Why did the price of TIA go up?
Celestia (TIA) increased by 4.70% in the last 24 hours, standing out as most of the crypto market declined. Here’s why:
- Technical rebound from oversold levels – The Relative Strength Index (RSI) dropped near 23, indicating the coin was undervalued.
- Renewed interest in modular blockchain technology – New analysis highlighted Celestia’s role in handling data for other blockchains.
- Growing demand from institutional products – Bitwise’s Celestia Staking ETP, traded in Paris, attracted more buyers.
Deep Dive
1. Technical Rebound from Oversold Levels (Positive Sign)
Overview: On November 5, Celestia’s 7-day RSI hit 23.09, the lowest since 2025, signaling it was heavily oversold. The MACD indicator was close to turning positive, which often signals a short-term price increase.
What this means: When RSI falls below 30, traders often see it as a buying opportunity, especially after a 19% drop in a week. The price bounced back near $0.78, a key support level where buyers stepped in.
What to watch: If the price stays above the 7-day simple moving average (SMA) at $0.91, it could confirm a positive trend. If not, the price might drop again toward $0.58.
2. Renewed Interest in Modular Blockchain Technology (Mixed Outlook)
Overview: A November 3 Crypto.news opinion piece highlighted Celestia’s unique role as a data-availability layer supporting Ethereum. It noted that Layer 2 solutions now generate 40% less revenue for Ethereum, which could benefit Celestia’s fee model.
What this means: While this suggests long-term potential for Celestia as blockchain infrastructure, current daily fees are still low ($200 compared to $3,400 in March), limiting immediate growth expectations.
3. Growing Demand from Institutional Products (Positive Sign)
Overview: Bitwise’s Celestia Staking ETP (TIAB) has seen steady buying since its launch on October 16 in Paris, with $5.49 million in net purchases last week.
What this means: This product makes it easier for European institutions to invest in Celestia. However, a recent $62.5 million sell-off by Polychain (The Block) partially offsets this buying pressure from retail investors.
Conclusion
Celestia’s recent price increase is driven by technical buying, renewed interest in its modular blockchain role, and growing institutional demand through regulated products. However, it faces resistance around $0.90 and broader market challenges. Key point to watch: Will Celestia stay above its 7-day SMA at $0.90 to confirm a positive trend, or will Bitcoin’s dominance reduce investment in altcoins like TIA?
What could affect the price of TIA?
Celestia’s price depends on how well its modular blockchain technology is adopted, changes in its token economics, and overall market trends.
- Matcha Upgrade – Cuts inflation in half and increases block size to 128MB (positive for price)
- Modular Competition – Ethereum’s data availability limits vs. competitors like EigenDA and Avail (mixed impact)
- Token Unlocks – About $939k worth of tokens unlock weekly until 2027 (puts downward pressure on price)
Deep Dive
1. Matcha Upgrade: Cutting Inflation & Increasing Capacity (Positive Impact)
Overview:
Celestia’s Matcha upgrade, currently live on testnet and soon on mainnet, reduces the inflation rate of its token TIA from 5% to 2.5%. It also increases the block size to 128MB and allows assets to move across different blockchains. Lower inflation means fewer new tokens are created, making existing tokens more scarce. Larger blocks let the network handle more data, which benefits applications built on top of Celestia.
What this means:
With fewer new tokens entering circulation, the supply tightens if more people start using Celestia. However, a minimum 10% fee for validators (those who help secure the network) might discourage some from staking their tokens. The upgrade’s success depends on whether developers choose Celestia over competitors like EigenDA.
2. Modular Data Availability Race: Ethereum vs. Rivals (Mixed Impact)
Overview:
Ethereum’s Layer 1 blockchain processes about 35,300 data availability transactions daily (as of October 2025), but users still face high fees and congestion. Competitors like Avail and EigenDA are gaining attention, while Celestia supports over 30 rollups (layer 2 solutions) such as Eclipse and Manta.
What this means:
Celestia charges just $0.003 per MB for data availability, much cheaper than Ethereum’s $1 to $10 per MB. This cost advantage is significant, but the sector has seen a 42% drop in activity over the past month, which is a warning sign. For Celestia to maintain its $686 million market value, it needs steady growth in rollup projects using its network.
3. Token Unlocks & Staking Changes (Negative Impact)
Overview:
Tokens held by early investors, like Polychain, are unlocking weekly—about $939,000 worth on October 20—and will continue until 2027. The Lotus upgrade in July 2025 introduced a system where staking rewards are locked based on how many tokens are vested, which helps reduce immediate selling pressure.
What this means:
Although locking staking rewards slows down token dumping, the circulating supply of TIA will still increase by roughly 344,000 tokens daily until 2027. Combined with a 52% price drop over the last 90 days, this creates ongoing resistance to price growth.
Conclusion
Celestia’s price is influenced by both positive factors like technical upgrades and negative factors like token unlocks and broader market challenges. In the short term, watch if the Matcha upgrade’s mainnet launch can counterbalance the pressure from token unlocks. Over the long term, widespread adoption of modular blockchains like Celestia will be crucial.
