 trillion tokenized securities market will be key to its future growth. Will institutional investors start flowing in now that Ondo has official access to U.S. markets?

What is expected in the development of ONDO?

Ondo’s roadmap is centered on growing its real-world asset (RWA) ecosystem through important upgrades and new partnerships.

1. Global Markets Launch (Q4 2025) – Introducing tokenized U.S. stocks, ETFs, and bonds.
2. Ondo Chain Upgrades (2026) – Enhancing its blockchain to better connect traditional finance (TradFi) and decentralized finance (DeFi).
3. Second Wave Ondo Points (Q1 2026) – Expanding its rewards program across different platforms.

Deep Dive

1. Global Markets Launch (Q4 2025)

Overview: Ondo plans to roll out its Global Markets platform, which will offer tokenized versions of U.S. stocks, ETFs, and bonds. These tokens will be backed by traditional financial liquidity, making it easier for users to trade these assets on the blockchain. This launch builds on partnerships with BNB Chain, LayerZero, and others to ensure smooth technical integration.

What this means: This is a positive development for ONDO, as it broadens the ways users can engage with its real-world asset ecosystem. More use cases could lead to higher demand for ONDO tokens used in governance and staking. However, regulatory challenges around tokenized securities could slow down adoption.

2. Ondo Chain Upgrades (2026)

Overview: Ondo Chain is a blockchain platform designed for institutions, launched in early 2025. Planned upgrades will improve its ability to work across different blockchains and connect with traditional finance systems, such as J.P. Morgan’s blockchain. Recent acquisitions like Oasis Pro, a broker-dealer registered with the SEC, show Ondo’s focus on meeting regulatory requirements.

What this means: This is somewhat positive. Better technology and compliance could attract more institutional users. Still, Ondo faces competition from other enterprise blockchain platforms backed by companies like Circle and Stripe, which could limit its growth.

3. Second Wave Ondo Points (Q1 2026)

Overview: Ondo will expand its loyalty program by partnering with other DeFi projects. Users can earn Ondo Points by participating in activities like providing liquidity or voting in governance decisions.

What this means: This should encourage more users to join and stay active in the short term. However, if too many rewards are given out, it could reduce the value of the tokens over time.

Conclusion

Ondo’s roadmap highlights its goal to connect traditional finance and decentralized finance through tokenization and a strong focus on regulatory compliance. These efforts could strengthen its position in the real-world asset space. However, the success of these plans depends on effective execution and navigating regulatory challenges. Additionally, broader trends in the cryptocurrency market will influence how quickly institutions adopt Ondo’s solutions.

What updates are there in the ONDO code base?

Ondo’s development is focusing on building a secure, institution-ready platform for Real-World Asset (RWA) tokenization and making it easy to move assets across different blockchains.

1. Ondo Chain Mainnet Launch (February 2025) – A new blockchain designed for institutions to tokenize real-world assets while meeting regulatory requirements.
2. Strangelove Labs Acquisition (July 2025) – Ondo bought a blockchain tech company to improve its ability to issue assets across multiple blockchains.
3. July 2025 GitHub Activity Spike – A 40% increase in development work focused on security audits and compliance features.

Deep Dive

1. Ondo Chain Mainnet Launch (February 2025)

What is it? Ondo Chain is a new blockchain built on Ethereum-compatible technology (EVM Layer-1) designed specifically for institutions. It connects traditional finance networks, like J.P. Morgan’s Kinexys, with public blockchains, allowing secure and instant transfers of tokenized assets across chains.

Key Features:

• Authorized Validators: Only regulated financial institutions run the network nodes to ensure compliance.
• Cross-Chain Transfers: Uses Chainlink’s technology to move assets smoothly between different blockchains.
• Staking with Real Assets: Tokenized government bonds or treasuries can be staked to help secure the network.

Why it matters: This launch makes ONDO a strong candidate for institutions wanting to bring real-world assets onto blockchain in a compliant way, blending traditional finance liquidity with decentralized finance (DeFi) access. (Source)

2. Strangelove Labs Acquisition (July 2025)

What is it? Ondo acquired Strangelove Labs, a company specializing in blockchain infrastructure, to speed up development of their RWA platform.

Impact:

• More engineering resources to build better cross-chain protocols.
• Incorporation of Strangelove’s software tools to customize blockchain deployments.

Why it matters: While integrating a new company can be complex at first, this move strengthens Ondo’s technical capabilities, making it better equipped to serve institutional clients over time. (Source)

3. July 2025 GitHub Activity Surge

What happened? Ondo’s development activity on GitHub jumped by 40% in July, focusing on improving security and compliance.

Key Updates:

• Smart Contract Audits: Thorough reviews of token contracts like USDY and OUSG to ensure safety.
• Compliance Tools: Added features for Know Your Customer (KYC) and Anti-Money Laundering (AML) processes to meet regulatory standards.

Why it matters: These improvements reduce risks and make ONDO more attractive to institutional partners who require strict regulatory compliance. (Source)

Conclusion

Ondo is building a blockchain platform focused on compliance and security for real-world assets, with strong support for moving assets across different blockchains. With its new mainnet and strategic acquisition, ONDO is positioning itself as a key player in helping traditional finance transition to blockchain technology.

Why did the price of ONDO go up?

Ondo (ONDO) increased by 5.51% in the last 24 hours, reaching $0.965, outperforming the overall crypto market, which grew by 1.63%. This follows an 8.98% gain over the past week, driven by:

1. Regulatory Achievement – Ondo acquired Oasis Pro, a company registered with the SEC, allowing it to operate compliant tokenized securities markets in the U.S.
2. Technical Breakthrough – ONDO’s price moved above important moving averages, supported by positive momentum indicators.
3. Whale Activity – Large investors bought more ONDO after the news, showing confidence in the token.

Deep Dive

1. Strategic Acquisition (Positive Outlook)

Overview: On October 6, Ondo completed its purchase of Oasis Pro, which holds licenses as an SEC-registered broker-dealer, Alternative Trading System (ATS), and transfer agent. This gives Ondo the ability to legally offer tokenized assets like government bonds and real estate in the U.S. market.

Why it matters: These licenses let Ondo create regulated markets for buying and selling tokenized securities, a key step toward getting big financial institutions involved. Experts estimate the tokenized securities market could grow to $18 trillion by 2033 (The Block).

What to watch: How quickly Ondo integrates Oasis Pro’s systems and launches new products, such as tokenized corporate bonds.

2. Technical Momentum (Positive Outlook)

Overview: ONDO is trading above its 7-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and Exponential Moving Average (EMA), both at $0.93. The MACD indicator has turned positive (+0.0027), and the 7-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 59.31, indicating mild bullish momentum.

Why it matters: Breaking above the $0.95 level suggests buyers are in control for now. If ONDO can hold above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level at $1.07, it could aim for the next resistance at $1.13.

3. Market Sentiment & Whale Activity (Mixed Outlook)

Overview: Trading volume for ONDO jumped 45% to $263 million in 24 hours, and open interest in derivatives reached $500 million. Large investors, including Arthur Hayes, reportedly hold $41 million worth of ONDO.

Why it matters: The high trading volume shows strong institutional interest, but the small positive funding rate (+0.0083%) suggests some speculative trading. The Fear & Greed Index at 62 indicates optimism, which could lead to short-term price corrections.

Conclusion

Ondo’s recent price increase is driven by regulatory progress, strong technical signals, and increased activity from large investors. Key point to watch: Will ONDO maintain its price above $0.96 and continue attracting institutional buyers after the acquisition, or will profit-taking near $1.00 limit further gains?