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Why did the price of POL fall?

Polygon (POL) dropped 20.04% in the last 24 hours, falling more than the overall crypto market, which declined by 10.06%. This decline is mainly due to Coinbase’s final deadline for swapping MATIC to POL, technical weaknesses in the price chart, and a general cautious mood across the crypto sector.

  1. MATIC Delisting Completed – Coinbase stopped MATIC trading on October 14, causing volatility as users moved their tokens to POL.
  2. Oversold Technical Signals – The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 27.4 shows the coin is oversold, but bearish pressure remains strong below key price levels.
  3. Market-Wide Selloff – The crypto fear index rose to 35, with many altcoins losing value while Bitcoin’s dominance increased by nearly 60%.

Deep Dive

1. MATIC-to-POL Swap Deadline (Negative Impact)

Overview:
Coinbase ended MATIC trading on October 14, 2025, automatically converting any remaining MATIC balances to POL (AMBCrypto). This completes Polygon’s year-long migration process, which was already 99% done and mostly priced into the market.

What this means:

2. Technical Breakdown (Negative Impact)

Overview:
POL’s price dropped below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level at $0.2261 and is currently trading around $0.191, close to the 78.6% retracement level at $0.16116. The RSI of 27.4 indicates oversold conditions, but the MACD histogram at -0.00188 confirms ongoing downward momentum.

What this means:

3. Altcoin Selloff (Mixed Impact)

Overview:
Bitcoin’s market dominance rose to 59.93% (up 1.34% in 24 hours) as investors moved away from altcoins. The Altcoin Season Index dropped to 36 (a 41% decrease over the month), showing how POL is affected by broader risk-off sentiment in the crypto market.

What this means:

Conclusion

POL’s recent price drop is driven by the final phase of the migration from MATIC, technical breakdowns, and a general flight to safety in the crypto market. While oversold indicators suggest a possible rebound, the lack of positive signals and high trading volume call for caution.

Key level to watch: Can POL hold the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement at $0.16116? A break below this level could speed up the decline toward the 2025 low of $0.12676.


What could affect the price of POL?

Polygon (POL) is navigating a mix of challenges and opportunities as it wraps up its migration process.

  1. Migration Completion – Coinbase will finish swapping MATIC to POL on October 14, removing old tokens from circulation.
  2. Institutional Staking – AMINA Bank, a regulated Swiss bank, has started offering POL staking with yields up to 15%, which could increase demand.
  3. Scalability Improvements – The upcoming Rio upgrade aims to boost transaction speed to 5,000 transactions per second (TPS) by October, important for real-world asset (RWA) and decentralized finance (DeFi) growth.

Deep Dive

1. Migration Completion (Mixed Effects)

What’s happening: Coinbase will stop trading MATIC tokens on October 14, 2025, and convert any remaining MATIC balances to POL at a 1:1 rate. This ends a year-long migration, with nearly 98% already completed. After this, POL will be the only token used for transaction fees and staking on the Polygon network.

What it means: This change removes selling pressure from old MATIC tokens, but POL’s price has still fallen about 40.5% since the migration started in 2024 (AMBCrypto). Expect some short-term price swings as the last MATIC holders convert, but the token’s structure becomes simpler in the long run.

2. Institutional Staking (Positive Outlook)

What’s happening: AMINA Bank, regulated in Switzerland, began offering POL staking for institutional investors on October 9. They provide base yields of 4-5%, plus an additional 10% bonus from the Polygon Foundation for one-year commitments. This follows Polygon reaching over $1 billion in real-world asset deployments with partners like BlackRock and JPMorgan.

What it means: These structured staking options could reduce the number of POL tokens available for trading, as AMINA manages $4.2 billion in assets. However, the staking yields (around 15% annual percentage yield) compete with current bearish market signals, such as a low Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 18.66 over the past week.

3. Scalability Upgrades (Positive Outlook)

What’s happening: The Rio upgrade, currently live on testnet, introduces Validator-Elected Block Producers and aims to increase transaction speed to 5,000 TPS by October. This builds on the July Heimdall v2 upgrade, which reduced transaction finality time to 5 seconds.

What it means: Faster transaction speeds make Polygon more attractive for payment systems and enterprise use, where it already holds about 30% of the remittance market. Success with these upgrades could help Polygon compete with rivals like Solana and Arbitrum. However, delays could test investor patience, especially after POL’s 68% price drop over the past six months.

Conclusion

Polygon’s future depends on successfully rolling out its scalability upgrades and attracting institutional investors through staking and real-world asset applications. The October 14 Coinbase migration will likely cause short-term price fluctuations, but AMINA Bank’s involvement signals growing acceptance from traditional finance. The key question is: Can Polygon turn these technical improvements into real growth in total value locked (TVL) after the Rio upgrade? Keep an eye on transaction volumes and staking activity in the fourth quarter.