Will TIA’s reduced inflation and growing demand for data availability outpace the selling pressure from token vesting?
What are people saying about TIA?
Celestia's community is divided between hopes for a price breakout and worries about ongoing token unlocks. Here’s what’s trending:
- Technical traders are watching $4.20 after signs of a breakout from a trading channel
- The founder defends $100 million in reserves amid accusations of insider selling
- Daily token unlocks raise concerns about constant selling pressure
Deep Dive
1. @VipRoseTr: Bullish breakout from descending channel
"#TIA breaking upper resistance at $6.20 🚀 Targets: $2.20 → $4.20"
– @VipRoseTr (64K followers · 12K impressions · 2025-09-10 15:19 UTC)
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What this means: This is a positive sign for Celestia (TIA). Technical traders see breaking out of a price channel with increased trading volume as a sign of momentum shifting upward. However, reaching the $4.20 target means overcoming several resistance points, especially in a market where Bitcoin still dominates nearly 60% of the total crypto market (CoinMarketCap).
2. @kerimcalender: Tokenomics raise caution
"Daily 995K token unlocks → 344K in 55 days. Seed investors paid $0.01 vs current $0.82"
– @kerimcalender (380K followers · 28K impressions · 2025-09-06 13:17 UTC)
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What this means: This is a warning sign for TIA. Large daily token unlocks (currently 834 million tokens circulating out of 1.15 billion total) can create ongoing selling pressure. This is especially concerning since the token price has dropped 52% over the last 90 days (CMC data).
3. @checkmatexxxxxx: Optimistic roadmap outlook
"2025-2030 plan: Deflationary TIA via node cost cuts + cross-rollup liquidity"
– @checkmatexxxxxx (625 followers · 890 impressions · 2025-10-19 13:32 UTC)
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What this means: This is positive for TIA. The plan to reduce inflation from 5% to 0.25% by lowering node operation costs and improving liquidity between rollups could make the token scarcer and more valuable. However, this depends on how widely Celestia’s data layer is adopted by other blockchain projects.
Conclusion
The outlook for Celestia is mixed. Technical traders see signs of recovery, but concerns about token unlocks and selling pressure remain. The key factor to watch is daily on-chain transactions—they need to increase from the current low of 19.2 million annually back toward the peak of 35 million to support the idea of Celestia as a “modular blockchain backbone.” Also, watch the $1.43-$1.46 price range, where short-term charts show strong buying interest.
What is the latest news about TIA?
Celestia (TIA) is navigating a shaky market while continuing to build its modular blockchain technology. Here are the key updates:
- Market Volatility Hits (Nov 5, 2025) – TIA’s price dropped 8% during a wider crypto selloff, testing important support levels.
- Blockchain Infrastructure Focus (Nov 3, 2025) – Celestia highlighted as a leading example of efficient data availability layers.
- Staking Rewards Lowered (Nov 3, 2025) – Bitvavo cut TIA’s fixed staking annual yield to 6.3%, signaling reduced rewards.
In-Depth Look
1. Market Volatility Hits (Nov 5, 2025)
What happened:
Celestia’s price fell to $0.82, down about 20.5% over the week, as Bitcoin briefly dropped below $100,000. This caused $1.4 billion in crypto liquidations. TIA’s decline was sharper than Ethereum and Solana during the same period. Experts say the selloff was driven by investors pulling $578 million from Bitcoin ETFs and uncertainty about future Federal Reserve interest rate decisions.
Why it matters:
This is a neutral sign for TIA in the short term, reflecting a general market pullback. Since TIA’s price closely follows Bitcoin’s movements, it could bounce back if Bitcoin holds above $100,000. The $0.75 price level is a key support to watch.
(Cryptodaily)
2. Blockchain Infrastructure Focus (Nov 3, 2025)
What happened:
An opinion piece on Crypto.news praised Celestia for specializing in data availability, unlike Ethereum’s Layer 1 network, which handles many tasks and can get congested. The article pointed out that Celestia offers a cheaper way for rollups—secondary layers that bundle transactions—to verify data, costing about $0.003 per proof.
Why it matters:
This is a positive sign for Celestia’s long-term growth. With over 50 rollups already using its network, demand for TIA could increase as new technologies like zkVMs (zero-knowledge virtual machines) and AI-based proofs expand. However, it may take time for this adoption to fully develop.
(Crypto.news)
3. Staking Rewards Lowered (Nov 3, 2025)
What happened:
Bitvavo, a crypto exchange, lowered the fixed staking annual percentage yield (APY) for TIA from 8.2% to 6.3%. Flexible staking rewards also dropped to 2.1%. This reflects less demand from validators and aligns with Celestia’s upcoming Proof-of-Governance upgrade, which aims to reduce inflation to 1.5% per year.
Why it matters:
This is a downside for investors seeking high short-term returns but doesn’t negatively impact the overall token economics. Lower rewards might reduce selling pressure from stakers cashing out, supporting Celestia’s plan to become more deflationary. Traders should also watch the $939,000 worth of tokens unlocking on October 20.