What are people saying about POL?

The Polygon community is buzzing with updates as the migration from MATIC to POL nears completion, but the token’s price remains volatile. Here’s what’s trending:

  1. Migration from MATIC to POL is almost done (97.83% complete)
  2. Price outlook is split between a potential rise to $0.28 and a drop to $0.16
  3. Leadership change with Sandeep Nailwal stepping in as CEO
  4. Technical traders spot a possible double-bottom pattern signaling a reversal

Deep Dive

1. Polygon Migration Nears Completion – Positive Signal

"97.83% of MATIC→POL upgrade complete"
– @0xPolygon (5.2M followers · 12.4K impressions · 2025-08-20 16:29 UTC)
View original post
What this means: Almost finishing the migration means fewer token versions floating around, which is good for POL’s stability. It also shows Polygon 2.0’s technical plan is on track.

2. Ecosystem Growth Sparks Mixed Feelings

"Analysts predict 2x rally soon – TVL $1.23B, 45K+ dApps"
– @Tokocrypto (387K followers · 8.7K impressions · 2025-09-01 13:23 UTC)
View original post
What this means: The ecosystem is growing with more apps and $1.23 billion locked in value, which is promising. But POL’s price is still down 68% from its 2024 peak, so investors are cautious.

3. Leadership Change During Price Drop – Short-Term Concern

"Nailwal becomes CEO as POL drops 68% in 6 months"
– CoinMarketCap Community Post (2025-06-11 18:16 UTC)
View original post
What this means: A new CEO during a price slump can signal internal challenges. However, Nailwal’s plan to upgrade the network to 5,000 transactions per second (TPS) by September might boost confidence.

4. Technical Analysis Shows Potential Reversal

"Double-bottom at $0.16, golden cross signal – target $0.39 if breakout"
– Technical Analysis Post (2025-07-24 10:01 UTC)
View original post
What this means: The double-bottom pattern suggests buyers are stepping in at $0.16. If POL holds above $0.19 support, it could bounce back toward $0.39. But if it falls below, the price might hit yearly lows.

Conclusion

The outlook for POL is mixed. The migration progress and ecosystem growth are positive signs, but the token’s price struggles to recover. Developers are optimistic about reaching over 1,000 TPS now and aiming for 5,000 TPS soon, which could strengthen Polygon’s position. Investors should watch the September upgrade closely, as it may confirm Polygon’s technical strengths and influence whether buyers step in at current prices.


What is the latest news about POL?

Polygon’s POL token is navigating changes in exchange listings and growing interest from institutions, even as its price faces downward pressure. Here’s the latest update:

  1. Coinbase Ends MATIC Trading (October 11, 2025) – Coinbase completes the switch from MATIC to POL, retiring MATIC after a year-long transition.
  2. AMINA Bank Launches Regulated Staking (October 9, 2025) – This Swiss bank offers institutions up to 15% returns on POL staking, boosting confidence in the token.
  3. Polygon Completes Rio Upgrade (September 3, 2025) – The upgrade improves network scalability but hasn’t stopped POL’s price from dropping about 40%.

Deep Dive

1. Coinbase Ends MATIC Trading (October 11, 2025)

What happened: Coinbase will stop trading MATIC on October 14 and convert all MATIC holdings to POL at a 1:1 rate. This marks the end of Polygon’s transition from MATIC to POL, which started in September 2024. The Rio upgrade brought improvements to validators and cross-chain tools, but POL’s price has fallen 40.5% since the migration began. Currently, POL trades around $0.19 with a neutral momentum indicator (RSI of 41.6).
What it means: In the short term, the market may remain weak due to leftover MATIC selling. However, in the long run, POL will serve as Polygon’s single, unified token, which is positive for the project’s future. (AMBCrypto)

2. AMINA Bank Launches Regulated Staking (October 9, 2025)

What happened: AMINA Bank, regulated in Switzerland, now offers institutional investors the chance to stake POL tokens with returns up to 15%. These rewards combine base staking yields with bonuses from the Polygon Foundation. This move follows Polygon’s success in tokenizing over $1 billion in real-world assets, backed by major players like BlackRock and JPMorgan.
What it means: This is a positive sign for POL’s demand among institutions. Regulated staking options help connect traditional finance with decentralized finance (DeFi), strengthening Polygon’s position in the compliant crypto space. (Cryptonews)

3. DapDap Launches Cross-Chain Bridge (October 9, 2025)

What happened: DapDap introduced StableFlow, a cross-chain bridge powered by NEAR Intents, allowing low-cost stablecoin swaps across nine blockchains, including Polygon. Since its launch, it has processed $1.84 billion in transactions. Initially supporting USDT, it plans to add USDC and other stablecoins soon.
What it means: While this development doesn’t directly impact POL’s price, it enhances Polygon’s decentralized finance (DeFi) capabilities by addressing liquidity fragmentation. This is important for Polygon’s focus on payment solutions. (Coinspeaker)

Conclusion

Polygon’s ecosystem is growing stronger with new institutional partnerships and technical upgrades. However, POL’s price remains subdued amid overall crypto market volatility. The key question is whether regulated staking and increased real-world asset tokenization can offset selling pressure after the migration. Keep an eye on trading volumes and the growth of tokenized assets for signs of recovery.


What is expected in the development of POL?

Polygon is making big moves with these key updates:

  1. Agglayer Integration (Q4 2025) – Linking Polygon PoS to Agglayer to enable smooth interaction between different blockchains.
  2. 5,000 TPS Goal (October 2025) – Boosting Polygon PoS to handle 5,000 transactions per second, making it more competitive with leading blockchains.
  3. GigaGas Plan (2026) – Aiming for 100,000 transactions per second to support global payments and real-world asset management.

In-Depth Look

1. Agglayer Integration (Q4 2025)

What’s happening: Polygon PoS will connect with Agglayer, a protocol designed to let different blockchains work together seamlessly. This comes after the POL token migration wrapped up in September 2025, making POL the main token on the network. Agglayer’s goal is to create a “trustless Internet of Blockchains,” allowing fast and secure cross-chain transactions.

Why it matters: This is good news for POL holders because Agglayer could increase the token’s use beyond just paying transaction fees—it could help secure transactions across multiple blockchains. Still, there’s a chance of delays or competition from other projects like Arbitrum.

2. 5,000 TPS Goal (October 2025)

What’s happening: Polygon PoS plans to increase its transaction speed to over 5,000 transactions per second by October 2025, up from just over 1,000 TPS in July 2025. This improvement comes from upgrades like “Rio,” which introduced new ways to produce blocks and validate transactions more efficiently, lowering hardware costs.

Why it matters: This is somewhat positive for POL. Faster transaction speeds could attract apps focused on payments and bigger institutional users. However, success depends on keeping transaction fees very low (under $0.001) and avoiding network problems like the outage in July 2025 (source).

3. GigaGas Plan (2026)

What’s happening: The “GigaGas” initiative aims to push Polygon’s speed to 100,000 transactions per second by 2026. This would support real-world asset transactions and global payment systems. Polygon is working with partners like Stripe and BlackRock to make this happen, as noted in a June 2025 report.

Why it matters: This is very promising for the long term but comes with challenges. Reaching 100,000 TPS would make Polygon a key player in traditional finance infrastructure. However, it depends on Ethereum’s ecosystem and navigating regulations around real-world assets, which could slow progress.

Conclusion

Polygon’s roadmap focuses on making the network faster (from 5,000 to 100,000 TPS) and improving how blockchains work together (Agglayer). With POL’s migration complete and staking active on Ethereum, the big question is whether Agglayer’s cross-chain features will outpace other Layer 2 solutions. This progress could solidify Polygon’s role in payments and institutional blockchain use.


What updates are there in the POL code base?

Polygon is upgrading its technology to improve speed, security, and overall growth of its network.

  1. Heimdall v2 Mainnet Launch (July 10, 2025) – A new system upgrade that makes transactions faster and more secure.
  2. MATIC-to-POL Migration (99% Complete) – Most users have switched from MATIC to POL tokens, allowing for better use across the network.
  3. AggLayer Integration Roadmap – Plans to connect multiple blockchains for faster transactions and greater network power.

In-Depth Look

1. Heimdall v2 Mainnet Launch (July 10, 2025)

What happened: Polygon replaced its old system with a new one called CometBFT/Cosmos-SDK v0.50, improving how quickly transactions are confirmed.

Key improvements:

Why it matters: Faster transaction times mean a smoother experience for users, especially for payments and decentralized finance (DeFi) applications. The cleaner codebase also means future improvements can happen more quickly. (Source)

2. MATIC-to-POL Migration (99% Complete)

What happened: Nearly all MATIC tokens have been converted to POL tokens as of August 2025, making POL the main token for paying fees and staking on Polygon.

How it works:

Why it matters: While this change doesn’t have an immediate impact on POL’s price, it strengthens POL’s role in the network and supports Polygon’s vision of connecting multiple blockchains. (Source)

3. AggLayer Integration Roadmap

What it is: AggLayer is Polygon’s plan to link different blockchains together, sharing liquidity (funds) and network state, with POL as the key token.

Current status and goals:

Why it matters: If widely adopted, AggLayer could make POL a central token for decentralized finance and real-world assets (RWAs) across multiple blockchains. (Source)

Conclusion

Polygon is focusing on making its network faster, more secure, and better connected with other blockchains. POL’s role is growing beyond just paying fees—it’s becoming a key part of the network’s governance and cross-chain operations. The success of AggLayer could turn POL into a highly productive token powering a wide range of blockchain applications.