(Bitvavo)
Conclusion
Celestia is facing short-term challenges due to market uncertainty but maintains strong advantages with its modular blockchain design. While staking rewards are decreasing, the focus on specialized data availability could boost real-world use and demand. The big question is whether growth in “blobspace” (Celestia’s data storage area) during Q4 can balance out the liquidity leaving due to ETF outflows.
What is expected in the development of TIA?
Celestia’s roadmap is focused on growing its infrastructure and making it easier for different blockchains to work together.
- Scaling Blobspace (2025–2030) – Increasing data capacity to handle more users and transactions.
- Lazy Bridging (2025–2030) – Making it cheaper and simpler to move assets between different blockchain networks.
- Proof of Governance (2025–2030) – Lowering costs for network operators and introducing token features that reduce overall supply.
Deep Dive
1. Scaling Blobspace (2025–2030)
Overview: Celestia plans to expand its data availability layer, called blobspace, to support a growing number of blockchain applications known as rollups. This means improving how data is stored and accessed so the network can handle much more activity as crypto use grows (@checkmatexxxxxx).
What this means: This is good news for Celestia’s token, TIA, because more demand for data means more fees paid in TIA. However, Celestia faces competition from Ethereum’s upcoming upgrades and other data providers like EigenDA.
2. Lazy Bridging (2025–2030)
Overview: Lazy Bridging is a new way to move assets between different blockchain rollups without locking up large amounts of liquidity all the time. This reduces costs and makes it easier for decentralized apps (dApps) to operate across multiple blockchains.
What this means: This could attract more developers to build on Celestia-connected networks, which is positive. But its success depends on whether major Layer 2 networks adopt it and how it stacks up against other bridging solutions.
3. Proof of Governance (2025–2030)
Overview: This upgrade would combine rewards for network validators with a system that burns (removes) some TIA tokens to reduce supply. Validators earn fees from data transactions, and burning tokens helps offset the costs of running the network.
What this means: If done well, this could make TIA more valuable by reducing inflation (currently about 8% per year) and encouraging staking. However, changes to token economics are complex and may not fully prevent selling pressure when tokens unlock.
Conclusion
Celestia aims to be a key player in the future of modular blockchains by focusing on scaling, interoperability, and sustainable token economics. Its success depends on gaining adoption from rollups before competitors catch up.
How will Ethereum’s data availability upgrades or slower adoption of modular blockchains affect Celestia’s future?
What updates are there in the TIA code base?
Celestia’s latest updates focus on improving scalability, making it easier to work with other blockchains, and reducing the total supply of its token, TIA, to increase its value over time.
- Lotus Upgrade (July 2025) – Added Hyperlane technology to help TIA move smoothly between Ethereum, Solana, and other blockchains.
- Proof of Governance Proposal (June 2025) – Cuts new TIA tokens created each year from 5% to just 0.25%.
- 2025–2030 Roadmap (October 2025) – Focuses on expanding data capacity, improving cross-chain transfers, and lowering costs for network participants.
Deep Dive
1. Lotus Upgrade (July 2025)
What happened: The Lotus upgrade introduced Hyperlane as Celestia’s built-in tool for connecting with other blockchains. This means TIA tokens can now move easily between popular networks like Ethereum and Solana.
The upgrade also lowered the yearly creation of new TIA tokens from 5% to 0.25%, encouraging people to hold and stake their tokens longer. Staking rules were updated to make the network more secure and efficient.
Why it matters: This is good news for TIA holders because it makes the token more useful across different blockchain platforms while reducing the number of new tokens entering the market, which could increase demand. (Source)
2. Proof of Governance Proposal (June 2025)
What happened: A new governance model called Proof of Governance (PoG) was proposed. Instead of rewarding validators with new tokens (which increases supply), this model would burn tokens based on how much people participate in governance decisions.
This change aims to cut the creation of new tokens by 95%, shifting the focus from paying validators to generating revenue for the protocol.
Why it matters: In the short term, this change is neutral for TIA’s price because it introduces a way to reduce supply but depends on validators agreeing to it. Long-term success depends on active participation in governance. (Source)
3. 2025–2030 Roadmap (October 2025)
What happened: Celestia’s roadmap for the next five years focuses on three main goals: increasing the capacity for storing data (called blobspace), making cross-rollup transfers easier with “lazy bridging,” and lowering the costs for running nodes.
Technical upgrades include improving how data is sampled to increase speed and using zero-knowledge proofs to make running nodes less resource-intensive.
Why it matters: This is positive for TIA because building scalable infrastructure is key for modular blockchains like Celestia. Success here could make Celestia a vital part of the Web3 ecosystem. (Source)
Conclusion
Celestia’s recent updates show a clear focus on making the network scalable and sustainable. By reducing token supply and improving cross-chain functionality, Celestia is positioning TIA for wider adoption. The big question remains: Will Celestia’s technical improvements be enough to overcome the current challenges in the broader crypto market?